Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Hibernian 1–1 Dundee United

Sunday 3 November 2024, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 15 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Colin Steven · Attendance 15,454

Hibernian Miller 28' · Kukharevych sent off 89'

Dundee United Dalby 90' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianDundee United
Goals11
xG1.091.31
Non-penalty xG1.090.52
Expected Points1.091.58

Hibernian 25%Draw 33%Dundee United 42%

Most likely score 1–1, 22%. Final score 1–1, 22%.

Dundee United goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+4%9%2%4%11%2%2%11%7%1%3%2%16%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTKukharevych (Hibernian), second yellow card 89'Iredale on for Miller, 61'Youan on for Newell and Molotnikov on for Hoilett, 90+1'Cadden on for Boyle, 90+4'Trapanovski on for Strain and Odada on for Gallagher, 46'Fotheringham on for Trapanovski, 58'van der Sande on for Sevelj, 73'Miller 28'Dalby 90' (pen)Dundee United 1.31Hibernian 1.0900.511.50153045607590HTKukharevych (Hibernian), second yellow card 89'Iredale on for Miller, 61'Youan on for Newell and Molotnikov on for Hoilett, 90+1'Cadden on for Boyle, 90+4'Trapanovski on for Strain and Odada on for Gallagher, 46'Fotheringham on for Trapanovski, 58'van der Sande on for Sevelj, 73'Miller 28'Dalby 90' (pen)1.311.09HibernianDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianDundee United

1.09 −0.04xG1.31 +0.03
1.09Non-penalty xG0.52
1.21 +0.08xG on target0.67 −0.80
15 +2Shots8 −3
3 −0.6Shots on target2 −1.7
1 −0.7Big chances2 +0.2
26 +5Touches in the opposition box16 −8
58% +11Possession42% −1
382 +53Passes293 −26
78% +6Pass accuracy71% +3
71% +20Field tilt29% −15
49 +15Final-third entries26 −5
16 +7.4Box entries7 −2.5
20.9 +6Passes per defensive action13.8 −1
13 +7.7Corners2 −2.4
11 −3Tackles23 +3
1 −6.9Interceptions3 −4.7
21 −5Clearances40 +10
1 −1.2Saves3 +0.6
10 −2Fouls12 +1
1 −0.3Offsides1 +0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Ekpiteta 68', 0.16 xGKukharevych 23', 0.11 xGMiller 40', 0.11 xGBoyle 45+1', 0.10 xGYouan 90+11', 0.07 xGHoilett 16', 0.06 xGMiller 23', 0.06 xGBoyle 40', 0.06 xGKwon 7', 0.05 xGKwon 52', 0.04 xGHoilett 37', 0.03 xGTriantis 90+12', 0.03 xGNewell 3', 0.02 xGKukharevych 43', 0.02 xGMiller 28', 0.16 xG, goal25%0.27 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.27 xG, 0 goals47%0.51 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.51 xG, 1 goal7%0.08 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals15%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals6%0.06 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Babunski 50', 0.25 xGMiddleton 90+2', 0.11 xGDalby 14', 0.05 xGvan der Sande 84', 0.05 xGFotheringham 84', 0.03 xGHolt 90+6', 0.02 xGMiddleton 17', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals62%0.32 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.32 xG, 0 goals21%0.11 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals17%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianDundee United

0.40 7 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.47 5 shots, 0 goals
0.68 8 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.04 2 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
40 min (39%) · Hibernian 0.56, Dundee United 0.19 xG
Hibernian ahead
63 min (61%) · Hibernian 0.52, Dundee United 1.12 xG

Line-ups

124521182611109923BursikMillerEkpitetaO'HoraObitaKwonTriantisNewellBoyleKukharevychHoilettGoalYellow cardSent off, second yellow61'90+1'90+4'90+1'Hibernian 4-3-3David Gray116314251011171915WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherHoltStrainSeveljBabunskiFerryStephensonDalbyMiddletonYellow cardYellow cardGoal46'46'73'Dundee United 3-4-3Jim Goodwin

Hibernian substitutes

  • 61' Iredale for Miller
  • 90+1' Molotnikov for Hoilett
  • 90+1' Youan for Newell
  • 90+4' Cadden for Boyle

Dundee United substitutes

  • 46' Trapanovski for Strain · off 58'
  • 46' Odada for Gallagher
  • 58' Fotheringham for Trapanovski
  • 73' van der Sande for Sevelj

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BursikGK900.000.0000.0330
MillerRB6110.330.081−0.0243
EkpitetaCB900.160.0100.0664
O'HoraCB900.000.0210.1178
ObitaLB9010.000.6010.38141
KwonCM900.100.0600.0034
TriantisCM900.030.0300.0765
NewellCM900.020.0810.2692
BoyleRW900.150.0200.1170
Kukharevych ST890.140.0000.0101
HoilettLW900.090.5340.2751
IredaleDF290.000.0100.0224
MolotnikovFW00.000.000−0.0101
YouanFW00.070.0000.0010
CaddenDF00.000.0810.0010

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WaltonGK900.000.0000.0332
Adegboyega CB900.000.0000.0216
Gallagher CB460.000.0000.0106
HoltCB900.020.0000.04311
StrainRWB460.000.001−0.0307
SeveljCM730.000.0100.0244
BabunskiCM900.250.0210.0156
FerryLWB900.000.0510.1138
StephensonRW900.000.2410.2217
DalbyST9010.840.0910.0003
MiddletonLW900.120.0300.11114
TrapanovskiMF120.000.0000.0310
OdadaMF440.000.0000.0016
FotheringhamMF320.030.0000.0020
van der SandeFW170.050.0310.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

O'Hora and Triantis: 4 passesEkpiteta and Kwon: 4 passesNewell and Kukharevych: 4 passesKwon and Hoilett: 4 passesMiller and Newell: 5 passesEkpiteta and Newell: 5 passesTriantis and Newell: 5 passesTriantis and Kwon: 5 passesBoyle and Kukharevych: 5 passesTriantis and Hoilett: 7 passesBursik and O'Hora: 8 passesEkpiteta and Triantis: 8 passesObita and Triantis: 8 passesMiller and Kwon: 9 passesMiller and Ekpiteta: 10 passesBursik and Ekpiteta: 12 passesMiller and Triantis: 12 passesMiller and Boyle: 12 passesO'Hora and Ekpiteta: 13 passesO'Hora and Obita: 15 passesObita and Newell: 16 passesNewell and Hoilett: 17 passesObita and Hoilett: 22 passesBursik: 18 completed passesMiller: 26 completed passesO'Hora: 24 completed passesEkpiteta: 31 completed passesObita: 39 completed passesTriantis: 32 completed passesNewell: 33 completed passesKwon: 15 completed passesBoyle: 13 completed passesKukharevych: 5 completed passesHoilett: 25 completed passes125421261118109923BursikMillerO'HoraEkpitetaObitaTriantisNewellKwonBoyleKukharevychHoilettStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee United

Walton and Gallagher: 3 passesHolt and Gallagher: 3 passesGallagher and Strain: 3 passesStrain and Stephenson: 3 passesFerry and Middleton: 3 passesStephenson and Dalby: 3 passesDalby and Middleton: 3 passesAdegboyega and Gallagher: 4 passesAdegboyega and Strain: 4 passesHolt and Middleton: 4 passesGallagher and Ferry: 4 passesStrain and Sevelj: 4 passesSevelj and Dalby: 4 passesBabunski and Middleton: 4 passesWalton and Holt: 6 passesSevelj and Babunski: 6 passesWalton: 8 completed passesAdegboyega: 9 completed passesHolt: 10 completed passesGallagher: 11 completed passesStrain: 11 completed passesFerry: 4 completed passesSevelj: 10 completed passesBabunski: 10 completed passesStephenson: 3 completed passesDalby: 5 completed passesMiddleton: 5 completed passes116431211510171915WaltonAdegboyegaHoltGallagherStrainFerrySeveljBabunskiStephensonDalbyMiddletonStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
ObitaHoilett17
ObitaNewell13
HoilettObita13
NewellHoilett11
O'HoraObita10

Dundee United

FromToPasses
MiddletonFerry10
HoltFerry9
HoltWalton8
WaltonHolt8
FerryMiddleton7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

4−0.25−0.414−1.63−4.72−2.43−4.34−0.32−4.55−1.23−4.24−1.63−0.33−0.22−2.94−0.11−3.35+1.43+0.19+6.23−1.91−0.80−1.21+0.12+1.02−0.20−0.61+0.72+0.80−0.30−0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Dundee United

5+1.111+4.522+5.012+2.611+5.06+0.69+2.510+4.45−1.87−0.28+2.14−0.46+2.26−0.16+0.83−0.71−2.34+1.81−1.93−0.90−2.70−1.40−0.90−1.21−1.00−1.30−0.31+0.31+0.610.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.020.020.020.030.010.010.020.070.090.010.100.040.040.010.060.090.08−0.040.15−0.11−0.010.160.43LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.010.030.050.010.010.020.030.020.010.050.02−0.010.02−0.02−0.010.150.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackHibernian1.21 → 1.20Dundee United1.11 → 1.12Defence (lower is better)Hibernian1.37 → 1.38Dundee United1.48 → 1.47

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hibernian
Top six29%24%−5
11th10%11%+1
Bottom7%9%+2
Dundee United
Top six47%48%+1
11th7%6%−1
Bottom5%4%−1

From the forecast before the match (3 November 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianDundee United
Expected goals1.581.03
Win49%24%
Expected Points1.750.99
Clean sheet36%21%

Hibernian 49%Draw 26%Dundee United 24%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Dundee United goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%3%2%2%1%11%13%9%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 3 November 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHibernian winDrawDundee United win
Hibernian
Top six29%37%24%18%
11th10%8%11%13%
Bottom7%5%9%11%
Dundee United
Top six47%38%48%63%
11th7%9%6%4%
Bottom5%7%4%2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

  1. D0–030 OctRoss County (A)xG 0.50–0.50
  2. D1–127 OctHearts (H)xG 1.97–1.17
  3. L2–319 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.71–1.79
  4. L1–25 OctMotherwell (H)xG 1.35–1.23
  5. L0–129 SepRangers (A)xG 2.16–1.78
  6. W2–014 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.61–0.25

Dundee United

  1. L1–230 OctMotherwell (H)xG 1.43–1.06
  2. L0–126 OctAberdeen (A)xG 0.38–1.41
  3. W3–219 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.79–0.71
  4. W1–05 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.97–1.07
  5. D3–328 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 2.73–2.31
  6. L0–115 SepRangers (H)xG 0.31–0.99

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianDundee United
Position12th5th
Played1010
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠4–⁠54–⁠3–⁠3
Points7 (0.70 per game)15 (1.50 per game)
Expected Points per game1.231.22
Goals9–⁠1514–⁠12
xG per game1.13–⁠1.391.28–⁠1.44
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.18–⁠1.221.40, 1.23–⁠1.35
Away: points, xG per game0.40, 1.08–⁠1.561.60, 1.34–⁠1.53
ManagerDavid Gray (12)Jim Goodwin (22)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackHibernian1.21, 7thDundee United1.11, 8thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.37, 6thDundee United1.48, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovHibernian attack: 1.21Dundee United attack: 1.111.211.11Dundee UnitedHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovHibernian defence: 1.37Dundee United defence: 1.481.481.37

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−34%−20%−7%+8%
Counter-attacks−69%+201%+88%−29%
Set pieces+41%+5%−21%+4%
Penalties−33%−33%−33%+35%
Headers−26%−1%+3%+25%
Left side−25%−3%−4%+11%
Centre−22%+11%+6%+10%
Right side+9%+3%−22%−22%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdDundee United concededLeft side−25%−22%Centre−22%+10%Right side+9%+11%Open play−34%+8%Counter-attacks−69%−29%Set pieces+41%+4%Headers−26%+25%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdHibernian concededLeft side−4%+3%Centre+6%+11%Right side−22%−3%Open play−7%−20%Counter-attacks+88%+201%Set pieces−21%+5%Headers+3%−1%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianDundee United

1.13xG1.28
1.39xG against1.44
47%Possession43%
12.5Shots11.1
11.8Shots against13.0
3.6Shots on target3.7
1.7Big chances1.8
20.9Touches in the opposition box24.0
329Passes319
72%Pass accuracy68%
5.3Corners4.4
51%Field tilt44%
34.1Final-third entries30.7
8.6Box entries9.5
14.5Passes per defensive action14.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level501.121.20
Ahead141.031.88
Behind261.211.49

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level511.381.43
Ahead220.801.65
Behind171.601.19

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.260–2
16–300.120.220–2
31–450.310.063–1
46–600.160.142–2
61–750.290.224–0
76–900.150.500–8

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.101–1
16–300.300.243–2
31–450.180.281–1
46–600.210.202–2
61–750.140.311–3
76–900.260.326–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBursik 10Miller 9Cadden 1Ekpiteta 10O'Hora 10Obita 10Kwon 7Campbell 1Moriah-Welsh 1Newell 6Triantis 5Boyle 6Cadden 3Youan 1Molotnikov 3Kukharevych 2Campbell 2Hoilett 3Molotnikov 3Youan 2Kukharevych 6Hoilett 1Gayle 14-2-3-1 in 7 of 10 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1)

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTWalton 10Adegboyega 9Gallagher 10Graham 6Holt 5Stephenson 8Sevelj 2Sibbald 7Holt 2Sevelj 2Babunski 5Ferry 2Docherty 2Ferry 8Babunski 1Thomson 1Babunski 3Sevelj 2Thomson 2Trapanovski 7Middleton 3Dalby 1van der Sande 6Dalby 43-4-2-1 in 7 of 10 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-4-3 (2), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 October 2024Dundee United3–2HibernianxG 1.79–0.71
9 April 2023Dundee United2–1HibernianxG 1.44–1.47
14 January 2023Hibernian2–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.80–0.87
11 October 2022Dundee United1–0HibernianxG 0.56–1.31
2 April 2022Hibernian1–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.51–0.46
26 December 2021Dundee United1–3HibernianxG 0.54–1.80

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 3, Dundee United won 4, and 3 were drawn. Goals 13–14 and xG 1.24–0.92 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kukharevych8667200.420.03
Boyle6589210.210.08
Triantis6517000.090.08
Obita10900010.010.12

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Trapanovski7519110.370.20
Dalby5457200.330.03
Stephenson8693220.200.11
Babunski9714100.120.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.