Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
AberdeenDundee United
1.98 +0.78xG0.53 −0.81
1.39 +0.09xG on target0.79 −0.58
20 +8Shots11 0
2 −1.8Shots on target3 −0.9
1 −0.8Big chances1 −0.9
51 +26Touches in the opposition box12 −11
73% +20Possession27% −17
518 +84Passes205 −122
84% +6Pass accuracy60% −9
80% +29Field tilt20% −21
72 +35Final-third entries21 −9
23 +10.0Box entries8 −1.5
6.8 −7Passes per defensive action20.7 +5
14 +8.5Corners5 +0.8
10 −8Tackles21 +4
6 −0.5Interceptions7 −0.5
24 −8Clearances92 +52
1 −1.8Saves0 −2.9
6 −5Fouls13 +1
2 +0.5Offsides1 −0.3
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
20'45+9'75'90+1'
0–00–10–21–2
0'HTFT
Level
21 min (21%) · Aberdeen 0.14, Dundee United 0.07 xG
Dundee United ahead
80 min (79%) · Aberdeen 1.84, Dundee United 0.46 xG
Line-ups
Aberdeen substitutes
41'Dorrington for Tobers
46'Shinnie for MacKenzie
46'Dabbagh for Okkels
55'Clarkson for Palaversa
63'Morris for Gueye · yellow card 85'
Dundee United substitutes
26'Adegboyega for Gallagher · yellow card 45'
63'Fotheringham for Trapanovski
68'van der Sande for Sibbald
Players
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Mitov
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
1
Jensen
RB
90
2
0.12
0.43
4
0.44
7
2
Tobers
CB
41
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
4
4
Knoester
CB
90
0.33
0.05
1
0.19
14
14
MacKenzie
LB
46
0.00
0.02
0
−0.02
1
3
Nilsen
DM
90
0.00
0.28
3
0.35
11
3
Palaversa
DM
55
0.02
0.33
2
0.07
10
2
Okkels
RW
46
0.02
0.10
0
0.05
3
1
Gueye
AM
63
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
1
3
Keskinen
LW
90
0.30
0.23
0
0.11
5
2
Nisbet
ST
90
2
0.99
0.25
0
0.10
3
0
Dorrington
DF
49
0.10
0.01
0
0.05
3
3
Shinnie
MF
44
0.00
0.25
0
0.20
4
6
Dabbagh
FW
44
0.11
0.00
0
−0.03
1
0
Clarkson
MF
35
0.00
0.41
4
0.33
11
1
Morris
FW
27
0.00
0.02
0
0.06
5
0
Dundee United
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Walton
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
2
Sibbald
CB
68
0.04
0.00
0
−0.01
0
7
Gallagher
CB
26
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
3
Graham
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
26
Strain
RWB
90
0.00
0.20
2
0.28
4
19
Stephenson
CM
90
0.00
0.12
0
0.08
2
16
Sevelj
CM
90
1
0.21
0.00
0
0.02
2
20
Campbell
CM
90
0.03
0.01
0
0.02
1
7
Trapanovski
LWB
63
1
0.05
0.16
2
0.21
5
2
Dalby
ST
90
1
0.02
0.01
0
−0.01
1
3
Middleton
ST
90
1
0.04
0.22
2
0.14
4
9
Adegboyega
DF
64
0.00
0.19
1
0.00
1
11
Fotheringham
MF
27
0.14
0.00
0
−0.02
0
2
van der Sande
FW
22
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
2
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
Nilsen
Knoester
13
Mitov
Knoester
13
Jensen
Nilsen
13
Dorrington
Jensen
11
Clarkson
Jensen
11
Dundee United
From
To
Passes
Walton
Dalby
8
Strain
Campbell
6
Strain
Middleton
6
Middleton
Strain
5
Campbell
Strain
4
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Aberdeen
Against its average of 28 matches
Dundee United
Against its average of 28 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Aberdeen
Top six
94%
95%
+1
Dundee United
Top six
95%
96%
+1
From the forecast before the match (2 March 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Expected goals
1.39
1.17
Win
41%
31%
Expected Points
1.52
1.21
Clean sheet
31%
25%
Aberdeen 41%Draw 28%Dundee United 31%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.
From the forecast as it stood on 2 March 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Aberdeen win
Draw
Dundee United win
Aberdeen
Top six
94%
99%
95%
88%
Dundee United
Top six
95%
91%
96%
>99%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Position
4th
5th
Played
28
28
Won, drawn, lost
12–5–11
11–7–10
Points
41 (1.46 per game)
40 (1.43 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.10
1.29
Goals
36–44
34–34
xG per game
1.20–1.69
1.34–1.41
Home: points, xG per game
1.86, 1.46–1.33
1.50, 1.41–1.16
Away: points, xG per game
1.07, 0.94–2.04
1.36, 1.27–1.65
Manager
Jimmy Thelin (28)
Jim Goodwin (40)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−5%
+23%
−9%
−2%
Counter-attacks
−31%
−17%
−14%
+4%
Set pieces
−14%
+30%
−2%
−7%
Penalties
−77%
−8%
+14%
+14%
Headers
−15%
+19%
+34%
+11%
Left side
+5%
+10%
−27%
−8%
Centre
−14%
+23%
+13%
−10%
Right side
−14%
+29%
−32%
+20%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Aberdeen attacking
Aberdeen createdDundee United concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+5%+20%Centre−14%−10%Right side−14%−8%Open play−5%−2%Counter-attacks−31%+4%Set pieces−14%−7%Headers−15%+11%
Dundee United attacking
Dundee United createdAberdeen concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−27%+29%Centre+13%+23%Right side−32%+10%Open play−9%+23%Counter-attacks−14%−17%Set pieces−2%+30%Headers+34%+19%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
AberdeenDundee United
1.20xG1.34
1.69xG against1.41
53%Possession44%
11.5Shots11.4
14.0Shots against14.1
3.8Shots on target3.9
1.8Big chances1.9
24.8Touches in the opposition box23.0
434Passes327
77%Pass accuracy69%
5.5Corners4.2
51%Field tilt41%
36.7Final-third entries30.2
13.0Box entries9.5
13.7Passes per defensive action15.8
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Aberdeen
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
47
1.12
1.56
Ahead
20
1.22
1.83
Behind
24
1.33
1.83
Dundee United
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
56
1.27
1.29
Ahead
15
1.49
1.89
Behind
18
1.43
1.35
xG by period
Aberdeen
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.17
0.19
3–2
16–30
0.16
0.24
4–10
31–45
0.18
0.32
5–9
46–60
0.22
0.17
9–5
61–75
0.18
0.30
5–5
76–90
0.29
0.47
10–13
Dundee United
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.15
0.15
3–2
16–30
0.21
0.19
4–6
31–45
0.17
0.26
3–6
46–60
0.20
0.17
6–3
61–75
0.18
0.28
3–8
76–90
0.44
0.35
15–9
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts