Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Motherwell 0–0 Hearts

Saturday 12 April 2025, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 33 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 7,481

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellHearts
Goals00
xG0.271.12
Expected Points0.572.09

Motherwell 8%Draw 34%Hearts 58%

Most likely score 0–1, 29%. Final score 0–0, 24%.

Hearts goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+16%5%1%6%10%5%2%24%29%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTKoutroumbis on for Balmer, 20'Andrews on for Halliday, 61'Armstrong on for Watt and Tavares on for Sparrow, 71'Dickson on for Maswanhise and Paton on for Slattery, 81'Devlin on for Kartum and Shankland on for Drammeh, 46'Forrest on for Baningime, 71'Nieuwenhof on for Kabangu, 84'Halkett on for Steinwender, 90+1'Hearts 1.12Motherwell 0.2700.511.50153045607590HTKoutroumbis on for Balmer, 20'Andrews on for Halliday, 61'Armstrong on for Watt and Tavares on for Sparrow, 71'Dickson on for Maswanhise and Paton on for Slattery, 81'Devlin on for Kartum and Shankland on for Drammeh, 46'Forrest on for Baningime, 71'Nieuwenhof on for Kabangu, 84'Halkett on for Steinwender, 90+1'1.120.27MotherwellHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellHearts

0.27 −0.78xG1.12 −0.23
0.00 −1.12xG on target0.05 −1.30
6 −3.5Shots12 −0.8
0 −3.2Shots on target2 −2.3
1 −0.6Big chances3 +0.8
21 +4Touches in the opposition box27 +2
46% +6Possession54% 0
363 +54Passes420 −17
70% +2Pass accuracy72% −4
31% −3Field tilt69% +12
21 −5Final-third entries36 −4
8 +0.6Box entries11 −0.8
17.6 −2Passes per defensive action8.5 −5
3 −1.4Corners2 −4.2
15 −1Tackles18 0
11 +3.1Interceptions12 +3.3
49 +16Clearances29 0
1 −2.8Saves0 −2.5
12 +2Fouls18 +8
4 +2.3Offsides0 −1.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Casey 90', 0.15 xGAndrews 90+8', 0.04 xGWatt 37', 0.03 xGO'Donnell 7', 0.02 xGSlattery 36', 0.02 xGMaswanhise 4', 0.01 xG56%0.15 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.15 xG, 0 goals7%0.02 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals26%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals11%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

Shankland 90+7', 0.24 xGKartum 18', 0.23 xGShankland 84', 0.21 xGShankland 70', 0.10 xGShankland 75', 0.10 xGShankland 50', 0.06 xGSpittal 62', 0.05 xGGrant 44', 0.04 xGSteinwender 49', 0.03 xGGrant 84', 0.03 xGKartum 3', 0.02 xGSpittal 43', 0.02 xG19%0.21 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.21 xG, 0 goals56%0.63 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.63 xG, 0 goals21%0.24 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.24 xG, 0 goals4%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellHearts

0.04 1 shot, 0 goalsOpen play0.81 8 shots, 0 goals
0.23 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.32 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
98 min (100%) · Motherwell 0.27, Hearts 1.12 xG

Line-ups

885215738115652855BalcombeBalmerO'DonnellCaseySparrowMillerHallidayThompsonWattSlatteryMaswanhise20'71'61'71'81'81'Motherwell 3-4-3Michael Wimmer1351530292761673719GordonForresterSteinwenderMcCartPenriceKartumBaningimeSpittalGrantDrammehKabanguYellow cardYellow cardYellow card90+1'46'71'46'84'Hearts 4-3-1-2Neil Critchley

Motherwell substitutes

  • 20' Koutroumbis for Balmer
  • 61' Andrews for Halliday
  • 71' Tavares for Sparrow
  • 71' Armstrong for Watt
  • 81' Paton for Slattery
  • 81' Dickson for Maswanhise

Hearts substitutes

  • 46' Devlin for Kartum
  • 46' Shankland for Drammeh
  • 71' Forrest for Baningime
  • 84' Nieuwenhof for Kabangu
  • 90+1' Halkett for Steinwender

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BalcombeGK900.000.0000.0452
BalmerCB200.000.0000.0117
O'DonnellCB900.020.0100.05312
CaseyCB900.150.0400.09219
SparrowRWB710.000.0600.0938
MillerCM900.000.1520.0236
HallidayCM610.000.0610.0332
ThompsonLWB900.000.2000.0516
WattRW710.030.0400.0310
SlatteryST810.020.010−0.1012
MaswanhiseLW810.010.0000.0131
KoutroumbisDF700.000.0100.0568
AndrewsMF290.040.0000.0103
TavaresMF190.000.0000.0111
ArmstrongFW190.000.0000.0211
PatonMF90.000.0000.0210
DicksonFW90.000.041−0.0410

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GordonGK900.000.0000.0220
Forrester RB900.000.0310.0483
SteinwenderCB900.030.0000.0554
McCartCB900.000.0100.03212
PenriceLB900.000.0910.12712
Kartum CM460.250.0000.0111
Baningime CM710.000.0000.0116
SpittalCM900.070.3330.0895
GrantAM900.070.040−0.0245
DrammehST460.000.0910.0113
KabanguST840.000.1420.1710
DevlinMF440.000.0300.0236
ShanklandFW440.710.0100.0002
ForrestMF190.000.0200.0321
NieuwenhofMF60.000.0000.0111
HalkettDF00.000.0100.0200

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

Steinwender and Baningime: 3 passesMcCart and Grant: 3 passesGrant and Drammeh: 3 passesGordon and McCart: 4 passesSteinwender and Spittal: 4 passesSteinwender and Kartum: 4 passesMcCart and Spittal: 4 passesPenrice and Kabangu: 4 passesSteinwender and Grant: 5 passesBaningime and Kartum: 5 passesSpittal and Kabangu: 5 passesKartum and Grant: 5 passesGordon and Steinwender: 6 passesForrester and Grant: 6 passesPenrice and Grant: 6 passesSpittal and Grant: 7 passesForrester and Kartum: 11 passesPenrice and Spittal: 13 passesForrester and Steinwender: 14 passesMcCart and Penrice: 17 passesSteinwender and McCart: 22 passesGordon: 7 completed passesForrester: 18 completed passesSteinwender: 32 completed passesMcCart: 27 completed passesPenrice: 25 completed passesBaningime: 9 completed passesSpittal: 16 completed passesKartum: 13 completed passesGrant: 17 completed passesKabangu: 4 completed passesDrammeh: 2 completed passes1351530296162771937GordonForresterSteinwenderMcCartPenriceBaningimeSpittalKartumGrantKabanguDrammehStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
CaseyO'Donnell20
O'DonnellCasey16
O'DonnellKoutroumbis11
KoutroumbisO'Donnell11
CaseyThompson9

Hearts

FromToPasses
PenriceSpittal17
SpittalPenrice13
McCartSteinwender13
SteinwenderMcCart13
McCartPenrice12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

6+1.03−4.317−0.712+4.27+1.116+8.76−1.311+4.56−1.012+4.414+9.45+0.74+0.83−1.39+2.65+1.01−2.11−0.91−1.86+2.32−0.31−0.40−0.91−0.34+2.61+0.20−0.70−0.60−0.10−0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Hearts

2−2.16+0.58+1.46+1.36−1.03−3.46+0.18+1.011+3.76+0.24−0.45+1.67+1.59+2.012+7.65+1.75+2.25+1.25+0.52−0.31−0.83+1.72+0.10−2.72+1.30−0.31+0.31+0.60−1.16−7.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.010.020.010.030.020.010.010.040.020.020.040.020.020.02−0.01−0.100.050.040.080.07LessMore

Hearts

0.010.030.020.020.020.020.030.050.040.020.040.050.04−0.020.020.010.020.01−0.04−0.050.060.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackMotherwell1.08 → 1.06Hearts1.38 → 1.38Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.56 → 1.56Hearts1.25 → 1.23

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six14%–−14
11th7%7%0
Bottom1%1%0
Hearts
Top six54%44%−10
11th<1%<1%0
St. Mirren
Top six32%56%+24
Dundee FC
11th36%36%0
Bottom12%10%−2

From the forecast before the match (12 April 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellHearts
Expected goals1.191.42
Win31%42%
Expected Points1.201.53
Clean sheet24%30%

Motherwell 31%Draw 27%Hearts 42%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Hearts goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%1%8%9%4%1%5%7%5%2%2%3%2%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 12 April 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawHearts win
Motherwell
Top six14%47%––
11th7%1%7%12%
Bottom1%<1%1%2%
Hearts
Top six54%–44%>99%
11th<1%1%<1%–
St. Mirren
Top six32%53%56%–
Dundee FC
11th36%40%36%34%
Bottom12%14%10%12%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. L0–25 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 0.18–1.22
  2. L1–429 MarAberdeen (A)xG 1.21–1.58
  3. D2–215 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.67–1.24
  4. W2–11 MarRangers (A)xG 0.78–1.35
  5. W2–126 FebDundee FC (H)xG 1.10–1.42
  6. L0–122 FebDundee United (A)xG 1.09–1.25

Hearts

  1. L0–16 AprDundee United (H)xG 1.21–0.82
  2. L0–329 MarCeltic (A)xG 1.02–2.68
  3. W2–015 MarRoss County (H)xG 1.73–0.29
  4. L1–22 MarHibernian (A)xG 0.69–0.61
  5. W3–126 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.34–1.17
  6. W2–123 FebSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.18–2.02

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellHearts
Position8th6th
Played3232
Won, drawn, lost11–⁠5–⁠1611–⁠6–⁠15
Points38 (1.19 per game)39 (1.22 per game)
Expected Points per game1.051.37
Goals37–⁠5643–⁠44
xG per game1.05–⁠1.591.35–⁠1.37
Home: points, xG per game1.47, 1.14–⁠1.541.50, 1.46–⁠1.20
Away: points, xG per game0.94, 0.97–⁠1.630.94, 1.25–⁠1.55
ManagerMichael Wimmer (6)Neil Critchley (23)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackMotherwell1.08, 10thHearts1.38, 4thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.56, 10thHearts1.25, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMotherwell attack: 1.08Hearts attack: 1.381.381.08HeartsMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMotherwell defence: 1.56Hearts defence: 1.251.561.25

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−31%+20%−1%−7%
Counter-attacks−39%−14%+13%−11%
Set pieces+1%+8%+8%+1%
Penalties−58%+4%−79%+25%
Headers+20%+20%−3%+16%
Left side−44%+31%+12%−8%
Centre−16%+4%+1%−1%
Right side−17%+16%−3%−11%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdHearts concededLeft side−44%−11%Centre−16%−1%Right side−17%−8%Open play−31%−7%Counter-attacks−39%−11%Set pieces+1%+1%Headers+20%+16%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdMotherwell concededLeft side+12%+16%Centre+1%+4%Right side−3%+31%Open play−1%+20%Counter-attacks+13%−14%Set pieces+8%+8%Headers−3%+20%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellHearts

1.05xG1.35
1.59xG against1.37
40%Possession54%
9.5Shots12.8
14.6Shots against10.8
3.2Shots on target4.3
1.6Big chances2.2
17.5Touches in the opposition box24.6
308Passes437
68%Pass accuracy76%
4.4Corners6.2
34%Field tilt57%
26.0Final-third entries40.0
7.4Box entries11.8
19.1Passes per defensive action13.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level361.251.59
Ahead230.801.52
Behind301.001.66

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.301.44
Ahead241.511.12
Behind261.291.49

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.236–7
16–300.240.2410–9
31–450.140.328–8
46–600.130.312–12
61–750.130.163–7
76–900.250.348–13

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.156–5
16–300.170.226–6
31–450.180.255–7
46–600.210.288–8
61–750.190.178–9
76–900.410.3010–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTOxborough 22Balcombe 9Mair 1Balmer 15O'Donnell 10McGinn 7Gordon 26Casey 26Blaney 10Seddon 2Kaleta 13O'Donnell 10Sparrow 6Halliday 27Zdravkovski 8Andrews 4Miller 10Wilson 6Paton 4Wilson 14Thompson 7Seddon 3Miller 13Sparrow 7Slattery 6Maswanhise 12Watt 5Paton 3Stamatelopoulos 10Armstrong 6Robinson 53-4-2-1 in 11 of 32 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (11), 3-5-2 (9), 3-4-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Hearts

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTGordon 30Clark 2Forrester 13Oyegoke 11Taylor 6Kent 12Halkett 10Steinwender 6Rowles 20McCart 8Kingsley 2Penrice 26Kingsley 3Grant 1Devlin 18Baningime 12Kartum 3Boateng 13Grant 8Spittal 5Drammeh 9Baningime 5Forrest 5Shankland 14Grant 6Boyce 3Spittal 18Kabangu 5Forrest 3Wilson 13Shankland 11Vargas 44-2-3-1 in 14 of 32 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (14), 4-4-2 (6), 4-3-1-2 (5), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 January 2025Hearts1–0MotherwellxG 1.97–1.25
25 August 2024Motherwell3–1HeartsxG 2.54–0.62
17 February 2024Hearts2–0MotherwellxG 1.71–0.46
11 November 2023Motherwell1–2HeartsxG 1.10–2.08
3 September 2023Hearts0–1MotherwellxG 1.51–1.14
19 February 2023Motherwell2–0HeartsxG 1.33–0.94

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 5, Hearts won 7, and 0 were drawn. Goals 13–17 and xG 1.53–1.56 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ebiye3588200.420.04
Stamatelopoulos13897510.340.04
Armstrong7540200.330.01
Miller262,265260.130.20

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kabangu9801610.570.09
Drammeh10887310.500.06
Vargas121,047420.360.13
Wilson151,216510.280.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.