Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Ross County 3–1 Dundee FC

Saturday 22 February 2025, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 27 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 4,075

Ross County Phillips 18', Wright 47', Chilvers 49'

Dundee FC Murray 4'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyDundee FC
Goals31
xG3.920.66
Expected Points2.930.04

Ross County 97%Draw 3%Dundee FC 1%

Most likely score 4–0, 15%. Final score 3–1, 10%.

Dundee FC goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+6%4%1%10%3%3%10%7%2%6%4%1%13%15%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

02460153045607590HTRobesten on for Hale, 67'White on for Phillips, 75'Grieves on for Chilvers and Nisbet on for Harmon, 82'Donnelly on for Portales, 24'Sylla on for C. Robertson, 46'Adewumi on for Houlden, 59'Tiffoney on for Cameron, 81'Phillips 18'Wright 47'Chilvers 49'Murray 4'Ross County 3.92Dundee FC 0.6602460153045607590HTRobesten on for Hale, 67'White on for Phillips, 75'Grieves on for Chilvers and Nisbet on for Harmon, 82'Donnelly on for Portales, 24'Sylla on for C. Robertson, 46'Adewumi on for Houlden, 59'Tiffoney on for Cameron, 81'Phillips 18'Wright 47'Chilvers 49'Murray 4'3.920.66Ross CountyDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyDundee FC

3.92 +2.93xG0.66 −0.44
2.89 +1.92xG on target0.94 −0.35
22 +12Shots11 0
10 +6.8Shots on target2 −1.7
3 +1.8Big chances2 +0.5
22 +6Touches in the opposition box18 −3
53% +14Possession47% +3
315 +29Passes273 −49
64% −1Pass accuracy56% −11
49% +13Field tilt51% +9
32 +3Final-third entries26 −6
9 +1.8Box entries12 +1.8
8.5 −9Passes per defensive action17.9 +3
9 +4.4Corners6 +1.2
23 +6Tackles11 −6
6 −4.2Interceptions2 −6.0
54 +17Clearances42 +10
1 −2.2Saves7 +3.9
6 −4.6Fouls10 +0.4
1 −0.1Offsides1 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Hale 46', 0.82 xGPhillips 14', 0.23 xGRobesten 72', 0.21 xGRobesten 67', 0.17 xGPhillips 13', 0.15 xGNisbet 84', 0.14 xGHarmon 66', 0.08 xGHarmon 4', 0.05 xGChilvers 46', 0.05 xGChilvers 78', 0.05 xGHale 62', 0.04 xGRandall 12', 0.03 xGChilvers 39', 0.03 xGGrieves 84', 0.03 xGKenneh 5', 0.02 xGHale 5', 0.02 xGHale 56', 0.02 xGRandall 17', 0.01 xGPhillips 43', 0.01 xGPhillips 18', 0.99 xG, goalChilvers 49', 0.58 xG, goalWright 47', 0.22 xG, goal63%2.46 xGSix-yard box: 5 shots, 2.46 xG, 2 goals27%1.07 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 1.07 xG, 1 goal3%0.12 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals5%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals2%0.09 xGFurther out: 5 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

McGhee 61', 0.15 xGMcGhee 90+2', 0.13 xGMulligan 53', 0.12 xGMulligan 51', 0.07 xGMulligan 77', 0.04 xGF. Robertson 20', 0.03 xGMcGhee 71', 0.03 xGCameron 77', 0.02 xGLarkeche 27', 0.01 xGF. Robertson 68', 0.01 xGMurray 4', 0.04 xG, goal61%0.40 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.40 xG, 0 goals5%0.03 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals17%0.11 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals8%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 1 goal11%0.07 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyDundee FC

1.50 14 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.38 6 shots, 1 goal
0.74 2 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
1.68 6 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces0.28 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
33 min (36%) · Ross County 1.17, Dundee FC 0.08 xG
Ross County ahead
45 min (49%) · Ross County 1.30, Dundee FC 0.58 xG
Dundee FC ahead
14 min (15%) · Ross County 1.45, Dundee FC 0.00 xG

Line-ups

1812201944281016119AmissahTomkinsonLopataCampbellWrightKennehRandallChilversHarmonPhillipsHaleGoalGoalGoal82'82'75'67'Ross County 3-5-2Don Cowie12934861921152310McCrackenPortalesC. RobertsonAstleyMulliganMcGheeF. RobertsonLarkecheMurrayHouldenCameronYellow cardGoal24'46'59'81'Dundee FC 3-4-3Tony Docherty

Ross County substitutes

  • 67' Robesten for Hale
  • 75' White for Phillips
  • 82' Grieves for Chilvers
  • 82' Nisbet for Harmon

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 24' Donnelly for Portales
  • 46' Sylla for C. Robertson · yellow card 65'
  • 59' Adewumi for Houlden
  • 81' Tiffoney for Cameron

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AmissahGK900.000.0000.0222
TomkinsonCB900.000.0000.10116
LopataCB9010.000.3210.18110
CampbellCB900.000.0200.04413
WrightRWB9010.220.0100.01311
KennehCM900.020.0410.01210
RandallCM900.040.0100.04610
ChilversCM8210.700.3730.10111
HarmonLWB8210.130.3730.0724
PhillipsST75111.380.4120.1032
HaleST670.890.0410.0533
RobestenFW230.370.0110.2542
WhiteFW150.000.0110.0111
GrievesMF80.030.0100.0210
NisbetMF80.140.000−0.0102

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrackenGK900.000.0000.0211
PortalesCB240.000.0000.0005
C. RobertsonCB460.000.010−0.0108
AstleyCB900.000.0100.0334
MulliganRWB900.230.2500.2557
McGheeCM900.310.021−0.15310
F. RobertsonCM900.050.1710.0353
Larkeche LWB9010.010.3630.2744
MurrayRW9010.040.0720.0204
HouldenST590.000.0000.0011
CameronLW810.020.1410.1843
DonnellyDF660.000.1710.2439
Sylla MF440.000.0100.0323
AdewumiMF310.000.0100.0100
TiffoneyFW90.000.2800.0611

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Campbell and Harmon: 3 passesWright and Hale: 3 passesHarmon and Kenneh: 3 passesKenneh and Randall: 3 passesRandall and Phillips: 3 passesChilvers and Hale: 3 passesLopata and Wright: 4 passesTomkinson and Randall: 4 passesKenneh and Chilvers: 4 passesChilvers and Phillips: 4 passesTomkinson and Kenneh: 5 passesHarmon and Randall: 5 passesRandall and Hale: 5 passesAmissah and Campbell: 6 passesCampbell and Chilvers: 6 passesWright and Kenneh: 6 passesHarmon and Chilvers: 6 passesRandall and Chilvers: 6 passesAmissah and Lopata: 7 passesLopata and Tomkinson: 7 passesLopata and Campbell: 7 passesTomkinson and Wright: 7 passesHarmon and Hale: 8 passesWright and Chilvers: 9 passesWright and Randall: 12 passesAmissah: 10 completed passesLopata: 14 completed passesTomkinson: 15 completed passesCampbell: 17 completed passesWright: 26 completed passesHarmon: 17 completed passesKenneh: 14 completed passesRandall: 21 completed passesChilvers: 22 completed passesHale: 9 completed passesPhillips: 5 completed passes1820121941642810911AmissahLopataTomkinsonCampbellWrightHarmonKennehRandallChilversHalePhillipsStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Dundee FC

F. Robertson and McGhee: 3 passesMcCracken: 1 completed passesC. Robertson: 2 completed passesAstley: 2 completed passesPortales: 1 completed passesMulligan: 1 completed passesF. Robertson: 3 completed passesMcGhee: 2 completed passesLarkeche: 2 completed passesCameron: 3 completed passesHoulden: 1 completed passesMurray: 1 completed passes13429819621102315McCrackenC. RobertsonAstleyPortalesMulliganF. RobertsonMcGheeLarkecheCameronHouldenMurrayStarters until 24' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
WrightChilvers9
WrightRandall7
RandallWright6
CampbellAmissah6
TomkinsonWright5

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
McGheeF. Robertson6
F. RobertsonLarkeche6
MurrayMulligan6
F. RobertsonMcGhee5
MulliganCameron5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

11+5.912+5.010+0.53−3.213+5.312+4.86−1.09+0.94−4.38+2.56+1.66+2.52−2.54−1.43−0.63+0.32+0.42−0.72−1.22−0.60−1.62+0.92+1.12−0.12+1.10−0.20−0.400.02+1.411−8.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Dundee FC

7+1.76−0.817−0.65−3.05+1.09+2.710+2.48+1.27−0.58−0.22−2.34+0.97+2.53−1.51−2.93−0.42−0.14+1.61−3.11−1.61−0.40−0.72+0.57+4.810.00−0.30−0.61+0.70−0.71−4.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.030.020.010.010.030.030.030.020.040.010.050.04−0.020.080.01−0.010.200.040.33LessMore

Dundee FC

0.010.010.020.040.05−0.010.010.020.030.100.010.180.030.040.030.210.02−0.17−0.020.35LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackRoss County1.07 → 1.13Dundee FC1.05 → 1.03Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.51 → 1.46Dundee FC1.69 → 1.74

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six16%23%+7
11th13%7%−6
Bottom3%1%−2
Dundee FC
Top six2%1%−1
11th39%44%+5
Bottom20%26%+6
St. Johnstone
11th19%23%+4
Bottom71%67%−4
Kilmarnock
Top six29%27%−2
11th4%4%0

From the forecast before the match (22 February 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyDundee FC
Expected goals1.591.07
Win49%25%
Expected Points1.731.01
Clean sheet34%20%

Ross County 49%Draw 26%Dundee FC 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Dundee FC goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%1%6%2%9%5%2%5%5%3%1%2%2%1%11%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 22 February 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawDundee FC win
Ross County
Top six16%23%10%6%
11th13%7%15%22%
Bottom3%1%4%7%
Dundee FC
Top six2%1%2%5%
11th39%44%39%29%
Bottom20%26%19%10%
St. Johnstone
11th19%23%17%15%
Bottom71%67%72%75%
Kilmarnock
Top six29%27%31%31%
11th4%4%4%5%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. W3–015 FebMotherwell (A)xG 1.16–0.75
  2. L0–42 FebRangers (A)xG 0.12–3.47
  3. D1–125 JanHibernian (H)xG 1.78–0.69
  4. L1–411 JanCeltic (H)xG 0.97–4.20
  5. W1–05 JanKilmarnock (A)xG 1.15–0.56
  6. W2–12 JanAberdeen (A)xG 0.80–1.55

Dundee FC

  1. L1–215 FebAberdeen (H)xG 1.81–1.80
  2. L0–65 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.48–2.64
  3. L0–61 FebHearts (H)xG 0.37–3.06
  4. D3–314 JanCeltic (H)xG 0.66–2.12
  5. D1–19 JanRangers (H)xG 1.02–0.65
  6. W3–15 JanSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.49–2.00

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyDundee FC
Position10th11th
Played2626
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠8–⁠117–⁠6–⁠13
Points29 (1.12 per game)27 (1.04 per game)
Expected Points per game1.160.99
Goals27–⁠4738–⁠55
xG per game0.99–⁠1.641.10–⁠1.84
Home: points, xG per game1.08, 1.23–⁠1.151.07, 1.24–⁠1.73
Away: points, xG per game1.15, 0.76–⁠2.141.00, 0.93–⁠1.97
ManagerDon Cowie (41)Tony Docherty (64)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackRoss County1.07, 10thDundee FC1.05, 11thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.51, 9thDundee FC1.69, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebRoss County attack: 1.07Dundee FC attack: 1.051.071.05Dundee FCRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebRoss County defence: 1.51Dundee FC defence: 1.691.691.51

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−54%+34%−25%+23%
Counter-attacks−38%−6%−6%+102%
Set pieces−18%−16%−38%+26%
Penalties+82%+14%+14%+14%
Headers−43%+5%−15%+24%
Left side−18%+4%−10%+27%
Centre−49%+20%−35%+27%
Right side−49%+18%−26%+44%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdDundee FC concededLeft side−18%+44%Centre−49%+27%Right side−49%+27%Open play−54%+23%Counter-attacks−38%+102%Set pieces−18%+26%Headers−43%+24%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdRoss County concededLeft side−10%+18%Centre−35%+20%Right side−26%+4%Open play−25%+34%Counter-attacks−6%−6%Set pieces−38%−16%Headers−15%+5%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyDundee FC

0.99xG1.10
1.64xG against1.84
38%Possession44%
10.2Shots10.8
15.2Shots against16.5
3.2Shots on target3.7
1.2Big chances1.5
15.5Touches in the opposition box21.2
286Passes322
65%Pass accuracy67%
4.6Corners4.8
35%Field tilt42%
29.0Final-third entries31.8
7.2Box entries10.2
17.8Passes per defensive action15.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.051.41
Ahead180.921.10
Behind270.952.39

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.141.91
Ahead210.971.72
Behind311.131.85

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.182–3
16–300.130.213–6
31–450.220.364–13
46–600.130.246–5
61–750.120.252–4
76–900.260.4110–16

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.216–6
16–300.160.277–9
31–450.240.258–9
46–600.130.305–9
61–750.150.296–10
76–900.220.516–12

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTLaidlaw 15Amissah 8Hamilton 3Wright 24Tomkinson 3Efete 2Lopata 20Allardice 2Leak 14Campbell 9Nightingale 3Brown 15Efete 7Randall 1Nisbet 12Harmon 6Grieves 3Randall 21Kenneh 5Allardice 3Chilvers 14Denholm 5Loturi 2Harmon 9Nisbet 5Campbell 4White 13Brophy 3Phillips 2Hale 20Chilvers 6Nisbet 23-5-2 in 7 of 26 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (7), 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-5-1-1 (6), 3-4-3 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTMcCracken 14Carson 12Astley 17Houlden 4Larkeche 1Portales 17C. Robertson 14Koumetio 14Donnelly 5Mulligan 12Ingram 9McGhee 4Sylla 23McGhee 2F. Robertson 2Cameron 12Garza 4McCowan 3Larkeche 10F. Robertson 6Ingram 3Cameron 10Tiffoney 9McGhee 3Murray 11Adewumi 10F. Robertson 3Murray 13Houlden 6Main 43-4-2-1 in 7 of 26 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-5-2 (7), 4-3-3 (4), 5-3-2 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 December 2024Dundee FC0–3Ross CountyxG 0.30–2.03
14 September 2024Ross County2–0Dundee FCxG 1.43–0.66
17 February 2024Dundee FC2–0Ross CountyxG 0.94–0.73
16 December 2023Ross County0–1Dundee FCxG 0.90–2.43
24 October 2023Dundee FC0–0Ross CountyxG 0.96–0.32
5 February 2022Dundee FC1–2Ross CountyxG 1.12–1.78

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 5, Dundee FC won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 15–6 and xG 1.36–1.07 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Hale201,647800.390.05
White151,559500.340.05
Chilvers201,636250.100.16
Grieves7517020.040.17

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Houlden131,291510.380.03
Murray242,042820.290.09
Cameron231,959540.100.16
Adewumi121,052410.200.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.