Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Dundee FC 3–1 Hibernian

Tuesday 10 May 2022, 19:45 · Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park · Round 37 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Craig Napier · Attendance 5,452

Dundee FC McGinn 3', Mulligan 67', Adam 86'

Hibernian Scott 29'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCHibernian
Goals31
xG1.480.99
Expected Points1.730.98

Dundee FC 48%Draw 29%Hibernian 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 15%. Final score 3–1, 5%.

Hibernian goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+7%7%4%1%7%2%10%11%6%2%4%5%2%1%1%12%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTAdam on for Byrne and McCowan on for McMullan, 61'Fontaine on for Rudden, 90+4'Jasper on for Henderson, 61'Melkersen on for Campbell, 73'Doyle-Hayes on for Porteous, 74'McGinn 3'Mulligan 67'Adam 86'Scott 29'Dundee FC 1.48Hibernian 0.9900.511.520153045607590HTAdam on for Byrne and McCowan on for McMullan, 61'Fontaine on for Rudden, 90+4'Jasper on for Henderson, 61'Melkersen on for Campbell, 73'Doyle-Hayes on for Porteous, 74'McGinn 3'Mulligan 67'Adam 86'Scott 29'1.480.99Dundee FCHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCHibernian

1.48 +0.72xG0.99 −0.15
2.22 +1.51xG on target0.35 −0.70
14 +4.5Shots16 +4.2
9 +5.8Shots on target6 +2.7
4 +3.3Big chances0 −1.4
35% −6Possession65% +11
242 −52Passes448 +30
58% −3Pass accuracy78% +2
36% −2Field tilt64% +11
25 −1Final-third entries49 +9
7 −1.1Box entries11 +0.2
11.3 −5Passes per defensive action6.3 −7
4 −0.5Corners6 +0.3
19 +6Tackles20 +6
17 +7.6Interceptions4 −5.6
25 +2Clearances16 −1
5 +1.4Saves4 +1.6
15 +2Fouls13 +1
3 +1.2Offsides6 +4.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Rudden 69', 0.24 xGRudden 71', 0.21 xGAdam 81', 0.12 xGMulligan 70', 0.11 xGMulligan 70', 0.10 xGMcGhee 81', 0.09 xGMulligan 84', 0.07 xGRudden 3', 0.04 xGMcGinn 31', 0.03 xGMcGinn 59', 0.02 xGMcGhee 37', 0.01 xGMulligan 67', 0.36 xG, goalMcGinn 3', 0.09 xG, goalAdam 86', 0.01 xG, goal24%0.36 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.36 xG, 1 goal68%1.01 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 1.01 xG, 1 goal5%0.07 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals3%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 1 goal

Hibernian

Jasper 90+1', 0.22 xGScott 9', 0.14 xGMcGinn 47', 0.11 xGScott 69', 0.11 xGHenderson 24', 0.07 xGClarke 14', 0.06 xGScott 53', 0.05 xGCampbell 47', 0.04 xGHenderson 35', 0.02 xGClarke 43', 0.02 xGCampbell 45', 0.02 xGScott 81', 0.02 xGNewell 90', 0.02 xGCampbell 7', 0.01 xGDoig 43', 0.00 xGScott 29', 0.08 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals54%0.53 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.53 xG, 0 goals14%0.14 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 1 goal29%0.29 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.29 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCHibernian

0.79 7 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.78 12 shots, 1 goal
0.23 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.46 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.21 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
41 min (44%) · Dundee FC 0.55, Hibernian 0.26 xG
Dundee FC ahead
53 min (56%) · Dundee FC 0.94, Hibernian 0.72 xG

Line-ups

30265381815247720SharpKerrMcGheeSweeneyMarshallByrneMcMullanMulliganAndersonMcGinnRuddenYellow cardGoalYellow cardGoal61'61'90+4'Dundee FC 4-1-4-1Mark McGhee16335316112803225MaceyMcGinnBushiriPorteousDoigStevensonNewellClarkeHendersonCampbellScottYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal74'61'73'Hibernian 4-2-3-1David Gray

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 61' Adam for Byrne · goal 86'
  • 61' McCowan for McMullan · 1 assist
  • 90+4' Fontaine for Rudden

Hibernian substitutes

  • 61' Jasper for Henderson
  • 73' Melkersen for Campbell
  • 74' Doyle-Hayes for Porteous

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SharpGK900.000.0000.0112
KerrRB900.000.1910.1066
McGhee CB900.100.0100.03416
SweeneyCB900.000.0000.01112
MarshallLB900.000.0510.1065
ByrneDM610.000.0000.0102
McMullanRM610.000.0000.0233
Mulligan CM9010.630.0100.0125
AndersonCM900.000.0100.0224
McGinnLM9010.140.4330.3344
RuddenST900.480.0000.1522
AdamMF2910.130.0710.1143
McCowanMF2910.000.2720.0924
FontaineDF00.000.000––0

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MaceyGK900.000.0000.0221
McGinnRB900.110.2210.26188
Bushiri CB900.000.0100.1199
PorteousCB740.000.0000.0854
DoigLB900.000.0900.1973
Stevenson DM900.000.0420.0875
Newell DM900.020.0610.1548
ClarkeRW900.080.0410.0343
HendersonAM610.090.2030.0851
CampbellLW730.060.020−0.0413
ScottST9010.400.010−0.0340
JasperFW290.220.0000.0120
MelkersenFW170.000.020−0.0100
Doyle-HayesMF160.000.0110.0110

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

Kerr and McGhee: 3 passesKerr and McGinn: 3 passesMarshall and Mulligan: 3 passesByrne and McMullan: 3 passesByrne and Rudden: 3 passesMcMullan and Rudden: 3 passesSharp and McGhee: 4 passesMarshall and Byrne: 4 passesMarshall and McGinn: 4 passesKerr and Anderson: 5 passesMarshall and Anderson: 5 passesAnderson and Mulligan: 5 passesKerr and McMullan: 6 passesKerr and Rudden: 6 passesMarshall and Rudden: 6 passesKerr and Mulligan: 7 passesSharp: 6 completed passesKerr: 17 completed passesSweeney: 5 completed passesMcGhee: 8 completed passesMarshall: 16 completed passesByrne: 10 completed passesMcMullan: 8 completed passesAnderson: 12 completed passesMulligan: 8 completed passesMcGinn: 9 completed passesRudden: 8 completed passes30256381824157720SharpKerrSweeneyMcGheeMarshallByrneMcMullanAndersonMulliganMcGinnRuddenStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

Macey and Bushiri: 5 passesPorteous and Henderson: 5 passesDoig and Scott: 5 passesStevenson and Campbell: 5 passesStevenson and Scott: 5 passesHenderson and Campbell: 5 passesBushiri and Newell: 6 passesPorteous and Campbell: 6 passesDoig and Newell: 6 passesMcGinn and Newell: 7 passesBushiri and Stevenson: 7 passesPorteous and Stevenson: 7 passesMacey and Porteous: 8 passesBushiri and Clarke: 8 passesBushiri and Henderson: 8 passesPorteous and Newell: 8 passesMcGinn and Bushiri: 9 passesDoig and Stevenson: 9 passesNewell and Henderson: 9 passesHenderson and Scott: 10 passesNewell and Campbell: 11 passesMcGinn and Henderson: 12 passesDoig and Campbell: 12 passesMcGinn and Clarke: 17 passesBushiri and Porteous: 19 passesPorteous and Doig: 19 passesMacey: 11 completed passesMcGinn: 29 completed passesBushiri: 36 completed passesPorteous: 45 completed passesDoig: 25 completed passesNewell: 24 completed passesStevenson: 20 completed passesClarke: 17 completed passesHenderson: 27 completed passesCampbell: 24 completed passesScott: 11 completed passes16335311162803225MaceyMcGinnBushiriPorteousDoigNewellStevensonClarkeHendersonCampbellScottStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
McGinnMarshall8
MarshallRudden7
MarshallMcGinn6
MulliganKerr5
KerrRudden5

Hibernian

FromToPasses
PorteousDoig13
BushiriMcGinn13
McGinnClarke12
BushiriPorteous10
CampbellNewell10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

8+2.212+4.618+3.45−2.79+2.38+0.17+0.46+0.110+1.58+0.93−3.04−0.91−2.49+3.66+0.54+0.26+2.52−0.25+2.14+0.73+1.12+0.32+0.73+1.97+5.41+0.21+0.60−0.80−0.31+0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 36 matches

Hibernian

5+0.44−0.512+0.44−1.54−0.811+4.25−2.05−0.69+1.16−0.99+3.15−0.28+4.46−0.85−0.25−0.45+1.24+1.77+3.54−0.65+2.41−0.610.01−0.13+0.42+0.90−0.10−1.00−0.30−1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 36 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.010.010.010.040.020.020.030.040.010.020.010.040.010.14−0.010.12−0.020.21−0.070.010.32LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.020.040.010.040.030.020.040.040.030.050.030.030.030.020.060.050.07−0.01−0.020.090.100.100.08LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.16AttackDundee FC0.80 → 0.84Hibernian1.07 → 1.07Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.47 → 1.47Hibernian0.99 → 1.02

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
11th<1%1%+1
Bottom>99%99%−1

From the forecast before the match (10 May 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCHibernian
Expected goals0.781.27
Win22%47%
Expected Points0.971.72
Clean sheet28%46%

Dundee FC 22%Draw 30%Hibernian 47%

Most likely score 0–1, 16%. Both sides score 40%.

Hibernian goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+10%4%1%9%8%3%1%4%5%3%1%1%1%13%16%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 10 May 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawHibernian win
Dundee FC
11th<1%1%––
Bottom>99%99%>99%>99%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. L0–27 MaySt. Mirren (A)xG 0.95–1.83
  2. L0–130 AprAberdeen (A)xG 0.85–1.54
  3. D1–123 AprSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.37–1.12
  4. D2–29 AprDundee United (A)xG 1.66–3.08
  5. D2–22 AprAberdeen (H)xG 1.07–0.89
  6. L1–220 MarRangers (H)xG 0.65–3.26

Hibernian

  1. D1–17 MayAberdeen (H)xG 2.02–0.63
  2. L0–130 AprLivingston (A)xG 1.12–1.32
  3. W1–023 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.72–0.69
  4. L1–39 AprHearts (A)xG 0.52–0.94
  5. D1–12 AprDundee United (H)xG 1.51–0.46
  6. L1–319 MarAberdeen (A)xG 0.55–2.19

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCHibernian
Position12th8th
Played3636
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠11–⁠2010–⁠12–⁠14
Points26 (0.72 per game)42 (1.17 per game)
Expected Points per game0.851.44
Goals30–⁠6133–⁠39
xG per game0.76–⁠1.571.14–⁠1.02
Home: points, xG per game0.89, 0.80–⁠1.391.39, 1.19–⁠0.91
Away: points, xG per game0.56, 0.71–⁠1.750.94, 1.10–⁠1.13
ManagerMark McGhee (11)David Gray (3)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.16AttackDundee FC0.80, 12thHibernian1.07, 4thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.47, 12thHibernian0.99, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayDundee FC attack: 0.80Hibernian attack: 1.071.070.80HibernianDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayDundee FC defence: 1.47Hibernian defence: 0.991.470.99

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−41%+42%−1%−22%
Counter-attacks−76%−4%+43%+9%
Set pieces−5%+2%−30%−7%
Penalties−81%+16%−3%−3%
Headers−15%+22%−20%−3%
Left side−44%+8%−3%−9%
Centre−28%+43%−15%−19%
Right side−35%+28%+6%−21%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHibernian concededLeft side−44%−21%Centre−28%−19%Right side−35%−9%Open play−41%−22%Counter-attacks−76%+9%Set pieces−5%−7%Headers−15%−3%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdDundee FC concededLeft side−3%+28%Centre−15%+43%Right side+6%+8%Open play−1%+42%Counter-attacks+43%−4%Set pieces−30%+2%Headers−20%+22%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCHibernian

0.76xG1.14
1.57xG against1.02
41%Possession54%
9.5Shots11.8
15.2Shots against10.5
3.2Shots on target3.3
0.7Big chances1.4
15.9Touches in the opposition box18.2
294Passes418
61%Pass accuracy76%
4.5Corners5.7
38%Field tilt53%
25.6Final-third entries39.7
8.1Box entries10.8
16.6Passes per defensive action12.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level470.681.47
Ahead130.761.51
Behind300.881.74

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level511.110.87
Ahead171.071.13
Behind221.261.29

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.177–6
16–300.090.285–11
31–450.070.333–13
46–600.210.236–11
61–750.110.335–11
76–900.130.234–9

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.133–7
16–300.120.174–6
31–450.190.158–5
46–600.190.196–10
61–750.260.205–4
76–900.230.197–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWLegzdins 24Lawlor 8Sharp 4Kerr 24Elliot 7Daley-Campbell 4Fontaine 15Ashcroft 13McGhee 11Sweeney 27Marshall 27Kerr 6McGhee 1Anderson 24McGhee 13McMullan 4Byrne 19McGowan 15McGinn 1Adam 21Mulligan 3McMullan 20McCowan 5McGowan 3Mullen 17Griffiths 7Rudden 3McCowan 10McGowan 5McGinn 54-3-3 in 10 of 36 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (10), 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-5-1 (5), 4-4-1-1 (4), 3-5-2 (4), 5-3-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3), 5-4-1 (2)

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMacey 30Dabrowski 6McGinn 14Bushiri 11Boyle 9Porteous 27Wood 1Hanlon 23Stevenson 9Doig 5Cadden 23McGinn 9Clarke 2Doyle-Hayes 31Stevenson 2Cadden 2Newell 23Campbell 8Gogic 3Doig 23Stevenson 6Clarke 3Campbell 10Henderson 8Allan 4Nisbet 25Melkersen 6Doidge 6Boyle 11Murphy 8Jasper 53-4-1-2 in 14 of 36 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (14), 4-2-3-1 (8), 3-4-2-1 (7), 4-4-1-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 March 2022Dundee FC0–0HibernianxG 0.20–0.58
14 December 2021Hibernian1–0Dundee FCxG 1.14–0.62
22 August 2021Dundee FC2–2HibernianxG 0.76–2.47

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 0, Hibernian won 1, and 2 were drawn. Goals 2–3 and xG 0.53–1.40 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Cummings4607300.410.09
McGinn6682020.100.25
Mullen191,745710.310.04
Griffiths9828200.200.04

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle201,781730.310.21
Murphy8801210.320.19
Henderson8753100.210.24
Doidge6712200.370.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.