Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Hibernian 0–0 Dundee FC

Saturday 30 September 2023, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 7 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 16,793

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianDundee FC
Goals00
xG2.620.55
Expected Points2.640.24

Hibernian 84%Draw 12%Dundee FC 4%

Most likely score 2–0, 16%. Final score 0–0, 3%.

Dundee FC goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+3%2%10%6%1%9%3%8%2%9%5%1%4%2%2%1%16%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTObita on for Stevenson and Doidge on for Vente, 62'Tavares on for Le Fondre, 72'Robertson on for Rudden, 82'Howley on for Cameron, 88'Hibernian 2.62Dundee FC 0.5501230153045607590HTObita on for Stevenson and Doidge on for Vente, 62'Tavares on for Le Fondre, 72'Robertson on for Rudden, 82'Howley on for Cameron, 88'2.620.55HibernianDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianDundee FC

2.62 +1.29xG0.55 −0.98
2.72 +1.21xG on target0.25 −1.26
23 +11Shots11 +1
9 +4.2Shots on target2 −1.0
6 +3.5Big chances1 −1.7
62Touches in the opposition box17 −2
62% +7Possession38% 0
470 +56Passes290 −8
83% +8Pass accuracy74% +9
68% +13Field tilt32% −2
63 +24Final-third entries39 +8
28 +15.7Box entries11 +2.5
12.3 −1Passes per defensive action17.1 −1
14 +9.7Corners1 −3.0
10 −3Tackles13 −4
7 −0.5Interceptions9 −1.8
13 −6Clearances35 +4
2 +0.2Saves9 +7.0
7 −5Fouls10 0
0 −1.3Offsides2 +1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Hanlon 23', 0.60 xGVente 16', 0.24 xGDoidge 83', 0.23 xGHanlon 21', 0.17 xGFish 74', 0.15 xGFish 20', 0.14 xGBoyle 89', 0.12 xGVente 23', 0.10 xGMiller 54', 0.10 xGVente 60', 0.10 xGLe Fondre 60', 0.10 xGMiller 84', 0.09 xGJeggo 84', 0.08 xGYouan 59', 0.07 xGNewell 30', 0.06 xGBoyle 58', 0.06 xGHanlon 26', 0.04 xGNewell 45+1', 0.04 xGYouan 48', 0.04 xGYouan 35', 0.03 xGYouan 59', 0.03 xGBoyle 20', 0.02 xGMiller 47', 0.02 xG58%1.53 xGSix-yard box: 7 shots, 1.53 xG, 0 goals31%0.81 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 0.81 xG, 0 goals7%0.18 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals1%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals3%0.07 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Beck 88', 0.13 xGRudden 12', 0.09 xGRudden 51', 0.07 xGBoateng 33', 0.05 xGMcCowan 22', 0.04 xGMcCowan 32', 0.04 xGRudden 52', 0.03 xGRudden 78', 0.03 xGBakayoko 88', 0.03 xGMcCowan 7', 0.02 xGCameron 62', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals53%0.29 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.29 xG, 0 goals20%0.11 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals22%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals5%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianDundee FC

0.53 9 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.36 8 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.17 2 shots, 0 goals
2.09 14 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.02 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
91 min (100%) · Hibernian 2.62, Dundee FC 0.55 xG

Line-ups

1254161014117919MarshallMillerFishHanlonStevensonBoyleJeggoNewellYouanVenteLe Fondre62'62'72'Hibernian 4-4-2Nick Montgomery312295123102317209CarsonKerrPortalesShaughnessyLamieBeckCameronBoatengMcCowanRuddenBakayokoYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card88'82'Dundee FC 5-3-2Tony Docherty

Hibernian substitutes

  • 62' Obita for Stevenson · yellow card 78'
  • 62' Doidge for Vente
  • 72' Tavares for Le Fondre

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 82' Robertson for Rudden
  • 88' Howley for Cameron

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MarshallGK900.000.0000.0110
MillerRB900.210.1500.37205
FishCB900.290.0000.10711
HanlonCB900.800.1210.21123
StevensonLB620.000.0500.0831
BoyleRM900.200.6580.1360
JeggoCM900.080.0200.0554
NewellCM900.110.2540.1664
YouanLM900.160.1330.32121
VenteST620.440.0920.0410
Le FondreST720.100.020−0.0221
Obita DF280.000.1610.2323
DoidgeFW280.230.000−0.0201
TavaresMF180.000.000−0.0310

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0440
Kerr RWB900.000.0100.0018
PortalesCB900.000.0200.0312
ShaughnessyCB900.000.0000.0119
Lamie CB900.000.0000.0338
Beck LWB900.130.0720.18119
CameronCM880.020.0610.0532
Boateng CM900.050.0320.0664
McCowanCM900.090.1310.1288
RuddenST820.220.0000.1016
BakayokoST900.030.0720.0223
RobertsonMF80.000.000−0.0100
HowleyMF20.000.0710.0700

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Stevenson and Vente: 4 passesBoyle and Newell: 4 passesJeggo and Newell: 5 passesMiller and Hanlon: 6 passesFish and Newell: 6 passesHanlon and Youan: 6 passesYouan and Vente: 6 passesMiller and Vente: 7 passesMiller and Le Fondre: 7 passesMarshall and Hanlon: 8 passesMiller and Newell: 8 passesFish and Jeggo: 8 passesHanlon and Newell: 8 passesBoyle and Le Fondre: 8 passesNewell and Youan: 8 passesFish and Boyle: 9 passesHanlon and Jeggo: 11 passesStevenson and Newell: 12 passesMarshall and Fish: 13 passesMiller and Fish: 15 passesMiller and Jeggo: 16 passesStevenson and Youan: 17 passesMiller and Boyle: 21 passesFish and Hanlon: 21 passesHanlon and Stevenson: 27 passesMarshall: 17 completed passesMiller: 41 completed passesFish: 39 completed passesHanlon: 47 completed passesStevenson: 35 completed passesBoyle: 27 completed passesJeggo: 30 completed passesNewell: 30 completed passesYouan: 20 completed passesVente: 10 completed passesLe Fondre: 9 completed passes1254161014117919MarshallMillerFishHanlonStevensonBoyleJeggoNewellYouanVenteLe FondreStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee FC

Carson and Kerr: 4 passesShaughnessy and Cameron: 4 passesBeck and Boateng: 4 passesBeck and Cameron: 4 passesBoateng and Rudden: 4 passesMcCowan and Cameron: 4 passesPortales and Cameron: 5 passesBeck and Bakayoko: 6 passesCarson and Lamie: 7 passesShaughnessy and Portales: 7 passesLamie and McCowan: 7 passesKerr and Portales: 9 passesShaughnessy and Lamie: 9 passesKerr and Boateng: 10 passesBoateng and Cameron: 10 passesBoateng and Bakayoko: 10 passesMcCowan and Bakayoko: 10 passesLamie and Beck: 11 passesBeck and McCowan: 13 passesKerr and Cameron: 23 passesCarson: 18 completed passesKerr: 26 completed passesShaughnessy: 13 completed passesLamie: 22 completed passesPortales: 16 completed passesBeck: 22 completed passesBoateng: 24 completed passesMcCowan: 21 completed passesCameron: 30 completed passesBakayoko: 16 completed passesRudden: 3 completed passes312512293231710920CarsonKerrShaughnessyLamiePortalesBeckBoatengMcCowanCameronBakayokoRuddenStarters until 82' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
FishHanlon15
HanlonStevenson14
JeggoMiller14
MillerBoyle13
StevensonHanlon13

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
CameronKerr12
KerrCameron11
McCowanBeck7
CameronBoateng7
LamieBeck7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

4−3.713−0.53−3.73−1.53−2.55−1.56+0.711+3.36−2.211+4.27+2.70−3.74−3.28+1.55−1.52−1.03+1.02−2.81−1.31−0.70−0.71−1.21−1.50−0.70−0.51+0.80−0.50−1.22−5.30−4.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

Dundee FC

7+1.312+1.522+2.719+7.88−2.36−1.73−2.25−3.011+2.31−5.83−2.23−1.31−2.33−4.24−1.87+3.82+0.37+4.26+2.82−0.54+2.21+0.70−2.03−0.51+0.30−0.31+1.00−0.52+1.50−9.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.030.020.010.070.050.030.050.020.060.010.020.070.010.100.100.020.040.160.150.180.200.20LessMore

Dundee FC

0.010.010.010.020.010.020.010.010.010.010.020.030.060.020.040.08−0.010.020.090.04−0.010.05−0.060.040.020.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackHibernian1.30 → 1.32Dundee FC1.03 → 1.01Defence (lower is better)Hibernian1.24 → 1.20Dundee FC1.59 → 1.60

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hibernian
Top six70%64%−6
11th2%3%+1
Bottom1%1%0
Dundee FC
Top six13%14%+1
11th19%19%0
Bottom24%22%−2
St. Johnstone
Top six7%7%0
11th22%23%+1
Bottom35%35%0

From the forecast before the match (30 September 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianDundee FC
Expected goals1.910.88
Win61%16%
Expected Points2.060.71
Clean sheet42%15%

Hibernian 61%Draw 23%Dundee FC 16%

Most likely score 2–0, 11%. Both sides score 50%.

Dundee FC goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+7%5%2%5%1%4%1%7%6%3%3%3%1%1%1%11%11%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 September 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHibernian winDrawDundee FC win
Hibernian
Top six70%76%64%56%
11th2%1%3%4%
Bottom1%1%1%2%
Dundee FC
Top six13%10%14%24%
11th19%21%19%16%
Bottom24%28%22%14%
St. Johnstone
Top six7%7%7%6%
11th22%22%23%20%
Bottom35%34%35%41%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

  1. W2–023 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.78–0.62
  2. D2–216 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 0.92–0.83
  3. W2–03 SepAberdeen (A)xG 1.23–0.98
  4. L2–326 AugLivingston (H)xG 0.81–1.68
  5. L1–213 AugMotherwell (A)xG 0.86–0.60
  6. L2–36 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.41–1.55

Dundee FC

  1. D2–223 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.49–3.56
  2. L0–316 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.81–3.17
  3. D2–22 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.44–1.75
  4. W1–027 AugHearts (H)xG 1.52–0.86
  5. L1–212 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.31–1.28
  6. D1–15 AugMotherwell (H)xG 1.60–0.76

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianDundee FC
Position5th9th
Played66
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠1–⁠31–⁠3–⁠2
Points7 (1.17 per game)6 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.511.27
Goals11–⁠107–⁠10
xG per game1.33–⁠1.041.53–⁠1.90
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.67–⁠1.281.67, 1.54–⁠1.73
Away: points, xG per game1.33, 1.00–⁠0.800.33, 1.52–⁠2.07
ManagerNick Montgomery (2)Tony Docherty (6)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackHibernian1.30, 3rdDundee FC1.03, 10thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.24, 3rdDundee FC1.59, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepHibernian attack: 1.30Dundee FC attack: 1.031.301.03Dundee FCHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepHibernian defence: 1.24Dundee FC defence: 1.591.591.24

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+6%−34%average+57%
Counter-attacks+1%+23%−63%−46%
Set pieces−25%−19%+71%−7%
Penalties+12%+12%+12%+124%
Headers−26%+40%+3%+114%
Left side+20%−26%+30%+58%
Centre−19%−37%+33%+29%
Right side+9%−3%−37%+14%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdDundee FC concededLeft side+20%+14%Centre−19%+29%Right side+9%+58%Open play+6%+57%Counter-attacks+1%−46%Set pieces−25%−7%Headers−26%+114%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHibernian concededLeft side+30%−3%Centre+33%−37%Right side−37%−26%Open playaverage−34%Counter-attacks−63%+23%Set pieces+71%−19%Headers+3%+40%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianDundee FC

1.33xG1.53
1.04xG against1.90
55%Possession38%
12.3Shots10.3
10.7Shots against14.8
4.8Shots on target3.0
2.5Big chances2.7
414Passes298
74%Pass accuracy65%
4.3Corners4.0
54%Field tilt35%
39.4Final-third entries30.5
12.3Box entries8.5
12.9Passes per defensive action18.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level380.671.45
Ahead242.150.81
Behind291.540.70

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level481.171.64
Ahead161.112.89
Behind262.461.76

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.241–2
16–300.100.080–1
31–450.120.161–0
46–600.210.111–0
61–750.210.294–4
76–900.570.154–3

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.170–1
16–300.190.321–1
31–450.310.201–2
46–600.330.311–1
61–750.370.393–2
76–900.250.521–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTMarshall 6Miller 3Fish 1Delferriere 1Fish 5Bushiri 3Hanlon 3Stevenson 1Stevenson 3Obita 2Levitt 1Boyle 3Miller 1Tavares 1Jeggo 5Doyle-Hayes 1Newell 6Youan 3Boyle 2Obita 1Vente 4Le Fondre 1Doidge 4Campbell 2Delferriere 14-4-2 in 2 of 6 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTCarson 5McCracken 1McGhee 3Kerr 2Ashcroft 1Shaughnessy 6Lamie 3McGhee 1Ashcroft 1Beck 4McGhee 1Cameron 1McCowan 2Robinson 2Robertson 2McCowan 3Mulligan 1Robertson 1Boateng 5Tiffoney 3Beck 2McCowan 1Bakayoko 6Robinson 4Boateng 1Mulligan 14-4-2 in 2 of 6 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
10 May 2022Dundee FC3–1HibernianxG 1.48–0.99
2 March 2022Dundee FC0–0HibernianxG 0.20–0.58
14 December 2021Hibernian1–0Dundee FCxG 1.14–0.62
22 August 2021Dundee FC2–2HibernianxG 0.76–2.47

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 1, Dundee FC won 1, and 2 were drawn. Goals 4–5 and xG 1.30–0.76 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle5467100.140.20
Newell6540020.010.17
Fish6540000.060.02
Marshall6496000.000.00

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Robinson6476000.570.04
McCowan6536110.160.19
Bakayoko6534120.200.09
Beck6540010.040.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.