Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

St. Mirren 3–2 Ross County

Saturday 12 April 2025, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 33 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Calum Scott · Attendance 6,318

St. Mirren Boyd-Munce 36', Ayunga 50', Idowu 86'

Ross County Hale 22', White 62'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenRoss County
Goals32
xG2.161.43
Expected Points1.940.80

St. Mirren 56%Draw 27%Ross County 18%

Most likely score 2–1, 16%. Final score 3–2, 7%.

Ross County goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+4%10%7%3%8%5%1%4%9%7%3%1%3%2%16%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTMandron on for Olusanya, 55'Idowu on for O'Hara and McMenamin on for Alebiosu, 81'Tanser on for John, 90'Iacovitti on for Ayunga, 90+1'Samuel on for Nisbet, 60'Phillips on for Hale and Smith on for Brown, 80'Allardice on for Kenneh, 89'Boyd-Munce 36'Ayunga 50'Idowu 86'Hale 22'White 62'St. Mirren 2.16Ross County 1.4301230153045607590HTMandron on for Olusanya, 55'Idowu on for O'Hara and McMenamin on for Alebiosu, 81'Tanser on for John, 90'Iacovitti on for Ayunga, 90+1'Samuel on for Nisbet, 60'Phillips on for Hale and Smith on for Brown, 80'Allardice on for Kenneh, 89'Boyd-Munce 36'Ayunga 50'Idowu 86'Hale 22'White 62'2.161.43St. MirrenRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenRoss County

2.16 +0.93xG1.43 +0.40
2.09 +0.83xG on target1.72 +0.76
13 +2Shots11 +1
5 +0.9Shots on target7 +3.8
2 −0.1Big chances3 +1.8
24 +3Touches in the opposition box13 −3
54% +12Possession46% +6
305 +10Passes256 −30
71% +6Pass accuracy60% −4
76% +32Field tilt24% −13
39 +7Final-third entries23 −6
12 +2.8Box entries6 −1.2
11.0 −4Passes per defensive action8.7 −7
6 +1.3Corners7 +2.2
12 −4Tackles24 +6
8 −0.1Interceptions6 −4.3
41 +12Clearances35 −4
4 +1.7Saves2 −1.1
9 −4Fouls8 −3
1 −1.2Offsides0 −1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Ayunga 50', 0.51 xGIdowu 83', 0.11 xGO'Hara 41', 0.09 xGAyunga 2', 0.07 xGAlebiosu 76', 0.07 xGOlusanya 39', 0.06 xGBoyd-Munce 45', 0.05 xGJohn 76', 0.05 xGAyunga 27', 0.04 xGPhillips 90+6', 0.04 xGAyunga 50', 0.97 xG, goalIdowu 86', 0.07 xG, goalBoyd-Munce 36', 0.02 xG, goal69%1.48 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 1.48 xG, 1 goal12%0.26 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals3%0.07 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals15%0.32 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.32 xG, 1 goal1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 1 goal

Ross County

White 22', 0.40 xGNisbet 22', 0.40 xGHale 66', 0.11 xGKenneh 35', 0.09 xGAshworth 29', 0.03 xGAshworth 66', 0.03 xGHale 28', 0.02 xGWright 71', 0.02 xGRandall 72', 0.01 xGHale 22', 0.18 xG, goalWhite 63', 0.14 xG, goal73%1.04 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 1.04 xG, 1 goal14%0.20 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.20 xG, 1 goal3%0.05 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals7%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.10 xG, 0 goals3%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenRoss County

2.16 13 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.99 4 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.11 1 shot, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.33 6 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
60 min (62%) · St. Mirren 2.06, Ross County 1.14 xG
St. Mirren ahead
22 min (23%) · St. Mirren 0.04, Ross County 0.14 xG
Ross County ahead
14 min (15%) · St. Mirren 0.06, Ross County 0.15 xG

Line-ups

12213528815624207HemmingFraserGogicTaylorAlebiosuPhillipsBoyd-MunceO'HaraJohnOlusanyaAyungaGoalGoal81'81'90'55'90+1'St. Mirren 3-5-2Stephen Robinson184201928421526239AmissahWrightLopataCampbellBrownRandallKennehAshworthWhiteNisbetHaleGoalGoalYellow card80'89'60'80'Ross County 3-4-3Don Cowie

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 55' Mandron for Olusanya
  • 81' McMenamin for Alebiosu · 1 assist
  • 81' Idowu for O'Hara · goal 86', yellow card 87'
  • 90' Tanser for John
  • 90+1' Iacovitti for Ayunga

Ross County substitutes

  • 60' Samuel for Nisbet
  • 80' Smith for Brown
  • 80' Phillips for Hale
  • 89' Allardice for Kenneh

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HemmingGK900.000.0100.0651
FraserCB900.000.0700.06311
GogicCB900.000.0200.121011
TaylorCB900.000.0710.131010
AlebiosuRWB810.070.0600.2025
PhillipsCM900.040.1010.1035
Boyd-MunceCM9010.070.3910.3387
O'HaraCM810.090.0200.0012
JohnLWB900.050.0610.0554
OlusanyaST550.060.0720.0200
AyungaST90111.590.041−0.0715
MandronFW350.000.0120.0114
McMenaminMF910.000.1120.1931
Idowu FW910.180.0000.0100
TanserMF00.000.0000.0110
IacovittiDF00.000.0000.0000

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AmissahGK900.000.0100.0652
WrightCB900.020.0000.04412
LopataCB900.000.0000.02214
CampbellCB900.000.0000.04210
BrownRWB800.000.0100.0326
RandallCM900.010.042−0.0109
KennehCM890.090.0000.0152
AshworthLWB9010.060.1620.2687
WhiteRW9010.540.0200.0114
NisbetST600.400.000−0.0100
Hale LW8010.300.0110.0602
SamuelFW300.000.0510.1910
SmithDF100.000.0000.0000
PhillipsFW100.000.0000.0000
AllardiceMF10.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Hemming and Gogic: 3 passesHemming and Taylor: 3 passesGogic and John: 3 passesGogic and Phillips: 3 passesGogic and Ayunga: 3 passesGogic and Olusanya: 3 passesTaylor and Ayunga: 3 passesPhillips and O'Hara: 3 passesPhillips and Boyd-Munce: 3 passesBoyd-Munce and Olusanya: 3 passesGogic and Fraser: 4 passesTaylor and Olusanya: 4 passesFraser and Ayunga: 4 passesO'Hara and Boyd-Munce: 4 passesPhillips and Ayunga: 5 passesTaylor and O'Hara: 6 passesFraser and Phillips: 6 passesAlebiosu and Phillips: 6 passesO'Hara and Ayunga: 6 passesTaylor and Boyd-Munce: 7 passesO'Hara and Olusanya: 7 passesTaylor and John: 8 passesBoyd-Munce and Ayunga: 8 passesJohn and Boyd-Munce: 9 passesJohn and O'Hara: 11 passesGogic and Taylor: 12 passesHemming: 6 completed passesGogic: 17 completed passesTaylor: 24 completed passesFraser: 17 completed passesAlebiosu: 5 completed passesJohn: 22 completed passesPhillips: 17 completed passesO'Hara: 19 completed passesBoyd-Munce: 17 completed passesAyunga: 12 completed passesOlusanya: 9 completed passes11352222488615720HemmingGogicTaylorFraserAlebiosuJohnPhillipsO'HaraBoyd-MunceAyungaOlusanyaStarters until 55' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Ross County

Amissah and White: 3 passesLopata and Brown: 3 passesLopata and Ashworth: 3 passesBrown and Randall: 3 passesRandall and Ashworth: 3 passesRandall and Nisbet: 3 passesAshworth and Nisbet: 3 passesAmissah and Campbell: 4 passesAmissah and Wright: 4 passesAmissah and Ashworth: 4 passesLopata and Campbell: 4 passesBrown and White: 4 passesWright and Brown: 5 passesAshworth and White: 5 passesLopata and Wright: 6 passesCampbell and White: 6 passesAshworth and Hale: 7 passesKenneh and Ashworth: 9 passesCampbell and Ashworth: 10 passesAmissah: 13 completed passesLopata: 13 completed passesCampbell: 15 completed passesWright: 14 completed passesBrown: 12 completed passesKenneh: 7 completed passesRandall: 3 completed passesAshworth: 24 completed passesNisbet: 7 completed passesHale: 7 completed passesWhite: 8 completed passes182019424281523926AmissahLopataCampbellWrightBrownKennehRandallAshworthNisbetHaleWhiteStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
TaylorGogic9
GogicTaylor8
O'HaraJohn7
JohnBoyd-Munce7
PhillipsAlebiosu7

Ross County

FromToPasses
CampbellAshworth8
AshworthKenneh8
CampbellWhite6
AshworthWhite6
LopataWright5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

9+4.19+2.811−2.05−2.07+1.89+2.511+4.04−1.26−0.84−1.46+1.31−2.49+4.55−0.92−1.74+0.40−3.14+0.32−2.03+0.23+1.11−0.42+1.04+1.80−1.01+0.40−1.10−0.61+0.34−4.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Ross County

6+0.44−3.417−1.76−3.23−3.25−3.06−1.410+2.84−4.112+3.96+0.77+2.77+3.26+1.84+0.42−1.13+1.24+1.13−0.60−2.80−1.81−0.210.03+0.70−0.80−0.20−0.40−0.10−0.80−5.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.030.010.020.020.030.010.020.020.090.010.040.010.030.010.070.040.100.200.050.090.010.02−0.05−0.020.010.32LessMore

Ross County

0.010.030.010.020.010.030.020.01−0.010.030.02−0.010.010.050.020.010.020.020.190.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Mirren1.21 → 1.24Ross County1.03 → 1.04Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.38 → 1.37Ross County1.56 → 1.59

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six32%59%+27
11th2%<1%−2
Bottom<1%–0
Ross County
11th26%32%+6
Bottom7%10%+3
Motherwell
Top six14%–−14
11th7%6%−1
Hearts
Top six54%41%−13

From the forecast before the match (12 April 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenRoss County
Expected goals1.660.95
Win53%21%
Expected Points1.860.88
Clean sheet39%19%

St. Mirren 53%Draw 26%Ross County 21%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

Ross County goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%6%3%1%6%2%5%1%6%5%3%2%2%1%12%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 12 April 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawRoss County win
St. Mirren
Top six32%59%––
11th2%<1%3%6%
Bottom<1%–<1%0%
Ross County
11th26%32%25%12%
Bottom7%10%6%2%
Motherwell
Top six14%–32%31%
11th7%6%8%8%
Hearts
Top six54%41%68%69%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. L0–25 AprDundee FC (A)xG 2.35–0.65
  2. W5–129 MarKilmarnock (H)xG 1.74–1.29
  3. D2–215 MarMotherwell (A)xG 1.24–0.67
  4. L2–51 MarCeltic (H)xG 1.63–3.37
  5. L1–326 FebHearts (A)xG 1.17–1.34
  6. W2–022 FebRangers (A)xG 1.49–0.81

Ross County

  1. L0–15 AprAberdeen (H)xG 1.19–1.47
  2. L0–130 MarDundee United (H)xG 0.36–1.87
  3. L0–215 MarHearts (A)xG 0.29–1.73
  4. W1–01 MarKilmarnock (H)xG 1.10–2.52
  5. L0–126 FebSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.26–1.26
  6. W3–122 FebDundee FC (H)xG 3.92–0.66

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenRoss County
Position7th10th
Played3232
Won, drawn, lost11–⁠5–⁠169–⁠8–⁠15
Points38 (1.19 per game)35 (1.09 per game)
Expected Points per game1.251.12
Goals42–⁠5231–⁠53
xG per game1.23–⁠1.491.03–⁠1.63
Home: points, xG per game1.31, 1.15–⁠1.261.18, 1.33–⁠1.26
Away: points, xG per game1.06, 1.31–⁠1.711.00, 0.69–⁠2.05
ManagerStephen Robinson (65)Don Cowie (47)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Mirren1.21, 7thRoss County1.03, 11thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.38, 6thRoss County1.56, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprSt. Mirren attack: 1.21Ross County attack: 1.031.211.03Ross CountySt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprSt. Mirren defence: 1.38Ross County defence: 1.561.561.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−23%−6%−49%+32%
Counter-attacks−19%−9%−29%−9%
Set pieces−9%+9%−9%−9%
Penalties+46%+87%+66%+4%
Headers−7%−9%−45%+8%
Left side−27%−10%−23%+4%
Centre−17%−5%−37%+20%
Right side−13%+12%−42%+22%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdRoss County concededLeft side−27%+22%Centre−17%+20%Right side−13%+4%Open play−23%+32%Counter-attacks−19%−9%Set pieces−9%−9%Headers−7%+8%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−23%+12%Centre−37%−5%Right side−42%−10%Open play−49%−6%Counter-attacks−29%−9%Set pieces−9%+9%Headers−45%−9%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenRoss County

1.23xG1.03
1.49xG against1.63
42%Possession40%
11.4Shots10.0
11.8Shots against15.0
4.1Shots on target3.2
2.1Big chances1.2
20.6Touches in the opposition box15.6
295Passes286
65%Pass accuracy64%
4.7Corners4.8
44%Field tilt37%
31.6Final-third entries29.2
9.2Box entries7.2
14.9Passes per defensive action16.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level471.161.25
Ahead211.221.65
Behind211.391.85

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.041.43
Ahead180.981.25
Behind281.052.20

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.237–7
16–300.150.158–5
31–450.320.1710–7
46–600.190.185–7
61–750.140.303–13
76–900.230.459–13

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.172–4
16–300.150.214–7
31–450.220.335–14
46–600.170.218–5
61–750.130.272–6
76–900.240.4310–17

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTBalcombe 21Hemming 11Fraser 29Idowu 1Alebiosu 1Gogic 27Iacovitti 8Taylor 25Dunne 4Bwomono 15Alebiosu 6Rooney 6Phillips 29Idowu 8Adeniran 2Boyd-Mu… 17Boyd-MunceSmyth 5McMena… 5McMenaminO'Hara 26Gogic 1Tanser 19John 9Brown 3Olusanya 25Idowu 2van Veen 2Mandron 13Kiltie 13Ayunga 83-5-2 in 15 of 32 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (15), 3-4-3 (9), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTLaidlaw 15Amissah 14Hamilton 3Wright 25Tomkinson 8Efete 2Lopata 26Allardice 2Campbell 15Leak 14Nightingale 3Brown 16Efete 7Wright 6Randall 27Kenneh 9Harmon 6Chilvers 18Allardice 3White 2Nisbet 15Denholm 5Grieves 4Harmon 13Nisbet 5Campbell 4White 15Phillips 8Samuel 3Hale 22Chilvers 7Grieves 23-5-2 in 10 of 32 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (10), 3-4-1-2 (9), 3-5-1-1 (7), 3-4-3 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
21 December 2024Ross County1–2St. MirrenxG 1.24–1.10
2 November 2024St. Mirren0–0Ross CountyxG 1.25–0.71
27 February 2024Ross County1–1St. MirrenxG 1.02–0.67
9 December 2023St. Mirren2–0Ross CountyxG 0.94–0.62
28 November 2023Ross County1–0St. MirrenxG 0.66–0.24
18 February 2023St. Mirren1–0Ross CountyxG 2.34–0.63

15 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 8, Ross County won 3, and 4 were drawn. Goals 19–11 and xG 1.16–1.00 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Olusanya251,990820.450.03
Smyth5598400.310.12
Mandron131,334520.260.13
Idowu11977300.250.07

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Phillips8614210.390.10
Hale221,831800.420.05
White171,839500.310.05
Samuel3454110.200.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.