Matches › 2024/25

Motherwell 2–2 St. Mirren

Saturday 15 March 2025, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 30 · Half-time 1–2 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 6,121

Motherwell Slattery 35', 71'

St. Mirren Boyd-Munce 23', Phillips 33' · Olusanya sent off 84'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Motherwell	St. Mirren
Goals	2	2
xG	0.67	1.24
Expected Points	0.85	1.81

Motherwell 17%Draw 33%St. Mirren 49%

Most likely score 1–1, 18%. Final score 2–2, 3%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellSt. Mirren

0.67 −0.41xG1.24 +0.07

0.89 −0.28xG on target1.29 +0.13

5 −4.8Shots11 −0.2

2 −1.3Shots on target4 +0.1

1 −0.7Big chances4 +2.1

8 −10Touches in the opposition box17 −3

62% +23Possession38% −4

448 +144Passes267 −28

77% +9Pass accuracy62% −3

41% +7Field tilt59% +17

38 +12Final-third entries31 0

3 −4.7Box entries6 −3.0

13.5 −6Passes per defensive action11.6 −3

0 −4.7Corners7 +2.5

11 −5Tackles20 +4

5 −3.1Interceptions4 −4.4

38 +6Clearances22 −6

2 −1.7Saves0 −2.6

6 −5Fouls19 +6

1 −0.8Offsides0 −2.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Motherwell

St. Mirren

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellSt. Mirren

0.67 5 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.53 7 shots, 2 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.71 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–11–22–2

Level: 54 min (52%) · Motherwell 0.38, St. Mirren 0.70 xG
St. Mirren ahead: 49 min (48%) · Motherwell 0.29, St. Mirren 0.55 xG

Line-ups

Motherwell substitutes

57' Watt for Plange · 1 assist
58' Paton for Andrews
76' Balmer for Gordon
90+7' Ebiye for Halliday
90+11' Zdravkovski for Slattery

St. Mirren substitutes

68' Taylor for Iacovitti
68' Smyth for Boyd-Munce · yellow card 81'
82' Kiltie for Phillips
82' Idowu for Ayunga · off 90'
90' Tanser for John
90' Oseni for Idowu

Players

Motherwell

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Balcombe	GK	90		1	0.00	0.00	1	0.02	2	1
O'Donnell	CB	90			0.00	0.08	1	0.19	13	9
Gordon	CB	76			0.00	0.05	0	0.18	1	14
Casey	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.09	6	9
Sparrow	RWB	90			0.38	0.00	0	0.01	2	7
Andrews	CM	58			0.00	0.01	0	0.03	1	1
Halliday	CM	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.05	5	2
Thompson	LWB	90			0.00	0.07	1	0.09	3	3
Slattery	AM	90	2		0.18	0.02	1	0.05	3	2
Miller	AM	90			0.08	0.01	0	0.02	3	2
Plange	ST	57			0.04	0.01	0	−0.12	0	1
Watt	FW	33		1	0.00	0.01	1	−0.03	0	1
Paton	MF	32			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	2
Balmer	DF	14			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Ebiye	MF	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Zdravkovski	MF	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hemming	GK	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.11	8	1
Fraser	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.03	6	3
Gogic	CB	90			0.61	0.00	0	0.04	4	12
Iacovitti	CB	68			0.00	0.00	1	−0.06	2	4
Alebiosu	RWB	90			0.23	0.01	0	0.08	5	4
Phillips	CM	82	1		0.04	0.04	0	0.02	3	2
Boyd-Munce	CM	68	1		0.04	0.02	0	0.05	7	7
O'Hara	CM	90			0.00	0.25	1	−0.01	2	4
John	LWB	90			0.00	0.17	2	0.22	4	0
Olusanya	ST	84		1	0.09	0.01	1	0.02	4	0
Ayunga	ST	82			0.13	0.02	1	0.00	2	3
Taylor	DF	22			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Smyth	MF	22			0.10	0.01	0	0.00	0	4
Kiltie	MF	8			0.00	0.01	0	0.02	2	2
Idowu	MF	8			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Tanser	MF	0			0.00	0.26	1	0.00	0	0
Oseni	FW	0			0.00	0.00	0	−0.03	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

St. Mirren

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

From	To	Passes
O'Donnell	Gordon	19
Gordon	O'Donnell	10
O'Donnell	Halliday	9
Halliday	Slattery	9
Casey	Thompson	8

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
O'Hara	John	7
Phillips	Alebiosu	7
Fraser	Gogic	5
Iacovitti	Hemming	5
Fraser	Hemming	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

Against its average of 29 matches

St. Mirren

Against its average of 29 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

St. Mirren

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Motherwell
Top six	36%	31%	−5
11th	2%	2%	0
St. Mirren
Top six	14%	11%	−3
11th	5%	4%	−1
Bottom	1%	<1%	−1
Hearts
Top six	45%	50%	+5
Ross County
Top six	13%	15%	+2
11th	5%	5%	0

From the forecast before the match (15 March 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Motherwell	St. Mirren
Expected goals	1.40	1.15
Win	42%	30%
Expected Points	1.54	1.19
Clean sheet	32%	25%

Motherwell 42%Draw 28%St. Mirren 30%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

From the forecast as it stood on 15 March 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Motherwell win	Draw	St. Mirren win
Motherwell
Top six	36%	56%	31%	13%
11th	2%	<1%	2%	4%
St. Mirren
Top six	14%	3%	11%	34%
11th	5%	7%	4%	1%
Bottom	1%	1%	<1%	<1%
Hearts
Top six	45%	40%	50%	46%
Ross County
Top six	13%	10%	15%	14%
11th	5%	4%	5%	5%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

St. Mirren

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Motherwell	St. Mirren
Position	6th	9th
Played	29	29
Won, drawn, lost	11–⁠4–⁠14	10–⁠4–⁠15
Points	37 (1.28 per game)	34 (1.17 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.08	1.17
Goals	34–⁠48	35–⁠47
xG per game	1.08–⁠1.62	1.17–⁠1.55
Home: points, xG per game	1.50, 1.17–⁠1.56	1.20, 1.11–⁠1.26
Away: points, xG per game	1.07, 1.01–⁠1.66	1.14, 1.24–⁠1.87
Manager	Michael Wimmer (3)	Stephen Robinson (62)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Motherwell		St. Mirren
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−29%	+20%	−25%	−5%
Counter-attacks	−55%	−5%	−11%	+2%
Set pieces	+7%	+6%	−22%	+18%
Penalties	−56%	+11%	+33%	+78%
Headers	+28%	+12%	−21%	−7%
Left side	−39%	+28%	−28%	−7%
Centre	−15%	+5%	−24%	+1%
Right side	−15%	+18%	−16%	+18%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−39%+18%Centre−15%+1%Right side−15%−7%Open play−29%−5%Counter-attacks−55%+2%Set pieces+7%+18%Headers+28%−7%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdMotherwell concededLeft side−28%+18%Centre−24%+5%Right side−16%+28%Open play−25%+20%Counter-attacks−11%−5%Set pieces−22%+6%Headers−21%+12%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellSt. Mirren

1.08xG1.17

1.62xG against1.55

39%Possession42%

9.8Shots11.2

14.7Shots against12.4

3.3Shots on target3.9

1.7Big chances1.9

18.1Touches in the opposition box20.1

304Passes295

68%Pass accuracy64%

4.7Corners4.5

34%Field tilt42%

25.9Final-third entries31.3

7.7Box entries9.0

19.0Passes per defensive action15.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	37	1.28	1.61
Ahead	26	0.81	1.47
Behind	27	1.08	1.77

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	51	1.16	1.26
Ahead	19	1.14	1.79
Behind	20	1.24	2.05

xG by period

Motherwell

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.14	0.23	5–6
16–30	0.26	0.24	10–7
31–45	0.14	0.33	7–6
46–60	0.13	0.32	2–11
61–75	0.14	0.17	2–7
76–90	0.27	0.33	8–11

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.16	0.24	5–6
16–30	0.16	0.15	7–5
31–45	0.33	0.17	9–6
46–60	0.17	0.20	4–7
61–75	0.11	0.32	1–11
76–90	0.24	0.47	9–12

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

Formations: 3-5-2 (9), 3-4-2-1 (8), 3-4-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

St. Mirren

Formations: 3-5-2 (12), 3-4-3 (9), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
7 December 2024	St. Mirren	0–1	Motherwell	xG 0.55–1.74
28 September 2024	Motherwell	2–1	St. Mirren	xG 2.07–2.33
30 March 2024	Motherwell	1–1	St. Mirren	xG 1.84–1.32
16 December 2023	St. Mirren	0–0	Motherwell	xG 1.25–1.00
16 September 2023	Motherwell	0–1	St. Mirren	xG 1.18–0.55
15 February 2023	Motherwell	2–1	St. Mirren	xG 0.48–0.46

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 6, St. Mirren won 3, and 6 were drawn. Goals 16–12 and xG 1.38–1.21 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Ebiye	3	588	2	0	0.42	0.04
Stamatelopoulos	13	897	5	1	0.34	0.04
Miller	23	1,995	2	6	0.14	0.22
Watt	10	1,186	1	0	0.22	0.07

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Olusanya	24	1,862	8	1	0.44	0.03
Smyth	5	559	4	0	0.31	0.13
Mandron	13	1,302	5	2	0.26	0.11
Ayunga	5	598	1	1	0.24	0.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.