Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

St. Mirren 2–0 Ross County

Saturday 9 December 2023, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 17 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Calum Scott · Attendance 5,402

St. Mirren Leak 51' (og), Ayunga 56'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenRoss County
Goals20
xG0.940.62
Expected Points1.601.03

St. Mirren 41%Draw 38%Ross County 22%

Most likely score 0–0, 21%. Final score 2–0, 9%.

Ross County goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+12%4%4%9%6%2%2%2%21%20%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTBaccus on for Boyd-Munce, 18'Dunne on for Taylor, 64'Olusanya on for Nachmani and Mandron on for Ayunga, 77'Bolton on for Small, 78'Turner on for Smith, 50'Harmon on for Dhanda, 60'Sims on for Randall and Samuel on for White, 71'Leak 51' (og)Ayunga 56'St. Mirren 0.94Ross County 0.6200.250.50.7510153045607590HTBaccus on for Boyd-Munce, 18'Dunne on for Taylor, 64'Olusanya on for Nachmani and Mandron on for Ayunga, 77'Bolton on for Small, 78'Turner on for Smith, 50'Harmon on for Dhanda, 60'Sims on for Randall and Samuel on for White, 71'Leak 51' (og)Ayunga 56'0.940.62St. MirrenRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenRoss County

0.94 −0.05xG0.62 −0.26
1.15 +0.03xG on target0.36 −0.55
15 +5.5Shots9 −1.1
6 +3.0Shots on target2 −1.5
2 0.0Big chances0 −1.7
27 +11Touches in the opposition box13 −3
50% +6Possession50% +7
345 +24Passes359 +34
68% +5Pass accuracy72% +9
55% +15Field tilt45% +1
38 +7Final-third entries27 −2
14 +5.8Box entries10 +1.2
14.7 −2Passes per defensive action9.2 −6
10 +5.6Corners4 −1.1
13 −1Tackles21 +8
11 +2.9Interceptions17 +7.9
20 −5Clearances31 +7
2 −0.9Saves4 +0.2
9 −2Fouls12 0
1 −0.7Offsides1 −0.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Nachmani 56', 0.21 xGAyunga 39', 0.20 xGKiltie 24', 0.07 xGKiltie 58', 0.07 xGNachmani 34', 0.06 xGAyunga 13', 0.05 xGO'Hara 81', 0.05 xGMandron 85', 0.05 xGFraser 34', 0.03 xGGogic 76', 0.03 xGSmall 4', 0.02 xGAyunga 5', 0.02 xGBaccus 39', 0.02 xGNachmani 69', 0.02 xGAyunga 56', 0.03 xG, goal6%0.06 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals54%0.51 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.51 xG, 0 goals26%0.24 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.24 xG, 1 goal14%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Sims 88', 0.13 xGWhite 15', 0.10 xGDhanda 6', 0.07 xGMurray 27', 0.07 xGMurray 87', 0.07 xGSamuel 78', 0.06 xGMurray 65', 0.05 xGMurray 40', 0.04 xGBrown 6', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals65%0.40 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.40 xG, 0 goals11%0.07 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals24%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenRoss County

0.81 11 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.52 8 shots, 0 goals
0.13 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.10 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
51 min (57%) · St. Mirren 0.48, Ross County 0.31 xG
St. Mirren ahead
39 min (43%) · St. Mirren 0.47, Ross County 0.31 xG

Line-ups

12213516156113197HemmingFraserGogicTaylorSmallBoyd-MunceO'HaraKiltieTanserNachmaniAyungaYellow cardYellow cardGoal64'78'18'77'77'St. Mirren 3-5-2Stephen Robinson1305424263102615LaidlawSmithBaldwinLeakBrownRandallAllardicePurringtonDhandaWhiteMurrayOwn goal50'71'60'71'Ross County 3-4-1-2Derek Adams

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 18' Baccus for Boyd-Munce
  • 64' Dunne for Taylor
  • 77' Mandron for Ayunga
  • 77' Olusanya for Nachmani
  • 78' Bolton for Small

Ross County substitutes

  • 50' Turner for Smith
  • 60' Harmon for Dhanda
  • 71' Samuel for White
  • 71' Sims for Randall

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HemmingGK900.000.0000.0101
FraserCB900.030.0100.0439
GogicCB900.030.0010.0124
TaylorCB640.000.0210.0653
SmallRWB780.020.0000.0564
Boyd-MunceCM180.000.0000.0122
O'Hara CM900.050.1220.1851
Kiltie CM900.140.1930.0644
TanserLWB9010.000.1210.1493
NachmaniST770.290.0430.0830
AyungaST7710.310.1620.2461
BaccusMF720.020.0100.0327
DunneDF260.000.0000.0106
MandronFW130.050.0100.0320
OlusanyaFW130.000.0000.0510
BoltonDF120.000.0000.0122

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0101
SmithCB500.000.0000.0334
BaldwinCB900.000.0100.05715
LeakCB900.000.0010.05410
BrownRWB900.030.2830.2399
RandallCM710.000.0100.0114
AllardiceCM900.000.0910.1358
PurringtonLWB900.000.0000.0557
DhandaAM600.070.0100.0212
WhiteST710.100.0910.1223
MurrayST900.240.030−0.0943
TurnerMF400.000.010−0.0101
HarmonMF300.000.1010.0824
SamuelFW190.060.000−0.0100
SimsFW190.130.0000.0302

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Laidlaw and Purrington: 3 passesBaldwin and Brown: 3 passesBaldwin and Murray: 3 passesBaldwin and White: 3 passesLeak and Allardice: 3 passesBrown and Dhanda: 3 passesRandall and Allardice: 3 passesRandall and Murray: 3 passesMurray and White: 3 passesBaldwin and Allardice: 4 passesBrown and Murray: 4 passesBrown and White: 4 passesRandall and Purrington: 4 passesBrown and Randall: 5 passesBrown and Allardice: 6 passesAllardice and Purrington: 7 passesAllardice and Dhanda: 10 passesLaidlaw: 7 completed passesBaldwin: 15 completed passesSmith: 5 completed passesLeak: 8 completed passesBrown: 12 completed passesRandall: 12 completed passesAllardice: 19 completed passesPurrington: 10 completed passesDhanda: 10 completed passesMurray: 9 completed passesWhite: 8 completed passes1530424263101526LaidlawBaldwinSmithLeakBrownRandallAllardicePurringtonDhandaMurrayWhiteStarters until 50' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
KiltieTanser10
TanserTaylor9
TaylorTanser9
GogicTaylor8
TanserKiltie7

Ross County

FromToPasses
LaidlawPurrington7
PurringtonLeak7
LeakBaldwin7
BaldwinTurner7
AllardicePurrington6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

5−0.66−1.611−3.94−3.94−1.54−4.26−2.42−2.914+5.89+1.28+2.26+0.93+0.17+0.24−2.51−2.91−1.94+1.42−1.18+4.22−0.420.00−0.83+1.82−0.22+1.11+0.81+0.11+0.72+0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Ross County

6+1.311+3.816+3.810−0.14−1.312+4.28+1.74−1.78−0.18−2.414+9.47+1.92−1.13−1.58+2.17+2.04−0.51−1.310+5.75+0.21−2.02+0.40−0.82+0.30−2.52+0.60−0.61−0.10−0.42+1.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.040.030.010.010.050.060.020.030.020.100.040.040.080.12−0.010.010.090.19LessMore

Ross County

0.010.010.010.020.040.040.020.020.030.030.030.070.040.020.020.080.07−0.06−0.070.060.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackSt. Mirren1.02 → 1.04Ross County1.01 → 1.00Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.43 → 1.40Ross County1.45 → 1.45

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six52%63%+11
11th4%2%−2
Bottom2%1%−1
Ross County
Top six22%15%−7
11th13%16%+3
Bottom8%11%+3

From the forecast before the match (9 December 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenRoss County
Expected goals1.391.01
Win45%27%
Expected Points1.641.08
Clean sheet37%25%

St. Mirren 45%Draw 28%Ross County 27%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 48%.

Ross County goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+9%5%2%6%2%9%9%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%10%12%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 9 December 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawRoss County win
St. Mirren
Top six52%63%47%36%
11th4%2%5%8%
Bottom2%1%2%4%
Ross County
Top six22%15%22%37%
11th13%16%13%8%
Bottom8%11%8%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. L0–16 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.93–1.98
  2. L0–23 DecRangers (A)xG 0.14–1.75
  3. L0–128 NovRoss County (A)xG 0.24–0.66
  4. W1–025 NovLivingston (H)xG 0.81–0.59
  5. L0–411 NovDundee FC (A)xG 0.51–2.62
  6. D2–28 NovHibernian (H)xG 1.60–0.89

Ross County

  1. W3–05 DecMotherwell (H)xG 1.43–1.18
  2. W1–028 NovSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.66–0.24
  3. D0–025 NovKilmarnock (H)xG 0.88–0.65
  4. L0–111 NovSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.21–0.69
  5. L0–34 NovCeltic (H)xG 0.26–3.40
  6. D2–231 OctHibernian (A)xG 0.52–0.50

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenRoss County
Position4th8th
Played1615
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠4–⁠64–⁠5–⁠6
Points22 (1.38 per game)17 (1.13 per game)
Expected Points per game1.061.03
Goals19–⁠2215–⁠21
xG per game0.99–⁠1.520.88–⁠1.50
Home: points, xG per game2.00, 1.26–⁠1.231.38, 0.95–⁠1.13
Away: points, xG per game0.89, 0.78–⁠1.740.86, 0.81–⁠1.91
ManagerStephen Robinson (11)Derek Adams (3)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackSt. Mirren1.02, 9thRoss County1.01, 10thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.43, 7thRoss County1.45, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecSt. Mirren attack: 1.02Ross County attack: 1.011.021.01Ross CountySt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecSt. Mirren defence: 1.43Ross County defence: 1.451.451.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−31%−4%−23%+11%
Counter-attacks+9%+41%−66%+69%
Set pieces−47%−8%−33%−17%
Penalties+3%+107%−100%+10%
Headers−7%−12%−23%−27%
Left side−45%−6%−17%+1%
Centre−34%+11%−40%+11%
Right side−17%−26%−17%+7%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdRoss County concededLeft side−45%+7%Centre−34%+11%Right side−17%+1%Open play−31%+11%Counter-attacks+9%+69%Set pieces−47%−17%Headers−7%−27%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−17%−26%Centre−40%+11%Right side−17%−6%Open play−23%−4%Counter-attacks−66%+41%Set pieces−33%−8%Headers−23%−12%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenRoss County

0.99xG0.88
1.52xG against1.50
44%Possession43%
9.5Shots10.1
12.4Shots against14.8
3.0Shots on target3.5
2.0Big chances1.7
15.8Touches in the opposition box16.4
321Passes325
63%Pass accuracy63%
4.4Corners5.1
40%Field tilt44%
31.4Final-third entries29.2
8.2Box entries8.8
16.7Passes per defensive action15.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level470.881.38
Ahead251.051.64
Behind181.181.73

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level530.851.01
Ahead151.561.73
Behind220.522.51

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.084–1
16–300.110.251–4
31–450.120.274–3
46–600.230.214–1
61–750.170.241–5
76–900.170.475–8

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.091–0
16–300.120.291–5
31–450.090.351–4
46–600.210.195–3
61–750.120.233–4
76–900.170.354–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWHemming 16Fraser 16Gogic 16Taylor 13Dunne 3Strain 11Flynn 3McMenamin 2Boyd-Munce 9Baccus 9Jamieson 1O'Hara 10Kiltie 2Tanser 14O'Hara 1Boyd-Munce 1McMenamin 12Tanser 2O'Hara 1Mandron 7Olusanya 6Ayunga 3Kiltie 14Mandron 1Greive 13-4-3 in 9 of 16 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (9), 3-4-2-1 (4), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLaidlaw 15Nightingale 9Loturi 2Dhanda 1Baldwin 15Leak 14Harmon 1Brown 14Randall 1Randall 13Turner 4Allardice 7Loturi 4Dhanda 2Purrington 7Harmon 4Reid 3Dhanda 9Sims 2Loturi 2White 12Brophy 2Murray 14Dhanda 1Sims 13-4-1-2 in 8 of 15 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (8), 4-4-2 (3), 4-3-1-2 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
28 November 2023Ross County1–0St. MirrenxG 0.66–0.24
18 February 2023St. Mirren1–0Ross CountyxG 2.34–0.63
5 November 2022Ross County3–2St. MirrenxG 1.14–0.59
13 August 2022St. Mirren1–0Ross CountyxG 0.25–0.35
5 March 2022Ross County1–0St. MirrenxG 1.23–0.31
1 December 2021St. Mirren0–0Ross CountyxG 1.89–0.93

11 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 6, Ross County won 3, and 2 were drawn. Goals 14–9 and xG 1.22–1.04 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Olusanya6614110.300.07
Mandron8689310.310.06
Kiltie161,256230.200.08
Strain11912110.120.11

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murray141,077410.220.07
White12963300.230.04
Dhanda141,038120.020.21
Loturi8673100.180.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.