Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Ross County 0–1 Aberdeen

Saturday 5 April 2025, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 32 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Lloyd Wilson · Attendance 5,194

Aberdeen Morris 33'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyAberdeen
Goals01
xG1.191.47
Expected Points1.141.56

Ross County 28%Draw 30%Aberdeen 42%

Most likely score 1–1, 16%. Final score 0–1, 9%.

Aberdeen goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+5%9%7%3%7%5%1%4%9%8%3%1%3%2%1%16%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTRobesten on for Grieves, 62'Hale on for Brown, 74'Nisbet on for Kenneh and Smith on for Lopata, 84'Okkels on for Morris, 68'Sokler on for Keskinen and Dabbagh on for Guèye, 81'Morris 33'Aberdeen 1.47Ross County 1.1900.511.520153045607590HTRobesten on for Grieves, 62'Hale on for Brown, 74'Nisbet on for Kenneh and Smith on for Lopata, 84'Okkels on for Morris, 68'Sokler on for Keskinen and Dabbagh on for Guèye, 81'Morris 33'1.471.19Ross CountyAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyAberdeen

1.19 +0.16xG1.47 +0.25
0.54 −0.43xG on target0.61 −0.70
11 +1.1Shots10 −1.9
4 +0.8Shots on target4 +0.2
2 +0.8Big chances3 +1.3
24 +9Touches in the opposition box16 −10
53% +14Possession47% −8
285 −1Passes266 −176
61% −3Pass accuracy69% −9
60% +25Field tilt40% −14
41 +12Final-third entries23 −16
6 −1.2Box entries10 −3.5
8.4 −8Passes per defensive action9.6 −4
8 +3.3Corners1 −4.9
16 −2Tackles23 +6
10 −0.3Interceptions5 −1.6
23 −17Clearances56 +25
3 −0.1Saves4 +1.3
10 −1Fouls12 +1
1 −0.2Offsides0 −1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Hale 90+3', 0.42 xGWhite 40', 0.11 xGTomkinson 71', 0.11 xGWhite 71', 0.11 xGHale 90+3', 0.10 xGWhite 73', 0.08 xGSmith 90+3', 0.08 xGLopata 8', 0.06 xGWhite 12', 0.05 xGBrown 38', 0.03 xGRandall 47', 0.03 xG12%0.14 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals75%0.90 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.90 xG, 0 goals8%0.10 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.10 xG, 0 goals5%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Morris 21', 0.37 xGJensen 16', 0.28 xGClarkson 90+2', 0.27 xGGuèye 69', 0.20 xGNisbet 16', 0.13 xGNisbet 35', 0.06 xGKeskinen 76', 0.02 xGClarkson 76', 0.02 xGPalaversa 88', 0.01 xGMorris 33', 0.11 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals51%0.74 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.74 xG, 0 goals47%0.69 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.69 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyAberdeen

0.63 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.97 7 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.48 2 shots, 1 goal
0.56 7 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.01 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
33 min (35%) · Ross County 0.11, Aberdeen 0.89 xG
Aberdeen ahead
62 min (65%) · Ross County 1.08, Aberdeen 0.57 xG

Line-ups

1842019284214121126AmissahWrightLopataCampbellBrownRandallKennehGrievesTomkinsonPhillipsWhiteYellow card84'74'84'62'Ross County 3-5-1-1Don Cowie3128265418102014819DoohanJensenDorringtonKnoesterShinniePalaversaClarksonMorrisGuèyeKeskinenNisbetYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow card68'81'81'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Jimmy Thelin

Ross County substitutes

  • 62' Robesten for Grieves
  • 74' Hale for Brown
  • 84' Smith for Lopata
  • 84' Nisbet for Kenneh

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 68' Okkels for Morris
  • 81' Sokler for Keskinen
  • 81' Dabbagh for Guèye

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AmissahGK900.000.0100.0760
Wright CB900.000.0100.0466
LopataCB840.060.0100.0799
CampbellCB900.000.0500.0349
BrownRWB740.030.372−0.0723
RandallCM900.030.1120.0865
KennehCM840.000.1210.1963
GrievesCM620.000.0410.1121
TomkinsonLWB900.110.0110.0539
PhillipsAM900.000.0910.0960
WhiteST900.350.090−0.0121
RobestenFW280.000.0000.0003
HaleFW160.520.0000.0000
SmithDF60.080.0000.0004
NisbetMF60.000.000−0.0100

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
DoohanGK900.000.0000.0241
JensenRB900.280.0100.0417
DorringtonCB900.000.0100.06714
KnoesterCB900.000.0000.05518
Shinnie LB900.000.0100.00213
Palaversa DM900.010.0210.0247
ClarksonDM900.290.0110.0247
MorrisRW6810.480.0000.0435
GuèyeAM810.200.0310.1022
KeskinenLW810.020.1510.0233
Nisbet ST9010.190.0210.0624
OkkelsFW220.000.0930.1121
SoklerFW90.000.000−0.0102
DabbaghFW90.000.1210.2430

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Amissah and Tomkinson: 3 passesAmissah and White: 3 passesLopata and Kenneh: 3 passesLopata and Randall: 3 passesTomkinson and Wright: 3 passesTomkinson and Kenneh: 3 passesWright and Grieves: 3 passesCampbell and Kenneh: 3 passesCampbell and White: 3 passesKenneh and Grieves: 3 passesCampbell and Randall: 4 passesCampbell and Grieves: 4 passesRandall and White: 4 passesLopata and Tomkinson: 5 passesLopata and Brown: 5 passesGrieves and White: 5 passesBrown and White: 6 passesKenneh and White: 7 passesTomkinson and Campbell: 10 passesWright and Brown: 12 passesAmissah: 9 completed passesLopata: 14 completed passesTomkinson: 16 completed passesWright: 16 completed passesBrown: 16 completed passesCampbell: 19 completed passesKenneh: 9 completed passesPhillips: 3 completed passesRandall: 11 completed passesGrieves: 9 completed passesWhite: 12 completed passes1820124219421181426AmissahLopataTomkinsonWrightBrownCampbellKennehPhillipsRandallGrievesWhiteStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Doohan and Guèye: 3 passesDorrington and Morris: 3 passesDorrington and Guèye: 3 passesShinnie and Keskinen: 3 passesClarkson and Morris: 3 passesJensen and Dorrington: 4 passesKnoester and Guèye: 4 passesKnoester and Keskinen: 4 passesGuèye and Nisbet: 4 passesKnoester and Dorrington: 5 passesKnoester and Palaversa: 5 passesDorrington and Palaversa: 5 passesShinnie and Clarkson: 5 passesClarkson and Guèye: 5 passesJensen and Palaversa: 6 passesJensen and Guèye: 6 passesDorrington and Clarkson: 6 passesShinnie and Guèye: 6 passesDoohan and Dorrington: 7 passesKnoester and Shinnie: 7 passesKnoester and Clarkson: 8 passesShinnie and Palaversa: 9 passesPalaversa and Clarkson: 10 passesDoohan and Knoester: 22 passesDoohan: 25 completed passesJensen: 14 completed passesKnoester: 29 completed passesDorrington: 16 completed passesShinnie: 21 completed passesPalaversa: 19 completed passesClarkson: 19 completed passesMorris: 4 completed passesGuèye: 10 completed passesKeskinen: 5 completed passesNisbet: 4 completed passes3128526418102014819DoohanJensenKnoesterDorringtonShinniePalaversaClarksonMorrisGuèyeKeskinenNisbetStarters until 68' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
CampbellTomkinson8
TomkinsonCampbell7
BrownWright7
CampbellWhite7
WrightBrown5

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
DoohanKnoester12
KnoesterDoohan10
PalaversaClarkson10
JensenPalaversa9
ShinniePalaversa7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

4−1.72−5.62−7.44−2.34−4.25−2.510+2.87−1.27−1.25−0.33−1.37+3.34−0.32−3.66+2.57+4.12+0.23+0.13−0.66+3.34+2.32+0.80−1.01−1.30−0.80−0.20−0.41+0.91+0.26−13.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Aberdeen

4−1.18+2.112−5.010+2.48+2.28+1.35−0.713+8.011+3.58+0.78+2.58+4.37+3.55−0.51−4.81−2.86+2.91−1.82−1.34−0.55+3.24+2.51−0.40−1.50−3.51+0.20−0.30−0.30−0.41+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.040.040.040.020.020.010.050.020.020.010.040.040.050.02−0.01−0.02−0.070.070.02−0.100.080.030.20LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.010.020.050.010.040.040.020.070.010.020.040.010.01−0.030.09−0.010.060.110.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackRoss County1.05 → 1.04Aberdeen1.22 → 1.23Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.57 → 1.57Aberdeen1.44 → 1.42

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six<1%–0
11th13%20%+7
Bottom1%3%+2
Dundee FC
11th48%44%−4
Bottom11%11%0
Kilmarnock
11th22%20%−2
Bottom3%3%0

From the forecast before the match (5 April 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyAberdeen
Expected goals1.311.26
Win37%35%
Expected Points1.391.33
Clean sheet28%27%

Ross County 37%Draw 28%Aberdeen 35%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Aberdeen goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+8%9%6%3%9%8%3%1%7%8%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 5 April 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawAberdeen win
Ross County
Top six<1%1%––
11th13%6%16%20%
Bottom1%<1%1%3%
Dundee FC
11th48%52%47%44%
Bottom11%12%10%11%
Kilmarnock
11th22%24%21%20%
Bottom3%3%3%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L0–130 MarDundee United (H)xG 0.36–1.87
  2. L0–215 MarHearts (A)xG 0.29–1.73
  3. W1–01 MarKilmarnock (H)xG 1.10–2.52
  4. L0–126 FebSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.26–1.26
  5. W3–122 FebDundee FC (H)xG 3.92–0.66
  6. W3–015 FebMotherwell (A)xG 1.16–0.75

Aberdeen

  1. W4–129 MarMotherwell (H)xG 1.58–1.21
  2. D0–015 MarSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.58–0.64
  3. D2–22 MarDundee United (H)xG 1.98–0.53
  4. L1–525 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.85–2.72
  5. W1–022 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 1.08–0.43
  6. W2–115 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.80–1.81

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyAberdeen
Position9th4th
Played3131
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠8–⁠1413–⁠7–⁠11
Points35 (1.13 per game)46 (1.48 per game)
Expected Points per game1.121.16
Goals31–⁠5242–⁠47
xG per game1.03–⁠1.641.22–⁠1.60
Home: points, xG per game1.25, 1.34–⁠1.251.88, 1.50–⁠1.27
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.69–⁠2.051.07, 0.92–⁠1.95
ManagerDon Cowie (46)Jimmy Thelin (31)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackRoss County1.05, 11thAberdeen1.22, 6thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.57, 11thAberdeen1.44, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarRoss County attack: 1.05Aberdeen attack: 1.221.221.05AberdeenRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarRoss County defence: 1.57Aberdeen defence: 1.441.571.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−50%+32%−1%+15%
Counter-attacks−27%−18%−35%−3%
Set pieces−12%−7%−15%+23%
Penalties+66%+3%−79%−17%
Headers−48%+11%−8%+14%
Left side−21%+6%+1%+7%
Centre−38%+19%−12%+17%
Right side−48%+21%−9%+20%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdAberdeen concededLeft side−21%+20%Centre−38%+17%Right side−48%+7%Open play−50%+15%Counter-attacks−27%−3%Set pieces−12%+23%Headers−48%+14%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdRoss County concededLeft side+1%+21%Centre−12%+19%Right side−9%+6%Open play−1%+32%Counter-attacks−35%−18%Set pieces−15%−7%Headers−8%+11%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyAberdeen

1.03xG1.22
1.64xG against1.60
39%Possession54%
9.9Shots11.9
15.2Shots against13.5
3.2Shots on target3.8
1.2Big chances1.7
15.3Touches in the opposition box25.7
286Passes442
64%Pass accuracy78%
4.7Corners5.9
36%Field tilt54%
28.9Final-third entries38.8
7.2Box entries13.5
16.4Passes per defensive action13.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.051.41
Ahead180.981.25
Behind271.012.29

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level471.081.47
Ahead191.221.80
Behind241.481.69

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.182–4
16–300.150.194–7
31–450.220.335–13
46–600.170.228–5
61–750.120.272–6
76–900.230.4410–17

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.194–3
16–300.150.224–11
31–450.180.306–10
46–600.210.179–5
61–750.190.286–5
76–900.310.4313–13

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTLaidlaw 15Amissah 13Hamilton 3Wright 24Tomkinson 8Efete 2Lopata 25Allardice 2Campbell 14Leak 14Nightingale 3Brown 15Efete 7Wright 6Randall 26Kenneh 8Harmon 6Chilvers 18Allardice 3White 2Nisbet 15Denholm 5Loturi 2Harmon 13Nisbet 5Campbell 4White 14Phillips 7Samuel 3Hale 22Chilvers 7Nisbet 23-5-2 in 10 of 31 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (10), 3-4-1-2 (9), 3-5-1-1 (6), 3-4-3 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 19Doohan 12Devlin 24Jensen 6Milne 1Rubezic 20Tobers 8MacDonald 4Molloy 19Knoester 6Nilsen 2MacKenzie 23McGarry 5Jensen 2Shinnie 23Palaversa 12Keskinen 2Nilsen 23Clarkson 2Keskinen 18Morris 6Okkels 2Clarkson 13Gueye 7McGrath 4McGrath 13Okkels 7Keskinen 6Nisbet 15Sokler 11Gueye 24-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 January 2025Aberdeen1–2Ross CountyxG 1.55–0.80
31 August 2024Ross County0–1AberdeenxG 1.05–0.35
19 May 2024Ross County2–2AberdeenxG 2.30–1.30
30 March 2024Aberdeen2–1Ross CountyxG 0.71–0.82
2 January 2024Ross County0–3AberdeenxG 0.14–1.72
24 September 2023Aberdeen4–0Ross CountyxG 3.33–0.85

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 3, Aberdeen won 7, and 5 were drawn. Goals 13–23 and xG 0.89–1.60 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Phillips7524210.460.10
Hale221,815800.400.05
White161,749500.310.05
Samuel3454110.200.09

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Gueye10821510.400.07
McGrath191,567460.240.22
Duk8936020.250.20
Nisbet161,408940.360.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.