Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Celtic 4–0 St. Johnstone

Sunday 29 December 2024, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 20 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 58,645

Celtic Kühn 30', Furuhashi 59', 64', Maeda 73'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticSt. Johnstone
Goals40
xG4.680.06
Expected Points3.000.00

Celtic >99%Draw <1%St. Johnstone –

Most likely score 6+–0, 27%. Final score 4–0, 23%.

St. Johnstone goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+1%6%15%1%1%1%2%23%22%27%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

02460153045607590HTMcGregor on for Engels, 67'Idah on for Furuhashi and Maeda on for Kühn, 68'McCowan on for Hatate and Ralston on for Johnston, 74'Sidibeh on for Clark, Neilson on for Essel, and Kimpioka on for Kirk, 46'Carey on for Sprangler, 69'Holt on for Sanders, 79'Kühn 30'Furuhashi 59'Furuhashi 64'Maeda 73'Celtic 4.68St. Johnstone 0.0602460153045607590HTMcGregor on for Engels, 67'Idah on for Furuhashi and Maeda on for Kühn, 68'McCowan on for Hatate and Ralston on for Johnston, 74'Sidibeh on for Clark, Neilson on for Essel, and Kimpioka on for Kirk, 46'Carey on for Sprangler, 69'Holt on for Sanders, 79'Kühn 30'Furuhashi 59'Furuhashi 64'Maeda 73'4.680.06CelticSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticSt. Johnstone

4.68 +1.98xG0.06 −1.00
4.55 +1.76xG on target0.00 −1.03
30 +9.6Shots1 −8.9
11 +3.6Shots on target0 −3.2
6 +1.4Big chances0 −1.3
57 +18Touches in the opposition box5 −11
70% −5Possession30% −23
710 −26Passes304 −132
89% 0Pass accuracy75% −2
93% +10Field tilt7% −39
118 +39Final-third entries10 −27
39 +17.2Box entries2 −6.4
11.2 +2.2Passes per defensive action119.0 +104.1
12 +2.5Corners2 −1.9
17 +2Tackles15 0
7 +0.9Interceptions11 +3.2
10 −8Clearances45 +14
0 −2.5Saves7 +4.2
8 −1.6Fouls1 −10.6
1 −0.2Offsides2 +0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Engels 26', 0.54 xGBernardo 59', 0.51 xGFuruhashi 57', 0.16 xGMcCowan 90', 0.13 xGFuruhashi 12', 0.12 xGEngels 20', 0.12 xGMaeda 70', 0.11 xGIdah 69', 0.10 xGCarter-Vickers 4', 0.08 xGKühn 11', 0.08 xGScales 34', 0.07 xGMcCowan 86', 0.07 xGHatate 4', 0.06 xGEngels 14', 0.06 xGFuruhashi 49', 0.06 xGBernardo 75', 0.06 xGBernardo 39', 0.05 xGMcGregor 85', 0.05 xGJohnston 38', 0.04 xGMcGregor 78', 0.04 xGValle 39', 0.03 xGEngels 45', 0.03 xGBernardo 90+4', 0.03 xGEngels 22', 0.02 xGKühn 33', 0.02 xGValle 82', 0.02 xGFuruhashi 59', 0.98 xG, goalFuruhashi 64', 0.49 xG, goalMaeda 73', 0.46 xG, goalKühn 30', 0.11 xG, goal44%2.06 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 2.06 xG, 2 goals44%2.07 xGCentral box: 13 shots, 2.07 xG, 2 goals5%0.25 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals6%0.28 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals1%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Franczak 49', 0.06 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals100%0.06 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticSt. Johnstone

2.44 23 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.06 1 shot, 0 goals
0.06 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
2.19 6 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
30 min (32%) · Celtic 1.17, St. Johnstone 0.00 xG
Celtic ahead
64 min (68%) · Celtic 3.52, St. Johnstone 0.06 xG

Line-ups

122051128274110813SchmeichelJohnstonCarter-VickersScalesValleBernardoEngelsHatateKühnFuruhashiYangGoalGoalGoal74'67'74'68'68'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers125421546232232710RaeSandersCameronMikulicEsselFranczakSpranglerSmithRaymondKirkClarkYellow card79'46'69'46'46'St. Johnstone 3-5-2Simo Valakari

Celtic substitutes

  • 67' McGregor for Engels
  • 68' Idah for Furuhashi
  • 68' Maeda for Kühn · goal 73'
  • 74' Ralston for Johnston
  • 74' McCowan for Hatate

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 46' Neilson for Essel
  • 46' Sidibeh for Clark
  • 46' Kimpioka for Kirk
  • 69' Carey for Sprangler
  • 79' Holt for Sanders

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchmeichelGK900.000.0000.0200
JohnstonRB740.040.2520.1592
Carter-VickersCB900.080.0310.15103
ScalesCB900.070.1210.30155
ValleLB900.050.2460.29185
BernardoCM9010.660.3420.0844
EngelsCM6710.760.6230.3172
HatateCM7410.060.1930.2283
KühnRW6810.200.4710.45103
FuruhashiST6821.800.040−0.0510
YangLW900.000.6440.43113
McGregorMF230.090.0600.0460
IdahFW220.100.101−0.0200
MaedaFW2210.580.1010.3231
RalstonDF160.000.0200.0310
McCowanMF160.200.4510.2843

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RaeGK900.000.0000.0242
SandersCB790.000.0000.02316
CameronCB900.000.0000.00012
MikulicCB900.000.0000.0437
Essel RWB460.000.0000.0003
FranczakCM900.060.0000.0016
SpranglerCM690.000.000−0.0302
SmithCM900.000.0100.0125
RaymondLWB900.000.0110.0319
KirkST460.000.000−0.0103
ClarkST460.000.0000.0014
NeilsonDF440.000.0000.0103
SidibehFW440.000.0100.0112
KimpiokaFW440.000.000−0.0110
CareyMF210.000.000−0.0100
HoltMF110.000.0000.0002

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Schmeichel and Johnston: 6 passesSchmeichel and Valle: 6 passesBernardo and Kühn: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and Valle: 7 passesCarter-Vickers and Engels: 7 passesCarter-Vickers and Hatate: 7 passesHatate and Bernardo: 7 passesScales and Bernardo: 8 passesHatate and Yang: 8 passesBernardo and Yang: 8 passesSchmeichel and Scales: 9 passesCarter-Vickers and Kühn: 9 passesSchmeichel and Carter-Vickers: 10 passesValle and Engels: 10 passesEngels and Bernardo: 10 passesScales and Yang: 11 passesValle and Bernardo: 12 passesJohnston and Engels: 13 passesEngels and Kühn: 14 passesScales and Hatate: 16 passesValle and Hatate: 17 passesJohnston and Kühn: 25 passesValle and Yang: 30 passesJohnston and Carter-Vickers: 35 passesScales and Carter-Vickers: 49 passesScales and Valle: 57 passesSchmeichel: 21 completed passesJohnston: 44 completed passesScales: 84 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 71 completed passesValle: 76 completed passesEngels: 28 completed passesHatate: 31 completed passesBernardo: 29 completed passesKühn: 30 completed passesFuruhashi: 2 completed passesYang: 32 completed passes125201127412810813SchmeichelJohnstonScalesCarter-VickersValleEngelsHatateBernardoKühnFuruhashiYangStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

St. Johnstone

Rae and Essel: 3 passesMikulic and Cameron: 3 passesMikulic and Raymond: 3 passesMikulic and Clark: 3 passesFranczak and Sprangler: 3 passesSprangler and Clark: 3 passesEssel and Clark: 4 passesMikulic and Sprangler: 5 passesSanders and Cameron: 5 passesSanders and Essel: 5 passesFranczak and Essel: 5 passesSanders and Franczak: 6 passesRae and Mikulic: 7 passesFranczak and Clark: 7 passesRae: 9 completed passesMikulic: 15 completed passesSanders: 11 completed passesCameron: 5 completed passesFranczak: 11 completed passesRaymond: 5 completed passesSprangler: 9 completed passesEssel: 10 completed passesSmith: 2 completed passesClark: 10 completed passesKirk: 6 completed passes122544632315221027RaeMikulicSandersCameronFranczakRaymondSpranglerEsselSmithClarkKirkStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
ScalesValle40
ValleScales30
Carter-VickersScales30
ScalesCarter-Vickers28
Carter-VickersJohnston23

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
MikulicRae8
MikulicRaymond7
RaymondMikulic7
MikulicCameron7
SandersRae7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

1−1.92−1.06−3.33−1.80−2.81−3.81−4.14−2.78+1.23−0.75+1.21−1.810+5.18+2.23−0.42−2.12+0.36+2.59+4.86+3.21−1.13+1.530.05+2.92+0.53+2.50−1.10−1.12+0.90−4.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 17 matches

St. Johnstone

11+5.813+6.232+14.08+1.76+0.16−1.09+2.26−0.38+1.880.04−1.23−1.31−2.22−2.60−6.12−0.81−1.71−0.71−1.41−2.71−1.70−1.70−0.91−0.30−1.90−0.71+0.60−0.40−0.30−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 19 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.020.010.020.080.020.080.030.190.100.110.250.100.290.110.090.040.07−0.060.170.250.560.43LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.010.01−0.01−0.01−0.010.01−0.010.01−0.01−0.01−0.02−0.020.020.020.020.02LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackCeltic2.42 → 2.46St. Johnstone1.02 → 0.99Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.72 → 0.71St. Johnstone1.52 → 1.57

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title99%99%0
St. Johnstone
Top six1%1%0
11th24%24%0
Bottom48%49%+1
Ross County
Top six3%3%0
11th26%26%0
Bottom21%20%−1
Dundee FC
Top six5%5%0
11th24%24%0
Bottom19%18%−1

From the forecast before the match (29 December 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticSt. Johnstone
Expected goals3.250.49
Win89%3%
Expected Points2.750.17
Clean sheet61%4%

Celtic 89%Draw 8%St. Johnstone 3%

Most likely score 3–0, 14%. Both sides score 38%.

St. Johnstone goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+3%1%8%4%6%2%7%2%5%1%7%4%7%3%13%14%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 29 December 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Celtic
Title99%99%97%97%
St. Johnstone
Top six1%1%<1%2%
11th24%24%25%26%
Bottom48%49%43%26%
Ross County
Top six3%3%4%2%
11th26%26%25%21%
Bottom21%20%23%31%
Dundee FC
Top six5%5%4%5%
11th24%24%26%23%
Bottom19%18%21%29%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W4–026 DecMotherwell (H)xG 3.55–0.23
  2. D0–022 DecDundee United (A)xG 1.00–0.10
  3. W3–07 DecHibernian (H)xG 3.83–2.34
  4. W1–04 DecAberdeen (A)xG 1.62–0.88
  5. W5–030 NovRoss County (H)xG 3.09–0.10
  6. W4–123 NovHearts (A)xG 3.87–0.85

St. Johnstone

  1. L1–226 DecDundee United (H)xG 0.58–1.27
  2. L1–222 DecHearts (A)xG 1.28–0.75
  3. L2–314 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.79–2.08
  4. D1–17 DecAberdeen (A)xG 1.35–0.70
  5. L0–11 DecRangers (H)xG 0.15–1.73
  6. W1–023 NovKilmarnock (H)xG 1.02–0.45

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticSt. Johnstone
Position1st12th
Played1719
Won, drawn, lost15–⁠2–⁠04–⁠2–⁠13
Points47 (2.76 per game)14 (0.74 per game)
Expected Points per game2.431.19
Goals48–⁠422–⁠36
xG per game2.70–⁠0.721.06–⁠1.32
Home: points, xG per game2.75, 3.23–⁠0.740.67, 1.00–⁠1.48
Away: points, xG per game2.78, 2.22–⁠0.700.80, 1.12–⁠1.19
ManagerBrendan Rodgers (55)Simo Valakari (12)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackCeltic2.42, 1stSt. Johnstone1.02, 12thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.72, 1stSt. Johnstone1.52, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecCeltic attack: 2.42St. Johnstone attack: 1.022.421.02St. JohnstoneCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecCeltic defence: 0.72St. Johnstone defence: 1.521.520.72

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+125%−40%−31%+14%
Counter-attacks+125%−21%−66%−10%
Set pieces+17%−73%−20%−30%
Penalties+40%−65%+25%−69%
Headers+8%−70%−38%+9%
Left side+82%−32%−24%+12%
Centre+98%−52%−35%+1%
Right side+96%−58%−26%−20%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+82%−20%Centre+98%+1%Right side+96%+12%Open play+125%+14%Counter-attacks+125%−10%Set pieces+17%−30%Headers+8%+9%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdCeltic concededLeft side−24%−58%Centre−35%−52%Right side−26%−32%Open play−31%−40%Counter-attacks−66%−21%Set pieces−20%−73%Headers−38%−70%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticSt. Johnstone

2.70xG1.06
0.72xG against1.32
75%Possession53%
20.4Shots9.9
7.0Shots against13.2
7.4Shots on target3.2
4.6Big chances1.3
39.2Touches in the opposition box16.1
736Passes436
89%Pass accuracy77%
9.5Corners3.9
83%Field tilt46%
79.4Final-third entries37.4
21.8Box entries8.4
9.0Passes per defensive action14.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level382.660.73
Ahead502.770.73
Behind21.390.19

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.181.66
Ahead161.391.23
Behind380.821.04

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.400.104–0
16–300.330.147–0
31–450.500.1311–1
46–600.540.129–2
61–750.360.116–0
76–900.570.1211–1

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.152–3
16–300.130.232–6
31–450.190.214–6
46–600.180.185–8
61–750.130.163–4
76–900.320.396–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 17Johnston 14Ralston 3Carter-Vickers 10Trusty 9Welsh 1Scales 14Taylor 12Valle 5Engels 9Bernardo 8McCowan 5McGregor 15Hatate 12Kühn 11Yang 3Forrest 3Furuhashi 11Idah 6Maeda 14Forrest 2Palma 14-3-3 in 16 of 17 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (16), 4-4-1-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMAMSTSTRae 10Sinclair 9Wright 8Neilson 7Essel 3Sanders 16Neilson 5McClelland 1Cameron 11Mikulic 5Raymond 13Wright 2Douglas 2Holt 11Carey 6Wright 3Sprangler 14MacPherson 3Sidibeh 2Smith 13Essel 4Clark 7Wright 6Kirk 2Sidibeh 8Kirk 7Clark 7Kimpioka 164-3-1-2 in 7 of 19 starts

Formations: 4-3-1-2 (7), 3-5-2 (6), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
28 September 2024St. Johnstone0–6CelticxG 0.32–3.38
16 March 2024Celtic3–1St. JohnstonexG 4.02–0.73
3 December 2023St. Johnstone1–3CelticxG 1.36–2.53
26 August 2023Celtic0–0St. JohnstonexG 2.02–0.28
5 February 2023St. Johnstone1–4CelticxG 0.26–2.02
24 December 2022Celtic4–1St. JohnstonexG 2.89–1.03

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 12, St. Johnstone won 0, and 2 were drawn. Goals 43–8 and xG 2.54–0.62 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Idah6557501.010.15
Furuhashi11986630.940.04
Kühn11892660.550.34
Engels9726400.500.34

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Carey7758210.170.22
Kirk9865510.330.05
Kimpioka161,399620.320.04
Clark141,153510.300.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.