Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

St. Johnstone 0–0 Aberdeen

Saturday 15 March 2025, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 30 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 7,733

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Goals00
xG0.640.58
Expected Points1.351.21

St. Johnstone 30%Draw 45%Aberdeen 25%

Most likely score 0–0, 30%. Final score 0–0, 30%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+16%4%20%14%3%5%3%1%30%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.750153045607590HTGriffith on for Sidibeh, 56'Kimpioka on for Kirk and Carey on for Duke-McKenna, 72'Steven on for Douglas, 87'Okkels on for MacKenzie, 62'Clarkson on for Morris, 63'Gueye on for Dabbagh, 68'Sokler on for Keskinen, 83'St. Johnstone 0.64Aberdeen 0.5800.250.50.750153045607590HTGriffith on for Sidibeh, 56'Kimpioka on for Kirk and Carey on for Duke-McKenna, 72'Steven on for Douglas, 87'Okkels on for MacKenzie, 62'Clarkson on for Morris, 63'Gueye on for Dabbagh, 68'Sokler on for Keskinen, 83'0.640.58St. JohnstoneAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.64 −0.40xG0.58 −0.65
0.50 −0.53xG on target0.04 −1.26
8 −2Shots11 −1
3 −0.1Shots on target2 −1.7
1 −0.4Big chances0 −1.8
8 −8Touches in the opposition box23 −3
43% −11Possession57% +3
415 −27Passes535 +98
76% −1Pass accuracy81% +4
26% −21Field tilt74% +21
25 −12Final-third entries53 +15
6 −2.9Box entries14 +0.7
22.3 +7Passes per defensive action8.8 −5
1 −3.1Corners6 +0.2
18 +3Tackles23 +6
9 +1.1Interceptions14 +7.5
41 +8Clearances33 +2
2 −0.8Saves3 +0.3
5 −5Fouls16 +5
3 +1.6Offsides2 +0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Kirk 10', 0.27 xGSidibeh 43', 0.09 xGGriffith 61', 0.07 xGCarey 75', 0.07 xGWright 41', 0.05 xGCurtis 90+4', 0.04 xGWright 82', 0.03 xGWright 12', 0.02 xG14%0.09 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.09 xG, 0 goals58%0.37 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.37 xG, 0 goals8%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals20%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Dabbagh 49', 0.08 xGKnoester 50', 0.08 xGKnoester 68', 0.08 xGNisbet 19', 0.07 xGKeskinen 34', 0.06 xGKnoester 80', 0.05 xGMorris 50', 0.04 xGKeskinen 64', 0.04 xGNisbet 20', 0.03 xGMacKenzie 22', 0.03 xGKeskinen 27', 0.02 xG14%0.08 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals48%0.28 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals14%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals24%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.57 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.23 5 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.13 3 shots, 0 goals
0.07 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.21 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
94 min (100%) · St. Johnstone 0.64, Aberdeen 0.58 xG

Line-ups

145303723714271621FisherBalodisMitchellDouglasCurtisSpranglerHoltWrightKirkSidibehDuke-McKenna87'72'56'72'St. Johnstone 3-4-3Simo Valakari12826534182098111MitovJensenDorringtonKnoesterMacKenzieShinniePalaversaMorrisNisbetKeskinenDabbagh62'63'83'68'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Jimmy Thelin

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 56' Griffith for Sidibeh
  • 72' Carey for Duke-McKenna
  • 72' Kimpioka for Kirk
  • 87' Steven for Douglas

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 62' Okkels for MacKenzie
  • 63' Clarkson for Morris
  • 68' Gueye for Dabbagh
  • 83' Sokler for Keskinen

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
FisherGK900.000.0000.0430
BalodisCB900.000.0000.00114
MitchellCB900.000.0100.02414
DouglasCB870.000.0000.06610
CurtisRWB900.040.0210.0656
SpranglerCM900.000.0100.0246
HoltCM900.000.1210.1058
WrightLWB900.100.0510.1486
KirkRW720.270.1500.1621
SidibehST560.090.0000.0000
Duke-McKennaLW720.000.1210.0745
GriffithMF340.070.0100.0221
CareyMF180.070.0010.0130
KimpiokaFW180.000.0100.0101
StevenMF30.000.0000.0000

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0220
JensenRB900.000.1610.2484
DorringtonCB900.000.0200.06816
KnoesterCB900.210.010−0.02820
MacKenzieLB620.030.0200.0643
ShinnieDM900.000.0400.0458
PalaversaDM900.000.2030.0565
MorrisRW630.040.0410.0834
NisbetAM900.100.0600.0751
KeskinenLW830.120.0320.1063
DabbaghST680.080.041−0.0803
OkkelsFW280.000.0000.0012
ClarksonMF270.000.1920.2453
GueyeMF220.000.000−0.0100
SoklerFW70.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Mitchell and Wright: 4 passesCurtis and Sprangler: 4 passesSprangler and Kirk: 4 passesFisher and Curtis: 5 passesDouglas and Duke-McKenna: 5 passesHolt and Kirk: 5 passesMitchell and Curtis: 6 passesCurtis and Holt: 6 passesCurtis and Kirk: 6 passesDouglas and Sprangler: 7 passesWright and Sprangler: 7 passesSprangler and Holt: 7 passesBalodis and Douglas: 8 passesDouglas and Holt: 8 passesWright and Duke-McKenna: 8 passesHolt and Duke-McKenna: 8 passesBalodis and Curtis: 9 passesBalodis and Holt: 9 passesDouglas and Wright: 9 passesFisher and Mitchell: 10 passesBalodis and Mitchell: 12 passesMitchell and Douglas: 13 passesFisher and Douglas: 15 passesFisher: 21 completed passesBalodis: 24 completed passesMitchell: 28 completed passesDouglas: 36 completed passesCurtis: 17 completed passesWright: 19 completed passesSprangler: 21 completed passesHolt: 28 completed passesKirk: 8 completed passesSidibeh: 4 completed passesDuke-McKenna: 10 completed passes145303714237271621FisherBalodisMitchellDouglasCurtisWrightSpranglerHoltKirkSidibehDuke-McKennaStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Aberdeen

Jensen and Nisbet: 6 passesMacKenzie and Dabbagh: 7 passesPalaversa and Keskinen: 7 passesShinnie and Nisbet: 7 passesMitov and Shinnie: 8 passesJensen and Dabbagh: 8 passesMitov and Palaversa: 9 passesMacKenzie and Keskinen: 9 passesNisbet and Dabbagh: 9 passesJensen and Morris: 10 passesDorrington and Palaversa: 10 passesMacKenzie and Shinnie: 11 passesKnoester and MacKenzie: 12 passesMitov and Dorrington: 13 passesKnoester and Shinnie: 13 passesJensen and Dorrington: 14 passesKnoester and Palaversa: 15 passesMitov and Knoester: 16 passesDorrington and Shinnie: 16 passesJensen and Palaversa: 17 passesMacKenzie and Palaversa: 17 passesPalaversa and Shinnie: 18 passesJensen and Shinnie: 20 passesKnoester and Dorrington: 22 passesMitov: 29 completed passesJensen: 45 completed passesKnoester: 39 completed passesDorrington: 45 completed passesMacKenzie: 34 completed passesPalaversa: 55 completed passesShinnie: 48 completed passesMorris: 9 completed passesNisbet: 18 completed passesKeskinen: 9 completed passesDabbagh: 16 completed passes12852631842098111MitovJensenKnoesterDorringtonMacKenziePalaversaShinnieMorrisNisbetKeskinenDabbaghStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
DouglasFisher12
BalodisMitchell11
CurtisBalodis10
MitchellDouglas10
WrightDuke-McKenna9

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
KnoesterDorrington17
JensenPalaversa14
KnoesterMitov14
MitovKnoester13
ShinniePalaversa13

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

9+3.511+4.015−3.613+6.34−1.74−3.55−2.44−2.56−0.83−5.013+7.96+1.66+2.76+1.510+4.57+4.13+0.53+1.34+1.55+1.40−2.31−0.62+1.12+0.83+1.30−0.60−0.30−0.50−0.30−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Aberdeen

2−3.31−5.04−3.97+1.113+6.313+7.54−1.210+2.511+3.79+3.66+2.43−0.56+0.59+3.36+2.34+1.05+2.32−1.39+4.82+0.23+1.52+0.60−1.610+6.83+2.30−0.30−0.40−0.42+1.57−10.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 29 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.020.010.030.020.010.020.010.030.010.070.03−0.010.030.030.010.080.06−0.010.070.02−0.010.16LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.030.030.010.020.020.040.010.030.010.080.050.060.060.040.01−0.020.040.05−0.01−0.02−0.11−0.100.020.47LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Johnstone1.03 → 1.02Aberdeen1.19 → 1.18Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.54 → 1.52Aberdeen1.46 → 1.45

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
11th31%28%−3
Bottom62%67%+5
Aberdeen
Top six96%97%+1
Dundee FC
11th49%52%+3
Bottom35%31%−4

From the forecast before the match (15 March 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Expected goals1.321.23
Win38%34%
Expected Points1.421.30
Clean sheet29%27%

St. Johnstone 38%Draw 28%Aberdeen 34%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%9%6%2%8%3%1%7%8%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 15 March 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawAberdeen win
St. Johnstone
11th31%38%28%24%
Bottom62%50%67%73%
Aberdeen
Top six96%91%97%>99%
Dundee FC
11th49%40%52%57%
Bottom35%46%31%26%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–11 MarDundee FC (A)xG 0.59–1.59
  2. W1–026 FebRoss County (H)xG 1.26–0.26
  3. L1–223 FebHearts (H)xG 2.02–2.18
  4. L1–315 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 0.67–1.40
  5. W1–01 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.51–0.38
  6. W2–125 JanMotherwell (H)xG 1.50–1.22

Aberdeen

  1. D2–22 MarDundee United (H)xG 1.98–0.53
  2. L1–525 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.85–2.72
  3. W1–022 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 1.08–0.43
  4. W2–115 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.80–1.81
  5. L0–21 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.48–1.60
  6. L0–325 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.41–1.78

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Position12th4th
Played2929
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠4–⁠1812–⁠6–⁠11
Points25 (0.86 per game)42 (1.45 per game)
Expected Points per game1.121.14
Goals32–⁠5438–⁠46
xG per game1.04–⁠1.511.23–⁠1.65
Home: points, xG per game0.93, 1.19–⁠1.481.80, 1.49–⁠1.27
Away: points, xG per game0.80, 0.90–⁠1.531.07, 0.94–⁠2.04
ManagerSimo Valakari (22)Jimmy Thelin (29)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Johnstone1.03, 12thAberdeen1.19, 6thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.54, 11thAberdeen1.46, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarSt. Johnstone attack: 1.03Aberdeen attack: 1.191.191.03AberdeenSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarSt. Johnstone defence: 1.54Aberdeen defence: 1.461.541.46

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−30%+17%−2%+19%
Counter-attacks−56%−2%−33%−17%
Set pieces−23%+4%−13%+28%
Penalties+11%−56%−78%−11%
Headers−21%+17%−12%+17%
Left side−23%+25%+3%+7%
Centre−35%+14%−10%+20%
Right side−26%−7%−13%+26%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdAberdeen concededLeft side−23%+26%Centre−35%+20%Right side−26%+7%Open play−30%+19%Counter-attacks−56%−17%Set pieces−23%+28%Headers−21%+17%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+3%−7%Centre−10%+14%Right side−13%+25%Open play−2%+17%Counter-attacks−33%−2%Set pieces−13%+4%Headers−12%+17%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

1.04xG1.23
1.51xG against1.65
54%Possession54%
10.1Shots11.8
13.6Shots against13.9
3.1Shots on target3.7
1.4Big chances1.8
16.4Touches in the opposition box25.7
442Passes436
78%Pass accuracy78%
4.1Corners5.8
47%Field tilt52%
36.6Final-third entries37.9
8.9Box entries13.3
15.3Passes per defensive action13.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.111.71
Ahead131.201.45
Behind400.931.33

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.111.54
Ahead191.221.83
Behind251.431.71

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.202–7
16–300.100.282–11
31–450.200.246–8
46–600.200.277–12
61–750.150.176–6
76–900.290.359–10

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.183–2
16–300.150.244–11
31–450.190.315–10
46–600.210.179–5
61–750.200.296–5
76–900.310.4611–13

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTRae 13Sinclair 10Fisher 6Cameron 12Wright 10Neilson 10Sanders 21Mitchell 2Kucheriavyi 1Mikulic 13Douglas 4Wright 9Clark 7Curtis 5Smith 14Carey 9MacPhers… 3MacPhersonSprangler 22Clark 3Sidibeh 2Holt 15Essel 4Watt 3Raymond 13Wright 7Douglas 3Sidibeh 13Kirk 13Kimpioka 18Clark 8Griffith 23-5-2 in 7 of 29 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (7), 4-3-1-2 (7), 3-4-3 (3), 3-4-2-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 18Doohan 11Devlin 24Jensen 4Milne 1Rubezic 20Tobers 8MacDonald 4Molloy 19Knoester 4Nilsen 2MacKenzie 22McGarry 5Jensen 2Shinnie 22Palaversa 10Keskinen 2Nilsen 23Keskinen 17Morris 5Okkels 2Clarkson 13Gueye 6McGrath 4McGrath 13Okkels 6Keskinen 5Nisbet 14Sokler 11Gueye 24-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
7 December 2024Aberdeen1–1St. JohnstonexG 0.70–1.35
5 August 2024St. Johnstone1–2AberdeenxG 0.81–1.79
4 May 2024Aberdeen1–0St. JohnstonexG 3.34–0.99
28 February 2024Aberdeen0–2St. JohnstonexG 2.17–1.69
24 January 2024St. Johnstone1–1AberdeenxG 0.99–1.21
8 October 2023Aberdeen0–0St. JohnstonexG 1.01–0.33

17 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 3, Aberdeen won 9, and 5 were drawn. Goals 9–15 and xG 0.78–1.24 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Carey111,229320.200.29
Clark181,479620.350.06
Sidibeh151,502320.270.10
Kimpioka191,667620.280.04

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Gueye9731510.440.05
McGrath191,567460.240.22
Nisbet141,228740.370.09
Duk8936020.250.20

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.