Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

St. Johnstone 1–3 Celtic

Sunday 3 December 2023, 12:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 15 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 6,777

St. Johnstone Jaiyesimi 40'

Celtic McGregor 67', O'Riley 79', Forrest 90+3'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneCeltic
Goals13
xG1.362.53
Expected Points0.622.15

St. Johnstone 13%Draw 22%Celtic 64%

Most likely score 1–2, 12%. Final score 1–3, 11%.

Celtic goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+2%4%3%2%2%8%6%2%2%7%5%2%1%2%2%12%11%12%9%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTKane on for Jaiyesimi and Turner-Cooke on for Kucheriavyi, 73'May on for Costelloe, 87'M. Johnston on for Yang, 46'Oh on for Turnbull, 58'Forrest on for Palma, 80'Iwata on for Furuhashi, 85'Jaiyesimi 40'McGregor 67'O'Riley 79'Forrest 90+3'Celtic 2.53St. Johnstone 1.3601230153045607590HTKane on for Jaiyesimi and Turner-Cooke on for Kucheriavyi, 73'May on for Costelloe, 87'M. Johnston on for Yang, 46'Oh on for Turnbull, 58'Forrest on for Palma, 80'Iwata on for Furuhashi, 85'Jaiyesimi 40'McGregor 67'O'Riley 79'Forrest 90+3'2.531.36St. JohnstoneCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneCeltic

1.36 +0.57xG2.53 −0.40
1.83 +1.14xG on target2.70 −0.36
5 −5Shots25 +4
3 +0.7Shots on target7 −1.1
1 0.0Big chances3 −1.4
20 +2Touches in the opposition box47 +2
30% −13Possession70% 0
256 −70Passes600 −85
60% −4Pass accuracy87% +2
16% −24Field tilt84% +6
20 −6Final-third entries85 +10
4 −3.5Box entries25 +1.6
28.3 +12Passes per defensive action11.1 +1
2 −2.5Corners12 +3.1
16 0Tackles12 −3
6 −4.1Interceptions2 −3.4
33 +9Clearances19 +5
4 +0.5Saves2 +0.4
8 −4.2Fouls7 −2.2
1 −0.3Offsides8 +6.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Turner-Cooke 90+3', 0.53 xGJaiyesimi 17', 0.11 xGGordon 29', 0.03 xGCarey 51', 0.03 xGJaiyesimi 40', 0.66 xG, goal88%1.19 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 1.19 xG, 1 goal10%0.14 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Furuhashi 54', 0.41 xGO'Riley 90+5', 0.36 xGO'Riley 6', 0.21 xGOh 62', 0.10 xGScales 88', 0.08 xGPalma 10', 0.07 xGCarter-Vickers 62', 0.07 xGFuruhashi 1', 0.06 xGFuruhashi 38', 0.06 xGO'Riley 53', 0.06 xGScales 37', 0.05 xGForrest 88', 0.05 xGTurnbull 24', 0.04 xGForrest 81', 0.04 xGTurnbull 25', 0.03 xGMcGregor 76', 0.03 xGFuruhashi 83', 0.03 xGM. Johnston 90', 0.03 xGMcGregor 52', 0.02 xGMcGregor 75', 0.02 xGO'Riley 82', 0.02 xGPalma 43', 0.01 xGForrest 90+3', 0.59 xG, goalO'Riley 79', 0.05 xG, goalMcGregor 67', 0.04 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals81%2.06 xGCentral box: 12 shots, 2.06 xG, 2 goals3%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals15%0.39 xGEdge of the box: 11 shots, 0.39 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.67 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.48 15 shots, 2 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.59 1 shot, 1 goal
0.69 2 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.46 9 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
52 min (55%) · St. Johnstone 0.80, Celtic 0.62 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
27 min (28%) · St. Johnstone 0.03, Celtic 0.73 xG
Celtic ahead
16 min (17%) · St. Johnstone 0.53, Celtic 1.18 xG

Line-ups

125619153411442213MitovBrownMcGowanGordonRobinsonKucheriavyiPhillipsCareyCostelloeSmithJaiyesimiYellow cardYellow cardGoal73'87'73'St. Johnstone 4-4-1-1Craig Levein1220533342141387HartA. JohnstonCarter-VickersScalesTaylorO'RileyMcGregorTurnbullYangFuruhashiPalmaGoalGoalYellow card58'46'85'80'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 73' Turner-Cooke for Kucheriavyi
  • 73' Kane for Jaiyesimi
  • 87' May for Costelloe

Celtic substitutes

  • 46' M. Johnston for Yang
  • 58' Oh for Turnbull
  • 80' Forrest for Palma · goal 90+3'
  • 85' Iwata for Furuhashi · 1 assist

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Mitov GK900.000.0000.0443
BrownRB900.000.0000.0314
McGowan CB900.000.0200.0336
GordonCB900.030.0400.1109
RobinsonLB900.000.0100.03113
KucheriavyiRM730.000.1110.0433
PhillipsCM900.000.0300.0435
CareyCM900.030.0410.0348
CostelloeLM870.000.010−0.0205
SmithAM900.000.000−0.0505
JaiyesimiST7310.770.0100.0220
Turner-CookeMF170.530.0300.0001
KaneFW170.000.0000.0000
MayFW30.000.0000.0000

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0100
A. JohnstonRB900.000.5920.57205
Carter-VickersCB900.070.0300.27145
ScalesCB900.130.2210.22166
TaylorLB900.000.0910.1572
O'RileyCM9010.700.183−0.0847
McGregorCM9010.120.5130.2043
TurnbullCM580.070.020−0.0111
YangRW460.000.0610.1132
Furuhashi ST8510.550.0510.0431
PalmaLW800.090.2140.1240
M. JohnstonFW440.030.2520.1070
OhFW320.100.000−0.0200
ForrestFW1010.670.0100.1131
IwataMF510.000.0210.0310

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Mitov and Carey: 3 passesBrown and Phillips: 3 passesMcGowan and Gordon: 3 passesMcGowan and Kucheriavyi: 3 passesMcGowan and Smith: 3 passesGordon and Robinson: 3 passesGordon and Carey: 3 passesPhillips and Costelloe: 3 passesMitov and Gordon: 4 passesBrown and McGowan: 4 passesBrown and Smith: 4 passesBrown and Jaiyesimi: 4 passesKucheriavyi and Carey: 4 passesCarey and Phillips: 4 passesPhillips and Smith: 4 passesPhillips and Jaiyesimi: 4 passesKucheriavyi and Phillips: 5 passesBrown and Kucheriavyi: 6 passesMcGowan and Phillips: 6 passesRobinson and Carey: 6 passesKucheriavyi and Smith: 6 passesCarey and Costelloe: 7 passesRobinson and Phillips: 8 passesRobinson and Costelloe: 8 passesKucheriavyi and Jaiyesimi: 9 passesMitov: 8 completed passesBrown: 12 completed passesMcGowan: 20 completed passesGordon: 6 completed passesRobinson: 13 completed passesKucheriavyi: 15 completed passesCarey: 16 completed passesPhillips: 19 completed passesCostelloe: 10 completed passesSmith: 12 completed passesJaiyesimi: 7 completed passes125619151134442213MitovBrownMcGowanGordonRobinsonKucheriavyiCareyPhillipsCostelloeSmithJaiyesimiStarters until 73' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

A. Johnston and Furuhashi: 4 passesTaylor and O'Riley: 4 passesYang and Palma: 4 passesScales and Palma: 5 passesCarter-Vickers and O'Riley: 5 passesTaylor and Turnbull: 5 passesO'Riley and McGregor: 5 passesO'Riley and Palma: 5 passesMcGregor and Yang: 5 passesA. Johnston and Turnbull: 7 passesScales and Turnbull: 7 passesA. Johnston and Scales: 8 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 8 passesTaylor and Palma: 8 passesTurnbull and McGregor: 8 passesA. Johnston and O'Riley: 9 passesScales and McGregor: 9 passesO'Riley and Yang: 10 passesTurnbull and Palma: 10 passesMcGregor and Palma: 10 passesScales and Taylor: 12 passesA. Johnston and Yang: 16 passesScales and Carter-Vickers: 16 passesTaylor and McGregor: 17 passesA. Johnston and Carter-Vickers: 22 passesA. Johnston and McGregor: 27 passesHart: 7 completed passesA. Johnston: 54 completed passesScales: 31 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 35 completed passesTaylor: 26 completed passesO'Riley: 23 completed passesTurnbull: 18 completed passesMcGregor: 46 completed passesYang: 15 completed passesFuruhashi: 2 completed passesPalma: 20 completed passes1252033314421387HartA. JohnstonScalesCarter-VickersTaylorO'RileyTurnbullMcGregorYangFuruhashiPalmaStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
McGowanPhillips7
PhillipsRobinson6
CareyRobinson6
SmithKucheriavyi5
KucheriavyiJaiyesimi5

Celtic

FromToPasses
McGregorTaylor25
Carter-VickersA. Johnston24
A. JohnstonMcGregor21
McGregorA. Johnston18
ScalesCarter-Vickers17

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

7+1.910+2.122+7.911+1.47−0.58+1.29+2.011+5.110+1.96−3.22−4.94−1.12−1.20−5.61−6.32−2.41−2.03+1.61−1.92−2.720.01−0.22+0.80−1.13+0.71+0.40−0.20−0.30−0.20−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Celtic

4+1.112+8.93−6.16−0.13−1.31−5.54−0.34+0.62−4.76−1.25−0.15+1.67+3.65−1.16−1.85+0.93−0.25+2.86+3.34−1.32−2.14+1.41−1.03+0.52−2.61+0.20−0.30−0.70−0.70−1.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 14 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.020.010.030.010.010.030.030.010.020.020.010.01−0.010.010.03−0.01−0.020.010.01−0.010.06LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.010.010.040.020.020.030.090.040.040.030.080.210.140.060.130.100.040.100.05−0.010.01−0.040.060.310.24LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackSt. Johnstone0.95 → 0.95Celtic2.42 → 2.42Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.48 → 1.49Celtic0.71 → 0.71

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six6%5%−1
11th23%24%+1
Bottom33%35%+2
Celtic
Title78%81%+3
Rangers
Title22%19%−3
Livingston
Top six4%4%0
11th23%24%+1
Bottom32%32%0

From the forecast before the match (3 December 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneCeltic
Expected goals0.622.49
Win7%78%
Expected Points0.362.49
Clean sheet8%54%

St. Johnstone 7%Draw 15%Celtic 78%

Most likely score 0–2, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

Celtic goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+5%7%4%2%2%7%9%7%4%2%1%2%3%2%1%11%14%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 3 December 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawCeltic win
St. Johnstone
Top six6%12%8%5%
11th23%21%22%24%
Bottom33%22%28%35%
Celtic
Title78%63%70%81%
Rangers
Title22%37%30%19%
Livingston
Top six4%4%5%4%
11th23%20%23%24%
Bottom32%39%33%32%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–125 NovHearts (A)xG 0.85–1.44
  2. W1–011 NovRoss County (H)xG 0.69–0.21
  3. D2–27 NovMotherwell (H)xG 0.93–2.58
  4. W2–11 NovKilmarnock (H)xG 1.74–1.30
  5. L0–428 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.74–1.52
  6. D0–08 OctAberdeen (A)xG 0.33–1.01

Celtic

  1. D1–125 NovMotherwell (H)xG 3.25–0.48
  2. W6–012 NovAberdeen (H)xG 4.67–0.18
  3. W3–04 NovRoss County (A)xG 3.40–0.26
  4. W2–11 NovSt. Mirren (H)xG 3.89–0.62
  5. D0–028 OctHibernian (A)xG 1.49–0.57
  6. W4–122 OctHearts (A)xG 4.01–0.73

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneCeltic
Position11th1st
Played1314
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠5–⁠611–⁠3–⁠0
Points11 (0.85 per game)36 (2.57 per game)
Expected Points per game0.782.46
Goals8–⁠1935–⁠8
xG per game0.79–⁠1.672.93–⁠0.85
Home: points, xG per game1.29, 1.00–⁠1.472.43, 3.41–⁠0.72
Away: points, xG per game0.33, 0.55–⁠1.892.71, 2.44–⁠0.98
ManagerCraig Levein (3)Brendan Rodgers (14)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackSt. Johnstone0.95, 12thCeltic2.42, 1stDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.48, 11thCeltic0.71, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecSt. Johnstone attack: 0.95Celtic attack: 2.422.420.95CelticSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecSt. Johnstone defence: 1.48Celtic defence: 0.711.480.71

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−39%+26%+132%−15%
Counter-attacks−86%+101%+194%−87%
Set pieces−7%+31%+14%−48%
Penalties−100%−57%+216%−100%
Headers−10%+15%+32%−33%
Left side−32%−2%+106%−14%
Centre−29%+36%+105%−32%
Right side−46%+70%+107%−41%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdCeltic concededLeft side−32%−41%Centre−29%−32%Right side−46%−14%Open play−39%−15%Counter-attacks−86%−87%Set pieces−7%−48%Headers−10%−33%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+106%+70%Centre+105%+36%Right side+107%−2%Open play+132%+26%Counter-attacks+194%+101%Set pieces+14%+31%Headers+32%+15%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.79xG2.93
1.67xG against0.85
43%Possession70%
10.0Shots20.6
14.5Shots against8.0
2.3Shots on target8.1
1.0Big chances4.4
17.8Touches in the opposition box45.5
326Passes685
64%Pass accuracy85%
4.5Corners8.9
40%Field tilt79%
25.9Final-third entries75.2
7.5Box entries23.4
16.6Passes per defensive action10.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.681.10
Ahead141.062.29
Behind260.852.45

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level462.730.59
Ahead433.181.15
Behind10.900.00

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.092–0
16–300.190.202–1
31–450.050.201–4
46–600.090.280–5
61–750.130.441–6
76–900.200.462–3

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.320.144–1
16–300.590.107–1
31–450.270.124–0
46–600.520.093–1
61–750.370.183–2
76–900.860.2314–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMitov 13McClelland 5Costelloe 4McGowan 2Gordon 10Considine 11Robinson 2Brown 4Olufunwa 4McGowan 2Phillips 5Smith 4Kucheriavyi 3Robinson 5Carey 3Sprangler 2Phillips 3Sprangler 3McGowan 2Smith 3Kucheriavyi 2Carey 2May 5Costelloe 3Jephcott 3Kane 5Clark 4Carey 43-4-1-2 in 3 of 13 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 13Bain 1Johnston 10Ralston 4Carter-Vickers 8Lagerbielke 4Phillips 2Scales 12Nawrocki 2Taylor 14O'Riley 13Bernardo 2McGregor 14Turnbull 7Hatate 4Holm 2Maeda 5Yang 4Abada 3Furuhashi 13Oh 1Palma 6Maeda 6Yang 24-3-3 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 August 2023Celtic0–0St. JohnstonexG 2.02–0.28
5 February 2023St. Johnstone1–4CelticxG 0.26–2.02
24 December 2022Celtic4–1St. JohnstonexG 2.89–1.03
8 October 2022St. Johnstone1–2CelticxG 0.43–1.66
9 April 2022Celtic7–0St. JohnstonexG 4.73–0.06
26 December 2021St. Johnstone1–3CelticxG 0.26–2.57

11 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 0, Celtic won 9, and 2 were drawn. Goals 6–31 and xG 0.56–2.34 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kucheriavyi5498200.220.11
Carey11990120.040.19
Kane5510000.170.04
Robinson11990010.050.11

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Turnbull7542700.870.41
Palma6487450.500.47
Furuhashi131,009620.640.14
O'Riley131,120650.410.33

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.