Matches › 2022/23

St. Johnstone 1–4 Celtic

Sunday 5 February 2023, 12:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 25 · Half-time 1–3 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 7,758

St. Johnstone Wright 25' · Considine sent off 90+2'

Celtic Considine 13' (og), Furuhashi 22', Mooy 38', Turnbull 90+3'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	St. Johnstone	Celtic
Goals	1	4
xG	0.26	2.02
Expected Points	0.20	2.67

St. Johnstone 2%Draw 13%Celtic 85%

Most likely score 0–2, 26%. Final score 1–4, 2%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.26 −0.68xG2.02 −0.43

0.60 −0.32xG on target2.29 −0.19

6 −4Shots12 −7

2 −1.0Shots on target4 −3.4

1 −0.5Big chances3 −0.4

9 −6Touches in the opposition box33 −8

29% −13Possession71% −1

272 −58Passes703 +50

68% +1Pass accuracy85% −2

31% −6Field tilt69% −12

30 +2Final-third entries59 −24

6 −1.6Box entries18 −6.6

51.7 +34.4Passes per defensive action7.3 −2.2

3 −0.2Corners4 −3.6

10 −8Tackles18 +5

13 +1.6Interceptions11 +3.1

14 −10Clearances24 +9

1 −1.7Saves1 −0.6

5 −6Fouls11 0

1 −0.5Offsides5 +2.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

St. Johnstone

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.14 4 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.98 11 shots, 2 goals

0.12 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.04 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–11–21–3

Level: 13 min (13%) · St. Johnstone 0.00, Celtic 0.00 xG
Celtic ahead: 84 min (87%) · St. Johnstone 0.26, Celtic 2.02 xG

Line-ups

St. Johnstone substitutes

69' Wotherspoon for Wright
79' Hallberg for Phillips
79' Rudden for May
84' Murphy for McLennan
84' Bair for Carey

Celtic substitutes

68' Abada for Hatate
69' O'Riley for Maeda · 1 assist
79' Turnbull for Mooy · goal 90+3'
79' Oh for Furuhashi
86' Haksabanovic for Jota

Players

St. Johnstone

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Matthews	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Wright	RWB	69	1		0.03	0.03	0	0.07	4	3
Brown	CB	90			0.00	0.02	1	0.06	2	5
Mitchell	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.02	3	6
Considine	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	6
Gallacher	LWB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.04	4	5
Carey	RM	84		1	0.03	0.03	2	−0.01	3	2
MacPherson	CM	90			0.07	0.01	0	0.04	5	2
Phillips	CM	79			0.03	0.02	1	0.03	5	4
McLennan	LM	84			0.00	0.05	1	0.02	4	7
May	ST	79			0.05	0.01	0	0.00	2	1
Wotherspoon	MF	21			0.06	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Hallberg	MF	11			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Rudden	FW	11			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Murphy	MF	6			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	0
Bair	FW	6			0.00	0.00	0	–	–	0

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	3
Johnston	RB	90			0.00	0.04	0	0.07	6	5
Carter-Vickers	CB	90			0.00	0.03	2	0.13	7	8
Starfelt	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.15	3	9
Taylor	LB	90			0.00	0.06	1	0.15	13	6
Mooy	CM	79	1		0.57	0.14	1	0.06	5	2
McGregor	CM	90			0.00	0.11	1	0.12	4	8
Hatate	CM	68			0.00	0.11	0	0.09	4	2
Jota	RW	86		1	0.28	0.41	2	0.26	7	3
Furuhashi	ST	79	1		0.94	0.02	0	0.03	1	3
Maeda	LW	69			0.00	0.02	0	0.02	3	5
Abada	FW	22			0.05	0.01	0	0.01	1	0
O'Riley	MF	21		1	0.03	0.09	1	0.01	3	1
Turnbull	MF	11	1		0.15	0.02	1	0.01	0	0
Oh	FW	11			0.00	0.08	1	−0.04	0	0
Haksabanovic	FW	4			0.00	0.07	0	0.09	2	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

From	To	Passes
Brown	Carey	12
Wright	Carey	10
McLennan	Phillips	7
Carey	Wright	6
Phillips	Gallacher	6

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Starfelt	Carter-Vickers	31
Starfelt	Taylor	31
Carter-Vickers	Starfelt	30
Taylor	Starfelt	29
McGregor	Taylor	22

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

Against its average of 24 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 24 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
St. Johnstone
Top six	18%	15%	−3
11th	3%	4%	+1
Bottom	1%	1%	0
Celtic
Title	93%	95%	+2
Rangers
Title	7%	5%	−2
St. Mirren
Top six	63%	64%	+1

From the forecast before the match (5 February 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	St. Johnstone	Celtic
Expected goals	0.62	2.20
Win	9%	73%
Expected Points	0.44	2.38
Clean sheet	11%	54%

St. Johnstone 9%Draw 18%Celtic 73%

Most likely score 0–2, 15%. Both sides score 41%.

From the forecast as it stood on 5 February 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	St. Johnstone win	Draw	Celtic win
St. Johnstone
Top six	18%	38%	21%	15%
11th	3%	1%	2%	4%
Bottom	1%	<1%	1%	1%
Celtic
Title	93%	85%	90%	95%
Rangers
Title	7%	15%	10%	5%
St. Mirren
Top six	63%	56%	63%	64%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	St. Johnstone	Celtic
Position	8th	1st
Played	24	24
Won, drawn, lost	8–⁠3–⁠13	22–⁠1–⁠1
Points	27 (1.12 per game)	67 (2.79 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.16	2.43
Goals	28–⁠38	74–⁠17
xG per game	0.94–⁠1.29	2.45–⁠0.64
Home: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.05–⁠1.06	3.00, 2.47–⁠0.52
Away: points, xG per game	1.23, 0.85–⁠1.47	2.58, 2.44–⁠0.76
Manager	Callum Davidson (100)	Ange Postecoglou (62)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	St. Johnstone		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−21%	+13%	+125%	−61%
Counter-attacks	−74%	−73%	+67%	−83%
Set pieces	−44%	−12%	+51%	−46%
Penalties	−16%	−37%	−37%	+6%
Headers	−51%	−5%	+69%	−42%
Left side	−37%	+7%	+72%	−54%
Centre	−24%	−9%	+146%	−57%
Right side	−30%	+19%	+69%	−66%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdCeltic concededLeft side−37%−66%Centre−24%−57%Right side−30%−54%Open play−21%−61%Counter-attacks−74%−83%Set pieces−44%−46%Headers−51%−42%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+72%+19%Centre+146%−9%Right side+69%+7%Open play+125%+13%Counter-attacks+67%−73%Set pieces+51%−12%Headers+69%−5%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.94xG2.45

1.29xG against0.64

42%Possession72%

10.0Shots19.1

14.2Shots against6.6

3.0Shots on target7.4

1.5Big chances3.4

15.3Touches in the opposition box40.9

330Passes653

67%Pass accuracy87%

3.2Corners7.6

37%Field tilt80%

27.8Final-third entries83.0

7.6Box entries24.6

17.3Passes per defensive action9.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	39	0.83	1.28
Ahead	20	0.73	0.78
Behind	31	1.23	1.61

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	29	2.42	0.50
Ahead	56	2.49	0.70
Behind	4	2.14	0.83

xG by period

St. Johnstone

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.08	0.28	4–6
16–30	0.15	0.14	3–3
31–45	0.15	0.24	3–10
46–60	0.17	0.18	3–4
61–75	0.17	0.19	6–4
76–90	0.23	0.26	9–11

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.38	0.08	14–1
16–30	0.24	0.07	6–0
31–45	0.47	0.15	16–4
46–60	0.44	0.16	14–7
61–75	0.25	0.10	6–2
76–90	0.67	0.08	18–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

Formations: 5-3-2 (7), 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-1-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (22), 4-2-3-1 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
24 December 2022	Celtic	4–1	St. Johnstone	xG 2.89–1.03
8 October 2022	St. Johnstone	1–2	Celtic	xG 0.43–1.66
9 April 2022	Celtic	7–0	St. Johnstone	xG 4.73–0.06
26 December 2021	St. Johnstone	1–3	Celtic	xG 0.26–2.57
23 October 2021	Celtic	2–0	St. Johnstone	xG 2.70–0.13
12 May 2021	Celtic	4–0	St. Johnstone	xG 2.22–1.53

9 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 0, Celtic won 8, and 1 was a draw. Goals 5–27 and xG 0.63–2.41 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
May	16	1,465	4	5	0.23	0.11
Clark	17	1,338	4	2	0.26	0.06
Carey	16	1,309	3	0	0.24	0.06
McLennan	3	539	1	1	0.19	0.05

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Abada	9	1,062	8	3	0.55	0.42
Giakoumakis	4	685	6	1	0.87	0.09
Forrest	5	469	4	2	0.58	0.26
Jota	16	1,325	7	7	0.38	0.46

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.