Matches › 2024/25

St. Johnstone 0–6 Celtic

Saturday 28 September 2024, 17:45 · McDiarmid Park · Round 6 · Half-time 0–3 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 7,036

Celtic Furuhashi 35', 45', Bernardo 43', McGregor 54', Maeda 72', Idah 83'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	St. Johnstone	Celtic
Goals	0	6
xG	0.32	3.38
Expected Points	0.05	2.91

St. Johnstone 1%Draw 4%Celtic 96%

Most likely score 0–3, 19%. Final score 0–6, 5%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.32 −0.63xG3.38 +0.86

0.47 −0.28xG on target5.36 +3.25

5 −6Shots19 −2

1 −2.2Shots on target11 +3.4

0 −1.0Big chances8 +3.0

11 −5Touches in the opposition box40 −1

23% −30Possession77% +6

206 −169Passes684 −30

65% −7Pass accuracy90% +2

11% −38Field tilt89% +10

17 −21Final-third entries85 +20

4 −5.3Box entries22 +0.4

40.0 +28.0Passes per defensive action7.0 −1.8

3 −3.0Corners13 +5.6

14 −1Tackles14 −4

8 −0.5Interceptions7 −2.0

40 +11Clearances10 −9

5 +2.5Saves1 −0.8

9 −4.2Fouls8 −1.0

1 −0.5Offsides0 −2.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

St. Johnstone

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.02 1 shot, 0 goalsOpen play2.67 15 shots, 4 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.63 2 shots, 1 goal

0.30 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.08 2 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–10–30–40–50–6

Level: 35 min (36%) · St. Johnstone 0.14, Celtic 1.62 xG
Celtic ahead: 62 min (64%) · St. Johnstone 0.18, Celtic 1.76 xG

Line-ups

St. Johnstone substitutes

34' Essel for Cameron
58' MacPherson for Clark
73' Keltjens for Kirk
73' McPake for Raymond

Celtic substitutes

46' Valle for Taylor · 1 assist
66' Hatate for Engels
66' Idah for Furuhashi · goal 83'
66' Forrest for Kühn
75' McCowan for McGregor

Players

St. Johnstone

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Sinclair	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	1
Neilson	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	5
Sanders	CB	90	0.15	0.00	0	0.01	2	14
Cameron	CB	34	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	5
Wright	RWB	90	0.00	0.09	0	0.13	4	6
Carey	CM	90	0.00	0.03	0	0.01	0	4
Sprangler	CM	90	0.06	0.00	1	−0.01	2	5
Smith	CM	90	0.00	0.20	1	0.03	1	4
Raymond	LWB	73	0.02	0.00	0	0.04	4	4
Kirk	ST	73	0.00	0.00	0	−0.04	0	0
Clark	ST	58	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	4
Essel	MF	56	0.09	0.06	1	0.09	3	5
MacPherson	MF	32	0.00	0.00	1	0.00	1	2
Keltjens	MF	17	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	4
McPake	FW	17	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Schmeichel	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	1
Johnston	RB	90			0.00	0.47	1	0.31	9	5
Trusty	CB	90			0.06	0.04	1	0.20	7	3
Scales	CB	90			0.00	0.03	0	0.17	8	5
Taylor	LB	46		1	0.05	0.21	1	0.22	3	1
Engels	CM	66			0.00	0.36	1	0.10	2	1
McGregor	CM	75	1		0.03	0.63	1	0.16	5	3
Bernardo	CM	90	1	1	0.18	0.18	4	−0.03	5	2
Kühn	RW	66		2	0.33	0.23	2	0.26	12	2
Furuhashi	ST	66	2	1	1.80	0.07	1	0.02	1	1
Maeda	LW	90	1		0.16	0.04	0	0.00	4	3
Valle	DF	44		1	0.00	0.32	1	−0.02	2	4
Hatate	MF	24			0.00	0.02	0	−0.01	0	0
Idah	FW	24	1		0.65	0.01	0	0.00	0	0
Forrest	FW	24			0.00	0.04	0	−0.02	2	0
McCowan	MF	15			0.12	0.46	0	0.09	4	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

From	To	Passes
Raymond	Kirk	5
Essel	Carey	5
Essel	Sanders	5
Kirk	Smith	4
Raymond	Neilson	4

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Trusty	Scales	33
Trusty	Johnston	30
Scales	Trusty	27
Johnston	Trusty	25
Johnston	Kühn	17

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

Against its average of 6 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
St. Johnstone
Top six	6%	5%	−1
11th	22%	22%	0
Bottom	36%	38%	+2
Celtic
Title	90%	91%	+1
Rangers
Title	10%	9%	−1

From the forecast before the match (28 September 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	St. Johnstone	Celtic
Expected goals	0.63	2.60
Win	6%	79%
Expected Points	0.33	2.52
Clean sheet	7%	53%

St. Johnstone 6%Draw 14%Celtic 79%

Most likely score 0–2, 13%. Both sides score 43%.

From the forecast as it stood on 28 September 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	St. Johnstone win	Draw	Celtic win
St. Johnstone
Top six	6%	12%	7%	5%
11th	22%	20%	23%	22%
Bottom	36%	27%	30%	38%
Celtic
Title	90%	83%	87%	91%
Rangers
Title	10%	17%	13%	9%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	St. Johnstone	Celtic
Position	10th	2nd
Played	6	5
Won, drawn, lost	1–⁠1–⁠4	5–⁠0–⁠0
Points	4 (0.67 per game)	15 (3.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.12	2.60
Goals	8–⁠11	14–⁠0
xG per game	0.95–⁠1.29	2.52–⁠0.45
Home: points, xG per game	0.00, 0.78–⁠1.34	3.00, 2.51–⁠0.66
Away: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.04–⁠1.26	3.00, 2.53–⁠0.12
Manager	Andy Kirk (1)	Brendan Rodgers (43)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	St. Johnstone		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−30%	−1%	+135%	−46%
Counter-attacks	−71%	−68%	+134%	−81%
Set pieces	−26%	+48%	−23%	−80%
Penalties	−8%	−100%	+27%	−93%
Headers	−36%	+25%	−24%	−64%
Left side	−12%	+49%	+130%	−54%
Centre	−40%	−6%	+57%	−62%
Right side	−36%	−14%	+132%	−56%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdCeltic concededLeft side−12%−56%Centre−40%−62%Right side−36%−54%Open play−30%−46%Counter-attacks−71%−81%Set pieces−26%−80%Headers−36%−64%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+130%−14%Centre+57%−6%Right side+132%+49%Open play+135%−1%Counter-attacks+134%−68%Set pieces−23%+48%Headers−24%+25%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.95xG2.52

1.29xG against0.45

53%Possession71%

10.5Shots20.8

13.7Shots against6.2

3.2Shots on target7.6

1.0Big chances5.0

16.2Touches in the opposition box40.8

375Passes714

71%Pass accuracy88%

6.0Corners7.4

49%Field tilt79%

37.8Final-third entries65.2

9.3Box entries21.6

12.0Passes per defensive action8.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	33	1.09	1.31
Ahead	20	1.31	1.93
Behind	38	0.65	0.94

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	18	3.92	0.40
Ahead	72	2.15	0.46
Behind	0	–	–

xG by period

St. Johnstone

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.08	0.07	1–1
16–30	0.07	0.19	0–2
31–45	0.37	0.24	2–1
46–60	0.11	0.14	1–1
61–75	0.09	0.25	1–2
76–90	0.24	0.39	3–4

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.47	0.08	2–0
16–30	0.30	0.03	3–0
31–45	0.59	0.00	3–0
46–60	0.56	0.07	2–0
61–75	0.36	0.06	2–0
76–90	0.23	0.20	2–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

Formations: 3-5-2 (4), 4-4-2 (2)

Celtic

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
16 March 2024	Celtic	3–1	St. Johnstone	xG 4.02–0.73
3 December 2023	St. Johnstone	1–3	Celtic	xG 1.36–2.53
26 August 2023	Celtic	0–0	St. Johnstone	xG 2.02–0.28
5 February 2023	St. Johnstone	1–4	Celtic	xG 0.26–2.02
24 December 2022	Celtic	4–1	St. Johnstone	xG 2.89–1.03
8 October 2022	St. Johnstone	1–2	Celtic	xG 0.43–1.66

13 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 0, Celtic won 11, and 2 were drawn. Goals 8–37 and xG 0.64–2.48 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Raymond	6	504	0	1	0.14	0.04
Smith	6	517	0	0	0.05	0.13
Wright	6	529	1	0	0.04	0.09
Neilson	6	540	0	0	0.06	0.04

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Idah	6	697	8	2	0.98	0.08
Forrest	9	895	6	4	0.66	0.37
Palma	18	1,525	7	9	0.49	0.46
Furuhashi	35	2,844	15	6	0.69	0.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.