Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Celtic 5–1 Aberdeen

Tuesday 25 February 2025, 20:00 · Celtic Park · Round 28 · Half-time 3–0 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 58,756

Celtic Maeda 25', 90+2', Jota 30', McGregor 45', Yang 72'

Aberdeen Morris 90'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticAberdeen
Goals51
xG2.720.85
Expected Points2.620.25

Celtic 83%Draw 13%Aberdeen 4%

Most likely score 2–1, 13%. Final score 5–1, 2%.

Aberdeen goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+5%6%2%6%5%1%6%7%3%2%2%12%13%12%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTYang on for Jota, McCowan on for Hatate, and Idah on for Kühn, 59'Bonnar on for Engels, 80'Scales on for Schlupp, 81'Gueye on for Nisbet and Morris on for Okkels, 46'Dorrington on for Tobers, 62'Clarkson on for Nilsen, 71'Boyd on for Dabbagh, 80'Maeda 25'Jota 30'McGregor 45'Yang 72'Maeda 90+2'Morris 90'Celtic 2.72Aberdeen 0.8501230153045607590HTYang on for Jota, McCowan on for Hatate, and Idah on for Kühn, 59'Bonnar on for Engels, 80'Scales on for Schlupp, 81'Gueye on for Nisbet and Morris on for Okkels, 46'Dorrington on for Tobers, 62'Clarkson on for Nilsen, 71'Boyd on for Dabbagh, 80'Maeda 25'Jota 30'McGregor 45'Yang 72'Maeda 90+2'Morris 90'2.720.85CelticAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticAberdeen

2.72 +0.10xG0.85 −0.36
4.02 +1.19xG on target0.12 −1.22
16 −3Shots8 −4
7 −0.3Shots on target1 −2.9
4 −0.7Big chances4 +2.3
22 −17Touches in the opposition box8 −17
69% −6Possession31% −23
781 +58Passes340 −97
90% +1Pass accuracy75% −2
69% −14Field tilt31% −21
61 −18Final-third entries25 −12
15 −8Box entries4 −9
15.6 +6.6Passes per defensive action27.1 +13.9
4 −5.3Corners3 −2.6
14 −1Tackles17 0
6 +0.6Interceptions4 −2.6
19 −1Clearances19 −13
0 −2.2Saves2 −0.8
8 −1.3Fouls13 +1.7
0 −1.8Offsides3 +1.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Jota 16', 0.12 xGTrusty 16', 0.09 xGSchlupp 70', 0.07 xGIdah 75', 0.07 xGMaeda 82', 0.05 xGHatate 24', 0.04 xGMcGregor 20', 0.03 xGKühn 45', 0.03 xGEngels 45+2', 0.03 xGEngels 78', 0.03 xGHatate 56', 0.02 xGMaeda 90+2', 0.94 xG, goalJota 30', 0.47 xG, goalMaeda 24', 0.31 xG, goalYang 72', 0.31 xG, goalMcGregor 45', 0.10 xG, goal35%0.94 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.94 xG, 1 goal47%1.29 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 1.29 xG, 4 goals7%0.20 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals11%0.29 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.29 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Okkels 34', 0.32 xGNisbet 10', 0.23 xGMorris 63', 0.13 xGOkkels 13', 0.05 xGMacKenzie 20', 0.02 xGNisbet 30', 0.02 xGShinnie 71', 0.02 xGMorris 90', 0.06 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals38%0.32 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.32 xG, 0 goals22%0.19 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.19 xG, 1 goal40%0.34 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.34 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticAberdeen

2.15 14 shots, 4 goalsOpen play0.66 6 shots, 0 goals
0.47 1 shot, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.19 2 shots, 1 goal
0.09 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
25 min (26%) · Celtic 0.59, Aberdeen 0.30 xG
Celtic ahead
70 min (74%) · Celtic 2.13, Aberdeen 0.55 xG

Line-ups

122061527424110387SchmeichelJohnstonCarter-VickersTrustySchluppEngelsMcGregorHatateKühnMaedaJotaGoalYellow cardGoalGoalGoal81'80'59'59'59'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers31282453648111169DoohanJensenTobersKnoesterMacKenzieNilsenShinnieKeskinenDabbaghOkkelsNisbet62'71'80'46'46'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Jimmy Thelin

Celtic substitutes

  • 59' McCowan for Hatate · 1 assist
  • 59' Idah for Kühn
  • 59' Yang for Jota · goal 72'
  • 80' Bonnar for Engels
  • 81' Scales for Schlupp

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 46' Gueye for Nisbet · 1 assist
  • 46' Morris for Okkels · goal 90'
  • 62' Dorrington for Tobers
  • 71' Clarkson for Nilsen
  • 80' Boyd for Dabbagh

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchmeichelGK900.000.0000.0111
JohnstonRB9010.000.1910.2882
Carter-VickersCB900.000.0100.1478
TrustyCB900.090.0100.1586
SchluppLB810.070.0200.0156
EngelsCM8020.050.3860.0353
McGregor CM9010.120.0410.0217
HatateCM590.060.2130.1512
KühnRW590.030.0600.1341
MaedaST9021.310.0200.0114
JotaLW5910.590.1000.20120
McCowanMF3110.000.1230.0611
IdahFW310.070.0100.0320
YangFW3110.310.0710.1651
BonnarMF100.000.0000.0010
ScalesDF90.000.0000.0330

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
DoohanGK900.000.0000.0120
JensenRB900.000.0100.0148
TobersCB620.000.0000.0218
KnoesterCB900.000.0300.0866
MacKenzieLB900.020.010−0.0113
NilsenDM710.000.020−0.0102
ShinnieDM900.020.3610.1156
KeskinenRW900.000.021−0.0134
DabbaghAM800.000.000−0.0101
OkkelsLW460.370.0120.0222
NisbetST460.250.1910.0010
GueyeMF4410.000.0210.0421
MorrisFW4410.190.0000.0441
DorringtonDF280.000.0000.0010
ClarksonMF190.000.0100.0330
BoydMF100.000.0000.0010

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Hatate and Kühn: 6 passesMcGregor and Kühn: 6 passesJohnston and McGregor: 7 passesEngels and Hatate: 7 passesEngels and McGregor: 7 passesTrusty and Jota: 8 passesHatate and McGregor: 8 passesMcGregor and Jota: 8 passesTrusty and McGregor: 9 passesCarter-Vickers and Kühn: 9 passesEngels and Kühn: 9 passesCarter-Vickers and Hatate: 10 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 10 passesHatate and Jota: 10 passesJohnston and Kühn: 12 passesSchlupp and Hatate: 14 passesSchlupp and McGregor: 14 passesCarter-Vickers and Engels: 15 passesTrusty and Hatate: 16 passesJohnston and Engels: 18 passesSchlupp and Jota: 20 passesSchmeichel and Carter-Vickers: 21 passesJohnston and Carter-Vickers: 22 passesSchmeichel and Trusty: 23 passesTrusty and Carter-Vickers: 30 passesTrusty and Schlupp: 30 passesSchmeichel: 31 completed passesJohnston: 38 completed passesTrusty: 65 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 65 completed passesSchlupp: 51 completed passesEngels: 33 completed passesHatate: 37 completed passesMcGregor: 36 completed passesKühn: 23 completed passesMaeda: 8 completed passesJota: 23 completed passes126201527414210387SchmeichelJohnstonTrustyCarter-VickersSchluppEngelsHatateMcGregorKühnMaedaJotaStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Aberdeen

Jensen and Dabbagh: 3 passesTobers and Keskinen: 3 passesKnoester and Keskinen: 3 passesOkkels and Dabbagh: 3 passesJensen and Shinnie: 4 passesJensen and Nisbet: 4 passesKnoester and Nilsen: 4 passesKnoester and Shinnie: 4 passesMacKenzie and Shinnie: 4 passesMacKenzie and Okkels: 4 passesShinnie and Keskinen: 5 passesNilsen and Keskinen: 6 passesShinnie and Nisbet: 6 passesDoohan and Knoester: 7 passesNilsen and Shinnie: 7 passesJensen and Tobers: 8 passesTobers and Nilsen: 8 passesTobers and Shinnie: 8 passesShinnie and Okkels: 8 passesTobers and Knoester: 11 passesKnoester and MacKenzie: 11 passesJensen and Nilsen: 12 passesDoohan: 4 completed passesJensen: 18 completed passesTobers: 22 completed passesKnoester: 22 completed passesMacKenzie: 14 completed passesNilsen: 27 completed passesShinnie: 27 completed passesKeskinen: 9 completed passesNisbet: 9 completed passesOkkels: 8 completed passesDabbagh: 8 completed passes31282453648191611DoohanJensenTobersKnoesterMacKenzieNilsenShinnieKeskinenNisbetOkkelsDabbaghStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
Carter-VickersTrusty33
TrustyCarter-Vickers28
SchmeichelCarter-Vickers26
TrustySchlupp26
SchmeichelTrusty24

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
NilsenJensen12
MacKenzieKnoester11
KnoesterDoohan9
TobersKnoester9
ShinnieTobers8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

1−2.63−0.290.02−2.85+1.49+4.010+5.16+1.34−2.26−1.01−2.85+1.24+1.04−1.35−0.86+2.73−0.75+3.07+3.34−0.21−1.64+2.01−0.34+1.33+0.50−1.20−0.61+0.10−0.81−0.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

Aberdeen

4−1.47+0.813−4.74−4.13−3.17+0.27+1.47+1.95−2.76−1.312+6.66+2.42−1.63−2.66+0.36+2.330.01−1.64+0.72−2.22+0.13+1.62+0.63+1.55+2.14+3.40−0.30−0.40−0.40−0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.010.030.010.030.010.020.040.030.080.070.020.140.050.050.070.020.05−0.030.020.230.230.19LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.030.020.020.010.02−0.010.010.02−0.010.01−0.01−0.020.050.060.06LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackCeltic2.39 → 2.42Aberdeen1.17 → 1.15Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.73 → 0.73Aberdeen1.46 → 1.49

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title>99%>99%0
Aberdeen
Top six97%97%0

From the forecast before the match (25 February 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticAberdeen
Expected goals3.080.58
Win86%4%
Expected Points2.680.22
Clean sheet56%5%

Celtic 86%Draw 10%Aberdeen 4%

Most likely score 3–0, 13%. Both sides score 42%.

Aberdeen goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+3%1%8%5%1%7%2%7%2%6%2%6%3%1%5%3%12%13%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 25 February 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawAberdeen win
Celtic
Title>99%>99%>99%99%
Aberdeen
Top six97%97%99%>99%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. L1–222 FebHibernian (A)xG 1.78–0.67
  2. W3–015 FebDundee United (H)xG 1.64–0.16
  3. W6–05 FebDundee FC (H)xG 2.64–0.48
  4. W3–12 FebMotherwell (A)xG 3.26–0.52
  5. D3–314 JanDundee FC (A)xG 2.12–0.66
  6. W4–111 JanRoss County (A)xG 4.20–0.97

Aberdeen

  1. W1–022 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 1.08–0.43
  2. W2–115 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.80–1.81
  3. L0–21 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.48–1.60
  4. L0–325 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.41–1.78
  5. L0–315 JanRangers (A)xG 0.29–3.34
  6. D0–012 JanHearts (H)xG 1.10–1.54

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticAberdeen
Position1st3rd
Played2727
Won, drawn, lost22–⁠3–⁠212–⁠5–⁠10
Points69 (2.56 per game)41 (1.52 per game)
Expected Points per game2.411.13
Goals77–⁠1435–⁠39
xG per game2.62–⁠0.711.21–⁠1.65
Home: points, xG per game2.85, 3.01–⁠0.601.86, 1.46–⁠1.33
Away: points, xG per game2.29, 2.25–⁠0.811.15, 0.95–⁠1.99
ManagerBrendan Rodgers (65)Jimmy Thelin (27)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackCeltic2.39, 1stAberdeen1.17, 7thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.73, 1stAberdeen1.46, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebCeltic attack: 2.39Aberdeen attack: 1.172.391.17AberdeenCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebCeltic defence: 0.73Aberdeen defence: 1.461.460.73

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+120%−45%−3%+18%
Counter-attacks+71%−28%−34%−28%
Set pieces+17%−66%−13%+32%
Penalties+58%−55%−77%−9%
Headers+31%−63%−13%+21%
Left side+95%−30%+9%+12%
Centre+91%−53%−13%+17%
Right side+67%−63%−16%+27%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdAberdeen concededLeft side+95%+27%Centre+91%+17%Right side+67%+12%Open play+120%+18%Counter-attacks+71%−28%Set pieces+17%+32%Headers+31%+21%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdCeltic concededLeft side+9%−63%Centre−13%−53%Right side−16%−30%Open play−3%−45%Counter-attacks−34%−28%Set pieces−13%−66%Headers−13%−63%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticAberdeen

2.62xG1.21
0.71xG against1.65
75%Possession54%
19.3Shots11.7
7.1Shots against13.9
7.3Shots on target3.9
4.7Big chances1.7
39.1Touches in the opposition box25.4
723Passes437
89%Pass accuracy77%
9.3Corners5.6
83%Field tilt52%
78.7Final-third entries37.0
22.7Box entries13.3
9.0Passes per defensive action13.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level332.680.67
Ahead492.780.68
Behind81.361.08

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level481.121.54
Ahead201.221.83
Behind221.401.71

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.320.106–2
16–300.340.1112–1
31–450.500.1116–3
46–600.500.1413–4
61–750.390.1211–1
76–900.560.1419–3

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.203–2
16–300.160.214–8
31–450.170.325–8
46–600.230.189–5
61–750.180.295–4
76–900.300.459–12

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 27Johnston 22Ralston 5Carter-Vicke… 20Carter-VickersWelsh 1Trusty 17Scales 16Taylor 19Valle 7Schlupp 1Engels 15McCowan 11Bernardo 11McGregor 24Hatate 18Kühn 16Yang 5Forrest 3Idah 14Furuhashi 13Maeda 19Yang 3Jota 24-3-3 in 24 of 27 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (24), 4-5-1 (1), 4-1-2-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 17Doohan 10Devlin 24Jensen 2Milne 1Rubezic 20Tobers 6MacDonald 4Molloy 19Nilsen 2Knoester 2MacKenzie 20McGarry 5Jensen 2Shinnie 21Palaversa 9Keskinen 2Nilsen 21Keskinen 16Morris 5Duk 2Clarkson 13Gueye 5McGrath 4McGrath 13Okkels 5Duk 5Nisbet 12Sokler 11Gueye 24-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
4 December 2024Aberdeen0–1CelticxG 0.88–1.62
19 October 2024Celtic2–2AberdeenxG 3.21–1.10
3 February 2024Aberdeen1–1CelticxG 1.22–2.04
12 November 2023Celtic6–0AberdeenxG 4.67–0.18
13 August 2023Aberdeen1–3CelticxG 1.76–2.94
27 May 2023Celtic5–0AberdeenxG 3.56–0.00

16 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 12, Aberdeen won 0, and 4 were drawn. Goals 38–12 and xG 2.26–0.85 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi151,3331030.930.08
Engels151,330840.540.41
Idah141,166800.700.16
Kühn161,3521060.510.31

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Gueye8624500.510.06
McGrath191,567460.240.22
Duk8936020.250.20
Nisbet121,092540.310.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.