Matches › 2023/24

Celtic 3–1 St. Johnstone

Saturday 16 March 2024, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 30 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Euan Anderson · Attendance 58,880

Celtic Furuhashi 40', Kühn 46', Forrest 68'

St. Johnstone C. Smith 81'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Celtic	St. Johnstone
Goals	3	1
xG	4.02	0.73
Expected Points	2.88	0.08

Celtic 94%Draw 4%St. Johnstone 1%

Most likely score 4–0, 10%. Final score 3–1, 9%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticSt. Johnstone

4.02 +1.36xG0.73 −0.15

3.64 +0.99xG on target1.33 +0.49

23 +2.8Shots6 −3.2

10 +2.6Shots on target2 −0.7

12 +8.1Big chances2 +0.7

72 +28Touches in the opposition box6 −9

74% +4Possession26% −18

741 +80Passes268 −68

88% +3Pass accuracy65% 0

92% +12Field tilt8% −31

99 +22Final-third entries14 −12

32 +7.8Box entries2 −4.9

11.9 +2Passes per defensive action20.1 +4

10 +0.5Corners2 −1.7

14 −1Tackles21 +4

4 −1.2Interceptions7 −2.2

12 −3Clearances37 +11

1 −0.8Saves4 +0.4

6 −4Fouls13 +1

5 +3.0Offsides2 +0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Celtic

St. Johnstone

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticSt. Johnstone

2.33 11 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.49 3 shots, 1 goal

0.10 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.03 1 shot, 0 goals

1.59 11 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.21 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–03–03–1

Level: 40 min (40%) · Celtic 1.75, St. Johnstone 0.03 xG
Celtic ahead: 60 min (60%) · Celtic 2.26, St. Johnstone 0.70 xG

Line-ups

Celtic substitutes

63' Kelly for Bernardo
63' Forrest for Kühn · goal 68'
75' Holm for Carter-Vickers
75' Idah for Furuhashi
86' Lagerbielke for O'Riley

St. Johnstone substitutes

25' Kucheriavyi for Sprangler
63' Kimpioka for Sidibeh
64' Gallacher for Robinson
74' C. Smith for M. Smith · goal 81'
74' May for Carey

Players

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	0	1
Johnston	RB	90			0.00	0.20	0	0.20	17	5
Carter-Vickers	CB	75			0.09	0.08	2	0.09	15	5
Welsh	CB	90			0.32	0.06	1	0.15	12	4
Taylor	LB	90			0.03	0.14	0	0.15	13	5
O'Riley	CM	86		1	0.05	0.51	4	0.12	5	3
Iwata	CM	90			0.42	0.26	1	0.23	4	1
Bernardo	CM	63			0.05	0.06	0	−0.06	1	1
Kühn	RW	63	1	1	0.74	0.70	3	0.37	15	3
Furuhashi	ST	75	1	1	0.83	0.40	1	0.22	5	0
Maeda	LW	90			0.66	0.13	0	0.09	2	5
Kelly	MF	27			0.00	0.03	0	−0.01	2	0
Forrest	FW	27	1		0.34	0.06	0	0.14	2	0
Holm	MF	15			0.00	0.04	2	0.03	1	1
Idah	FW	15			0.47	0.01	0	0.01	0	0
Lagerbielke	DF	4			0.00	0.01	0	0.04	3	0

St. Johnstone

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Mitov	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
McGowan	CB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	9
Gordon	CB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	11
Considine	CB	90		0.16	0.00	0	0.01	0	7
Keltjens	RWB	90		0.00	0.02	0	0.04	2	8
Sprangler	CM	25		0.00	0.00	1	0.02	1	1
Phillips	CM	90		0.05	0.01	1	0.00	1	8
M. Smith	CM	74		0.00	0.01	0	−0.02	1	3
Robinson	LWB	64		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	10
Carey	AM	74		0.00	0.07	1	−0.01	2	5
Sidibeh	ST	63		0.03	0.00	0	0.02	2	1
Kucheriavyi	MF	65		0.00	0.01	0	0.00	1	5
Kimpioka	FW	27		0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Gallacher	DF	26		0.00	0.14	1	0.20	4	3
C. Smith	MF	16	1	0.38	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
May	FW	16		0.11	0.00	0	0.01	1	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

St. Johnstone

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Iwata	Johnston	37
Taylor	Iwata	34
Welsh	Taylor	31
Johnston	O'Riley	23
Iwata	Taylor	22

St. Johnstone

From	To	Passes
Considine	Gordon	7
Gordon	McGowan	5
Carey	M. Smith	5
M. Smith	Carey	5
Keltjens	M. Smith	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

Against its average of 29 matches

St. Johnstone

Against its average of 29 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

St. Johnstone

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Celtic
Title	35%	37%	+2
St. Johnstone
Top six	<1%	–	0
11th	16%	16%	0
Bottom	1%	1%	0
Rangers
Title	65%	63%	−2
Ross County
11th	62%	61%	−1
Bottom	13%	14%	+1

From the forecast before the match (16 March 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Celtic	St. Johnstone
Expected goals	3.08	0.50
Win	87%	3%
Expected Points	2.71	0.19
Clean sheet	60%	5%

Celtic 87%Draw 10%St. Johnstone 3%

Most likely score 3–0, 14%. Both sides score 38%.

From the forecast as it stood on 16 March 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Celtic win	Draw	St. Johnstone win
Celtic
Title	35%	37%	23%	14%
St. Johnstone
Top six	<1%	–	–	1%
11th	16%	16%	12%	8%
Bottom	1%	1%	<1%	–
Rangers
Title	65%	63%	77%	86%
Ross County
11th	62%	61%	68%	69%
Bottom	13%	14%	12%	14%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

St. Johnstone

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Celtic	St. Johnstone
Position	2nd	9th
Played	29	29
Won, drawn, lost	21–⁠5–⁠3	6–⁠10–⁠13
Points	68 (2.34 per game)	28 (0.97 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.34	0.93
Goals	68–⁠22	20–⁠38
xG per game	2.66–⁠0.88	0.88–⁠1.59
Home: points, xG per game	2.36, 2.86–⁠0.74	1.20, 0.99–⁠1.41
Away: points, xG per game	2.33, 2.48–⁠1.01	0.71, 0.76–⁠1.78
Manager	Brendan Rodgers (29)	Craig Levein (19)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Celtic		St. Johnstone
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+118%	−30%	−35%	+14%
Counter-attacks	+95%	−12%	−68%	+37%
Set pieces	+30%	−31%	−9%	+27%
Penalties	+120%	−83%	−66%	+1%
Headers	+52%	−18%	+1%	+36%
Left side	+95%	−14%	−38%	+5%
Centre	+82%	−30%	−19%	+18%
Right side	+112%	−43%	−48%	+38%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+95%+38%Centre+82%+18%Right side+112%+5%Open play+118%+14%Counter-attacks+95%+37%Set pieces+30%+27%Headers+52%+36%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdCeltic concededLeft side−38%−43%Centre−19%−30%Right side−48%−14%Open play−35%−30%Counter-attacks−68%−12%Set pieces−9%−31%Headers+1%−18%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticSt. Johnstone

2.66xG0.88

0.88xG against1.59

70%Possession44%

20.2Shots9.2

8.1Shots against14.6

7.4Shots on target2.7

3.9Big chances1.3

44.5Touches in the opposition box15.2

661Passes336

85%Pass accuracy65%

9.5Corners3.7

80%Field tilt39%

77.4Final-third entries26.5

24.2Box entries6.9

10.3Passes per defensive action16.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	40	2.71	0.82
Ahead	43	2.70	1.00
Behind	6	2.08	0.40

St. Johnstone

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	49	0.85	1.11
Ahead	16	0.84	2.05
Behind	24	0.97	2.25

xG by period

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.41	0.10	10–2
16–30	0.43	0.07	11–2
31–45	0.33	0.20	9–3
46–60	0.43	0.11	11–4
61–75	0.32	0.18	6–4
76–90	0.73	0.21	21–7

St. Johnstone

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.09	0.12	4–1
16–30	0.14	0.18	2–4
31–45	0.16	0.17	4–7
46–60	0.12	0.31	2–6
61–75	0.11	0.37	2–10
76–90	0.26	0.43	6–10

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (28), 4-4-1-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (7), 4-2-3-1 (4), 3-5-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
3 December 2023	St. Johnstone	1–3	Celtic	xG 1.36–2.53
26 August 2023	Celtic	0–0	St. Johnstone	xG 2.02–0.28
5 February 2023	St. Johnstone	1–4	Celtic	xG 0.26–2.02
24 December 2022	Celtic	4–1	St. Johnstone	xG 2.89–1.03
8 October 2022	St. Johnstone	1–2	Celtic	xG 0.43–1.66
9 April 2022	Celtic	7–0	St. Johnstone	xG 4.73–0.06

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 10, St. Johnstone won 0, and 2 were drawn. Goals 34–7 and xG 2.35–0.63 per game.

Key players

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Turnbull	9	676	7	0	0.71	0.39
Oh	3	610	5	0	0.94	0.05
Palma	17	1,327	6	9	0.46	0.44
Furuhashi	23	1,914	9	3	0.61	0.10

St. Johnstone

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Clark	8	729	6	0	0.44	0.02
Kane	7	788	1	0	0.39	0.03
Jaiyesimi	9	708	1	1	0.27	0.07
Kucheriavyi	14	1,217	2	0	0.14	0.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.