Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Celtic 0–0 St. Johnstone

Saturday 26 August 2023, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 3 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 58,600

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticSt. Johnstone
Goals00
xG2.020.28
Expected Points2.610.24

Celtic 82%Draw 15%St. Johnstone 3%

Most likely score 2–0, 24%. Final score 0–0, 8%.

St. Johnstone goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+8%2%6%7%15%5%6%2%2%20%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTRalston on for Johnston, Haksabanovic on for Turnbull, and Abada on for Maeda, 60'Forrest on for Yang, 68'Bernabei on for Taylor, 75'Brown on for Olufunwa and May on for Jephcott, 55'Gordon on for Considine, 65'MacPherson on for Turner-Cooke, 82'Celtic 2.02St. Johnstone 0.2801230153045607590HTRalston on for Johnston, Haksabanovic on for Turnbull, and Abada on for Maeda, 60'Forrest on for Yang, 68'Bernabei on for Taylor, 75'Brown on for Olufunwa and May on for Jephcott, 55'Gordon on for Considine, 65'MacPherson on for Turner-Cooke, 82'2.020.28CelticSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticSt. Johnstone

2.02 −1.52xG0.28 −0.43
1.93 −2.47xG on target0.34 −0.05
19 +2Shots5 −6
5 −6.0Shots on target2 −1.0
3 −3.5Big chances1 +0.5
75% +4Possession25% −19
733 +66Passes246 −26
84% +1Pass accuracy53% −2
93% +24Field tilt7% −25
99 +50Final-third entries12 −8
36 +20.5Box entries3 −3.5
9.4 +0.2Passes per defensive action34.9 +24.8
19 +12.5Corners1 −5.5
11 −2Tackles19 +1
8 −2Interceptions18 +8
4 −20Clearances53 +27
2 +1.5Saves5 −1.5
9 +0.5Fouls12 −2.0
0 −0.5Offsides4 +2.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

O'Riley 50', 0.50 xGO'Riley 27', 0.38 xGO'Riley 62', 0.20 xGTurnbull 16', 0.15 xGForrest 84', 0.14 xGO'Riley 16', 0.10 xGYang 28', 0.10 xGFuruhashi 79', 0.08 xGFuruhashi 45+3', 0.07 xGMaeda 33', 0.06 xGFuruhashi 11', 0.05 xGO'Riley 45+1', 0.04 xGAbada 90+4', 0.04 xGHaksabanovic 70', 0.03 xGMcGregor 14', 0.02 xGTurnbull 30', 0.02 xGTaylor 57', 0.02 xGO'Riley 87', 0.02 xGScales 42', 0.01 xG35%0.70 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.70 xG, 0 goals50%1.01 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 1.01 xG, 0 goals8%0.16 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals6%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Gordon 73', 0.10 xGCostelloe 72', 0.06 xGMay 83', 0.05 xGJephcott 26', 0.03 xGCarey 83', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals37%0.10 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.10 xG, 0 goals63%0.17 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticSt. Johnstone

1.72 13 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.14 3 shots, 0 goals
0.30 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.13 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
97 min (100%) · Celtic 2.02, St. Johnstone 0.28 xG

Line-ups

1245333421438813HartJohnstonLagerbielkeScalesTaylorO'RileyMcGregorTurnbullMaedaFuruhashiYangYellow card60'75'60'60'68'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers11718419443422112716MitovOlufunwaMcClellandConsidineRobinsonCostelloePhillipsSmithCareyTurner-CookeJephcottYellow card55'65'82'55'St. Johnstone 4-4-1-1Steven MacLean

Celtic substitutes

  • 60' Ralston for Johnston
  • 60' Abada for Maeda
  • 60' Haksabanovic for Turnbull
  • 68' Forrest for Yang
  • 75' Bernabei for Taylor

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 55' Brown for Olufunwa · yellow card 88'
  • 55' May for Jephcott
  • 65' Gordon for Considine
  • 82' MacPherson for Turner-Cooke · yellow card 90+4'

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HartGK900.000.0000.0100
JohnstonRB600.000.4130.45101
LagerbielkeCB900.000.0510.23163
ScalesCB900.010.0500.30132
TaylorLB750.020.1010.1160
O'Riley CM901.240.0600.0672
McGregorCM900.020.2330.1226
TurnbullCM600.170.1530.0541
MaedaRW600.060.0100.0122
FuruhashiST900.200.0400.0210
YangLW680.100.2010.27120
RalstonDF300.000.1910.0702
AbadaFW300.040.0400.1060
HaksabanovicFW300.030.1310.2022
ForrestFW220.140.1110.0621
BernabeiDF150.000.0600.1521

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0334
OlufunwaRB550.000.0000.0236
McClelland CB900.000.0000.01314
ConsidineCB650.000.0000.0119
RobinsonLB900.000.0100.02113
CostelloeRM900.060.010−0.0106
PhillipsCM900.000.0000.00018
SmithCM900.000.041−0.01113
CareyLM900.030.0320.0115
Turner-CookeAM820.000.0000.0001
JephcottST550.030.0000.0002
Brown DF350.000.0000.0321
MayFW350.050.0100.0420
GordonDF250.100.0000.0001
MacPherson MF80.000.000−0.0101

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Hart and Lagerbielke: 6 passesO'Riley and Yang: 6 passesJohnston and Scales: 7 passesLagerbielke and Taylor: 7 passesLagerbielke and McGregor: 7 passesLagerbielke and Maeda: 7 passesO'Riley and McGregor: 7 passesScales and McGregor: 8 passesScales and Yang: 8 passesMcGregor and Turnbull: 8 passesHart and Scales: 9 passesScales and Turnbull: 9 passesLagerbielke and O'Riley: 10 passesJohnston and Turnbull: 12 passesJohnston and McGregor: 13 passesTaylor and Turnbull: 13 passesTurnbull and Yang: 13 passesJohnston and Maeda: 17 passesTaylor and McGregor: 22 passesJohnston and O'Riley: 24 passesJohnston and Lagerbielke: 28 passesTaylor and Yang: 28 passesScales and Taylor: 43 passesScales and Lagerbielke: 61 passesHart: 12 completed passesJohnston: 61 completed passesScales: 81 completed passesLagerbielke: 69 completed passesTaylor: 62 completed passesO'Riley: 25 completed passesMcGregor: 38 completed passesTurnbull: 29 completed passesMaeda: 11 completed passesFuruhashi: 3 completed passesYang: 24 completed passes1254333421438813HartJohnstonScalesLagerbielkeTaylorO'RileyMcGregorTurnbullMaedaFuruhashiYangStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

St. Johnstone

Mitov and Robinson: 3 passesRobinson and Phillips: 3 passesConsidine and McClelland: 4 passesCostelloe and Phillips: 4 passesMitov and Carey: 5 passesOlufunwa and Costelloe: 5 passesMcClelland and Costelloe: 5 passesSmith and Carey: 5 passesOlufunwa and McClelland: 6 passesRobinson and Smith: 7 passesRobinson and Carey: 13 passesMitov: 7 completed passesOlufunwa: 9 completed passesConsidine: 5 completed passesMcClelland: 12 completed passesRobinson: 14 completed passesCostelloe: 9 completed passesPhillips: 9 completed passesSmith: 11 completed passesCarey: 12 completed passesTurner-Cooke: 3 completed passesJephcott: 0 completed passes11741819443422112716MitovOlufunwaConsidineMcClellandRobinsonCostelloePhillipsSmithCareyTurner-CookeJephcottStarters until 55' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
LagerbielkeScales52
ScalesLagerbielke42
ScalesTaylor30
TaylorYang22
TaylorScales21

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
CareyRobinson10
RobinsonSmith6
SmithRobinson6
MitovCarey6
CostelloeMcClelland5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

2−1.52−2.04−4.51−5.512+8.57+3.52−3.03−3.54−5.59+6.09+8.01−2.56−0.54−7.03−2.06+5.020.03+2.080.04+2.53+0.53+0.51−1.02−3.52+0.500.01+0.50−1.52+0.51−12.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 2 matches

St. Johnstone

8+4.019+10.029+18.521+10.08+0.59+1.06+0.512+8.514+6.59+1.59+2.04−3.04+1.01−6.52−7.00−5.00−2.50−2.01−3.08+1.51−1.000.00−1.50−1.52−1.50−0.51+1.00−0.500.00−1.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 2 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.020.010.050.010.010.060.050.100.010.060.150.050.150.130.060.130.100.14−0.050.220.180.180.190.17LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.010.01−0.010.010.01−0.020.020.030.030.02LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.31AttackCeltic2.37 → 2.34St. Johnstone1.00 → 0.99Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.76 → 0.75St. Johnstone1.45 → 1.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title67%58%−9
St. Johnstone
Top six13%18%+5
11th20%19%−1
Bottom22%18%−4
Rangers
Title33%42%+9

From the forecast before the match (26 August 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticSt. Johnstone
Expected goals3.170.52
Win88%3%
Expected Points2.720.19
Clean sheet60%4%

Celtic 88%Draw 9%St. Johnstone 3%

Most likely score 3–0, 13%. Both sides score 39%.

St. Johnstone goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+3%1%8%4%1%7%2%7%2%5%1%7%3%6%3%13%13%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 August 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Celtic
Title67%68%58%53%
St. Johnstone
Top six13%12%18%26%
11th20%20%19%14%
Bottom22%23%18%11%
Rangers
Title33%32%42%47%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W3–113 AugAberdeen (A)xG 2.94–1.76
  2. W4–25 AugRoss County (H)xG 4.15–1.13
  3. W5–027 MayAberdeen (H)xG 3.56–0.00
  4. L2–424 MayHibernian (A)xG 2.37–2.04
  5. D2–220 MaySt. Mirren (H)xG 1.73–1.24
  6. L0–313 MayRangers (A)xG 1.34–1.57

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–212 AugRoss County (A)xG 0.49–2.60
  2. L0–25 AugHearts (H)xG 0.94–1.77
  3. W2–028 MayLivingston (H)xG 2.46–0.99
  4. D3–324 MayRoss County (A)xG 2.53–2.29
  5. W1–020 MayKilmarnock (A)xG 1.62–1.48
  6. L0–213 MayMotherwell (H)xG 0.75–1.53

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticSt. Johnstone
Position2nd12th
Played22
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠0–⁠00–⁠0–⁠2
Points6 (3.00 per game)0 (0.00 per game)
Expected Points per game2.510.48
Goals7–⁠30–⁠4
xG per game3.54–⁠1.440.71–⁠2.19
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 4.15–⁠1.130.00, 0.94–⁠1.77
Away: points, xG per game3.00, 2.94–⁠1.760.00, 0.49–⁠2.60
ManagerBrendan Rodgers (2)Steven MacLean (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.31AttackCeltic2.37, 1stSt. Johnstone1.00, 11thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.76, 2ndSt. Johnstone1.45, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.54 Aug13 AugCeltic attack: 2.37St. Johnstone attack: 1.002.371.00St. JohnstoneCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.54 Aug13 AugCeltic defence: 0.76St. Johnstone defence: 1.451.450.76

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+117%−28%−40%+34%
Counter-attacks+171%−76%−69%+8%
Set pieces+59%−25%−4%average
Penalties+78%−30%−48%−57%
Headers+23%−15%−51%+10%
Left side+36%−47%−18%+37%
Centre+156%−22%−31%+10%
Right side+73%−37%−41%+52%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+36%+52%Centre+156%+10%Right side+73%+37%Open play+117%+34%Counter-attacks+171%+8%Set pieces+59%averageHeaders+23%+10%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdCeltic concededLeft side−18%−37%Centre−31%−22%Right side−41%−47%Open play−40%−28%Counter-attacks−69%−76%Set pieces−4%−25%Headers−51%−15%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticSt. Johnstone

3.54xG0.71
1.44xG against2.19
71%Possession44%
17.0Shots11.0
9.0Shots against17.5
11.0Shots on target3.0
6.5Big chances0.5
667Passes272
83%Pass accuracy55%
6.5Corners6.5
70%Field tilt32%
49.0Final-third entries20.0
15.5Box entries6.5
9.2Passes per defensive action10.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level165.152.78
Ahead743.201.15
Behind0––

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level580.812.08
Ahead0––
Behind320.542.38

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.650.541–0
16–300.740.553–1
31–450.820.171–0
46–600.580.110–1
61–750.230.061–0
76–900.530.031–1

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.340.270–0
16–300.000.380–0
31–450.040.210–1
46–600.220.370–1
61–750.040.480–1
76–900.070.480–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWHart 2Ralston 2Carter-Vickers 2Nawrocki 2Taylor 2O'Riley 2McGregor 2Turnbull 2Abada 2Furuhashi 2Maeda 24-3-3 in every start

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 2Olufunwa 2McClelland 2Gordon 2Considine 1Gallacher 1McGowan 2Phillips 2Smith 1Wright 1Ballantyne 2Carey 2May 24-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 February 2023St. Johnstone1–4CelticxG 0.26–2.02
24 December 2022Celtic4–1St. JohnstonexG 2.89–1.03
8 October 2022St. Johnstone1–2CelticxG 0.43–1.66
9 April 2022Celtic7–0St. JohnstonexG 4.73–0.06
26 December 2021St. Johnstone1–3CelticxG 0.26–2.57
23 October 2021Celtic2–0St. JohnstonexG 2.70–0.13

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 9, St. Johnstone won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 31–6 and xG 2.37–0.59 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Abada151,6071160.500.36
Furuhashi332,4912930.770.07
Forrest5564420.570.26
Turnbull8986660.400.29

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May322,788960.220.11
Carey262,225320.190.13
Wright383,285710.160.06
Gordon312,817210.060.02

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.