Saturday 26 August 2023, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 3 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 58,600
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Celtic
St. Johnstone
Goals
0
0
xG
2.02
0.28
Expected Points
2.61
0.24
Celtic 82%Draw 15%St. Johnstone 3%
Most likely score 2–0, 24%. Final score 0–0, 8%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
CelticSt. Johnstone
2.02 −1.52xG0.28 −0.43
1.93 −2.47xG on target0.34 −0.05
19 +2Shots5 −6
5 −6.0Shots on target2 −1.0
3 −3.5Big chances1 +0.5
75% +4Possession25% −19
733 +66Passes246 −26
84% +1Pass accuracy53% −2
93% +24Field tilt7% −25
99 +50Final-third entries12 −8
36 +20.5Box entries3 −3.5
9.4 +0.2Passes per defensive action34.9 +24.8
19 +12.5Corners1 −5.5
11 −2Tackles19 +1
8 −2Interceptions18 +8
4 −20Clearances53 +27
2 +1.5Saves5 −1.5
9 +0.5Fouls12 −2.0
0 −0.5Offsides4 +2.5
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Celtic
St. Johnstone
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
0–0
0'HTFT
Level
97 min (100%) · Celtic 2.02, St. Johnstone 0.28 xG
Line-ups
Celtic substitutes
60'Ralston for Johnston
60'Abada for Maeda
60'Haksabanovic for Turnbull
68'Forrest for Yang
75'Bernabei for Taylor
St. Johnstone substitutes
55'Brown for Olufunwa · yellow card 88'
55'May for Jephcott
65'Gordon for Considine
82'MacPherson for Turner-Cooke · yellow card 90+4'
Players
Celtic
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Hart
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
Johnston
RB
60
0.00
0.41
3
0.45
10
1
Lagerbielke
CB
90
0.00
0.05
1
0.23
16
3
Scales
CB
90
0.01
0.05
0
0.30
13
2
Taylor
LB
75
0.02
0.10
1
0.11
6
0
O'Riley
CM
90
1.24
0.06
0
0.06
7
2
McGregor
CM
90
0.02
0.23
3
0.12
2
6
Turnbull
CM
60
0.17
0.15
3
0.05
4
1
Maeda
RW
60
0.06
0.01
0
0.01
2
2
Furuhashi
ST
90
0.20
0.04
0
0.02
1
0
Yang
LW
68
0.10
0.20
1
0.27
12
0
Ralston
DF
30
0.00
0.19
1
0.07
0
2
Abada
FW
30
0.04
0.04
0
0.10
6
0
Haksabanovic
FW
30
0.03
0.13
1
0.20
2
2
Forrest
FW
22
0.14
0.11
1
0.06
2
1
Bernabei
DF
15
0.00
0.06
0
0.15
2
1
St. Johnstone
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Mitov
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
4
Olufunwa
RB
55
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
3
6
McClelland
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
3
14
Considine
CB
65
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
9
Robinson
LB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
1
13
Costelloe
RM
90
0.06
0.01
0
−0.01
0
6
Phillips
CM
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
18
Smith
CM
90
0.00
0.04
1
−0.01
1
13
Carey
LM
90
0.03
0.03
2
0.01
1
5
Turner-Cooke
AM
82
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Jephcott
ST
55
0.03
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Brown
DF
35
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
2
1
May
FW
35
0.05
0.01
0
0.04
2
0
Gordon
DF
25
0.10
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
MacPherson
MF
8
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Celtic
St. Johnstone
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Celtic
From
To
Passes
Lagerbielke
Scales
52
Scales
Lagerbielke
42
Scales
Taylor
30
Taylor
Yang
22
Taylor
Scales
21
St. Johnstone
From
To
Passes
Carey
Robinson
10
Robinson
Smith
6
Smith
Robinson
6
Mitov
Carey
6
Costelloe
McClelland
5
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Celtic
Against its average of 2 matches
St. Johnstone
Against its average of 2 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Celtic
St. Johnstone
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Celtic
Title
67%
58%
−9
St. Johnstone
Top six
13%
18%
+5
11th
20%
19%
−1
Bottom
22%
18%
−4
Rangers
Title
33%
42%
+9
From the forecast before the match (26 August 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Celtic
St. Johnstone
Expected goals
3.17
0.52
Win
88%
3%
Expected Points
2.72
0.19
Clean sheet
60%
4%
Celtic 88%Draw 9%St. Johnstone 3%
Most likely score 3–0, 13%. Both sides score 39%.
From the forecast as it stood on 26 August 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Celtic win
Draw
St. Johnstone win
Celtic
Title
67%
68%
58%
53%
St. Johnstone
Top six
13%
12%
18%
26%
11th
20%
20%
19%
14%
Bottom
22%
23%
18%
11%
Rangers
Title
33%
32%
42%
47%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Celtic
St. Johnstone
Position
2nd
12th
Played
2
2
Won, drawn, lost
2–0–0
0–0–2
Points
6 (3.00 per game)
0 (0.00 per game)
Expected Points per game
2.51
0.48
Goals
7–3
0–4
xG per game
3.54–1.44
0.71–2.19
Home: points, xG per game
3.00, 4.15–1.13
0.00, 0.94–1.77
Away: points, xG per game
3.00, 2.94–1.76
0.00, 0.49–2.60
Manager
Brendan Rodgers (2)
Steven MacLean (8)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Celtic
St. Johnstone
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+117%
−28%
−40%
+34%
Counter-attacks
+171%
−76%
−69%
+8%
Set pieces
+59%
−25%
−4%
average
Penalties
+78%
−30%
−48%
−57%
Headers
+23%
−15%
−51%
+10%
Left side
+36%
−47%
−18%
+37%
Centre
+156%
−22%
−31%
+10%
Right side
+73%
−37%
−41%
+52%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
St. Johnstone createdCeltic concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−18%−37%Centre−31%−22%Right side−41%−47%Open play−40%−28%Counter-attacks−69%−76%Set pieces−4%−25%Headers−51%−15%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
CelticSt. Johnstone
3.54xG0.71
1.44xG against2.19
71%Possession44%
17.0Shots11.0
9.0Shots against17.5
11.0Shots on target3.0
6.5Big chances0.5
667Passes272
83%Pass accuracy55%
6.5Corners6.5
70%Field tilt32%
49.0Final-third entries20.0
15.5Box entries6.5
9.2Passes per defensive action10.1
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Celtic
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
16
5.15
2.78
Ahead
74
3.20
1.15
Behind
0
–
–
St. Johnstone
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
58
0.81
2.08
Ahead
0
–
–
Behind
32
0.54
2.38
xG by period
Celtic
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.65
0.54
1–0
16–30
0.74
0.55
3–1
31–45
0.82
0.17
1–0
46–60
0.58
0.11
0–1
61–75
0.23
0.06
1–0
76–90
0.53
0.03
1–1
St. Johnstone
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.34
0.27
0–0
16–30
0.00
0.38
0–0
31–45
0.04
0.21
0–1
46–60
0.22
0.37
0–1
61–75
0.04
0.48
0–1
76–90
0.07
0.48
0–1
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
Most used players by position
Celtic
St. Johnstone
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
10 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 9, St. Johnstone won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 31–6 and xG 2.37–0.59 per game.
Key players
Celtic
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
Abada
15
1,607
11
6
0.50
0.36
Furuhashi
33
2,491
29
3
0.77
0.07
Forrest
5
564
4
2
0.57
0.26
Turnbull
8
986
6
6
0.40
0.29
St. Johnstone
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
May
32
2,788
9
6
0.22
0.11
Carey
26
2,225
3
2
0.19
0.13
Wright
38
3,285
7
1
0.16
0.06
Gordon
31
2,817
2
1
0.06
0.02
Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.