Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Dundee United 1–0 Motherwell

Saturday 22 February 2025, 15:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 27 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 9,044

Dundee United Dalby 31'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedMotherwell
Goals10
xG1.251.09
Expected Points1.451.21

Dundee United 37%Draw 34%Motherwell 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 21%. Final score 1–0, 10%.

Motherwell goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+6%11%5%1%10%9%2%6%12%6%1%2%4%2%21%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTStephenson on for Docherty, 33'van der Sande on for Paton, 69'Fiorini on for Campbell, 76'Ebiye on for Armstrong and Slattery on for Sparrow, 61'Plange on for Maswanhise and Thompson on for Wilson, 76'Paton on for Halliday, 85'Dalby 31'Dundee United 1.25Motherwell 1.0900.511.50153045607590HTStephenson on for Docherty, 33'van der Sande on for Paton, 69'Fiorini on for Campbell, 76'Ebiye on for Armstrong and Slattery on for Sparrow, 61'Plange on for Maswanhise and Thompson on for Wilson, 76'Paton on for Halliday, 85'Dalby 31'1.251.09Dundee UnitedMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedMotherwell

1.25 −0.12xG1.09 −0.01
1.35 −0.06xG on target0.54 −0.60
10 −1.6Shots10 +0.2
3 −1.0Shots on target3 −0.3
2 0.0Big chances1 −0.7
19 −5Touches in the opposition box17 −1
48% +5Possession52% +13
335 +11Passes365 +63
73% +4Pass accuracy74% +6
50% +10Field tilt50% +16
38 +8Final-third entries30 +4
7 −2.8Box entries7 −0.8
12.3 −4Passes per defensive action14.6 −5
2 −2.4Corners7 +2.4
13 −4Tackles8 −8
6 −1.7Interceptions6 −2.2
41 0Clearances40 +9
2 −1.0Saves2 −1.8
20 +9Fouls15 +4
1 −0.2Offsides0 −1.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Stephenson 81', 0.45 xGFerry 29', 0.20 xGDalby 68', 0.09 xGCampbell 46', 0.07 xGStephenson 49', 0.07 xGPaton 42', 0.05 xGAdegboyega 19', 0.03 xGDalby 20', 0.03 xGCampbell 71', 0.01 xGDalby 31', 0.26 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals86%1.07 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 1.07 xG, 1 goal4%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals10%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Armstrong 37', 0.59 xGSlattery 73', 0.13 xGCasey 75', 0.12 xGEbiye 86', 0.07 xGHalliday 17', 0.05 xGMiller 90+4', 0.04 xGCasey 90+6', 0.04 xGMaswanhise 40', 0.02 xGMaswanhise 65', 0.02 xGO'Donnell 66', 0.01 xG54%0.59 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.59 xG, 0 goals33%0.36 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.36 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals11%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedMotherwell

1.07 7 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.24 5 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.05 1 shot, 0 goals
0.17 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.80 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
31 min (32%) · Dundee United 0.51, Motherwell 0.05 xG
Dundee United ahead
65 min (68%) · Dundee United 0.74, Motherwell 1.04 xG

Line-ups

116316223521221119WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherGrahamStrainDochertySeveljPatonCampbellFerryDalbyGoal33'69'76'Dundee United 4-2-3-1Jim Goodwin8824152271138235955BalcombeO'DonnellGordonCaseyKoutroumbisSparrowHallidayMillerWilsonArmstrongMaswanhiseYellow card61'85'76'61'76'Motherwell 3-5-2Michael Wimmer

Dundee United substitutes

  • 33' Stephenson for Docherty
  • 69' van der Sande for Paton
  • 76' Fiorini for Campbell

Motherwell substitutes

  • 61' Slattery for Sparrow · yellow card 71'
  • 61' Ebiye for Armstrong
  • 76' Thompson for Wilson
  • 76' Plange for Maswanhise
  • 85' Paton for Halliday

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WaltonGK900.000.0000.0220
AdegboyegaRB900.030.0100.0678
GallagherCB900.000.0100.09517
GrahamCB900.000.0300.10717
StrainLB9010.000.3010.1743
DochertyDM330.000.0100.0240
SeveljDM900.000.0410.0736
PatonRW690.050.0400.0300
CampbellAM760.080.1510.1711
FerryLW900.200.3220.1256
DalbyST9010.380.030−0.0112
StephensonMF570.520.0210.0433
van der SandeFW210.000.010−0.0600
FioriniMF140.000.0000.0100

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BalcombeGK900.000.0100.0651
O'DonnellCB900.010.0210.10139
Gordon CB900.000.0000.04513
CaseyCB900.160.5010.0897
KoutroumbisRWB900.000.0710.10105
SparrowCM610.000.0110.0432
HallidayCM850.050.0300.0006
MillerCM900.040.1310.0135
WilsonLWB760.000.0000.0113
ArmstrongST610.590.0100.0022
MaswanhiseST760.040.0410.0750
Slattery MF290.130.0100.0410
EbiyeMF290.070.0100.0210
ThompsonMF140.000.0000.0231
PlangeFW140.000.000−0.0110
PatonMF50.000.0110.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Adegboyega and Campbell: 3 passesGallagher and Ferry: 3 passesGallagher and Campbell: 3 passesGallagher and Paton: 3 passesGraham and Campbell: 3 passesStrain and Dalby: 3 passesAdegboyega and Docherty: 4 passesGraham and Docherty: 4 passesFerry and Sevelj: 4 passesCampbell and Docherty: 4 passesWalton and Gallagher: 5 passesWalton and Graham: 5 passesStrain and Docherty: 5 passesGallagher and Strain: 7 passesStrain and Campbell: 7 passesAdegboyega and Strain: 10 passesGraham and Sevelj: 13 passesAdegboyega and Gallagher: 16 passesGraham and Ferry: 19 passesGallagher and Graham: 25 passesWalton: 11 completed passesAdegboyega: 17 completed passesGallagher: 34 completed passesGraham: 39 completed passesStrain: 16 completed passesFerry: 13 completed passesSevelj: 10 completed passesCampbell: 14 completed passesDocherty: 13 completed passesPaton: 2 completed passesDalby: 5 completed passes116316211522232119WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherGrahamStrainFerrySeveljCampbellDochertyPatonDalbyStarters until 33' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Motherwell

O'Donnell and Gordon: 4 passesKoutroumbis and Miller: 4 passesHalliday and Miller: 4 passesBalcombe and Casey: 5 passesBalcombe and Gordon: 5 passesCasey and Halliday: 5 passesO'Donnell and Halliday: 5 passesO'Donnell and Maswanhise: 5 passesKoutroumbis and Sparrow: 5 passesKoutroumbis and Armstrong: 5 passesCasey and Maswanhise: 6 passesGordon and Halliday: 6 passesSparrow and Armstrong: 6 passesArmstrong and Maswanhise: 6 passesCasey and Wilson: 7 passesO'Donnell and Koutroumbis: 7 passesKoutroumbis and Halliday: 7 passesMiller and Maswanhise: 8 passesBalcombe and O'Donnell: 10 passesBalcombe: 14 completed passesCasey: 16 completed passesO'Donnell: 21 completed passesGordon: 16 completed passesKoutroumbis: 17 completed passesWilson: 10 completed passesHalliday: 17 completed passesMiller: 17 completed passesSparrow: 9 completed passesArmstrong: 10 completed passesMaswanhise: 12 completed passes8815242223113875955BalcombeCaseyO'DonnellGordonKoutroumbisWilsonHallidayMillerSparrowArmstrongMaswanhiseStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
GallagherGraham21
GrahamFerry15
AdegboyegaGallagher12
StrainAdegboyega11
GrahamGallagher10

Motherwell

FromToPasses
KoutroumbisO'Donnell12
BalcombeO'Donnell12
O'DonnellBalcombe8
GordonO'Donnell7
O'DonnellGordon6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

1−3.721+1.75−4.96−0.24−2.04−3.48+0.77−1.913+5.77+1.55+0.75+1.47+1.44−1.51−2.42−0.91−1.13+0.64+0.82−0.32+0.91−0.10−1.18+6.30−1.23+2.80−0.70−0.32+1.22−6.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Motherwell

1−3.86−0.89+1.18+1.711+4.08+1.711+4.85−2.46+1.35+0.83−0.42−2.54−2.33−1.04+0.92+0.11−2.24+1.61−0.50−1.00−1.40−1.410.00−0.81+0.40−0.11+0.713−4.92−4.20−4.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.010.040.020.020.020.040.080.010.020.040.03−0.010.030.040.080.010.01−0.090.010.190.17LessMore

Motherwell

0.020.010.010.050.020.050.010.010.030.030.020.030.020.060.010.03−0.01−0.010.010.030.010.010.020.020.10LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackDundee United1.19 → 1.19Motherwell1.09 → 1.09Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.35 → 1.34Motherwell1.55 → 1.54

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six97%99%+2
Motherwell
Top six20%12%−8
11th12%15%+3
Bottom3%4%+1
Hearts
Top six45%46%+1
Hibernian
Top six82%84%+2

From the forecast before the match (22 February 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedMotherwell
Expected goals1.621.00
Win51%23%
Expected Points1.800.94
Clean sheet37%20%

Dundee United 51%Draw 26%Motherwell 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 51%.

Motherwell goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%3%2%2%1%11%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 22 February 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawMotherwell win
Dundee United
Top six97%99%96%92%
Motherwell
Top six20%12%21%38%
11th12%15%10%7%
Bottom3%4%2%1%
Hearts
Top six45%46%45%42%
Hibernian
Top six82%84%82%80%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L0–315 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.16–1.64
  2. L0–11 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 1.46–1.39
  3. L1–326 JanRangers (H)xG 1.05–1.30
  4. W1–011 JanSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.51–2.39
  5. L0–28 JanCeltic (A)xG 0.16–1.74
  6. L0–15 JanHearts (H)xG 0.66–0.85

Motherwell

  1. L0–315 FebRoss County (H)xG 0.75–1.16
  2. L1–32 FebCeltic (H)xG 0.52–3.26
  3. L1–225 JanSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.22–1.50
  4. L1–311 JanHibernian (A)xG 0.22–2.22
  5. D0–08 JanKilmarnock (A)xG 0.39–1.72
  6. W2–05 JanAberdeen (H)xG 1.36–0.89

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedMotherwell
Position5th8th
Played2626
Won, drawn, lost10–⁠7–⁠99–⁠4–⁠13
Points37 (1.42 per game)31 (1.19 per game)
Expected Points per game1.311.08
Goals32–⁠3130–⁠45
xG per game1.37–⁠1.411.10–⁠1.65
Home: points, xG per game1.50, 1.48–⁠1.141.38, 1.17–⁠1.57
Away: points, xG per game1.36, 1.27–⁠1.651.00, 1.02–⁠1.72
ManagerJim Goodwin (38)Michael Wimmer (0)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackDundee United1.19, 6thMotherwell1.09, 9thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.35, 6thMotherwell1.55, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebDundee United attack: 1.19Motherwell attack: 1.091.191.09MotherwellDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebDundee United defence: 1.35Motherwell defence: 1.551.551.35

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−8%+6%−26%+21%
Counter-attacks−8%−25%−55%+4%
Set piecesaverage−13%+4%+9%
Penalties+14%+14%−54%+14%
Headers+32%+4%+25%+16%
Left side−23%−4%−38%+33%
Centre+14%−7%−12%+4%
Right side−30%+11%−19%+23%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdMotherwell concededLeft side−23%+23%Centre+14%+4%Right side−30%+33%Open play−8%+21%Counter-attacks−8%+4%Set piecesaverage+9%Headers+32%+16%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdDundee United concededLeft side−38%+11%Centre−12%−7%Right side−19%−4%Open play−26%+6%Counter-attacks−55%−25%Set pieces+4%−13%Headers+25%+4%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedMotherwell

1.37xG1.10
1.41xG against1.65
43%Possession39%
11.6Shots9.8
14.5Shots against14.8
4.0Shots on target3.3
2.0Big chances1.7
23.6Touches in the opposition box18.2
324Passes302
69%Pass accuracy68%
4.4Corners4.6
40%Field tilt34%
29.6Final-third entries26.0
9.8Box entries7.8
16.1Passes per defensive action19.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level571.301.34
Ahead141.601.92
Behind201.411.26

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level391.281.65
Ahead230.861.43
Behind281.031.82

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.152–2
16–300.210.204–5
31–450.160.262–6
46–600.200.186–3
61–750.180.293–8
76–900.450.3315–7

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.253–6
16–300.270.259–7
31–450.120.347–5
46–600.140.332–10
61–750.150.182–7
76–900.280.307–10

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTWalton 26Adegboyega 19Fotheringham 3Dalby 1Gallagher 24Holt 19Graham 8Strain 14Stephenson 8Sevelj 2Sevelj 13Sibbald 7Docherty 4Babunski 11Ferry 8Middleton 3Ferry 11Stephenson 4Fotheringham 3Trapanovski 9Stephenson 8Sevelj 6Middleton 9Ferry 4Moult 3Dalby 17van der Sande 7Middleton 13-4-2-1 in 7 of 26 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-4-3 (6), 4-4-1-1 (3), 3-5-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-5-1 (1)

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTOxborough 22Balcombe 3Mair 1Casey 20McGinn 7O'Donnell 5Gordon 21Balmer 13Blaney 10Seddon 2Kaleta 13O'Donnell 10Sparrow 1Halliday 21Miller 7Paton 4Zdravkovski 8Wilson 6Seddon 2Wilson 13Seddon 3Miller 2Miller 11Sparrow 6Zdravkovski 4Maswanhise 11Watt 5Stamatelopoulos 3Stamatelopoulos 10Robinson 5Watt 43-4-2-1 in 8 of 26 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (8), 3-5-2 (6), 3-4-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
14 December 2024Motherwell4–3Dundee UnitedxG 2.09–2.02
30 October 2024Dundee United1–2MotherwellxG 1.43–1.06
28 May 2023Motherwell3–2Dundee UnitedxG 2.15–2.81
15 April 2023Motherwell1–2Dundee UnitedxG 2.47–1.53
29 October 2022Dundee United0–1MotherwellxG 0.75–0.92
3 September 2022Motherwell0–0Dundee UnitedxG 3.28–0.36

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 5, Motherwell won 6, and 3 were drawn. Goals 18–18 and xG 1.15–1.62 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Moult3477300.440.12
Dalby201,7851100.440.05
Trapanovski10828110.280.17
Thomson5500100.240.06

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ebiye3522200.420.05
Miller201,761260.150.24
Stamatelopoulos13897510.340.04
Watt101,169100.230.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.