Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Aberdeen 1–1 St. Johnstone

Saturday 7 December 2024, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 16 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Ross Hardie · Attendance 15,880

Aberdeen Clarkson 56'

St. Johnstone Kirk 25'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Goals11
xG0.701.35
Expected Points0.781.91

Aberdeen 15%Draw 31%St. Johnstone 53%

Most likely score 1–1, 19%. Final score 1–1, 19%.

St. Johnstone goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+9%13%4%8%13%4%2%4%4%1%17%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTDuk on for Morris, Palaversa on for Nilsen, and Devlin on for McGarry, 46'Keskinen on for Milne, 71'Besuijen on for Nisbet, 77'Sidibeh on for Smith, 63'Carey on for Kirk, 88'Clarkson 56'Kirk 25'St. Johnstone 1.35Aberdeen 0.7000.511.50153045607590HTDuk on for Morris, Palaversa on for Nilsen, and Devlin on for McGarry, 46'Keskinen on for Milne, 71'Besuijen on for Nisbet, 77'Sidibeh on for Smith, 63'Carey on for Kirk, 88'Clarkson 56'Kirk 25'1.350.70AberdeenSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenSt. Johnstone

0.70 −0.64xG1.35 +0.27
0.74 −0.82xG on target1.22 +0.26
7 −6Shots6 −4
2 −2.3Shots on target3 −0.2
1 −1.1Big chances2 +0.7
24 0Touches in the opposition box13 −4
57% +6Possession43% −10
521 +107Passes408 −23
82% +5Pass accuracy73% −3
58% +7Field tilt42% −4
55 +20Final-third entries45 +9
12 −1.3Box entries7 −1.7
9.9 −4Passes per defensive action17.9 +3
6 +0.5Corners1 −3.5
27 +10Tackles25 +11
9 +0.9Interceptions8 +0.1
12 −20Clearances30 0
2 −0.8Saves1 −1.9
10 −2Fouls19 +8
0 −1.7Offsides0 −1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Nisbet 16', 0.09 xGMcGrath 90+3', 0.06 xGDevlin 89', 0.05 xGPalaversa 72', 0.04 xGRubezic 39', 0.03 xGDuk 70', 0.02 xGClarkson 56', 0.40 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals86%0.60 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.60 xG, 1 goal4%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals10%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Kirk 74', 0.49 xGSidibeh 76', 0.14 xGNeilson 33', 0.13 xGClark 74', 0.08 xGCarey 90+9', 0.08 xGKirk 25', 0.43 xG, goal36%0.49 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.49 xG, 0 goals58%0.78 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.78 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals6%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenSt. Johnstone

0.56 4 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.70 3 shots, 1 goal
0.14 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.64 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
68 min (67%) · Aberdeen 0.27, St. Johnstone 1.22 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
33 min (33%) · Aberdeen 0.43, St. Johnstone 0.13 xG

Line-ups

312233211546201079DoohanMilneRubezicMolloyMcGarryShinnieNilsenMorrisClarksonMcGrathNisbetYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow card71'46'46'46'77'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Jimmy Thelin126541422237271029RaeNeilsonSandersCameronWrightSmithSpranglerHoltKirkClarkKimpiokaYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow card63'88'St. Johnstone 4-3-3Simo Valakari

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 46' Devlin for McGarry
  • 46' Palaversa for Nilsen · yellow card 84'
  • 46' Duk for Morris · 1 assist
  • 71' Keskinen for Milne
  • 77' Besuijen for Nisbet

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 63' Sidibeh for Smith
  • 88' Carey for Kirk

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
DoohanGK900.000.0000.0111
Milne RB710.000.0100.0798
Rubezic CB900.030.0500.2196
MolloyCB900.000.0000.0414
McGarryLB460.000.000−0.0123
Shinnie DM900.000.1710.0936
NilsenDM460.000.0200.0331
MorrisRW460.000.0710.1453
ClarksonAM9010.400.1820.10104
McGrathLW900.060.0400.0576
Nisbet ST770.090.0100.0113
DevlinDF440.050.0100.0113
Palaversa MF440.040.3210.29100
DukFW4410.020.0110.0320
KeskinenFW190.000.0000.0211
BesuijenFW130.000.0000.0120

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Rae GK900.000.0000.0540
Neilson RB900.130.0100.09145
SandersCB900.000.0100.07713
CameronCB900.000.0000.0118
WrightLB900.000.0100.08810
SmithCM630.000.0200.0343
Sprangler CM900.000.0200.0248
HoltCM900.000.020−0.0214
KirkRW8810.920.0710.1544
Clark ST900.080.0100.0137
KimpiokaLW900.000.020−0.0141
SidibehFW270.140.0100.0130
CareyMF20.080.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Molloy and McGrath: 5 passesMcGarry and Shinnie: 5 passesNilsen and Morris: 5 passesShinnie and Clarkson: 5 passesMilne and Nilsen: 6 passesMolloy and Clarkson: 7 passesMcGarry and McGrath: 7 passesMcGarry and Clarkson: 8 passesNilsen and Clarkson: 8 passesMcGarry and Nilsen: 9 passesMilne and Rubezic: 10 passesMilne and Morris: 10 passesMolloy and Nilsen: 10 passesMolloy and Shinnie: 11 passesNilsen and Shinnie: 11 passesDoohan and Rubezic: 12 passesRubezic and Shinnie: 12 passesRubezic and Nilsen: 13 passesMolloy and Rubezic: 16 passesMolloy and McGarry: 18 passesDoohan and Molloy: 19 passesDoohan: 20 completed passesMilne: 21 completed passesMolloy: 46 completed passesRubezic: 40 completed passesMcGarry: 30 completed passesNilsen: 35 completed passesShinnie: 25 completed passesMorris: 11 completed passesClarkson: 23 completed passesMcGrath: 12 completed passesNisbet: 7 completed passes312221331564201079DoohanMilneMolloyRubezicMcGarryNilsenShinnieMorrisClarksonMcGrathNisbetStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

St. Johnstone

Sanders and Smith: 4 passesSanders and Clark: 4 passesWright and Clark: 4 passesSprangler and Smith: 4 passesSprangler and Clark: 4 passesSmith and Kirk: 4 passesSprangler and Holt: 5 passesSmith and Clark: 5 passesNeilson and Clark: 6 passesSanders and Cameron: 6 passesClark and Kimpioka: 6 passesRae and Sanders: 7 passesCameron and Wright: 9 passesNeilson and Smith: 10 passesWright and Sprangler: 10 passesRae and Cameron: 11 passesWright and Kimpioka: 11 passesHolt and Kimpioka: 11 passesWright and Holt: 12 passesNeilson and Sanders: 15 passesRae: 14 completed passesNeilson: 26 completed passesSanders: 23 completed passesCameron: 17 completed passesWright: 28 completed passesSprangler: 22 completed passesHolt: 18 completed passesSmith: 15 completed passesKirk: 6 completed passesClark: 18 completed passesKimpioka: 18 completed passes126541423722271029RaeNeilsonSandersCameronWrightSpranglerHoltSmithKirkClarkKimpiokaStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
MolloyDoohan16
MolloyRubezic13
McGarryMolloy12
DoohanRubezic12
RubezicNilsen10

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
NeilsonSanders10
SpranglerWright10
SandersNeilson9
WrightKimpioka8
SpranglerHolt7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

2−2.53−3.76−2.95−0.57+0.84−1.62−2.912+4.76−1.18+2.23−0.65+1.38+2.23−3.312+7.94+1.22−1.18+4.76+1.85+3.05+3.83+1.81−0.90−2.51+0.30−0.30−0.51+0.50−0.510−8.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

St. Johnstone

8+3.37+0.819+0.64−2.210+3.96−0.47+0.17+0.412+6.011+3.03−2.23−1.25+2.24−0.59+2.73+0.37+4.62+0.12−0.35+1.17+4.35+3.510.00−1.32+0.42+1.51+0.70−0.50−0.30−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.020.020.020.030.060.030.040.080.040.050.050.040.05−0.040.060.070.140.180.16LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.020.030.020.020.010.020.030.020.010.040.010.050.020.060.01−0.03−0.03−0.010.02−0.01−0.010.080.09LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackAberdeen1.30 → 1.27St. Johnstone1.02 → 1.04Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.34 → 1.35St. Johnstone1.52 → 1.48

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six8%8%0
11th21%21%0
Bottom28%26%−2
Ross County
Top six10%10%0
11th20%18%−2
Bottom25%27%+2
Motherwell
Top six57%58%+1
11th4%5%+1
Bottom2%2%0

From the forecast before the match (7 December 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.750.91
Win57%19%
Expected Points1.940.81
Clean sheet40%17%

Aberdeen 57%Draw 25%St. Johnstone 19%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

St. Johnstone goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+7%6%3%5%2%4%1%6%6%3%3%2%1%1%12%12%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 7 December 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawSt. Johnstone win
St. Johnstone
Top six8%5%8%15%
11th21%23%21%17%
Bottom28%33%26%18%
Ross County
Top six10%11%10%10%
11th20%20%18%20%
Bottom25%23%27%30%
Motherwell
Top six57%58%58%54%
11th4%4%5%5%
Bottom2%2%2%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. L0–14 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.88–1.62
  2. D1–11 DecHearts (A)xG 0.62–1.15
  3. D3–326 NovHibernian (A)xG 1.61–2.21
  4. L1–223 NovSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.38–1.56
  5. W4–19 NovDundee FC (H)xG 1.81–1.89
  6. W2–130 OctRangers (H)xG 2.78–1.92

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–11 DecRangers (H)xG 0.15–1.73
  2. W1–023 NovKilmarnock (H)xG 1.02–0.45
  3. L1–29 NovMotherwell (A)xG 1.18–1.44
  4. L1–22 NovHearts (H)xG 1.39–1.44
  5. L1–330 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.73–0.93
  6. W2–126 OctDundee FC (A)xG 2.17–1.43

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Position2nd9th
Played1515
Won, drawn, lost10–⁠3–⁠24–⁠1–⁠10
Points33 (2.20 per game)13 (0.87 per game)
Expected Points per game1.251.18
Goals29–⁠1717–⁠28
xG per game1.34–⁠1.511.08–⁠1.36
Home: points, xG per game2.62, 1.58–⁠1.400.86, 1.08–⁠1.42
Away: points, xG per game1.71, 1.07–⁠1.640.88, 1.08–⁠1.30
ManagerJimmy Thelin (15)Simo Valakari (8)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackAberdeen1.30, 3rdSt. Johnstone1.02, 11thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.34, 3rdSt. Johnstone1.52, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecAberdeen attack: 1.30St. Johnstone attack: 1.021.301.02St. JohnstoneAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecAberdeen defence: 1.34St. Johnstone defence: 1.521.521.34

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+14%average−28%+13%
Counter-attacks−46%−56%−71%+21%
Set pieces−18%+37%−16%−16%
Penalties−57%+30%+30%−100%
Headersaverage+36%−31%+20%
Left side+17%+3%−27%+22%
Centre−2%+14%−26%+3%
Right side−8%−12%−34%−8%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+17%−8%Centre−2%+3%Right side−8%+22%Open play+14%+13%Counter-attacks−46%+21%Set pieces−18%−16%Headersaverage+20%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdAberdeen concededLeft side−27%−12%Centre−26%+14%Right side−34%+3%Open play−28%averageCounter-attacks−71%−56%Set pieces−16%+37%Headers−31%+36%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenSt. Johnstone

1.34xG1.08
1.51xG against1.36
51%Possession53%
12.5Shots10.3
14.4Shots against14.1
4.3Shots on target3.2
2.1Big chances1.3
24.5Touches in the opposition box16.7
414Passes431
77%Pass accuracy76%
5.5Corners4.5
51%Field tilt46%
35.2Final-third entries36.3
13.3Box entries8.7
13.5Passes per defensive action14.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level511.221.44
Ahead321.281.64
Behind72.541.52

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level351.161.69
Ahead171.571.07
Behind390.801.18

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.172–0
16–300.160.123–3
31–450.240.344–4
46–600.260.147–0
61–750.190.325–4
76–900.310.418–6

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.152–2
16–300.110.261–5
31–450.220.233–6
46–600.160.153–4
61–750.120.193–4
76–900.340.385–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 14Doohan 1Devlin 15Rubezic 14MacDonald 1Molloy 15MacKenzie 13McGarry 2Shinnie 12Palaversa 4Keskinen 1Nilsen 13Keskinen 10Morris 4McGrath 1Clarkson 6Gueye 4McGrath 2McGrath 11Duk 4Sokler 8Nisbet 6Miovski 14-2-3-1 in every start

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMAMSTSTSinclair 9Rae 6Wright 8Neilson 5Essel 2Sanders 13Neilson 5McClelland 1Cameron 9Mikulic 2Raymond 12Douglas 2Cameron 1Holt 8Carey 5Wright 2Sprangler 11MacPherson 3Neilson 1Smith 11Essel 4Clark 7Wright 5Carey 1Sidibeh 8Kirk 5Kimpioka 12Clark 54-3-1-2 in 7 of 15 starts

Formations: 4-3-1-2 (7), 3-5-2 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 August 2024St. Johnstone1–2AberdeenxG 0.81–1.79
4 May 2024Aberdeen1–0St. JohnstonexG 3.34–0.99
28 February 2024Aberdeen0–2St. JohnstonexG 2.17–1.69
24 January 2024St. Johnstone1–1AberdeenxG 0.99–1.21
8 October 2023Aberdeen0–0St. JohnstonexG 1.01–0.33
1 April 2023St. Johnstone0–1AberdeenxG 0.82–1.00

16 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 9, St. Johnstone won 3, and 4 were drawn. Goals 14–8 and xG 1.27–0.74 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McGrath141,113460.300.25
Duk5493010.290.16
Morris4554150.120.27
Clarkson6510100.210.17

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kimpioka121,067510.370.04
Kirk5507210.330.06
Clark12945500.350.02
Sidibeh8756210.240.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.