Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

St. Mirren 0–1 St. Johnstone

Saturday 1 February 2025, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 25 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Dan McFarlane · Attendance 6,298

St. Johnstone Mikulic 71'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
Goals01
xG0.380.51
Expected Points1.101.38

St. Mirren 19%Draw 52%St. Johnstone 28%

Most likely score 0–0, 42%. Final score 0–1, 21%.

St. Johnstone goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+21%5%15%10%2%3%1%42%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.750153045607590HTScott on for Mandron, 63'Kiltie on for O'Hara, 64'Smyth on for Boyd-Munce and Oseni on for Bwomono, 82'Mooney on for Olusanya, 83'Sidibeh on for Kirk and Steven on for Carey, 74'Mikulic 71'St. Johnstone 0.51St. Mirren 0.3800.250.50.750153045607590HTScott on for Mandron, 63'Kiltie on for O'Hara, 64'Smyth on for Boyd-Munce and Oseni on for Bwomono, 82'Mooney on for Olusanya, 83'Sidibeh on for Kirk and Steven on for Carey, 74'Mikulic 71'0.510.38St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

0.38 −0.81xG0.51 −0.54
0.14 −1.06xG on target1.15 +0.15
9 −2Shots6 −4
2 −1.6Shots on target4 +0.9
0 −1.9Big chances1 −0.3
19 −1Touches in the opposition box3 −14
41% −1Possession59% +7
311 +18Passes467 +32
64% −1Pass accuracy80% +2
69% +28Field tilt31% −14
36 +6Final-third entries21 −17
6 −2.6Box entries0 −9.1
14.6 −1Passes per defensive action15.4 0
5 +0.5Corners3 −0.8
14 −2Tackles11 −4
9 +0.6Interceptions6 −2.0
9 −20Clearances44 +12
3 +0.4Saves2 −0.9
15 +2Fouls11 0
3 +0.9Offsides2 +0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Boyd-Munce 28', 0.10 xGMooney 86', 0.06 xGMandron 32', 0.05 xGBoyd-Munce 64', 0.05 xGMandron 6', 0.03 xGO'Hara 43', 0.03 xGMooney 88', 0.03 xGBwomono 28', 0.02 xGBoyd-Munce 55', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals29%0.11 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals8%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals63%0.24 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Carey 63', 0.18 xGWright 85', 0.11 xGKirk 60', 0.07 xGHolt 71', 0.05 xGCarey 60', 0.03 xGMikulic 71', 0.06 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals37%0.19 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.19 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals56%0.29 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.29 xG, 0 goals8%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

0.22 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.11 2 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.29 2 shots, 0 goals
0.17 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.12 2 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
71 min (79%) · St. Mirren 0.30, St. Johnstone 0.40 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
19 min (21%) · St. Mirren 0.09, St. Johnstone 0.11 xG

Line-ups

12213542881563209HemmingFraserGogicTaylorBwomonoPhillipsBoyd-MunceO'HaraTanserOlusanyaMandronYellow card82'82'64'83'63'St. Mirren 3-5-2Stephen Robinson2023230377441411627SinclairSpranglerMikulicDouglasCurtisHoltWattWrightCareyGriffithKirkYellow cardGoalYellow card74'74'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Simo Valakari

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 63' Scott for Mandron
  • 64' Kiltie for O'Hara
  • 82' Smyth for Boyd-Munce
  • 82' Oseni for Bwomono
  • 83' Mooney for Olusanya

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 74' Steven for Carey
  • 74' Sidibeh for Kirk

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HemmingGK900.000.0100.0981
FraserCB900.000.0200.0584
GogicCB900.000.0200.0555
TaylorCB900.000.0310.1483
BwomonoRWB820.020.0110.0142
Phillips CM900.000.131−0.1525
Boyd-MunceCM820.170.0400.0005
O'HaraCM640.030.011−0.0503
TanserLWB900.000.0400.0532
OlusanyaST830.000.0610.0400
MandronST630.080.020−0.0110
ScottFW270.000.0200.0210
KiltieFW260.000.020−0.0101
SmythMF80.000.0210.0331
OseniFW80.000.000−0.0100
MooneyMF70.090.0000.0100

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SinclairGK900.000.0000.0330
Sprangler CB900.000.0100.04216
MikulicCB9010.060.0000.00113
DouglasCB900.000.0000.0647
CurtisRWB900.000.0000.0225
HoltCM900.050.0100.0246
Watt CM900.000.0110.0222
WrightLWB900.110.0100.0566
CareyAM740.220.0100.0661
GriffithAM900.000.0110.0026
KirkST740.070.000−0.0111
StevenMF160.000.0000.0111
SidibehFW160.000.000−0.0101

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Hemming and Phillips: 3 passesBwomono and Boyd-Munce: 3 passesMandron and Olusanya: 3 passesHemming and Tanser: 4 passesFraser and Mandron: 4 passesBoyd-Munce and Mandron: 4 passesGogic and Fraser: 5 passesFraser and Bwomono: 5 passesBwomono and Phillips: 5 passesTanser and O'Hara: 5 passesFraser and Phillips: 6 passesHemming and Gogic: 7 passesGogic and Taylor: 7 passesTaylor and O'Hara: 8 passesTaylor and Boyd-Munce: 8 passesHemming: 10 completed passesGogic: 14 completed passesTaylor: 18 completed passesFraser: 17 completed passesBwomono: 8 completed passesTanser: 7 completed passesPhillips: 9 completed passesO'Hara: 11 completed passesBoyd-Munce: 13 completed passesMandron: 9 completed passesOlusanya: 4 completed passes11352242388615920HemmingGogicTaylorFraserBwomonoTanserPhillipsO'HaraBoyd-MunceMandronOlusanyaStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Johnstone

Sinclair and Watt: 5 passesDouglas and Carey: 5 passesWright and Griffith: 5 passesHolt and Carey: 5 passesHolt and Griffith: 5 passesWright and Kirk: 6 passesDouglas and Griffith: 7 passesWatt and Holt: 7 passesWatt and Griffith: 7 passesCurtis and Watt: 8 passesWright and Holt: 8 passesCurtis and Carey: 10 passesSprangler and Holt: 12 passesWatt and Carey: 12 passesSprangler and Watt: 13 passesSprangler and Carey: 13 passesCurtis and Holt: 13 passesMikulic and Douglas: 14 passesDouglas and Watt: 16 passesSprangler and Mikulic: 17 passesSinclair and Mikulic: 18 passesSinclair and Douglas: 19 passesSprangler and Curtis: 19 passesDouglas and Wright: 19 passesWright and Watt: 22 passesSinclair and Sprangler: 29 passesSinclair: 42 completed passesSprangler: 55 completed passesMikulic: 41 completed passesDouglas: 46 completed passesCurtis: 30 completed passesWright: 36 completed passesWatt: 45 completed passesHolt: 28 completed passesCarey: 26 completed passesGriffith: 16 completed passesKirk: 8 completed passes2023230371444711627SinclairSpranglerMikulicDouglasCurtisWrightWattHoltCareyGriffithKirkStarters until 74' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
TaylorGogic9
GogicFraser9
GogicHemming7
FraserPhillips6
FraserGogic6

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
SinclairSprangler18
MikulicSinclair18
WrightWatt17
DouglasWright15
SpranglerSinclair13

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

4−0.80−6.51−4.45−1.51−5.78+3.12−4.84−5.08+2.52−2.10−3.72−2.32−4.21−3.05+1.47+3.99+6.11−3.28+5.55+3.45+3.80−0.95+3.010.01+0.44+2.90−0.52+1.45−8.80−7.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

St. Johnstone

9+1.825+5.86−0.82−3.98+1.213+6.012+5.88+1.213+5.44−1.06+1.82−1.22−2.54−1.62−1.01−1.61−0.53+0.82−1.50−2.50−1.50−1.00−1.21−0.81+0.30−0.30−0.40−0.31+0.20−5.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.030.010.020.030.030.020.010.010.040.020.030.020.030.030.020.02−0.01−0.02−0.030.01−0.02−0.07−0.05−0.020.010.05LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.010.030.010.010.020.010.010.010.010.030.010.010.020.03−0.010.01−0.01−0.030.040.03LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Mirren1.12 → 1.10St. Johnstone1.00 → 1.01Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.45 → 1.45St. Johnstone1.58 → 1.55

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six37%21%−16
11th8%13%+5
Bottom1%4%+3
St. Johnstone
11th12%17%+5
Bottom82%69%−13
Hibernian
Top six72%76%+4
11th1%<1%−1
Ross County
Top six9%11%+2
11th27%23%−4
Bottom7%10%+3

From the forecast before the match (1 February 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.570.98
Win51%23%
Expected Points1.780.95
Clean sheet38%21%

St. Mirren 51%Draw 27%St. Johnstone 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 50%.

St. Johnstone goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%2%2%2%12%13%10%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 1 February 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawSt. Johnstone win
St. Mirren
Top six37%48%30%21%
11th8%5%10%13%
Bottom1%<1%1%4%
St. Johnstone
11th12%9%11%17%
Bottom82%86%83%69%
Hibernian
Top six72%70%72%76%
11th1%1%1%<1%
Ross County
Top six9%9%9%11%
11th27%29%26%23%
Bottom7%5%7%10%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. W3–025 JanAberdeen (A)xG 1.78–1.41
  2. L0–111 JanDundee United (H)xG 2.39–1.51
  3. L0–35 JanCeltic (A)xG 1.08–2.60
  4. L0–22 JanKilmarnock (A)xG 0.26–2.98
  5. L1–229 DecDundee FC (H)xG 1.02–1.00
  6. W2–126 DecRangers (H)xG 1.07–1.52

St. Johnstone

  1. W2–125 JanMotherwell (H)xG 1.50–1.22
  2. L1–312 JanRangers (A)xG 0.43–3.03
  3. L1–35 JanDundee FC (H)xG 2.00–1.49
  4. D1–12 JanHibernian (H)xG 0.96–2.27
  5. L0–429 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.06–4.68
  6. L1–226 DecDundee United (H)xG 0.58–1.27

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
Position7th12th
Played2424
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠3–⁠125–⁠3–⁠16
Points30 (1.25 per game)18 (0.75 per game)
Expected Points per game1.151.10
Goals30–⁠3827–⁠48
xG per game1.19–⁠1.611.05–⁠1.58
Home: points, xG per game1.42, 1.16–⁠1.210.83, 1.12–⁠1.52
Away: points, xG per game1.08, 1.22–⁠2.000.67, 0.98–⁠1.63
ManagerStephen Robinson (57)Simo Valakari (17)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Mirren1.12, 9thSt. Johnstone1.00, 12thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.45, 7thSt. Johnstone1.58, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanSt. Mirren attack: 1.12St. Johnstone attack: 1.001.121.00St. JohnstoneSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanSt. Mirren defence: 1.45St. Johnstone defence: 1.581.581.45

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−28%−8%−34%+24%
Counter-attacks−6%+11%−59%+17%
Set pieces−19%+34%−20%average
Penalties+40%+64%+17%−53%
Headers−18%−2%−28%+20%
Left side−28%−10%−31%+33%
Centre−24%+5%−39%+16%
Right side−19%+28%−18%−1%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−28%−1%Centre−24%+16%Right side−19%+33%Open play−28%+24%Counter-attacks−6%+17%Set pieces−19%averageHeaders−18%+20%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−31%+28%Centre−39%+5%Right side−18%−10%Open play−34%−8%Counter-attacks−59%+11%Set pieces−20%+34%Headers−28%−2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

1.19xG1.05
1.61xG against1.58
42%Possession52%
11.0Shots10.2
12.5Shots against14.2
3.6Shots on target3.1
1.9Big chances1.3
20.0Touches in the opposition box16.6
293Passes434
64%Pass accuracy78%
4.5Corners3.8
41%Field tilt46%
30.4Final-third entries37.6
8.6Box entries9.1
15.2Passes per defensive action15.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level481.231.37
Ahead201.071.81
Behind221.231.94

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level341.191.88
Ahead141.281.39
Behind430.861.40

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.275–6
16–300.160.157–4
31–450.340.177–5
46–600.160.202–6
61–750.110.330–8
76–900.250.489–9

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.222–6
16–300.110.312–11
31–450.210.205–6
46–600.180.266–9
61–750.120.204–6
76–900.310.398–10

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWBalcombe 21Hemming 3Fraser 21Phillips 2Gogic 20Iacovitti 7Taylor 18Dunne 4Bwomono 14Rooney 6Fraser 3Phillips 19Idowu 6Smyth 2O'Hara 16Boyd-Munce 2Gogic 1Tanser 17Smyth 3Brown 3Boyd-Munce 6McMenamin 5Kiltie 3Olusanya 16Mandron 5van Veen 2Kiltie 11Olusanya 5Mandron 33-4-3 in 9 of 24 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (9), 3-5-2 (7), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTRae 13Sinclair 9Fisher 2Wright 10Neilson 10Essel 4Sanders 21Kucheriavyi 1McClelland 1Cameron 12Mikulic 10Wright 9Clark 7Neilson 2Holt 12Carey 7MacPhers… 3MacPhersonSprangler 19Clark 3Raymond 2Smith 14Essel 4Sidibeh 2Raymond 13Douglas 3Wright 2Kirk 10Sidibeh 10Kimpioka 18Clark 8Holt 13-5-2 in 7 of 24 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (7), 4-3-1-2 (7), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
14 December 2024St. Johnstone2–3St. MirrenxG 0.79–2.08
30 October 2024St. Mirren3–1St. JohnstonexG 0.93–0.73
24 February 2024St. Mirren2–0St. JohnstonexG 0.94–0.70
6 December 2023St. Johnstone1–0St. MirrenxG 1.98–1.93
28 October 2023St. Mirren4–0St. JohnstonexG 1.52–0.74
25 February 2023St. Johnstone1–1St. MirrenxG 0.39–1.59

15 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 7, St. Johnstone won 4, and 4 were drawn. Goals 21–15 and xG 1.19–1.06 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Olusanya211,560710.450.03
Smyth5520400.330.11
Ayunga3470100.260.11
Mandron8911320.220.11

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Clark181,450620.350.06
Carey9973210.160.25
Sidibeh121,236220.250.11
Kirk121,091510.290.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.