Monday 5 August 2024, 20:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 1 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 9,203
St. Johnstone Molloy 88' (og)
Aberdeen Devlin 22', McGrath 62'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
St. Johnstone
Aberdeen
Goals
1
2
xG
0.81
1.79
Expected Points
0.66
2.10
St. Johnstone 14%Draw 24%Aberdeen 62%
Most likely score 0–2, 13%. Final score 1–2, 12%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
St. JohnstoneAberdeen
0.81xG1.79
0.37xG on target2.32
15Shots21
2Shots on target6
0Big chances4
30Touches in the opposition box25
51%Possession49%
340Passes333
70%Pass accuracy72%
58%Field tilt42%
44Final-third entries30
12Box entries14
10.2Passes per defensive action13.6
12Corners7
17Tackles17
11Interceptions11
21Clearances36
4Saves2
10Fouls12
0Offsides3
Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
St. Johnstone
Aberdeen
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
22'62'88'
0–00–10–21–2
0'HTFT
Level
22 min (22%) · St. Johnstone 0.27, Aberdeen 1.02 xG
Aberdeen ahead
80 min (78%) · St. Johnstone 0.54, Aberdeen 0.77 xG
Line-ups
St. Johnstone substitutes
52'Sanders for McClelland
71'Carey for Essel
86'Clark for Kimpioka
86'Kirk for MacPherson
Aberdeen substitutes
64'Gueye for Sokler
75'Ambrose for Morris · yellow card 90+6'
Players
St. Johnstone
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Rae
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
0
Neilson
RB
90
0.22
0.02
1
0.12
6
9
McClelland
CB
52
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
2
Cameron
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.06
6
6
Raymond
LB
90
0.00
0.08
1
0.10
5
6
Wright
RM
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.06
3
1
MacPherson
CM
86
0.07
0.30
2
0.15
4
2
Essel
CM
71
0.05
0.02
0
−0.08
0
9
M. Smith
LM
90
0.07
0.16
4
0.14
6
6
Sidibeh
ST
90
0.23
0.03
1
0.04
2
5
Kimpioka
ST
86
0.04
0.05
2
−0.08
2
0
Sanders
DF
38
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
4
6
Carey
MF
19
0.00
0.01
0
0.06
3
3
Clark
MF
4
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
Kirk
FW
4
0.13
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Mitov
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
5
2
Devlin
RB
90
1
0.16
0.04
1
0.19
6
8
Rubezic
CB
90
0.03
0.04
1
−0.03
1
13
Molloy
CB
90
0.12
0.00
0
0.02
1
16
MacKenzie
LB
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.04
6
8
Shinnie
DM
90
0.08
0.06
0
0.05
9
4
Nilsen
DM
90
1
0.02
0.28
2
0.12
5
6
Morris
RW
75
0.16
0.02
1
0.14
7
0
Sokler
AM
64
0.52
0.03
2
0.09
3
0
McGrath
LW
90
1
1
0.42
0.60
8
0.28
9
8
Miovski
ST
90
0.28
0.44
1
0.08
4
0
Gueye
MF
26
0.01
0.00
2
0.02
1
4
Ambrose
FW
15
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
St. Johnstone
Aberdeen
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
St. Johnstone
From
To
Passes
Neilson
MacPherson
12
Neilson
Wright
11
MacPherson
Neilson
10
MacPherson
Wright
9
Raymond
M. Smith
9
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
Nilsen
McGrath
10
MacKenzie
McGrath
9
Devlin
Morris
9
Morris
Devlin
9
McGrath
MacKenzie
8
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
St. Johnstone
Aberdeen
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page.
Threat
St. Johnstone
Aberdeen
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
St. Johnstone
Top six
10%
7%
−3
11th
21%
23%
+2
Bottom
26%
31%
+5
Aberdeen
Top six
67%
75%
+8
11th
2%
1%
−1
Bottom
1%
<1%
−1
Motherwell
Top six
48%
47%
−1
Bottom
3%
3%
0
From the forecast before the match (5 August 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
St. Johnstone
Aberdeen
Expected goals
1.14
1.38
Win
30%
42%
Expected Points
1.19
1.53
Clean sheet
25%
32%
St. Johnstone 30%Draw 28%Aberdeen 42%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 51%.
From the forecast as it stood on 5 August 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
St. Johnstone win
Draw
Aberdeen win
St. Johnstone
Top six
10%
15%
11%
7%
11th
21%
18%
21%
23%
Bottom
26%
20%
27%
31%
Aberdeen
Top six
67%
58%
65%
75%
11th
2%
4%
2%
1%
Bottom
1%
2%
1%
<1%
Motherwell
Top six
48%
51%
49%
47%
Bottom
3%
3%
3%
3%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
St. Johnstone
Aberdeen
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−31%
+15%
−9%
+10%
Counter-attacks
−59%
+29%
+46%
−34%
Set pieces
−8%
+45%
+25%
+2%
Penalties
−74%
+4%
−35%
+57%
Headers
−2%
+29%
+6%
+7%
Left side
−36%
+13%
+2%
+8%
Centre
−18%
+22%
+13%
+5%
Right side
−38%
+38%
−10%
−2%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Matchups
St. Johnstone attacking
St. Johnstone createdAberdeen concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−36%−2%Centre−18%+5%Right side−38%+8%Open play−31%+10%Counter-attacks−59%−34%Set pieces−8%+2%Headers−2%+7%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Digressive Celts