Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

St. Johnstone 1–1 Aberdeen

Wednesday 24 January 2024, 19:45 · McDiarmid Park · Round 18 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 3,472

St. Johnstone Keltjens 78'

Aberdeen Miovski 62' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Goals11
xG0.991.21
Non-penalty xG0.990.42
Expected Points1.081.57

St. Johnstone 24%Draw 35%Aberdeen 40%

Most likely score 1–1, 25%. Final score 1–1, 25%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+5%8%1%5%10%2%3%11%5%3%1%18%25%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTKucheriavyi on for Sprangler, 73'Kimpioka on for Jaiyesimi, 85'Olufunwa on for Keltjens, 90+9'Sokler on for Polvara, 62'Hayes on for Barron, 63'Jensen on for MacKenzie, 74'MacDonald on for Rubezic, 90'Keltjens 78'Miovski 62' (pen)Aberdeen 1.21St. Johnstone 0.9900.511.50153045607590HTKucheriavyi on for Sprangler, 73'Kimpioka on for Jaiyesimi, 85'Olufunwa on for Keltjens, 90+9'Sokler on for Polvara, 62'Hayes on for Barron, 63'Jensen on for MacKenzie, 74'MacDonald on for Rubezic, 90'Keltjens 78'Miovski 62' (pen)1.210.99St. JohnstoneAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.99 +0.11xG1.21 −0.16
0.99Non-penalty xG0.42
1.50 +0.72xG on target1.41 +0.15
14 +4.7Shots8 −3.8
5 +2.4Shots on target4 +0.1
2 +0.9Big chances2 +0.3
27 +11Touches in the opposition box18 −6
45% +2Possession55% +7
343 +13Passes424 +51
68% +3Pass accuracy74% +6
46% +8Field tilt54% +8
25 0Final-third entries26 −5
12 +4.9Box entries9 −1.5
9.6 −8Passes per defensive action10.4 −4
1 −2.7Corners4 −0.8
21 +4Tackles21 +4
12 +2.6Interceptions5 −3.3
22 −4Clearances28 +4
3 −0.7Saves4 +0.9
20 +9Fouls8 −3
0 −1.6Offsides0 −1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Jaiyesimi 53', 0.33 xGGordon 34', 0.13 xGKucheriavyi 90+7', 0.09 xGJaiyesimi 64', 0.06 xGJaiyesimi 82', 0.06 xGCarey 30', 0.04 xGJaiyesimi 56', 0.04 xGPhillips 11', 0.02 xGRobinson 34', 0.02 xGKeltjens 71', 0.02 xGCarey 25', 0.01 xGGordon 26', 0.01 xGGordon 63', 0.01 xGKeltjens 78', 0.15 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals76%0.75 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.75 xG, 1 goal14%0.14 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals8%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Shinnie 54', 0.13 xGSokler 90+5', 0.10 xGMiovski 81', 0.09 xGMiovski 90+7', 0.04 xGClarkson 81', 0.03 xGPolvara 6', 0.02 xGPolvara 58', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals57%0.24 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals7%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals36%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.67 8 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.27 4 shots, 0 goals
0.09 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.23 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.15 3 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
83 min (84%) · St. Johnstone 0.75, Aberdeen 1.21 xG
Aberdeen ahead
16 min (16%) · St. Johnstone 0.24, Aberdeen 0.00 xG

Line-ups

156433342319221113MitovMcGowanGordonConsidineKeltjensPhillipsSpranglerRobinsonSmithCareyJaiyesimiYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow cardYellow card90+9'73'85'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Craig Levein242336384211079RoosDevlinRubezicGartenmannMacKenzieBarronShinniePolvaraClarksonMcGrathMiovskiYellow cardGoal90'74'63'62'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Barry Robson

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 73' Kucheriavyi for Sprangler
  • 85' Kimpioka for Jaiyesimi
  • 90+9' Olufunwa for Keltjens

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 62' Sokler for Polvara
  • 63' Hayes for Barron
  • 74' Jensen for MacKenzie
  • 90' MacDonald for Rubezic

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0341
McGowanCB900.000.0810.2039
Gordon CB900.150.0000.0224
ConsidineCB900.000.0200.0456
Keltjens RWB9010.170.0110.02510
PhillipsCM900.020.0200.0317
SpranglerCM730.000.0000.0002
RobinsonLWB900.020.1930.36128
Smith AM900.000.2220.2231
Carey AM9010.050.2130.2344
JaiyesimiST850.490.0210.1432
KucheriavyiMF170.090.0000.0201
KimpiokaFW50.000.021−0.1100
OlufunwaDF00.000.000––0

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0110
DevlinRB900.000.0400.1252
Rubezic CB900.000.000−0.03212
GartenmannCB900.000.0000.0516
MacKenzieLB740.000.0100.0116
BarronDM630.000.0510.0433
ShinnieDM900.130.1810.1987
PolvaraRW620.040.0200.0311
ClarksonAM900.030.4420.2553
McGrathLW900.000.0800.0936
MiovskiST9010.910.021−0.0801
SoklerFW280.100.0000.0012
HayesDF270.000.0400.0311
JensenDF160.000.0000.0003
MacDonaldDF00.000.0100.0002

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Mitov and Gordon: 4 passesConsidine and Jaiyesimi: 4 passesKeltjens and Carey: 4 passesRobinson and Carey: 4 passesRobinson and Jaiyesimi: 4 passesMcGowan and Smith: 5 passesConsidine and Gordon: 5 passesPhillips and Carey: 5 passesCarey and Jaiyesimi: 5 passesMcGowan and Phillips: 6 passesConsidine and Sprangler: 6 passesConsidine and Carey: 6 passesMcGowan and Sprangler: 7 passesRobinson and Smith: 7 passesCarey and Smith: 7 passesSprangler and Phillips: 8 passesMcGowan and Gordon: 10 passesMcGowan and Keltjens: 10 passesMcGowan and Carey: 10 passesSprangler and Carey: 10 passesKeltjens and Smith: 11 passesConsidine and Robinson: 12 passesMitov: 9 completed passesMcGowan: 32 completed passesConsidine: 25 completed passesGordon: 13 completed passesKeltjens: 15 completed passesRobinson: 20 completed passesSprangler: 22 completed passesPhillips: 15 completed passesCarey: 21 completed passesSmith: 21 completed passesJaiyesimi: 9 completed passes154633192334112213MitovMcGowanConsidineGordonKeltjensRobinsonSpranglerPhillipsCareySmithJaiyesimiStarters until 73' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Aberdeen

Roos and Rubezic: 5 passesRoos and Barron: 5 passesDevlin and Polvara: 5 passesBarron and McGrath: 5 passesPolvara and Clarkson: 5 passesRoos and MacKenzie: 6 passesDevlin and Clarkson: 6 passesDevlin and Miovski: 6 passesGartenmann and Barron: 6 passesGartenmann and Clarkson: 6 passesGartenmann and McGrath: 6 passesRubezic and Barron: 6 passesMacKenzie and McGrath: 6 passesShinnie and McGrath: 7 passesDevlin and Rubezic: 8 passesGartenmann and Shinnie: 8 passesMacKenzie and Shinnie: 9 passesPolvara and Miovski: 10 passesGartenmann and Rubezic: 11 passesBarron and Polvara: 15 passesRoos and Gartenmann: 18 passesDevlin and Barron: 18 passesGartenmann and MacKenzie: 21 passesRoos: 24 completed passesDevlin: 26 completed passesGartenmann: 41 completed passesRubezic: 21 completed passesMacKenzie: 23 completed passesShinnie: 23 completed passesBarron: 39 completed passesPolvara: 17 completed passesClarkson: 18 completed passesMcGrath: 17 completed passesMiovski: 9 completed passes242633348211079RoosDevlinGartenmannRubezicMacKenzieShinnieBarronPolvaraClarksonMcGrathMiovskiStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
KeltjensSmith11
McGowanCarey9
McGowanKeltjens7
SpranglerCarey6
McGowanGordon6

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
MacKenzieGartenmann14
RoosGartenmann14
BarronDevlin13
GartenmannRoos9
GartenmannRubezic8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

5−0.514−0.36−3.75−2.58+1.78+0.910+1.97+0.56+1.24+0.53−2.29+2.38+3.94+0.93+1.33+0.37+2.54+2.16+4.81−0.410.03+1.01+0.41+0.81+0.81+0.81+0.23−4.72−4.35−4.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Aberdeen

3−2.26−2.213+5.66+1.44−4.23−4.08+1.910+0.29+0.65−1.28+1.63−0.94−1.510+4.24−0.44+0.93+0.93−1.36+1.21−1.33+1.31+0.31−0.43+0.60−1.42+1.60−0.40−0.20−0.57−8.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 18 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.020.010.020.010.010.030.020.010.010.040.040.040.010.010.020.010.100.010.13−0.010.100.190.200.17LessMore

Aberdeen

0.030.020.020.010.020.020.010.030.010.040.020.040.010.06−0.010.08−0.010.03−0.03−0.06−0.050.140.24LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackSt. Johnstone0.96 → 0.96Aberdeen1.22 → 1.23Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.44 → 1.44Aberdeen1.33 → 1.32

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six5%4%−1
11th24%26%+2
Bottom11%11%0
Aberdeen
Top six64%60%−4
11th1%1%0
Livingston
11th21%20%−1
Bottom62%62%0
St. Mirren
Top six53%55%+2
11th2%2%0

From the forecast before the match (24 January 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Expected goals1.191.25
Win34%37%
Expected Points1.311.40
Clean sheet29%31%

St. Johnstone 34%Draw 29%Aberdeen 37%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 50%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%7%3%10%8%3%1%6%8%5%2%2%3%2%10%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 24 January 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawAberdeen win
St. Johnstone
Top six5%10%4%2%
11th24%19%26%27%
Bottom11%6%11%15%
Aberdeen
Top six64%54%60%75%
11th1%3%1%1%
Livingston
11th21%20%20%22%
Bottom62%66%62%59%
St. Mirren
Top six53%53%55%50%
11th2%2%2%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. D0–027 DecLivingston (A)xG 0.25–0.93
  2. L1–223 DecKilmarnock (A)xG 1.37–1.37
  3. L0–220 DecRangers (A)xG 0.09–3.14
  4. W1–016 DecHibernian (H)xG 0.94–0.10
  5. D1–19 DecMotherwell (A)xG 1.33–1.21
  6. W1–06 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.98–1.93

Aberdeen

  1. W3–02 JanRoss County (A)xG 1.72–0.14
  2. L0–330 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.03–2.73
  3. W2–120 DecLivingston (H)xG 1.00–1.53
  4. W2–19 DecHearts (H)xG 1.74–0.33
  5. L0–16 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 1.14–0.64
  6. L0–23 DecHibernian (A)xG 3.86–1.73

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
Position10th8th
Played2018
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠7–⁠96–⁠4–⁠8
Points19 (0.95 per game)22 (1.22 per game)
Expected Points per game0.891.26
Goals13–⁠2722–⁠29
xG per game0.88–⁠1.641.37–⁠1.64
Home: points, xG per game1.50, 1.13–⁠1.491.22, 1.40–⁠1.47
Away: points, xG per game0.40, 0.64–⁠1.801.22, 1.34–⁠1.81
ManagerCraig Levein (10)Barry Robson (33)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackSt. Johnstone0.96, 12thAberdeen1.22, 4thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.44, 10thAberdeen1.33, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanSt. Johnstone attack: 0.96Aberdeen attack: 1.221.220.96AberdeenSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanSt. Johnstone defence: 1.44Aberdeen defence: 1.331.441.33

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−35%+29%−7%+16%
Counter-attacks−91%+83%+75%−12%
Set pieces−2%+15%+18%+31%
Penalties−73%−45%−39%+52%
Headers−1%+25%−3%+52%
Left side−43%+9%−3%+13%
Centre−17%+32%+22%+31%
Right side−45%+48%−17%−7%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdAberdeen concededLeft side−43%−7%Centre−17%+31%Right side−45%+13%Open play−35%+16%Counter-attacks−91%−12%Set pieces−2%+31%Headers−1%+52%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−3%+48%Centre+22%+32%Right side−17%+9%Open play−7%+29%Counter-attacks+75%+83%Set pieces+18%+15%Headers−3%+25%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneAberdeen

0.88xG1.37
1.64xG against1.64
43%Possession48%
9.3Shots11.8
15.2Shots against12.7
2.6Shots on target3.9
1.1Big chances1.7
16.2Touches in the opposition box23.9
330Passes373
64%Pass accuracy68%
3.7Corners4.8
38%Field tilt46%
25.3Final-third entries31.0
7.1Box entries10.5
17.3Passes per defensive action14.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level510.851.16
Ahead140.891.90
Behind240.942.53

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level410.971.27
Ahead211.931.79
Behind281.542.07

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.102–1
16–300.150.242–3
31–450.120.182–4
46–600.090.292–5
61–750.150.382–7
76–900.250.463–7

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.231–4
16–300.200.355–5
31–450.310.165–1
46–600.190.203–1
61–750.230.224–5
76–900.350.484–13

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMitov 20Robinson 7McGowan 7Costelloe 4Gordon 17McClelland 5Considine 12Brown 8Olufunwa 4Franczak 3Phillips 9Kucheriavyi 4Sprangler 3Smith 8Robinson 6Carey 4Phillips 5Gallacher 4Sprangler 3Kucheriavyi 5Smith 5Carey 3Kane 7May 6Costelloe 3Carey 7Clark 5Jaiyesimi 53-4-1-2 in 6 of 20 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (6), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTRoos 18Gartenmann 14Devlin 3Polvara 1Rubezic 15MacDonald 4Jensen 14MacKenzie 3Devlin 15Morris 2Milne 1Clarkson 10Barron 5McGrath 2Shinnie 18McGarry 6MacKenzie 5Hayes 5McGrath 7Polvara 6Clarkson 4Miovski 17Sokler 3Duk 11McGrath 4Hayes 13-4-1-2 in 9 of 18 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (9), 3-5-2 (3), 5-4-1 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
8 October 2023Aberdeen0–0St. JohnstonexG 1.01–0.33
1 April 2023St. Johnstone0–1AberdeenxG 0.82–1.00
7 January 2023Aberdeen2–0St. JohnstonexG 1.10–0.51
20 August 2022St. Johnstone0–1AberdeenxG 0.34–1.05
11 May 2022St. Johnstone1–0AberdeenxG 0.68–0.28
15 February 2022Aberdeen1–1St. JohnstonexG 2.12–1.17

12 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 2, Aberdeen won 7, and 3 were drawn. Goals 4–10 and xG 0.62–0.99 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kane7788100.390.03
Kucheriavyi11892200.180.08
Carey161,497220.040.16
Gallacher6587000.100.05

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski181,526920.460.12
McGrath131,082610.360.15
Duk11982240.290.15
Clarkson141,353120.060.28

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.