Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Aberdeen 0–2 St. Johnstone

Wednesday 28 February 2024, 19:45 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 28 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 14,226

St. Johnstone Clark 44' (pen), Kimpioka 77'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Goals02
xG2.171.69
Non-penalty xG2.170.90
Expected Points1.681.06

Aberdeen 47%Draw 27%St. Johnstone 26%

Most likely score 2–2, 13%. Final score 0–2, 3%.

St. Johnstone goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+3%3%1%2%9%10%3%2%4%2%8%9%3%4%4%1%1%1%11%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTMacKenzie on for Jensen, 46'Hoilett on for McGrath and Duk on for Hayes, 61'Phillips on for Clarkson, 72'McGarry on for MacKenzie, 82'Kucheriavyi on for Clark and Gallacher on for Keltjens, 80'Carey on for Jaiyesimi and May on for Kimpioka, 86'C. Smith on for M. Smith, 90+1'Clark 44' (pen)Kimpioka 77'Aberdeen 2.17St. Johnstone 1.6901230153045607590HTMacKenzie on for Jensen, 46'Hoilett on for McGrath and Duk on for Hayes, 61'Phillips on for Clarkson, 72'McGarry on for MacKenzie, 82'Kucheriavyi on for Clark and Gallacher on for Keltjens, 80'Carey on for Jaiyesimi and May on for Kimpioka, 86'C. Smith on for M. Smith, 90+1'Clark 44' (pen)Kimpioka 77'2.171.69AberdeenSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenSt. Johnstone

2.17 +0.83xG1.69 +0.85
2.17Non-penalty xG0.90
0.88 −0.40xG on target2.40 +1.63
17 +5.1Shots8 −1.2
5 +0.9Shots on target4 +1.4
3 +1.3Big chances4 +2.9
30 +7Touches in the opposition box16 +1
54% +7Possession46% +3
330 −33Passes288 −48
62% −5Pass accuracy58% −7
65% +21Field tilt35% −3
39 +8Final-third entries29 +3
13 +2.7Box entries9 +2.2
12.8 −2Passes per defensive action11.7 −5
11 +6.6Corners7 +3.4
16 −1Tackles22 +5
8 +0.1Interceptions12 +2.9
19 −6Clearances35 +9
2 −1.3Saves5 +1.4
7 −4Fouls11 −1
1 −0.2Offsides1 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

McGrath 56', 0.40 xGClarkson 58', 0.36 xGDuk 72', 0.25 xGHayes 59', 0.23 xGGartenmann 74', 0.23 xGClarkson 68', 0.17 xGMiovski 45+1', 0.10 xGMiovski 72', 0.09 xGMiovski 16', 0.05 xGMiovski 37', 0.05 xGMcGrath 12', 0.04 xGMcGrath 33', 0.04 xGMacDonald 84', 0.04 xGShinnie 39', 0.03 xGMacKenzie 60', 0.03 xGDuk 71', 0.03 xGDuk 90+3', 0.03 xG41%0.88 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.88 xG, 0 goals31%0.67 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.67 xG, 0 goals14%0.31 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.31 xG, 0 goals11%0.24 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals3%0.07 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Clark 17', 0.49 xGM. Smith 53', 0.09 xGMay 90', 0.06 xGM. Smith 20', 0.04 xGRobinson 66', 0.04 xGKeltjens 25', 0.02 xGKimpioka 77', 0.16 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals54%0.49 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.49 xG, 0 goals31%0.28 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.28 xG, 1 goal14%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenSt. Johnstone

1.42 9 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.66 4 shots, 0 goals
0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.22 2 shots, 1 goal
0.72 7 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.03 1 shot, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
44 min (47%) · Aberdeen 0.20, St. Johnstone 1.34 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
50 min (53%) · Aberdeen 1.96, St. Johnstone 0.35 xG

Line-ups

2462752884177109RoosGartenmannMacDonaldJensenMilneBarronShinnieHayesMcGrathClarksonMiovski46'61'61'72'Aberdeen 3-4-2-1Neil Warnock1335619233422101329MitovKeltjensMcGowanGordonRobinsonSpranglerPhillipsM. SmithClarkJaiyesimiKimpiokaYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoalYellow card80'90+1'80'86'86'St. Johnstone 4-2-3-1Craig Levein

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 46' MacKenzie for Jensen · off 82'
  • 61' Duk for Hayes
  • 61' Hoilett for McGrath
  • 72' Phillips for Clarkson
  • 82' McGarry for MacKenzie

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 80' Gallacher for Keltjens
  • 80' Kucheriavyi for Clark · yellow card 88'
  • 86' Carey for Jaiyesimi
  • 86' May for Kimpioka
  • 90+1' C. Smith for M. Smith

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0110.0111
GartenmannCB900.230.0110.1979
MacDonaldCB900.040.0000.0449
JensenCB460.000.0100.0210
MilneRWB900.000.0200.0766
BarronCM900.000.0410.0435
ShinnieCM900.030.0710.1446
HayesLWB610.230.0210.0120
McGrathAM610.480.2020.2511
ClarksonAM720.530.1710.1112
MiovskiST900.280.151−0.0321
MacKenzieDF360.030.0000.0333
DukMF290.320.0000.0930
HoilettMF290.000.0420.0200
PhillipsMF180.000.0000.0001
McGarryDF80.000.0000.0110

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0332
KeltjensRB800.020.0100.02113
McGowanCB900.000.0000.04412
GordonCB900.000.0010.0239
RobinsonLB900.040.0100.07513
Sprangler DM900.000.0110.0139
Phillips DM900.000.0100.0034
M. SmithRW900.130.5110.4174
ClarkAM8011.280.0110.0221
JaiyesimiLW8610.000.2010.0653
Kimpioka ST8610.160.0100.0840
GallacherDF100.000.0000.0010
Kucheriavyi MF100.000.0000.0005
CareyMF40.000.0000.0210
MayFW40.060.0000.0211
C. SmithMF00.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Roos and Gartenmann: 3 passesMilne and Clarkson: 3 passesMilne and Miovski: 3 passesShinnie and Miovski: 3 passesMcGrath and Miovski: 3 passesClarkson and Miovski: 3 passesGartenmann and MacDonald: 4 passesJensen and Shinnie: 4 passesHayes and Clarkson: 4 passesBarron and McGrath: 4 passesGartenmann and Milne: 5 passesGartenmann and Shinnie: 5 passesGartenmann and Barron: 5 passesJensen and Hayes: 5 passesHayes and Shinnie: 6 passesRoos: 4 completed passesGartenmann: 17 completed passesJensen: 12 completed passesMacDonald: 7 completed passesMilne: 7 completed passesHayes: 8 completed passesShinnie: 11 completed passesBarron: 11 completed passesMcGrath: 4 completed passesClarkson: 11 completed passesMiovski: 6 completed passes2465272817487109RoosGartenmannJensenMacDonaldMilneHayesShinnieBarronMcGrathClarksonMiovskiStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Johnstone

Mitov and Clark: 4 passesKeltjens and Sprangler: 4 passesKeltjens and Clark: 4 passesMcGowan and Phillips: 4 passesGordon and Robinson: 4 passesSprangler and Phillips: 4 passesSprangler and Clark: 4 passesPhillips and Kimpioka: 4 passesM. Smith and Kimpioka: 4 passesKeltjens and Phillips: 5 passesMcGowan and M. Smith: 5 passesGordon and Jaiyesimi: 5 passesRobinson and Kimpioka: 5 passesM. Smith and Clark: 5 passesRobinson and Clark: 6 passesSprangler and Jaiyesimi: 6 passesPhillips and M. Smith: 6 passesClark and Jaiyesimi: 6 passesRobinson and Sprangler: 7 passesSprangler and M. Smith: 7 passesJaiyesimi and Kimpioka: 7 passesPhillips and Clark: 8 passesKeltjens and M. Smith: 11 passesRobinson and Phillips: 11 passesRobinson and Jaiyesimi: 15 passesMitov: 5 completed passesKeltjens: 15 completed passesMcGowan: 13 completed passesGordon: 10 completed passesRobinson: 27 completed passesSprangler: 23 completed passesPhillips: 24 completed passesM. Smith: 16 completed passesClark: 18 completed passesJaiyesimi: 17 completed passesKimpioka: 10 completed passes1335619233422101329MitovKeltjensMcGowanGordonRobinsonSpranglerPhillipsM. SmithClarkJaiyesimiKimpiokaStarters until 80' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
GartenmannMilne11
GartenmannBarron9
MacDonaldGartenmann7
BarronGartenmann6
ShinnieGartenmann6

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
RobinsonJaiyesimi10
KeltjensM. Smith7
PhillipsRobinson6
RobinsonClark5
SpranglerJaiyesimi5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

6+0.99+0.76−1.83−1.23−4.82−4.61−5.39+0.17−1.78+2.03−2.91−2.94−1.25−1.28+3.74+1.020.00−3.85−0.15+2.53+1.03+2.22+0.51−1.62+0.90−0.51+0.70−0.30−0.45−10.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

St. Johnstone

4−2.25−2.926+11.313+3.68+1.07+0.27−0.78+2.07−1.017+8.25−1.37+2.30−3.54−1.37+0.33−1.55+1.91−0.83+0.23−1.44+2.12+0.61−0.32+0.71−1.20−0.61+0.80−0.20−0.30−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.020.010.010.010.010.030.020.010.060.060.010.030.070.110.020.010.100.020.040.080.030.090.16LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.020.010.010.010.030.020.030.010.050.020.070.09−0.010.070.01−0.030.180.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackAberdeen1.18 → 1.19St. Johnstone0.92 → 0.94Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.40 → 1.41St. Johnstone1.49 → 1.49

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six24%12%−12
11th2%5%+3
Bottom<1%1%+1
St. Johnstone
Top six<1%1%+1
11th29%19%−10
Bottom10%4%−6
Dundee FC
Top six41%47%+6
Ross County
11th42%48%+6
Bottom16%17%+1

From the forecast before the match (28 February 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.630.90
Win54%20%
Expected Points1.880.86
Clean sheet41%20%

Aberdeen 54%Draw 26%St. Johnstone 20%

Most likely score 1–0, 12%. Both sides score 48%.

St. Johnstone goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%7%3%1%5%2%4%1%6%5%2%2%2%1%12%12%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 28 February 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Aberdeen
Top six24%33%17%12%
11th2%1%3%5%
Bottom<1%<1%<1%1%
St. Johnstone
Top six<1%–<1%1%
11th29%33%29%19%
Bottom10%13%9%4%
Dundee FC
Top six41%37%45%47%
Ross County
11th42%40%43%48%
Bottom16%16%15%17%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. L0–224 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 0.48–1.94
  2. D2–217 FebHibernian (H)xG 2.93–1.46
  3. D3–314 FebMotherwell (H)xG 1.44–2.56
  4. L1–26 FebRangers (A)xG 0.53–2.12
  5. D1–13 FebCeltic (H)xG 1.22–2.04
  6. D1–130 JanDundee FC (H)xG 1.46–0.59

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–224 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.70–0.94
  2. L0–318 FebRangers (H)xG 0.21–2.96
  3. L1–211 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.37–3.19
  4. L0–17 FebHearts (H)xG 0.45–0.70
  5. W1–03 FebRoss County (A)xG 0.54–0.58
  6. D1–127 JanMotherwell (H)xG 0.82–0.87

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Position8th10th
Played2627
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠9–⁠115–⁠9–⁠13
Points27 (1.04 per game)24 (0.89 per game)
Expected Points per game1.220.89
Goals31–⁠4317–⁠37
xG per game1.34–⁠1.650.84–⁠1.60
Home: points, xG per game1.15, 1.51–⁠1.531.21, 0.98–⁠1.47
Away: points, xG per game0.92, 1.17–⁠1.760.54, 0.69–⁠1.75
ManagerNeil Warnock (4)Craig Levein (17)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackAberdeen1.18, 4thSt. Johnstone0.92, 12thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.40, 7thSt. Johnstone1.49, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebAberdeen attack: 1.18St. Johnstone attack: 0.921.180.92St. JohnstoneAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebAberdeen defence: 1.40St. Johnstone defence: 1.491.491.40

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−15%+24%−38%+16%
Counter-attacks+79%−11%−76%+41%
Set pieces+20%+19%−5%+22%
Penalties−20%+40%−81%+15%
Headers−9%+33%+2%+37%
Left side−5%+20%−39%+6%
Centre+16%+25%−19%+19%
Right side−18%+9%−50%+38%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−5%+38%Centre+16%+19%Right side−18%+6%Open play−15%+16%Counter-attacks+79%+41%Set pieces+20%+22%Headers−9%+37%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdAberdeen concededLeft side−39%+9%Centre−19%+25%Right side−50%+20%Open play−38%+24%Counter-attacks−76%−11%Set pieces−5%+19%Headers+2%+33%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenSt. Johnstone

1.34xG0.84
1.65xG against1.60
47%Possession43%
11.9Shots9.2
13.5Shots against14.8
4.1Shots on target2.6
1.7Big chances1.1
23.1Touches in the opposition box15.3
363Passes336
67%Pass accuracy65%
4.4Corners3.6
44%Field tilt38%
30.5Final-third entries26.0
10.3Box entries6.8
14.6Passes per defensive action16.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level471.071.36
Ahead171.771.70
Behind261.532.11

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.811.14
Ahead160.851.86
Behind240.912.41

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.272–7
16–300.170.345–7
31–450.320.179–2
46–600.190.236–4
61–750.230.245–8
76–900.300.404–15

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.134–1
16–300.130.192–4
31–450.130.163–6
46–600.120.292–6
61–750.120.372–10
76–900.240.464–10

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTRoos 26Gartenmann 21Devlin 5Polvara 5Rubezic 16MacDonald 5Jensen 20MacKenzie 4Devlin 21Morris 3Milne 2Clarkson 12Barron 11McGrath 3Shinnie 25MacKenzie 12McGarry 6Hayes 5McGrath 9Clarkson 8Polvara 6Miovski 25Sokler 4Duk 13McGrath 7Hayes 23-4-1-2 in 10 of 26 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (10), 4-2-3-1 (5), 3-5-2 (3), 5-4-1 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMitov 27McGowan 12Costelloe 4K. Smith 2Gordon 22McClelland 5Considine 19Robinson 7Brown 8Olufunwa 6Keltjens 4Phillips 12Carey 6Kucheriavyi 5M. Smith 10Robinson 10Sprangler 4Phillips 5Robinson 5Gallacher 4M. Smith 7Carey 6Kucheriavyi 5Kane 7Jaiyesimi 6May 6Carey 8Clark 6Sidibeh 33-4-1-2 in 7 of 27 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-5-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
24 January 2024St. Johnstone1–1AberdeenxG 0.99–1.21
8 October 2023Aberdeen0–0St. JohnstonexG 1.01–0.33
1 April 2023St. Johnstone0–1AberdeenxG 0.82–1.00
7 January 2023Aberdeen2–0St. JohnstonexG 1.10–0.51
20 August 2022St. Johnstone0–1AberdeenxG 0.34–1.05
11 May 2022St. Johnstone1–0AberdeenxG 0.68–0.28

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 7, St. Johnstone won 2, and 4 were drawn. Goals 11–5 and xG 1.01–0.65 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski262,2461320.450.11
Sokler4527010.390.05
Duk131,232440.270.16
McGrath211,768710.270.11

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kane7788100.390.03
Jaiyesimi7577100.330.06
Clark6559400.290.02
Kucheriavyi141,207200.140.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.