Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

St. Johnstone 2–1 Motherwell

Saturday 25 January 2025, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 24 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 3,892

St. Johnstone Steven 86', Mikulic 88'

Motherwell Halliday 4' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneMotherwell
Goals21
xG1.501.22
Non-penalty xG1.500.43
Expected Points1.531.14

St. Johnstone 40%Draw 33%Motherwell 27%

Most likely score 1–1, 22%. Final score 2–1, 16%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+3%10%4%5%9%2%4%16%8%1%2%7%3%2%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTSidibeh on for Kucheriavyi, 46'Clark on for Holt, 65'Steven on for Douglas, 80'Franczak on for Kirk, 90+6'Thompson on for Sparrow, 60'Armstrong on for Nicholson and Zdravkovski on for Halliday, 67'Koutroumbis on for Kaleta and Andrews on for Paton, 78'Steven 86'Mikulic 88'Halliday 4' (pen)St. Johnstone 1.50Motherwell 1.2200.511.520153045607590HTSidibeh on for Kucheriavyi, 46'Clark on for Holt, 65'Steven on for Douglas, 80'Franczak on for Kirk, 90+6'Thompson on for Sparrow, 60'Armstrong on for Nicholson and Zdravkovski on for Halliday, 67'Koutroumbis on for Kaleta and Andrews on for Paton, 78'Steven 86'Mikulic 88'Halliday 4' (pen)1.501.22St. JohnstoneMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneMotherwell

1.50 +0.47xG1.22 +0.09
1.50Non-penalty xG0.43
1.73 +0.76xG on target1.18 0.00
15 +5.0Shots10 +0.2
5 +2.0Shots on target3 −0.4
2 +0.7Big chances1 −0.8
28 +12Touches in the opposition box14 −5
69% +17Possession31% −8
547 +117Passes252 −48
85% +8Pass accuracy70% +3
80% +36Field tilt20% −14
52 +15Final-third entries24 −1
16 +7.2Box entries8 +0.1
11.6 −4Passes per defensive action24.4 +6
7 +3.3Corners3 −1.7
9 −6Tackles6 −10
10 +2.1Interceptions11 +2.9
17 −16Clearances42 +12
2 −1.0Saves3 −0.7
10 −1Fouls12 +1
3 +1.7Offsides1 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Sprangler 15', 0.13 xGClark 77', 0.11 xGSidibeh 90+3', 0.11 xGKirk 64', 0.10 xGSidibeh 81', 0.09 xGCarey 48', 0.08 xGCarey 44', 0.06 xGKirk 81', 0.06 xGSteven 86', 0.05 xGGriffith 15', 0.03 xGKirk 62', 0.03 xGClark 88', 0.03 xGWright 39', 0.01 xGMikulic 88', 0.49 xG, goalSteven 86', 0.11 xG, goal44%0.65 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.65 xG, 1 goal42%0.63 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.63 xG, 1 goal2%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals11%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Armstrong 82', 0.09 xGWatt 37', 0.07 xGMaswanhise 76', 0.07 xGMaswanhise 52', 0.05 xGWatt 34', 0.04 xGPaton 35', 0.03 xGHalliday 40', 0.03 xGSparrow 41', 0.03 xGMaswanhise 13', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals16%0.07 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals37%0.16 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals47%0.20 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneMotherwell

0.45 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.33 7 shots, 0 goals
0.11 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.07 1 shot, 0 goals
0.94 7 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces0.03 1 shot, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
6 min (6%) · St. Johnstone 0.49, Motherwell 0.79 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
8 min (8%) · St. Johnstone 0.15, Motherwell 0.00 xG
Motherwell ahead
82 min (85%) · St. Johnstone 0.86, Motherwell 0.43 xG

Line-ups

137172301423671127FisherCurtisKucheriavyiMikulicDouglasWrightSpranglerGriffithHoltCareyKirkYellow cardGoal46'80'65'90+6'St. Johnstone 4-4-1-1Simo Valakari8824202112111975552BalcombeO'DonnellGordonBlaneyKaletaPatonHallidayNicholsonSparrowMaswanhiseWattYellow cardGoalYellow card78'78'67'67'60'Motherwell 3-4-2-1Stuart Kettlewell

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 46' Sidibeh for Kucheriavyi · 1 assist
  • 65' Clark for Holt · 1 assist
  • 80' Steven for Douglas · goal 86'
  • 90+6' Franczak for Kirk

Motherwell substitutes

  • 60' Thompson for Sparrow · yellow card 61'
  • 67' Zdravkovski for Halliday
  • 67' Armstrong for Nicholson · yellow card 90+1'
  • 78' Koutroumbis for Kaleta
  • 78' Andrews for Paton

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
FisherGK900.000.0000.0110
CurtisRB900.000.1000.1663
Kucheriavyi CB460.000.020−0.0112
MikulicCB9010.490.0100.0557
DouglasLB800.000.0200.0787
WrightRM900.010.2120.20155
SpranglerCM900.130.0200.14117
GriffithCM900.030.0800.0461
HoltLM650.000.0520.0553
CareyAM900.140.5450.1372
KirkST900.190.0400.0122
SidibehFW4410.210.2920.1721
ClarkMF2510.140.3230.2630
StevenMF1010.160.0000.0400
FranczakMF00.000.000––0

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BalcombeGK900.000.0210.0632
O'DonnellCB900.000.0200.0439
GordonCB900.000.0000.0117
BlaneyCB900.000.0000.01011
KaletaRWB780.000.0110.0562
Paton CM780.030.0100.0433
HallidayCM6710.820.0300.0436
NicholsonLWB670.000.0210.0424
Sparrow AM600.030.0210.0355
MaswanhiseAM900.140.0820.1452
WattST900.110.0610.1162
Thompson MF300.000.0000.0102
ZdravkovskiMF230.000.0000.0112
Armstrong FW230.090.0010.0322
KoutroumbisDF120.000.0000.0001
AndrewsMF120.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Fisher and Sprangler: 5 passesCurtis and Holt: 5 passesFisher and Mikulic: 6 passesSprangler and Douglas: 6 passesDouglas and Kucheriavyi: 6 passesDouglas and Griffith: 6 passesWright and Douglas: 7 passesKucheriavyi and Holt: 7 passesHolt and Carey: 9 passesFisher and Wright: 11 passesWright and Kucheriavyi: 12 passesSprangler and Mikulic: 13 passesSprangler and Wright: 13 passesSprangler and Holt: 13 passesDouglas and Holt: 13 passesMikulic and Douglas: 14 passesWright and Curtis: 14 passesKucheriavyi and Carey: 14 passesWright and Holt: 16 passesFisher: 20 completed passesSprangler: 32 completed passesMikulic: 22 completed passesWright: 43 completed passesCurtis: 14 completed passesDouglas: 30 completed passesKucheriavyi: 25 completed passesHolt: 37 completed passesCarey: 16 completed passesGriffith: 13 completed passesKirk: 7 completed passes123214373017711627FisherSpranglerMikulicWrightCurtisDouglasKucheriavyiHoltCareyGriffithKirkStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Motherwell

Blaney and Gordon: 3 passesGordon and O'Donnell: 3 passesGordon and Paton: 3 passesHalliday and Watt: 3 passesBalcombe and Blaney: 4 passesBalcombe and O'Donnell: 4 passesPaton and Nicholson: 4 passesHalliday and Maswanhise: 4 passesNicholson and Watt: 4 passesBlaney and Paton: 5 passesO'Donnell and Watt: 5 passesSparrow and Watt: 5 passesKaleta and Paton: 5 passesPaton and Halliday: 5 passesHalliday and Nicholson: 5 passesO'Donnell and Paton: 6 passesO'Donnell and Halliday: 6 passesO'Donnell and Maswanhise: 6 passesSparrow and Halliday: 6 passesPaton and Watt: 7 passesBlaney and Kaleta: 8 passesMaswanhise and Watt: 8 passesO'Donnell and Sparrow: 9 passesSparrow and Maswanhise: 12 passesBalcombe: 7 completed passesBlaney: 15 completed passesGordon: 6 completed passesO'Donnell: 23 completed passesSparrow: 20 completed passesKaleta: 10 completed passesPaton: 18 completed passesHalliday: 18 completed passesNicholson: 7 completed passesMaswanhise: 12 completed passesWatt: 16 completed passes8820427211211195552BalcombeBlaneyGordonO'DonnellSparrowKaletaPatonHallidayNicholsonMaswanhiseWattStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
SpranglerMikulic21
MikulicSprangler20
MikulicDouglas16
HoltWright14
DouglasMikulic13

Motherwell

FromToPasses
SparrowMaswanhise7
O'DonnellWatt5
MaswanhiseSparrow5
SparrowO'Donnell5
BlaneyKaleta5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

2−3.75−2.37+0.36+0.15−1.93−4.210+3.93−3.910+2.550.05+0.84+0.85+0.56+0.45+2.15+2.51−0.55+2.92−1.61−1.60−1.62+1.12+0.85+3.40−0.70−0.30−0.41+0.71+0.29−10.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

Motherwell

4−0.78+1.117−1.113+5.03−3.48+1.711+4.77+0.88+1.98+0.64−1.140.06+2.73−1.66−0.24−0.12−1.13+1.04+0.92−2.20−2.41−0.610.02+0.63+1.60−0.93+2.40−0.70−0.10−0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.020.050.030.030.010.030.060.030.020.030.020.070.070.030.020.140.120.040.050.100.32LessMore

Motherwell

0.030.040.040.010.010.030.020.020.010.010.030.020.020.010.020.070.030.010.040.020.020.11LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackSt. Johnstone0.98 → 1.00Motherwell1.13 → 1.13Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.60 → 1.58Motherwell1.48 → 1.49

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
11th9%12%+3
Bottom86%80%−6
Motherwell
Top six57%46%−11
11th4%6%+2
Bottom<1%1%+1
Hibernian
Top six78%80%+2
Kilmarnock
Top six19%21%+2
Bottom1%2%+1

From the forecast before the match (25 January 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneMotherwell
Expected goals1.301.21
Win38%34%
Expected Points1.421.30
Clean sheet30%27%

St. Johnstone 38%Draw 28%Motherwell 34%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%9%6%2%8%3%1%7%8%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 25 January 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawMotherwell win
St. Johnstone
11th9%12%8%7%
Bottom86%80%89%91%
Motherwell
Top six57%46%55%72%
11th4%6%4%2%
Bottom<1%1%<1%–
Hibernian
Top six78%80%79%75%
Kilmarnock
Top six19%21%19%16%
Bottom1%2%1%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L1–312 JanRangers (A)xG 0.43–3.03
  2. L1–35 JanDundee FC (H)xG 2.00–1.49
  3. D1–12 JanHibernian (H)xG 0.96–2.27
  4. L0–429 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.06–4.68
  5. L1–226 DecDundee United (H)xG 0.58–1.27
  6. L1–222 DecHearts (A)xG 1.28–0.75

Motherwell

  1. L1–311 JanHibernian (A)xG 0.22–2.22
  2. D0–08 JanKilmarnock (A)xG 0.39–1.72
  3. W2–05 JanAberdeen (H)xG 1.36–0.89
  4. L0–12 JanHearts (A)xG 1.25–1.97
  5. D2–229 DecRangers (H)xG 0.52–2.23
  6. L0–426 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.23–3.55

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneMotherwell
Position12th5th
Played2323
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠3–⁠169–⁠4–⁠10
Points15 (0.65 per game)31 (1.35 per game)
Expected Points per game1.081.12
Goals25–⁠4728–⁠37
xG per game1.03–⁠1.591.13–⁠1.61
Home: points, xG per game0.64, 1.08–⁠1.551.64, 1.27–⁠1.46
Away: points, xG per game0.67, 0.98–⁠1.631.08, 1.00–⁠1.74
ManagerSimo Valakari (16)Stuart Kettlewell (75)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackSt. Johnstone0.98, 12thMotherwell1.13, 8thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.60, 12thMotherwell1.48, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanSt. Johnstone attack: 0.98Motherwell attack: 1.131.130.98MotherwellSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanSt. Johnstone defence: 1.60Motherwell defence: 1.481.601.48

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−33%+27%−25%+16%
Counter-attacks−61%+22%−50%average
Set pieces−28%+3%+14%+1%
Penalties+25%−75%−75%+25%
Headers−32%+25%+35%+7%
Left side−33%+36%−34%+37%
Centre−41%+19%−6%−3%
Right side−19%+3%−20%+11%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdMotherwell concededLeft side−33%+11%Centre−41%−3%Right side−19%+37%Open play−33%+16%Counter-attacks−61%averageSet pieces−28%+1%Headers−32%+7%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−34%+3%Centre−6%+19%Right side−20%+36%Open play−25%+27%Counter-attacks−50%+22%Set pieces+14%+3%Headers+35%+25%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneMotherwell

1.03xG1.13
1.59xG against1.61
52%Possession39%
10.0Shots9.8
14.4Shots against14.7
3.0Shots on target3.4
1.3Big chances1.8
16.1Touches in the opposition box18.7
430Passes300
77%Pass accuracy67%
3.7Corners4.7
44%Field tilt34%
36.8Final-third entries25.2
8.8Box entries7.9
15.8Passes per defensive action18.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level351.141.81
Ahead141.251.40
Behind410.861.48

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.251.53
Ahead220.921.51
Behind261.121.82

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.192–5
16–300.110.322–11
31–450.220.205–6
46–600.180.276–9
61–750.120.204–6
76–900.280.406–10

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.252–5
16–300.280.248–6
31–450.120.337–4
46–600.150.362–9
61–750.160.172–7
76–900.310.267–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTRae 13Sinclair 9Fisher 1Wright 10Neilson 10Essel 4Sanders 21McClelland 1Cameron 12Mikulic 9Wright 8Clark 7Neilson 2Holt 12Carey 6MacPhers… 3MacPhersonSprangler 18Clark 3Raymond 2Smith 14Essel 4Sidibeh 2Raymond 13Wright 2Douglas 2Sidibeh 10Kirk 9Kimpioka 18Clark 8Raymond 13-5-2 in 7 of 23 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (7), 4-3-1-2 (7), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTOxborough 22Mair 1Casey 20McGinn 7O'Donnell 2Gordon 18Balmer 12Blaney 8Seddon 2Kaleta 11O'Donnell 10Wilson 1Halliday 18Miller 6Andrews 1Zdravkovski 8Wilson 6Paton 3Wilson 13Seddon 3Sparrow 2Miller 11Sparrow 4Zdravkovski 4Maswanhise 9Watt 4Stamatelopoulos 3Stamatelopoulos 10Robinson 5Watt 33-4-2-1 in 7 of 23 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-5-2 (5), 3-4-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (3), 3-5-1-1 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
9 November 2024Motherwell2–1St. JohnstonexG 1.44–1.18
31 August 2024St. Johnstone1–2MotherwellxG 0.74–0.89
19 May 2024Motherwell1–2St. JohnstonexG 2.48–1.82
27 January 2024St. Johnstone1–1MotherwellxG 0.82–0.87
9 December 2023Motherwell1–1St. JohnstonexG 1.21–1.33
7 November 2023St. Johnstone2–2MotherwellxG 0.93–2.58

16 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 5, Motherwell won 5, and 6 were drawn. Goals 20–19 and xG 1.17–1.01 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Clark181,425610.350.04
Carey8883210.160.22
Sidibeh121,192210.240.10
Kirk111,001510.290.04

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ebiye3522200.420.05
Miller191,671260.150.24
Stamatelopoulos13897510.340.04
Watt8989100.250.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.