Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Aberdeen 1–0 St. Johnstone

Saturday 4 May 2024, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 35 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 15,537

Aberdeen Miovski 68' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Goals10
xG3.340.99
Non-penalty xG2.550.99
Expected Points2.720.20

Aberdeen 88%Draw 9%St. Johnstone 4%

Most likely score 3–1, 12%. Final score 1–0, 2%.

St. Johnstone goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+2%3%1%7%8%4%1%6%2%5%1%4%5%2%2%2%1%10%12%9%10%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTShinnie on for Barron, 74'Duk on for Polvara, 79'Phillips on for Clarkson, 90+2'MacPherson on for Wright, 63'Sidibeh on for Kimpioka and May on for C. Smith, 75'Miovski 68' (pen)Aberdeen 3.34St. Johnstone 0.99012340153045607590HTShinnie on for Barron, 74'Duk on for Polvara, 79'Phillips on for Clarkson, 90+2'MacPherson on for Wright, 63'Sidibeh on for Kimpioka and May on for C. Smith, 75'Miovski 68' (pen)3.340.99AberdeenSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenSt. Johnstone

3.34 +2.02xG0.99 +0.10
2.55Non-penalty xG0.99
2.44 +1.26xG on target0.60 −0.27
15 +3.0Shots12 +2.8
6 +2.0Shots on target5 +2.3
6 +4.4Big chances2 +0.7
35 +12Touches in the opposition box10 −5
65% +17Possession35% −9
495 +130Passes263 −71
80% +12Pass accuracy64% −1
70% +24Field tilt30% −9
50 +19Final-third entries31 +4
12 +1.2Box entries6 −0.7
11.8 −2Passes per defensive action18.5 +2
7 +2.4Corners4 +0.3
17 0Tackles20 +2
3 −4.8Interceptions9 −0.4
16 −8Clearances18 −8
4 +0.7Saves4 +0.4
10 −1Fouls15 +3
2 +0.6Offsides0 −1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Gartenmann 45+1', 0.76 xGMiovski 14', 0.39 xGMiovski 86', 0.36 xGGartenmann 23', 0.29 xGHoilett 45+1', 0.13 xGMcGrath 54', 0.13 xGMiovski 58', 0.11 xGMiovski 32', 0.10 xGMacDonald 55', 0.08 xGMiovski 78', 0.07 xGHoilett 21', 0.06 xGDevlin 48', 0.03 xGPolvara 42', 0.02 xGPolvara 55', 0.02 xG27%0.68 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.68 xG, 0 goals56%1.44 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 1.44 xG, 0 goals5%0.14 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals11%0.28 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals0%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Sidibeh 88', 0.25 xGKimpioka 29', 0.16 xGMcGowan 9', 0.14 xGClark 9', 0.08 xGC. Smith 39', 0.07 xGMcGowan 30', 0.06 xGC. Smith 12', 0.05 xGClark 60', 0.05 xGSidibeh 80', 0.05 xGMay 82', 0.03 xGConsidine 7', 0.02 xGKimpioka 47', 0.02 xG14%0.14 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.14 xG, 0 goals51%0.50 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.50 xG, 0 goals11%0.11 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals17%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals6%0.06 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenSt. Johnstone

0.86 8 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.75 8 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.02 1 shot, 0 goals
1.70 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.22 3 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
69 min (74%) · Aberdeen 2.91, St. Johnstone 0.66 xG
Aberdeen ahead
24 min (26%) · Aberdeen 0.43, St. Johnstone 0.33 xG

Line-ups

2426273821710309RoosDevlinGartenmannMacDonaldMacKenzieBarronPolvaraMcGrathClarksonHoilettMiovskiYellow cardGoal74'79'90+2'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Peter Leven156414223450111029MitovMcGowanGordonConsidineWrightM. SmithPhillipsC. SmithCareyClarkKimpiokaYellow card63'75'75'St. Johnstone 3-5-2Craig Levein

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 74' Shinnie for Barron
  • 79' Duk for Polvara
  • 90+2' Phillips for Clarkson

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 63' MacPherson for Wright · yellow card 77'
  • 75' Sidibeh for Kimpioka
  • 75' May for C. Smith

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0111
DevlinRB900.030.3200.43132
GartenmannCB901.060.0100.0777
MacDonaldCB900.080.0210.0957
MacKenzieLB900.000.1120.17123
BarronDM740.000.0100.0023
PolvaraDM790.040.0100.0684
McGrathRW900.130.3120.03104
ClarksonAM900.000.4320.1383
Hoilett LW900.180.8430.4083
MiovskiST9011.820.080−0.1730
ShinnieMF160.000.0000.0012
DukFW110.000.0000.0120
PhillipsMF00.000.000––0

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0100.0440
McGowanCB900.200.0100.0657
GordonCB900.000.0410.1049
Considine CB900.020.0000.0335
WrightRWB630.000.0110.0311
M. SmithCM900.000.1550.2146
PhillipsCM900.000.021−0.0218
C. SmithCM750.120.0410.0533
CareyLWB900.000.1810.0457
ClarkST900.130.0000.0112
KimpiokaST750.180.0320.0122
MacPherson MF270.000.0000.0121
SidibehFW150.300.0000.0110
MayFW150.030.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Roos and Devlin: 7 passesDevlin and Barron: 7 passesGartenmann and Clarkson: 7 passesMacKenzie and Clarkson: 7 passesBarron and Clarkson: 8 passesMcGrath and Clarkson: 8 passesMcGrath and Miovski: 8 passesDevlin and Miovski: 9 passesMacDonald and Hoilett: 9 passesDevlin and Clarkson: 13 passesMacKenzie and Barron: 14 passesMacKenzie and Hoilett: 14 passesGartenmann and Barron: 15 passesGartenmann and McGrath: 15 passesMacKenzie and Polvara: 15 passesRoos and Gartenmann: 16 passesMacDonald and Barron: 17 passesDevlin and McGrath: 18 passesMacDonald and MacKenzie: 22 passesDevlin and Gartenmann: 24 passesGartenmann and MacDonald: 28 passesRoos: 26 completed passesDevlin: 42 completed passesGartenmann: 65 completed passesMacDonald: 56 completed passesMacKenzie: 45 completed passesPolvara: 19 completed passesBarron: 38 completed passesMcGrath: 29 completed passesClarkson: 27 completed passesHoilett: 24 completed passesMiovski: 15 completed passes2426273218710309RoosDevlinGartenmannMacDonaldMacKenziePolvaraBarronMcGrathClarksonHoilettMiovskiStarters until 74' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

St. Johnstone

McGowan and Clark: 3 passesConsidine and Gordon: 3 passesConsidine and M. Smith: 3 passesWright and Phillips: 3 passesWright and Kimpioka: 3 passesCarey and Phillips: 3 passesCarey and M. Smith: 3 passesMitov and Kimpioka: 4 passesMitov and Clark: 4 passesMcGowan and Carey: 4 passesMcGowan and Phillips: 4 passesConsidine and Kimpioka: 4 passesWright and Clark: 4 passesMcGowan and Gordon: 5 passesMcGowan and Wright: 5 passesMcGowan and M. Smith: 5 passesConsidine and Carey: 5 passesCarey and C. Smith: 5 passesWright and M. Smith: 6 passesC. Smith and Kimpioka: 6 passesConsidine and Phillips: 7 passesCarey and Kimpioka: 7 passesPhillips and M. Smith: 7 passesMitov: 9 completed passesMcGowan: 16 completed passesConsidine: 16 completed passesGordon: 8 completed passesWright: 17 completed passesCarey: 15 completed passesPhillips: 11 completed passesC. Smith: 9 completed passesM. Smith: 14 completed passesKimpioka: 10 completed passesClark: 5 completed passes154614113450222910MitovMcGowanConsidineGordonWrightCareyPhillipsC. SmithM. SmithKimpiokaClarkStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
GartenmannDevlin17
GartenmannMacDonald17
DevlinMcGrath15
MacKenzieHoilett12
MacDonaldMacKenzie12

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
McGowanM. Smith7
KimpiokaCarey5
ConsidinePhillips5
McGowanPhillips5
WrightM. Smith5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

2−2.73−4.75−2.74−0.44−3.53−3.24−2.114+5.65−0.73−2.15+1.34−1.112+6.18+3.40−3.31−1.02−1.64−0.81−1.42+0.12+1.10−1.53+0.50−0.90−0.51+0.70−0.31+0.711−5.03−5.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

St. Johnstone

2−3.816+0.59−0.43−3.79+3.211+3.213+4.45−1.02−2.85+1.56+0.94−2.56+2.03−0.21−1.02−0.83−1.44+2.12+0.42+0.90−1.31−1.40−0.70−0.11+0.61+0.71+0.13−4.62−5.23−4.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.030.010.020.020.020.060.030.020.040.040.090.030.050.030.060.040.05−0.020.070.010.11−0.050.250.21LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.020.020.010.030.010.010.030.010.040.100.010.030.02−0.01−0.010.010.03−0.02−0.010.22LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackAberdeen1.17 → 1.22St. Johnstone0.92 → 0.90Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.34 → 1.30St. Johnstone1.55 → 1.59

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
11th48%57%+9
Ross County
11th51%42%−9

From the forecast before the match (4 May 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.670.86
Win56%19%
Expected Points1.930.81
Clean sheet42%19%

Aberdeen 56%Draw 25%St. Johnstone 19%

Most likely score 1–0, 13%. Both sides score 47%.

St. Johnstone goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+9%6%3%5%1%4%1%6%5%2%3%2%1%13%12%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 4 May 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawSt. Johnstone win
St. Johnstone
11th48%57%44%27%
Ross County
11th51%42%56%73%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. W1–027 AprMotherwell (H)xG 2.32–0.41
  2. D0–013 AprDundee FC (H)xG 1.01–1.11
  3. D0–06 AprLivingston (A)xG 0.92–0.76
  4. W2–130 MarRoss County (H)xG 0.71–0.82
  5. W1–016 MarMotherwell (A)xG 1.17–1.32
  6. L0–113 MarDundee FC (A)xG 0.66–1.92

St. Johnstone

  1. L1–327 AprHibernian (H)xG 0.82–1.76
  2. L0–213 AprKilmarnock (H)xG 1.22–3.51
  3. W2–16 AprHibernian (A)xG 0.62–0.95
  4. L1–230 MarDundee FC (H)xG 1.28–1.03
  5. L1–316 MarCeltic (A)xG 0.73–4.02
  6. D1–12 MarLivingston (H)xG 1.09–0.54

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Position8th10th
Played3434
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠11–⁠147–⁠10–⁠17
Points38 (1.12 per game)31 (0.91 per game)
Expected Points per game1.250.90
Goals36–⁠4925–⁠49
xG per game1.32–⁠1.550.89–⁠1.69
Home: points, xG per game1.29, 1.52–⁠1.411.00, 1.01–⁠1.52
Away: points, xG per game0.94, 1.11–⁠1.700.81, 0.75–⁠1.87
ManagerPeter Leven (6)Craig Levein (24)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackAberdeen1.17, 7thSt. Johnstone0.92, 12thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.34, 6thSt. Johnstone1.55, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprAberdeen attack: 1.17St. Johnstone attack: 0.921.170.92St. JohnstoneAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprAberdeen defence: 1.34St. Johnstone defence: 1.551.551.34

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−13%+14%−37%+20%
Counter-attacks+64%−27%−59%+45%
Set pieces+15%+8%−7%+40%
Penalties−41%+48%−70%−11%
Headers−2%+14%−7%+31%
Left side−1%+8%−41%+11%
Centre+9%+10%−19%+27%
Right side−15%+6%−45%+45%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−1%+45%Centre+9%+27%Right side−15%+11%Open play−13%+20%Counter-attacks+64%+45%Set pieces+15%+40%Headers−2%+31%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdAberdeen concededLeft side−41%+6%Centre−19%+10%Right side−45%+8%Open play−37%+14%Counter-attacks−59%−27%Set pieces−7%+8%Headers−7%+14%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenSt. Johnstone

1.32xG0.89
1.55xG against1.69
48%Possession44%
12.0Shots9.2
13.2Shots against14.8
4.0Shots on target2.7
1.6Big chances1.3
23.2Touches in the opposition box14.9
365Passes334
67%Pass accuracy65%
4.6Corners3.7
46%Field tilt39%
31.0Final-third entries27.1
10.8Box entries6.7
14.3Passes per defensive action16.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level481.011.35
Ahead191.661.55
Behind221.682.01

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level470.801.22
Ahead140.812.02
Behind281.072.30

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.234–7
16–300.170.326–8
31–450.270.189–3
46–600.220.187–4
61–750.240.245–9
76–900.300.395–18

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.144–3
16–300.120.202–5
31–450.140.224–9
46–600.150.324–8
61–750.110.362–11
76–900.270.469–13

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTRoos 34Devlin 27Milne 3Gartenmann 2Gartenmann 21MacDonald 10Rubezic 10Jensen 23MacKenzie 4MacKenzie 16Shinnie 8Duk 3Barron 20McGrath 5Hayes 3Shinnie 25Clarkson 9Polvara 2Polvara 8McGrath 7Devlin 6Clarkson 16McGrath 8Polvara 3Duk 8McGrath 7Hoilett 6Miovski 29Duk 2Sokler 24-2-3-1 in 12 of 34 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (12), 3-4-1-2 (10), 3-5-2 (3), 5-4-1 (3), 3-4-2-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMitov 34McGowan 19M. Smith 4Costelloe 4Gordon 27McClelland 5Considine 23Robinson 9Keltjens 10Brown 8Olufunwa 6Phillips 16M. Smith 12Carey 7Robinson 15Kucheriavyi 6Sprangler 4Phillips 6Sprangler 6Robinson 5M. Smith 8Carey 7Kucheriavyi 5Clark 10Kane 7Kimpioka 6Carey 8Sidibeh 8Jaiyesimi 83-4-1-2 in 7 of 34 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-5-2 (4), 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-4-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
28 February 2024Aberdeen0–2St. JohnstonexG 2.17–1.69
24 January 2024St. Johnstone1–1AberdeenxG 0.99–1.21
8 October 2023Aberdeen0–0St. JohnstonexG 1.01–0.33
1 April 2023St. Johnstone0–1AberdeenxG 0.82–1.00
7 January 2023Aberdeen2–0St. JohnstonexG 1.10–0.51
20 August 2022St. Johnstone0–1AberdeenxG 0.34–1.05

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 7, St. Johnstone won 3, and 4 were drawn. Goals 11–7 and xG 1.09–0.72 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski342,9641420.440.11
Sokler4545010.470.06
Duk151,511450.270.15
Clarkson262,395220.120.24

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sidibeh8683200.440.03
Kane7788100.390.03
Clark121,037600.340.02
Jaiyesimi9708110.270.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.