Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Aberdeen 0–0 St. Johnstone

Sunday 8 October 2023, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 8 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee David Munro · Attendance 16,816

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Goals00
xG1.010.33
Expected Points1.950.68

Aberdeen 53%Draw 37%St. Johnstone 11%

Most likely score 1–0, 28%. Final score 0–0, 24%.

St. Johnstone goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%1%11%1%14%5%3%1%24%28%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTPolvara on for McGrath and Clarkson on for Shinnie, 56'Sokler on for Devlin, 80'Kane on for Jephcott, 65'MacPherson on for Kucheriavyi, 72'May on for Wright, 78'Aberdeen 1.01St. Johnstone 0.3300.511.50153045607590HTPolvara on for McGrath and Clarkson on for Shinnie, 56'Sokler on for Devlin, 80'Kane on for Jephcott, 65'MacPherson on for Kucheriavyi, 72'May on for Wright, 78'1.010.33AberdeenSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenSt. Johnstone

1.01 −0.39xG0.33 −0.39
0.73 −0.64xG on target0.00 −0.56
10 −0.6Shots9 +0.1
3 −0.4Shots on target0 −2.0
2 +0.1Big chances0 −1.1
19 −5Touches in the opposition box17 +1
56% +10Possession44% +2
449 +118Passes361 +39
74% +10Pass accuracy63% 0
60% +16Field tilt40% +6
39 +10Final-third entries24 −2
10 +0.1Box entries11 +3.7
10.6 −4Passes per defensive action21.4 +6
5 −1.0Corners3 −1.3
13 −5Tackles17 +1
4 −4.1Interceptions5 −6.1
25 −2Clearances22 −3
0 −3.4Saves3 −1.4
11 0Fouls11 −2
3 +2.4Offsides2 +0.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Jensen 53', 0.34 xGMiovski 89', 0.22 xGMiovski 90+6', 0.15 xGMiovski 71', 0.09 xGMcGrath 48', 0.05 xGDuk 10', 0.04 xGDuk 86', 0.04 xGClarkson 77', 0.03 xGPolvara 90', 0.02 xGHayes 77', 0.01 xG25%0.25 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals58%0.59 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.59 xG, 0 goals4%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals5%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals9%0.09 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Gordon 69', 0.12 xGJephcott 43', 0.05 xGJephcott 1', 0.03 xGRobinson 2', 0.03 xGSmith 34', 0.03 xGWright 58', 0.03 xGCarey 44', 0.02 xGGordon 69', 0.02 xGCarey 27', 0.01 xG35%0.12 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.12 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals35%0.12 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals21%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals9%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenSt. Johnstone

0.40 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.18 7 shots, 0 goals
0.61 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.15 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
96 min (100%) · Aberdeen 1.01, St. Johnstone 0.33 xG

Line-ups

246335284179711RoosGartenmannRubezicJensenDevlinBarronShinnieHayesMiovskiMcGrathDuk80'56'56'Aberdeen 3-4-1-2Barry Robson1146419234422151116MitovWrightGordonConsidineRobinsonSpranglerCostelloeSmithKucheriavyiCareyJephcottYellow cardYellow card78'72'65'St. Johnstone 4-1-4-1Steven MacLean

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 56' Polvara for McGrath
  • 56' Clarkson for Shinnie
  • 80' Sokler for Devlin

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 65' Kane for Jephcott
  • 72' MacPherson for Kucheriavyi
  • 78' May for Wright

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0332
GartenmannCB900.000.4300.3098
RubezicCB900.000.0200.0772
JensenCB900.340.0200.0879
DevlinRWB800.000.0200.0437
BarronCM900.000.2220.3688
ShinnieCM560.000.0300.0110
HayesLWB900.010.2220.0984
MiovskiAM900.470.0500.0010
McGrathST560.050.0000.0011
DukST900.080.010−0.1813
PolvaraMF340.020.000−0.0201
ClarksonMF340.030.0610.0431
SoklerFW100.000.0000.0200

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0100.0650
Wright RB780.030.0300.1294
GordonCB900.140.0000.0244
ConsidineCB900.000.0000.0005
Robinson LB900.030.0100.0469
SpranglerDM900.000.0100.0426
CostelloeRM900.000.0520.1222
SmithCM900.030.0500.0624
KucheriavyiCM720.000.1120.0343
CareyLM900.030.0830.0196
JephcottST650.080.010−0.0110
KaneFW250.000.0100.0212
MacPhersonMF180.000.0000.0001
MayFW120.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Devlin and Duk: 4 passesHayes and Duk: 4 passesRubezic and Barron: 5 passesRubezic and Hayes: 5 passesShinnie and Barron: 5 passesShinnie and Hayes: 5 passesMcGrath and Miovski: 5 passesMiovski and Duk: 5 passesRoos and Gartenmann: 7 passesGartenmann and McGrath: 7 passesBarron and Hayes: 8 passesJensen and Barron: 9 passesRoos and Jensen: 11 passesGartenmann and Rubezic: 11 passesGartenmann and Barron: 11 passesJensen and Rubezic: 11 passesJensen and Shinnie: 11 passesGartenmann and Devlin: 12 passesJensen and Hayes: 12 passesDevlin and McGrath: 12 passesRoos: 16 completed passesGartenmann: 27 completed passesJensen: 34 completed passesRubezic: 26 completed passesDevlin: 20 completed passesShinnie: 16 completed passesBarron: 23 completed passesHayes: 18 completed passesMcGrath: 16 completed passesMiovski: 5 completed passesDuk: 7 completed passes246533248177911RoosGartenmannJensenRubezicDevlinShinnieBarronHayesMcGrathMiovskiDukStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Johnstone

Wright and Costelloe: 4 passesWright and Carey: 4 passesSprangler and Kucheriavyi: 4 passesSprangler and Smith: 4 passesWright and Gordon: 5 passesGordon and Sprangler: 5 passesSprangler and Costelloe: 5 passesWright and Sprangler: 6 passesWright and Jephcott: 6 passesConsidine and Carey: 6 passesCostelloe and Carey: 6 passesKucheriavyi and Carey: 6 passesConsidine and Gordon: 8 passesCostelloe and Kucheriavyi: 8 passesMitov and Considine: 9 passesRobinson and Smith: 9 passesConsidine and Smith: 10 passesWright and Kucheriavyi: 11 passesConsidine and Robinson: 14 passesSmith and Carey: 14 passesRobinson and Carey: 19 passesMitov: 8 completed passesWright: 24 completed passesConsidine: 26 completed passesGordon: 17 completed passesRobinson: 34 completed passesSprangler: 18 completed passesCostelloe: 10 completed passesKucheriavyi: 22 completed passesSmith: 23 completed passesCarey: 27 completed passesJephcott: 9 completed passes1144619234415221116MitovWrightConsidineGordonRobinsonSpranglerCostelloeKucheriavyiSmithCareyJephcottStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
BarronGartenmann14
GartenmannDevlin11
RubezicGartenmann11
JensenHayes11
GartenmannBarron10

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
RobinsonConsidine12
RobinsonCarey11
CareyRobinson10
ConsidineMitov10
CareySmith8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

6−0.79+1.410−7.68+1.05+0.13−6.13−4.96−0.710+1.33−6.68+1.716+11.09+6.610+3.72−5.04−1.04+1.10−2.76+2.98+3.97+4.92+0.71+0.13+1.42−1.13+1.42+1.71+0.90−0.10−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

St. Johnstone

2−3.63−5.911−3.411+0.914+8.16+0.115+9.35−0.96−2.1100.09+1.72−2.95+1.36+0.410+2.13−1.62−1.03+1.42−1.47+1.11−1.31+0.43+1.60−0.91−2.00−0.40−0.40−0.30−0.11−0.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.010.040.020.010.050.010.030.030.040.090.050.050.070.080.01−0.010.07−0.03−0.010.20LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.020.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.030.020.010.020.020.030.04−0.01−0.010.060.010.04−0.02−0.120.070.080.10LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackAberdeen1.20 → 1.20St. Johnstone0.96 → 0.95Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.35 → 1.32St. Johnstone1.48 → 1.48

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six53%48%−5
11th5%6%+1
Bottom2%2%0
St. Johnstone
Top six5%5%0
11th24%24%0
Bottom39%38%−1
Dundee FC
Top six11%12%+1
11th22%20%−2
Bottom28%28%0
Ross County
Top six14%15%+1
11th19%19%0
Bottom16%15%−1

From the forecast before the match (8 October 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.640.90
Win54%20%
Expected Points1.890.86
Clean sheet41%19%

Aberdeen 54%Draw 26%St. Johnstone 20%

Most likely score 1–0, 12%. Both sides score 48%.

St. Johnstone goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%7%3%1%5%2%4%1%6%5%2%2%2%1%12%12%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 8 October 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Aberdeen
Top six53%61%48%40%
11th5%3%6%7%
Bottom2%1%2%5%
St. Johnstone
Top six5%4%5%9%
11th24%24%24%23%
Bottom39%44%38%27%
Dundee FC
Top six11%10%12%12%
11th22%24%20%19%
Bottom28%26%28%31%
Ross County
Top six14%14%15%16%
11th19%20%19%18%
Bottom16%15%15%19%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. W3–130 SepRangers (A)xG 1.64–2.55
  2. W4–024 SepRoss County (H)xG 3.33–0.85
  3. L0–216 SepHearts (A)xG 0.53–1.18
  4. L0–23 SepHibernian (H)xG 0.98–1.23
  5. D2–227 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.87–1.97
  6. L1–313 AugCeltic (H)xG 1.76–2.94

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–130 SepLivingston (H)xG 0.62–0.98
  2. L0–223 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.62–2.78
  3. L0–216 SepRangers (H)xG 0.32–2.02
  4. D2–22 SepDundee FC (H)xG 1.75–1.44
  5. D0–026 AugCeltic (A)xG 0.28–2.02
  6. L0–212 AugRoss County (A)xG 0.49–2.60

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
Position8th12th
Played77
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠2–⁠30–⁠3–⁠4
Points8 (1.14 per game)3 (0.43 per game)
Expected Points per game1.110.59
Goals10–⁠103–⁠11
xG per game1.40–⁠1.640.72–⁠1.94
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 2.02–⁠1.670.50, 0.91–⁠1.55
Away: points, xG per game1.25, 0.93–⁠1.610.33, 0.46–⁠2.47
ManagerBarry Robson (22)Steven MacLean (13)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackAberdeen1.20, 5thSt. Johnstone0.96, 12thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.35, 6thSt. Johnstone1.48, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctAberdeen attack: 1.20St. Johnstone attack: 0.961.200.96St. JohnstoneAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctAberdeen defence: 1.35St. Johnstone defence: 1.481.481.35

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−16%+18%−48%+56%
Counter-attacks+32%−7%−78%+176%
Set pieces+51%+51%−15%+3%
Penalties−6%−6%−100%−6%
Headers+7%+53%−31%−10%
Left side−41%+22%−30%+31%
Centre+56%+56%−40%+22%
Right side−49%−34%−53%+132%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−41%+132%Centre+56%+22%Right side−49%+31%Open play−16%+56%Counter-attacks+32%+176%Set pieces+51%+3%Headers+7%−10%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdAberdeen concededLeft side−30%−34%Centre−40%+56%Right side−53%+22%Open play−48%+18%Counter-attacks−78%−7%Set pieces−15%+51%Headers−31%+53%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenSt. Johnstone

1.40xG0.72
1.64xG against1.94
46%Possession42%
10.6Shots8.9
13.9Shots against15.7
3.4Shots on target2.0
1.9Big chances1.1
24.0Touches in the opposition box16.3
331Passes322
63%Pass accuracy63%
6.0Corners4.3
44%Field tilt34%
29.3Final-third entries25.7
9.9Box entries7.3
15.1Passes per defensive action15.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level450.851.39
Ahead202.542.14
Behind261.481.70

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level510.591.47
Ahead30.643.39
Behind360.912.52

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.300–2
16–300.280.142–1
31–450.400.233–0
46–600.220.352–1
61–750.150.271–3
76–900.220.352–3

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.120–0
16–300.060.300–1
31–450.050.201–3
46–600.080.410–3
61–750.080.330–2
76–900.270.592–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTRoos 7Gartenmann 3Devlin 2Rubezic 7MacDonald 2Jensen 4MacKenzie 3Devlin 5Morris 2Clarkson 4Barron 2Polvara 1Shinnie 7McGarry 3Hayes 2MacKenzie 1Polvara 3McGrath 3Clarkson 1Miovski 7Duk 6McGrath 13-4-1-2 in 5 of 7 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (5), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTMitov 7Olufunwa 4Brown 2Wright 1McClelland 5Considine 5Gordon 3Robinson 1Robinson 4Considine 1Sprangler 1Turner-Cooke 2McGowan 2Phillips 1Wright 2Costelloe 2Carey 1Phillips 6Kucheriavyi 2Ballantyne 2Smith 3MacPherson 1Carey 5Costelloe 1Jephcott 1May 4Jephcott 1Costelloe 14-1-4-1 in 2 of 7 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
1 April 2023St. Johnstone0–1AberdeenxG 0.82–1.00
7 January 2023Aberdeen2–0St. JohnstonexG 1.10–0.51
20 August 2022St. Johnstone0–1AberdeenxG 0.34–1.05
11 May 2022St. Johnstone1–0AberdeenxG 0.68–0.28
15 February 2022Aberdeen1–1St. JohnstonexG 2.12–1.17
11 December 2021St. Johnstone0–1AberdeenxG 0.21–0.77

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 7, St. Johnstone won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 10–4 and xG 0.99–0.64 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski7579410.550.19
Duk6497120.310.15
Clarkson5485010.030.28
Shinnie7616010.070.11

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Carey7630010.020.21
McClelland5525000.080.01
Phillips7609010.040.01
Considine6515000.040.01

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.