Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Dundee United 1–3 Rangers

Sunday 26 January 2025, 12:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 24 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 13,653

Dundee United Dalby 19'

Rangers Diomande 37', Propper 49', Dessers 86' · Diomande sent off 90+5'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedRangers
Goals13
xG1.051.30
Expected Points1.171.52

Dundee United 29%Draw 31%Rangers 40%

Most likely score 1–1, 16%. Final score 1–3, 4%.

Rangers goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+9%7%3%10%9%4%1%5%7%5%2%2%2%1%11%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTDiomande (Rangers), red card 90+5'Trapanovski on for Fotheringham and Moult on for Paton, 62'van der Sande on for Middleton and Fiorini on for Stephenson, 81'Lovelace on for Hagi, 85'Nsio on for Bajrami, 89'Dalby 19'Diomande 37'Propper 49'Dessers 86'Rangers 1.30Dundee United 1.0500.511.50153045607590HTDiomande (Rangers), red card 90+5'Trapanovski on for Fotheringham and Moult on for Paton, 62'van der Sande on for Middleton and Fiorini on for Stephenson, 81'Lovelace on for Hagi, 85'Nsio on for Bajrami, 89'Dalby 19'Diomande 37'Propper 49'Dessers 86'1.301.05Dundee UnitedRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedRangers

1.05 −0.38xG1.30 −0.86
1.56 +0.05xG on target2.73 +0.60
13 +1Shots25 +6
6 +1.9Shots on target9 +2.4
2 0.0Big chances1 −2.2
19 −5Touches in the opposition box34 +2
35% −9Possession65% 0
274 −52Passes526 −34
66% −3Pass accuracy80% −4
26% −14Field tilt74% 0
25 −4Final-third entries53 −7
5 −4.8Box entries23 +5.3
18.9 +3Passes per defensive action14.8 +4
3 −1.7Corners4 −2.9
22 +5Tackles9 −8
7 −0.9Interceptions5 −3.2
55 +16Clearances30 +9
6 +3.1Saves5 +3.4
13 +2Fouls11 0
5 +4.0Offsides2 +0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Fotheringham 41', 0.24 xGSevelj 51', 0.11 xGSevelj 19', 0.08 xGStephenson 16', 0.07 xGDalby 16', 0.07 xGDalby 47', 0.06 xGDalby 5', 0.05 xGFiorini 90+3', 0.04 xGFotheringham 8', 0.03 xGSevelj 38', 0.02 xGFerry 40', 0.01 xGGallagher 56', 0.01 xGDalby 19', 0.25 xG, goal23%0.24 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.24 xG, 0 goals60%0.63 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.63 xG, 1 goal1%0.01 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals16%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Diomande 90+2', 0.16 xGIgamane 64', 0.13 xGBajrami 45+3', 0.10 xGTavernier 18', 0.09 xGDessers 45+3', 0.09 xGIgamane 57', 0.06 xGTavernier 62', 0.06 xGDiomande 18', 0.03 xGRaskin 44', 0.03 xGHagi 45', 0.03 xGIgamane 54', 0.03 xGIgamane 57', 0.03 xGTavernier 90+9', 0.03 xGDiomande 2', 0.02 xGIgamane 14', 0.02 xGDiomande 58', 0.02 xGBajrami 64', 0.02 xGHagi 67', 0.02 xGBajrami 85', 0.02 xGHagi 13', 0.01 xGTavernier 42', 0.01 xGIgamane 62', 0.01 xGDessers 86', 0.14 xG, goalPropper 49', 0.08 xG, goalDiomande 37', 0.04 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals49%0.64 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.64 xG, 0 goals22%0.28 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.28 xG, 2 goals22%0.29 xGEdge of the box: 11 shots, 0.29 xG, 1 goal7%0.09 xGFurther out: 4 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedRangers

0.54 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.89 19 shots, 2 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.31 2 shots, 1 goal
0.52 6 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.10 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
34 min (33%) · Dundee United 0.89, Rangers 0.51 xG
Dundee United ahead
18 min (18%) · Dundee United 0.00, Rangers 0.04 xG
Rangers ahead
50 min (49%) · Dundee United 0.16, Rangers 0.74 xG

Line-ups

123141118517152119WaltonStrainGallagherHoltFerryFotheringhamSeveljStephensonMiddletonPatonDalbyYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal62'81'81'62'Dundee United 4-4-1-1Jim Goodwin124192210433091429ButlandTavernierPropperNsialaJefteDiomandeRaskinHagiDessersBajramiIgamaneYellow cardGoalGoalSent offGoal85'89'Rangers 4-2-3-1Philippe Clement

Dundee United substitutes

  • 62' Trapanovski for Fotheringham
  • 62' Moult for Paton
  • 81' Fiorini for Stephenson
  • 81' van der Sande for Middleton

Rangers substitutes

  • 85' Lovelace for Hagi · 1 assist
  • 89' Nsio for Bajrami

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WaltonGK900.000.0000.0562
StrainRB900.000.5330.32713
Gallagher CB900.010.0800.00017
HoltCB900.000.0200.06419
Ferry LB900.010.0510.0539
FotheringhamRM620.270.0110.0014
Sevelj CM900.210.0100.0229
StephensonCM810.070.0110.0117
Middleton LM810.000.0210.0220
PatonAM620.000.102−0.0200
DalbyST9010.440.1810.0116
TrapanovskiMF280.000.000−0.0110
MoultFW280.000.0100.0212
FioriniMF90.040.0000.0113
van der SandeFW90.000.0000.0000

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0231
Tavernier RB9010.200.1740.1995
PropperCB9010.080.0100.0757
NsialaCB900.000.0110.0656
JefteLB900.000.2230.26125
Diomande DM9010.270.0600.0133
RaskinDM900.030.0210.04611
HagiRW8510.070.5930.34103
DessersAM9010.240.1030.1410
BajramiLW890.140.1210.0294
IgamaneST900.280.4730.39120
LovelaceFW510.000.2410.0011
NsioMF10.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Holt and Middleton: 3 passesHolt and Paton: 3 passesStephenson and Middleton: 3 passesStrain and Stephenson: 4 passesSevelj and Middleton: 4 passesSevelj and Paton: 4 passesSevelj and Dalby: 4 passesWalton and Holt: 5 passesFerry and Middleton: 5 passesWalton and Gallagher: 6 passesStrain and Dalby: 6 passesHolt and Ferry: 6 passesGallagher and Holt: 7 passesStrain and Gallagher: 8 passesStrain and Fotheringham: 8 passesFerry and Sevelj: 10 passesWalton: 10 completed passesStrain: 18 completed passesGallagher: 15 completed passesHolt: 12 completed passesFerry: 16 completed passesFotheringham: 5 completed passesSevelj: 14 completed passesStephenson: 7 completed passesMiddleton: 8 completed passesPaton: 11 completed passesDalby: 9 completed passes123141118517152119WaltonStrainGallagherHoltFerryFotheringhamSeveljStephensonMiddletonPatonDalbyStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Rangers

Tavernier and Raskin: 7 passesRaskin and Hagi: 7 passesTavernier and Igamane: 8 passesNsiala and Bajrami: 8 passesNsiala and Diomande: 8 passesJefte and Hagi: 8 passesPropper and Raskin: 9 passesNsiala and Raskin: 9 passesHagi and Diomande: 11 passesHagi and Igamane: 11 passesButland and Nsiala: 12 passesPropper and Hagi: 12 passesRaskin and Diomande: 12 passesBajrami and Igamane: 12 passesDiomande and Igamane: 13 passesJefte and Igamane: 14 passesButland and Propper: 15 passesTavernier and Diomande: 18 passesTavernier and Propper: 21 passesTavernier and Hagi: 22 passesJefte and Raskin: 22 passesJefte and Bajrami: 24 passesNsiala and Jefte: 27 passesPropper and Nsiala: 29 passesButland: 27 completed passesTavernier: 44 completed passesPropper: 54 completed passesNsiala: 49 completed passesJefte: 61 completed passesRaskin: 44 completed passesBajrami: 31 completed passesHagi: 35 completed passesDiomande: 44 completed passesDessers: 8 completed passesIgamane: 30 completed passes124192243143010929ButlandTavernierPropperNsialaJefteRaskinBajramiHagiDiomandeDessersIgamaneStarters until 85' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
FerrySevelj9
StrainDalby8
GallagherHolt7
WaltonGallagher6
GallagherStrain6

Rangers

FromToPasses
PropperTavernier17
NsialaPropper16
JefteBajrami15
NsialaJefte14
TavernierHagi14

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

8+3.513+4.325+6.08−1.97+1.213+5.614+6.890.05−2.54−1.24−0.38+4.38+2.55−0.35+1.730.03+0.83+0.60−3.54+1.81−0.12+1.010.03+1.40−1.40−0.21+0.30−0.31+0.31−5.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

Rangers

3−0.35+0.58−3.38+1.53−2.56+0.64−1.09+4.76−0.880.05−0.75+0.50−3.23−1.67+2.22−1.63+0.54+0.75+0.20−3.41−1.11−1.06+4.23+0.40−1.21+0.40−0.50−0.21+0.22−4.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.030.010.010.010.020.010.020.030.020.020.010.030.030.030.10−0.01−0.030.02−0.01−0.050.010.22LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.020.010.030.010.030.050.020.040.010.120.050.010.110.070.040.030.080.100.030.050.190.220.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackDundee United1.22 → 1.22Rangers2.04 → 2.03Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.33 → 1.34Rangers0.83 → 0.84

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six98%98%0
Rangers
Title1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (26 January 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedRangers
Expected goals0.901.83
Win18%59%
Expected Points0.762.00
Clean sheet16%41%

Dundee United 18%Draw 24%Rangers 59%

Most likely score 0–1, 11%. Both sides score 50%.

Rangers goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+7%7%3%1%5%6%3%1%3%5%4%3%1%1%1%11%11%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 January 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawRangers win
Dundee United
Top six98%>99%99%98%
Rangers
Title1%<1%0%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. W1–011 JanSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.51–2.39
  2. L0–28 JanCeltic (A)xG 0.16–1.74
  3. L0–15 JanHearts (H)xG 0.66–0.85
  4. W2–12 JanDundee FC (A)xG 2.48–1.90
  5. W1–029 DecAberdeen (H)xG 2.29–0.91
  6. W2–126 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.27–0.58

Rangers

  1. W3–015 JanAberdeen (H)xG 3.34–0.29
  2. W3–112 JanSt. Johnstone (H)xG 3.03–0.43
  3. D1–19 JanDundee FC (A)xG 0.65–1.02
  4. D3–35 JanHibernian (A)xG 1.83–1.89
  5. W3–02 JanCeltic (H)xG 2.27–0.13
  6. D2–229 DecMotherwell (A)xG 2.23–0.52

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedRangers
Position3rd2nd
Played2323
Won, drawn, lost10–⁠7–⁠614–⁠5–⁠4
Points37 (1.61 per game)47 (2.04 per game)
Expected Points per game1.352.12
Goals31–⁠2444–⁠18
xG per game1.43–⁠1.412.16–⁠0.81
Home: points, xG per game1.64, 1.52–⁠1.132.83, 2.85–⁠0.54
Away: points, xG per game1.58, 1.35–⁠1.671.18, 1.41–⁠1.09
ManagerJim Goodwin (35)Philippe Clement (53)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackDundee United1.22, 6thRangers2.04, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.33, 5thRangers0.83, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanDundee United attack: 1.22Rangers attack: 2.042.041.22RangersDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanDundee United defence: 1.33Rangers defence: 0.831.330.83

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−5%+3%+76%−55%
Counter-attacks+4%−29%+179%−57%
Set piecesaverage−13%+11%−32%
Penalties+21%+21%−100%−3%
Headers+32%−3%+15%−39%
Left side−14%−1%+39%−31%
Centre+14%−10%+58%−53%
Right side−28%+4%+108%−58%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdRangers concededLeft side−14%−58%Centre+14%−53%Right side−28%−31%Open play−5%−55%Counter-attacks+4%−57%Set piecesaverage−32%Headers+32%−39%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdDundee United concededLeft side+39%+4%Centre+58%−10%Right side+108%−1%Open play+76%+3%Counter-attacks+179%−29%Set pieces+11%−13%Headers+15%−3%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedRangers

1.43xG2.16
1.41xG against0.81
44%Possession65%
11.6Shots19.1
13.9Shots against8.6
4.1Shots on target6.6
2.0Big chances3.2
23.7Touches in the opposition box32.5
326Passes560
69%Pass accuracy85%
4.7Corners6.9
41%Field tilt74%
28.9Final-third entries59.7
9.8Box entries17.7
15.6Passes per defensive action10.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level581.301.32
Ahead151.692.01
Behind171.661.18

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level372.190.80
Ahead422.220.69
Behind121.851.26

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.152–2
16–300.210.213–4
31–450.160.252–4
46–600.210.186–2
61–750.200.293–7
76–900.480.3415–5

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.400.128–1
16–300.290.106–5
31–450.260.216–5
46–600.390.126–1
61–750.390.1812–3
76–900.420.086–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTWalton 23Adegboyega 19Fotheringham 2Dalby 1Gallagher 21Holt 17Graham 7Strain 12Stephenson 8Sevelj 2Sevelj 12Sibbald 7Docherty 3Babunski 11Ferry 7Middleton 2Ferry 11Stephenson 4Fotheringham 2Middleton 8Stephenson 7Sevelj 5Trapanovski 9Ferry 3Moult 3Dalby 14van der Sande 7Middleton 13-4-2-1 in 7 of 23 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-4-3 (6), 3-5-2 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 17Kelly 6Tavernier 16Yilmaz 5Sterling 1Souttar 14Sterling 5Propper 16Balogun 7Nsiala 3Jefte 19Yilmaz 3Kasanwirjo 1Diomande 12Barron 12Hagi 3Raskin 14Dowell 2Cerny 18Cortés 2Lawrence 2Diomande 6Bajrami 6Lawrence 4Hagi 6Bajrami 5Igamane 2Dessers 11Igamane 10Danilo 24-2-3-1 in 19 of 23 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (19), 4-3-3 (3), 4-1-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
23 November 2024Rangers1–1Dundee UnitedxG 2.60–0.78
15 September 2024Dundee United0–1RangersxG 0.31–0.99
1 April 2023Rangers2–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.02–0.39
8 January 2023Dundee United0–2RangersxG 0.46–1.60
17 September 2022Rangers2–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.51–0.59
8 May 2022Rangers2–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.45–0.06

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 1, Rangers won 9, and 2 were drawn. Goals 6–22 and xG 0.53–2.15 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Dalby171,5291000.480.05
Trapanovski10771110.300.14
Thomson5500100.240.06
Babunski161,203110.140.15

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Danilo6633531.030.21
Dessers11936720.740.02
Igamane121,059910.570.18
Cerny191,571920.350.37

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.