Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
AberdeenDundee United
0.91 −0.20xG0.94 +0.01
0.91Non-penalty xG0.15
0.83 −0.30xG on target1.36 +0.37
13 0Shots6 −5
5 +0.4Shots on target3 −0.4
2 +0.9Big chances1 −0.1
24 +6Touches in the opposition box12 −4
53% −5Possession47% +1
421 −40Passes378 +8
68% −8Pass accuracy65% −3
59% 0Field tilt41% −3
46 +7Final-third entries40 +5
14 +4.8Box entries10 +2.3
16.6 +2Passes per defensive action11.5 −4
3 −2.0Corners3 −1.9
12 0Tackles23 +8
9 +1.4Interceptions3 −7.4
20 +3Clearances21 −1
2 +0.6Saves5 +2.1
10 −3Fouls17 +5
1 −0.6Offsides2 +0.6
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
4'16'
0–11–1
0'HTFT
Level
81 min (87%) · Aberdeen 0.86, Dundee United 0.94 xG
Dundee United ahead
12 min (13%) · Aberdeen 0.05, Dundee United 0.00 xG
Line-ups
Aberdeen substitutes
67'McGeouch for McLennan
77'Jenks for Kennedy
90+3'Ruth for Montgomery
Dundee United substitutes
41'Butcher for Levitt
76'Clark for Watt
87'Freeman for McDonald
Players
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Lewis
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
5
0
McLennan
RB
67
0.01
0.01
0
0.01
6
4
Gallagher
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
3
7
Bates
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
4
6
Montgomery
LB
90
0.00
0.00
1
0.04
2
5
Barron
DM
90
0.02
0.01
0
0.00
2
5
Ojo
DM
90
0.02
0.15
2
0.10
5
1
Besuijen
RW
90
0.33
0.07
0
0.36
8
0
Ferguson
AM
90
0.26
0.05
0
0.08
8
5
Kennedy
LW
77
0.01
0.23
3
0.17
6
1
Ramirez
ST
90
0.17
0.04
3
0.00
1
4
McGeouch
MF
23
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
4
2
Jenks
FW
13
0.08
0.02
0
0.10
3
2
Ruth
FW
0
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Dundee United
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Siegrist
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
1
Edwards
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.07
6
4
Mulgrew
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
7
7
Graham
CB
90
0.06
0.00
0
0.04
3
6
Smith
RWB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
3
8
Harkes
CM
90
0.02
0.02
0
−0.05
3
4
McDonald
CM
87
0.00
0.01
1
0.01
2
5
Levitt
CM
41
0.02
0.01
1
0.03
6
1
Niskanen
LWB
90
0.00
0.08
1
0.14
8
4
McNulty
ST
90
1
0.79
0.08
0
0.11
4
1
Watt
ST
76
0.05
0.02
0
0.06
5
5
Butcher
DF
49
0.02
0.00
0
0.01
3
3
Clark
MF
14
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Freeman
DF
3
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
Montgomery
Ferguson
12
Ferguson
Besuijen
11
McLennan
Ojo
10
Ojo
McLennan
9
McLennan
Gallagher
9
Dundee United
From
To
Passes
Smith
McNulty
8
Smith
McDonald
8
Harkes
Smith
7
Harkes
Watt
7
Edwards
Smith
7
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Aberdeen
Against its average of 27 matches
Dundee United
Against its average of 27 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Aberdeen
Top six
42%
31%
−11
11th
1%
1%
0
Dundee United
Top six
51%
55%
+4
11th
1%
1%
0
St. Mirren
Top six
43%
45%
+2
11th
2%
3%
+1
Hibernian
Top six
78%
80%
+2
From the forecast before the match (26 February 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Expected goals
1.41
0.74
Win
52%
19%
Expected Points
1.86
0.86
Clean sheet
48%
24%
Aberdeen 52%Draw 29%Dundee United 19%
Most likely score 1–0, 16%. Both sides score 40%.
From the forecast as it stood on 26 February 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Aberdeen win
Draw
Dundee United win
Aberdeen
Top six
42%
58%
31%
16%
11th
1%
<1%
1%
2%
Dundee United
Top six
51%
38%
55%
81%
11th
1%
2%
1%
<1%
St. Mirren
Top six
43%
43%
45%
39%
11th
2%
2%
3%
2%
Hibernian
Top six
78%
76%
80%
79%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Position
8th
5th
Played
27
27
Won, drawn, lost
8–7–12
9–7–11
Points
31 (1.15 per game)
34 (1.26 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.44
1.09
Goals
32–34
22–28
xG per game
1.11–0.93
0.93–1.49
Home: points, xG per game
1.62, 1.38–0.74
1.57, 1.02–1.59
Away: points, xG per game
0.71, 0.86–1.10
0.92, 0.84–1.38
Manager
Jim Goodwin (1)
Tam Courts (27)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−13%
−32%
−19%
+24%
Counter-attacks
−46%
−25%
−8%
−31%
Set pieces
+14%
−3%
−20%
+32%
Penalties
−15%
−15%
−72%
+14%
Headers
+18%
−19%
−9%
+22%
Left side
−5%
−26%
−16%
+12%
Centre
−11%
−24%
−13%
+44%
Right side
−4%
−24%
−31%
−8%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Aberdeen attacking
Aberdeen createdDundee United concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−5%−8%Centre−11%+44%Right side−4%+12%Open play−13%+24%Counter-attacks−46%−31%Set pieces+14%+32%Headers+18%+22%
Dundee United attacking
Dundee United createdAberdeen concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−16%−24%Centre−13%−24%Right side−31%−26%Open play−19%−32%Counter-attacks−8%−25%Set pieces−20%−3%Headers−9%−19%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
AberdeenDundee United
1.11xG0.93
0.93xG against1.49
58%Possession46%
13.3Shots10.7
8.4Shots against14.3
4.6Shots on target3.4
1.1Big chances1.1
18.1Touches in the opposition box15.7
461Passes370
76%Pass accuracy68%
5.0Corners4.9
58%Field tilt44%
39.2Final-third entries34.9
9.2Box entries7.7
14.2Passes per defensive action15.0
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Aberdeen
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
47
0.92
1.04
Ahead
17
1.27
1.09
Behind
26
1.37
0.63
Dundee United
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
54
0.83
1.33
Ahead
14
0.74
1.83
Behind
22
1.30
1.67
xG by period
Aberdeen
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.17
0.17
4–5
16–30
0.14
0.13
5–6
31–45
0.17
0.14
4–4
46–60
0.14
0.17
6–9
61–75
0.29
0.15
10–6
76–90
0.20
0.17
3–4
Dundee United
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.10
0.13
0–2
16–30
0.11
0.15
3–6
31–45
0.18
0.31
5–4
46–60
0.17
0.18
4–4
61–75
0.17
0.39
5–3
76–90
0.21
0.33
5–9
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts