Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Aberdeen 1–0 Dundee United

Saturday 26 October 2024, 17:30 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 9 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 19,274

Aberdeen Ambrose 84'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenDundee United
Goals10
xG1.410.38
Expected Points2.230.51

Aberdeen 65%Draw 27%Dundee United 8%

Most likely score 1–0, 25%. Final score 1–0, 25%.

Dundee United goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+14%5%11%2%8%1%7%3%2%25%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTMorris on for Keskinen, 46'Shinnie on for Palaversa, 65'Clarkson on for Sokler, 74'Ambrose on for Duk and Besuijen on for McGrath, 82'Thomson on for Trapanovski, 53'Odada on for Adegboyega, 62'van der Sande on for Dalby and Strain on for Babunski, 75'Ambrose 84'Aberdeen 1.41Dundee United 0.3800.511.50153045607590HTMorris on for Keskinen, 46'Shinnie on for Palaversa, 65'Clarkson on for Sokler, 74'Ambrose on for Duk and Besuijen on for McGrath, 82'Thomson on for Trapanovski, 53'Odada on for Adegboyega, 62'van der Sande on for Dalby and Strain on for Babunski, 75'Ambrose 84'1.410.38AberdeenDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenDundee United

1.41 +0.20xG0.38 −1.00
2.26 +0.80xG on target0.00 −1.57
12 +1Shots8 −3
5 +1.5Shots on target0 −4.0
2 −0.2Big chances0 −1.9
29 +6Touches in the opposition box21 −2
70% +19Possession30% −13
581 +172Passes244 −70
86% +9Pass accuracy62% −5
83% +29Field tilt17% −28
61 +25Final-third entries20 −12
17 +4.4Box entries7 −2.4
10.9 −2Passes per defensive action14.2 −1
8 +2.2Corners2 −1.9
13 −4Tackles24 +3
4 −5.2Interceptions11 +3.6
31 +1Clearances37 +8
0 −3.2Saves5 +2.8
9 −3Fouls18 +8
1 −1.4Offsides2 +1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Sokler 71', 0.24 xGAmbrose 89', 0.21 xGMcGrath 50', 0.16 xGPalaversa 33', 0.07 xGMcGrath 50', 0.06 xGDuk 55', 0.05 xGDevlin 57', 0.04 xGNilsen 68', 0.04 xGBesuijen 87', 0.04 xGMcGrath 51', 0.03 xGDuk 73', 0.02 xGAmbrose 84', 0.47 xG, goal50%0.70 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.70 xG, 1 goal29%0.41 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.41 xG, 0 goals10%0.14 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals11%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Dalby 38', 0.10 xGFerry 90+8', 0.10 xGStephenson 44', 0.07 xGTrapanovski 45+1', 0.03 xGHolt 63', 0.03 xGSevelj 78', 0.03 xGTrapanovski 44', 0.02 xGHolt 78', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals92%0.35 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.35 xG, 0 goals8%0.03 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenDundee United

1.37 11 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.18 3 shots, 0 goals
0.04 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.20 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
85 min (86%) · Aberdeen 1.17, Dundee United 0.28 xG
Aberdeen ahead
14 min (14%) · Aberdeen 0.24, Dundee United 0.10 xG

Line-ups

12332131868111719MitovDevlinRubezicMolloyMacKenziePalaversaNilsenKeskinenDukMcGrathSoklerYellow card65'46'82'82'74'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Jimmy Thelin116314175101171519WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherHoltStephensonSeveljBabunskiFerryTrapanovskiMiddletonDalbyYellow cardYellow cardYellow card62'75'53'75'Dundee United 3-4-2-1Jim Goodwin

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 46' Morris for Keskinen
  • 65' Shinnie for Palaversa
  • 74' Clarkson for Sokler
  • 82' Besuijen for McGrath
  • 82' Ambrose for Duk · goal 84'

Dundee United substitutes

  • 53' Thomson for Trapanovski
  • 62' Odada for Adegboyega
  • 75' Strain for Babunski
  • 75' van der Sande for Dalby

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0211
DevlinRB900.040.1110.0944
RubezicCB900.000.0100.1256
MolloyCB900.000.0200.1049
MacKenzieLB900.000.0200.0037
Palaversa DM650.070.0300.0464
NilsenDM900.040.0920.22128
KeskinenRW460.000.0000.0541
DukAM820.070.1300.0930
McGrathLW820.240.1910.1761
SoklerST740.240.032−0.0315
MorrisFW440.000.1110.0171
ShinnieMF250.000.0200.0533
ClarksonMF160.000.0100.0320
BesuijenMF80.040.0100.0001
AmbroseFW810.670.0000.0000

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WaltonGK900.000.0000.0432
AdegboyegaCB620.000.1210.0922
GallagherCB900.000.0000.03411
HoltCB900.050.0000.0238
StephensonRWB900.070.0110.03110
Sevelj CM900.030.0710.09211
Babunski CM750.000.0910.0614
Ferry LWB900.100.0610.0457
TrapanovskiAM530.050.0100.0421
MiddletonAM900.000.0510.0957
DalbyST750.100.000−0.0115
ThomsonMF370.000.0300.1152
OdadaMF280.000.0000.0001
StrainDF150.000.0810.1923
van der SandeFW150.000.000−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Mitov and MacKenzie: 3 passesMitov and Palaversa: 3 passesRubezic and McGrath: 3 passesMacKenzie and Keskinen: 3 passesMacKenzie and McGrath: 3 passesNilsen and Duk: 3 passesMacKenzie and Palaversa: 4 passesPalaversa and McGrath: 4 passesMitov and Nilsen: 5 passesMacKenzie and Nilsen: 5 passesNilsen and Keskinen: 6 passesMitov and Molloy: 7 passesMitov and Rubezic: 7 passesDevlin and McGrath: 7 passesDevlin and Rubezic: 8 passesMolloy and MacKenzie: 8 passesMolloy and McGrath: 10 passesRubezic and Nilsen: 10 passesMolloy and Palaversa: 11 passesDevlin and Nilsen: 12 passesRubezic and Palaversa: 13 passesNilsen and McGrath: 15 passesMolloy and Rubezic: 16 passesMolloy and Nilsen: 16 passesDevlin and Palaversa: 18 passesPalaversa and Nilsen: 26 passesMitov: 17 completed passesDevlin: 30 completed passesMolloy: 35 completed passesRubezic: 32 completed passesMacKenzie: 16 completed passesPalaversa: 42 completed passesNilsen: 51 completed passesKeskinen: 4 completed passesMcGrath: 18 completed passesDuk: 3 completed passesSokler: 2 completed passes12213331868171119MitovDevlinMolloyRubezicMacKenziePalaversaNilsenKeskinenMcGrathDukSoklerStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Dundee United

Walton and Gallagher: 3 passesWalton and Dalby: 3 passesAdegboyega and Stephenson: 3 passesGallagher and Ferry: 3 passesGallagher and Babunski: 3 passesHolt and Dalby: 3 passesFerry and Sevelj: 3 passesFerry and Trapanovski: 3 passesFerry and Dalby: 3 passesSevelj and Middleton: 3 passesBabunski and Dalby: 3 passesWalton and Ferry: 4 passesAdegboyega and Trapanovski: 4 passesAdegboyega and Dalby: 4 passesFerry and Middleton: 4 passesGallagher and Holt: 5 passesSevelj and Babunski: 5 passesWalton and Holt: 6 passesAdegboyega and Gallagher: 6 passesHolt and Ferry: 6 passesStephenson and Trapanovski: 8 passesWalton: 11 completed passesAdegboyega: 14 completed passesGallagher: 13 completed passesHolt: 11 completed passesStephenson: 10 completed passesFerry: 20 completed passesSevelj: 11 completed passesBabunski: 8 completed passesTrapanovski: 4 completed passesMiddleton: 3 completed passesDalby: 6 completed passes116314171151071519WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherHoltStephensonFerrySeveljBabunskiTrapanovskiMiddletonDalbyStarters until 53' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
MolloyNilsen21
NilsenPalaversa20
RubezicMolloy18
PalaversaNilsen17
MolloyRubezic16

Dundee United

FromToPasses
FerryHolt6
StephensonTrapanovski6
FerryMiddleton6
HoltGallagher6
GallagherHolt5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

1−3.09+2.910+0.45−1.46+0.43−2.43−0.96−1.07−0.66−1.01−1.95+1.45−1.13−3.23−1.55+2.45+1.95+2.53−1.220.03+2.01+0.12−0.11−2.21+0.80−0.10−0.50−0.90−0.613−4.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Dundee United

7+3.512+5.522+5.114+5.14−2.69+2.64−2.110+4.08+0.27+1.05+0.83−0.510+4.56+0.53−1.15+2.12−0.22−0.62−2.030.03+1.82+1.51−0.22−0.11−0.50−0.40−0.90−0.50−1.11−5.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.030.020.010.030.020.060.030.010.090.090.050.040.070.08−0.080.080.040.020.06−0.050.020.070.15LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.030.030.010.020.020.010.010.020.070.010.020.020.07−0.010.090.090.050.24LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackAberdeen1.30 → 1.31Dundee United1.15 → 1.11Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.34 → 1.31Dundee United1.49 → 1.50

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six98%99%+1
Dundee United
Top six59%52%−7
11th4%5%+1
Bottom2%3%+1

From the forecast before the match (26 October 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenDundee United
Expected goals1.691.03
Win52%23%
Expected Points1.820.93
Clean sheet36%18%

Aberdeen 52%Draw 25%Dundee United 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 53%.

Dundee United goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+7%6%3%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%3%1%2%2%1%10%12%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 October 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawDundee United win
Aberdeen
Top six98%99%97%96%
Dundee United
Top six59%52%62%72%
11th4%5%4%2%
Bottom2%3%2%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. D2–219 OctCeltic (A)xG 1.10–3.21
  2. W3–26 OctHearts (H)xG 0.69–2.02
  3. W2–128 SepDundee FC (A)xG 0.62–1.50
  4. W2–114 SepMotherwell (H)xG 1.85–1.67
  5. W1–031 AugRoss County (A)xG 0.35–1.05
  6. W2–025 AugKilmarnock (H)xG 1.66–0.43

Dundee United

  1. W3–219 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.79–0.71
  2. W1–05 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.97–1.07
  3. D3–328 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 2.73–2.31
  4. L0–115 SepRangers (H)xG 0.31–0.99
  5. W1–01 SepHearts (A)xG 1.26–0.63
  6. W2–024 AugSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.41–1.58

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenDundee United
Position2nd4th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠1–⁠04–⁠3–⁠1
Points22 (2.75 per game)15 (1.88 per game)
Expected Points per game1.181.26
Goals17–⁠813–⁠9
xG per game1.21–⁠1.501.38–⁠1.49
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 1.45–⁠1.351.75, 1.18–⁠1.43
Away: points, xG per game2.50, 0.97–⁠1.642.00, 1.57–⁠1.56
ManagerJimmy Thelin (8)Jim Goodwin (20)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackAberdeen1.30, 4thDundee United1.15, 8thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.34, 4thDundee United1.49, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctAberdeen attack: 1.30Dundee United attack: 1.151.301.15Dundee UnitedAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctAberdeen defence: 1.34Dundee United defence: 1.491.491.34

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+15%+2%−2%+3%
Counter-attacks−36%−62%+116%−18%
Set pieces−33%+31%−22%+14%
Penalties−100%+73%−13%+73%
Headers+33%+16%−2%+32%
Left side+12%+15%−1%−1%
Centre−6%+8%+14%+16%
Right side−11%−16%−18%−20%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee United concededLeft side+12%−20%Centre−6%+16%Right side−11%−1%Open play+15%+3%Counter-attacks−36%−18%Set pieces−33%+14%Headers+33%+32%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdAberdeen concededLeft side−1%−16%Centre+14%+8%Right side−18%+15%Open play−2%+2%Counter-attacks+116%−62%Set pieces−22%+31%Headers−2%+16%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenDundee United

1.21xG1.38
1.50xG against1.49
51%Possession43%
11.4Shots10.8
13.8Shots against13.6
3.5Shots on target4.0
2.2Big chances1.9
23.0Touches in the opposition box23.4
409Passes314
77%Pass accuracy67%
5.8Corners3.9
54%Field tilt44%
35.9Final-third entries32.0
12.6Box entries9.4
13.1Passes per defensive action15.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.291.15
Ahead441.001.71
Behind52.442.53

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.671.47
Ahead270.801.65
Behind171.491.28

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.162–0
16–300.220.123–2
31–450.200.432–3
46–600.230.143–0
61–750.100.193–1
76–900.300.464–2

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.220.121–1
16–300.360.283–1
31–450.080.340–1
46–600.270.182–2
61–750.160.281–2
76–900.290.306–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 8Devlin 8Rubezic 8Molloy 8MacKenzie 8Shinnie 7Palaversa 1Nilsen 8Keskinen 6Morris 2Gueye 4Clarkson 3Sokler 1McGrath 8Nisbet 4Sokler 3Miovski 14-2-3-1 in every start

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTWalton 8Adegboyega 7Gallagher 8Graham 6Holt 3Stephenson 6Sevelj 2Sibbald 7Holt 2Docherty 2Babunski 3Ferry 2Ferry 6Babunski 1Thomson 1Babunski 3Thomson 2Sevelj 2Trapanovski 5Dalby 1Middleton 1van der Sande 6Dalby 23-4-2-1 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (5), 3-4-3 (2), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
4 March 2023Dundee United1–3AberdeenxG 2.02–0.78
12 November 2022Aberdeen1–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.18–0.32
8 October 2022Dundee United4–0AberdeenxG 2.25–0.89
26 February 2022Aberdeen1–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.91–0.94
20 November 2021Dundee United1–0AberdeenxG 0.58–0.69
1 August 2021Aberdeen2–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.67–0.43

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 3, Dundee United won 3, and 3 were drawn. Goals 7–8 and xG 0.85–0.88 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McGrath8614260.150.33
Shinnie7630130.030.10
Nilsen8712010.010.09
Devlin8720200.050.04

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stephenson6520220.230.14
Babunski7556100.140.15
Graham6507200.220.05
Ferry8720020.030.20

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.