Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Aberdeen 1–0 Dundee United

Saturday 12 November 2022, 18:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 16 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 17,035

Aberdeen Miovski 37' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenDundee United
Goals10
xG1.180.32
Non-penalty xG0.390.32
Expected Points2.280.45

Aberdeen 67%Draw 27%Dundee United 6%

Most likely score 1–0, 41%. Final score 1–0, 41%.

Dundee United goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+11%3%15%2%16%6%3%41%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTMacKenzie on for Coulson, 78'Watkins on for Miovski, 79'Duncan on for Duk and Besuijen on for Clarkson, 88'Anaku on for Middleton and Harkes on for Sibbald, 67'Pawlett on for McGrath, 84'Meekison on for Levitt, 90+1'Miovski 37' (pen)Aberdeen 1.18Dundee United 0.3200.511.50153045607590HTMacKenzie on for Coulson, 78'Watkins on for Miovski, 79'Duncan on for Duk and Besuijen on for Clarkson, 88'Anaku on for Middleton and Harkes on for Sibbald, 67'Pawlett on for McGrath, 84'Meekison on for Levitt, 90+1'Miovski 37' (pen)1.180.32AberdeenDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenDundee United

1.18 −0.47xG0.32 −0.59
0.39Non-penalty xG0.32
1.09 −0.76xG on target0.33 −0.62
9 −4Shots6 −4
2 −2.7Shots on target2 −1.8
2 −0.8Big chances1 +0.1
21 −2Touches in the opposition box10 −10
45% −6Possession55% +9
427 +52Passes520 +154
76% +2Pass accuracy81% +10
48% +6Field tilt52% +8
31 −7Final-third entries49 +12
11 +0.1Box entries4 −5.7
20.0 +5Passes per defensive action14.8 −2
3 −1.8Corners3 −2.5
13 −2Tackles7 −8
5 −3.6Interceptions8 −1.0
21 −3Clearances16 −6
2 −1.3Saves1 −2.3
11 +1Fouls12 +2
0 −1.4Offsides0 −1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Kennedy 87', 0.11 xGKennedy 13', 0.09 xGMcCrorie 53', 0.06 xGDuk 53', 0.05 xGRamadani 72', 0.03 xGDuk 43', 0.02 xGMcCrorie 59', 0.02 xGBarron 23', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals46%0.18 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals41%0.16 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals5%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals8%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Fletcher 70', 0.10 xGFletcher 66', 0.08 xGFletcher 84', 0.05 xGMiddleton 19', 0.03 xGLevitt 31', 0.03 xGGraham 76', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals58%0.18 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals32%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals10%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenDundee United

0.19 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.27 5 shots, 0 goals
0.11 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.10 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.05 1 shot, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
37 min (41%) · Aberdeen 0.89, Dundee United 0.06 xG
Aberdeen ahead
54 min (59%) · Aberdeen 0.29, Dundee United 0.26 xG

Line-ups

24254338162022911RoosMcCrorieStewartScalesKennedyBarronRamadaniClarksonCoulsonMiovskiDukYellow cardGoal88'78'79'88'Aberdeen 3-5-2Barry Robson121262214191618159BirighittiSmithEdwardsGrahamFreemanSibbaldLevittBehichMcGrathMiddletonFletcher67'90+1'84'67'Dundee United 3-4-2-1Liam Fox

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 78' MacKenzie for Coulson
  • 79' Watkins for Miovski
  • 88' Besuijen for Clarkson
  • 88' Duncan for Duk

Dundee United substitutes

  • 67' Harkes for Sibbald
  • 67' Anaku for Middleton
  • 84' Pawlett for McGrath
  • 90+1' Meekison for Levitt

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0110.0531
McCrorieCB900.090.010−0.0128
StewartCB900.000.0100.05510
ScalesCB900.000.161−0.0844
KennedyRWB900.200.2820.2470
BarronCM900.010.0210.0124
Ramadani CM900.030.0400.0622
ClarksonCM880.000.1310.0145
CoulsonLWB780.000.0200.0542
MiovskiST7910.790.0600.0532
DukST880.070.0210.0622
MacKenzieDF120.000.000––0
WatkinsFW110.000.0000.0001
BesuijenMF20.000.000––0
DuncanFW20.000.0000.0001

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BirighittiGK900.000.0000.0441
SmithCB900.000.0320.0893
EdwardsCB900.000.0100.0757
GrahamCB900.020.0100.0469
FreemanRWB900.000.1110.2372
SibbaldCM670.000.0100.0132
LevittCM900.030.2410.36123
BehichLWB900.000.000−0.0402
McGrathAM840.000.041−0.0422
MiddletonAM670.030.0000.0130
FletcherST900.240.0200.0102
HarkesMF230.000.0100.0100
AnakuFW230.000.000−0.0400
PawlettMF60.000.0000.0000
MeekisonMF00.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Roos and Scales: 5 passesScales and Barron: 5 passesStewart and Barron: 5 passesBarron and Ramadani: 5 passesRamadani and Miovski: 5 passesRoos and McCrorie: 6 passesScales and Kennedy: 6 passesStewart and Clarkson: 6 passesClarkson and Ramadani: 6 passesClarkson and Duk: 6 passesCoulson and Ramadani: 8 passesScales and Ramadani: 9 passesStewart and Ramadani: 9 passesMcCrorie and Barron: 9 passesMcCrorie and Ramadani: 9 passesStewart and Kennedy: 10 passesKennedy and Ramadani: 10 passesScales and Clarkson: 11 passesKennedy and Barron: 11 passesRoos and Stewart: 13 passesScales and Coulson: 14 passesCoulson and Clarkson: 14 passesMcCrorie and Kennedy: 24 passesScales and Stewart: 37 passesStewart and McCrorie: 45 passesRoos: 14 completed passesScales: 47 completed passesStewart: 66 completed passesMcCrorie: 55 completed passesKennedy: 36 completed passesCoulson: 22 completed passesClarkson: 21 completed passesBarron: 21 completed passesRamadani: 34 completed passesMiovski: 12 completed passesDuk: 4 completed passes24452332220816911RoosScalesStewartMcCrorieKennedyCoulsonClarksonBarronRamadaniMiovskiDukStarters until 78' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Dundee United

Birighitti and Behich: 5 passesSmith and McGrath: 5 passesSibbald and Middleton: 5 passesSmith and Sibbald: 6 passesSmith and Middleton: 6 passesFreeman and Levitt: 6 passesFreeman and McGrath: 6 passesBehich and Levitt: 6 passesSibbald and McGrath: 6 passesSmith and Freeman: 7 passesMcGrath and Fletcher: 8 passesEdwards and Smith: 9 passesGraham and Levitt: 9 passesGraham and McGrath: 9 passesEdwards and Graham: 10 passesLevitt and Middleton: 10 passesEdwards and Sibbald: 12 passesGraham and Sibbald: 12 passesFreeman and Middleton: 13 passesSibbald and Levitt: 13 passesLevitt and McGrath: 14 passesEdwards and Levitt: 15 passesSmith and Levitt: 17 passesBirighitti: 12 completed passesEdwards: 32 completed passesSmith: 29 completed passesGraham: 31 completed passesFreeman: 20 completed passesBehich: 17 completed passesSibbald: 34 completed passesLevitt: 47 completed passesMcGrath: 24 completed passesMiddleton: 18 completed passesFletcher: 9 completed passes112262216141918159BirighittiEdwardsSmithGrahamFreemanBehichSibbaldLevittMcGrathMiddletonFletcherStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
McCrorieStewart27
StewartScales21
StewartMcCrorie19
ScalesStewart16
KennedyMcCrorie14

Dundee United

FromToPasses
SmithLevitt15
LevittSmith13
EdwardsLevitt13
LevittEdwards11
GrahamLevitt10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

5+0.22−4.18−0.47+0.91−5.010+4.15−0.79+2.79+2.98+2.97+2.34+0.42−2.63−3.33−0.76+1.60−3.13−0.73−0.72+0.62+0.40−0.92+0.82−0.30−0.90−0.20−0.61+0.90−0.79−8.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 14 matches

Dundee United

4−0.96−0.211−3.93−3.33−2.19+4.14−3.77+0.560.05+0.39+4.14+0.18+3.54−2.22−2.92−1.12+0.36+2.42−0.70−1.71−0.32+0.93+1.30−1.50−0.60−0.20−0.60−0.510.01−5.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.020.010.040.010.010.020.010.010.020.010.04−0.010.090.040.04−0.01−0.010.030.03−0.18−0.010.26LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.010.010.020.040.030.020.020.070.010.020.040.050.030.010.09−0.03−0.04−0.01−0.02−0.02−0.020.190.16LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackAberdeen1.22 → 1.23Dundee United1.00 → 0.97Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.21 → 1.18Dundee United1.42 → 1.42

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six88%92%+4
11th<1%<1%0
Dundee United
Top six3%2%−1
11th23%25%+2
Bottom25%29%+4
Ross County
11th25%25%0
Bottom30%29%−1
St. Johnstone
Top six32%31%−1
11th7%6%−1
Bottom3%2%−1

From the forecast before the match (12 November 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenDundee United
Expected goals1.700.89
Win56%19%
Expected Points1.920.82
Clean sheet41%18%

Aberdeen 56%Draw 25%Dundee United 19%

Most likely score 1–0, 12%. Both sides score 49%.

Dundee United goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%6%3%5%2%4%1%6%5%2%3%2%1%12%12%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 12 November 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawDundee United win
Aberdeen
Top six88%92%85%81%
11th<1%<1%<1%1%
Dundee United
Top six3%2%3%7%
11th23%25%23%18%
Bottom25%29%24%16%
Ross County
11th25%25%25%24%
Bottom30%29%30%33%
St. Johnstone
Top six32%31%33%33%
11th7%6%7%9%
Bottom3%2%3%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. L1–28 NovLivingston (A)xG 3.34–1.29
  2. W4–14 NovHibernian (H)xG 1.69–1.50
  3. L1–429 OctRangers (A)xG 0.42–4.47
  4. W2–122 OctMotherwell (A)xG 1.11–0.71
  5. W2–016 OctHearts (H)xG 1.73–1.36
  6. L0–48 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.89–2.25

Dundee United

  1. W4–09 NovKilmarnock (H)xG 0.83–0.85
  2. L2–45 NovCeltic (A)xG 1.05–3.07
  3. L0–129 OctMotherwell (H)xG 0.75–0.92
  4. L1–222 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.70–1.29
  5. D1–115 OctRoss County (A)xG 1.64–0.35
  6. W1–011 OctHibernian (H)xG 0.56–1.31

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenDundee United
Position4th12th
Played1415
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠1–⁠63–⁠3–⁠9
Points22 (1.57 per game)12 (0.80 per game)
Expected Points per game1.440.99
Goals28–⁠2317–⁠30
xG per game1.65–⁠1.620.91–⁠1.70
Home: points, xG per game2.50, 2.42–⁠1.251.12, 0.96–⁠1.62
Away: points, xG per game0.88, 1.07–⁠1.890.43, 0.85–⁠1.79
ManagerBarry Robson (2)Liam Fox (10)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.22AttackAberdeen1.22, 4thDundee United1.00, 8thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.21, 4thDundee United1.42, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovAberdeen attack: 1.22Dundee United attack: 1.001.221.00Dundee UnitedAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovAberdeen defence: 1.21Dundee United defence: 1.421.421.21

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+16%+8%−33%+43%
Counter-attacks+77%+24%−23%+237%
Set pieces−20%+47%−40%+16%
Penalties+163%+88%+5%−65%
Headers+39%−1%−52%+23%
Left side−18%+5%−20%+84%
Centre+16%+8%−36%+39%
Right side+28%+46%−45%+10%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee United concededLeft side−18%+10%Centre+16%+39%Right side+28%+84%Open play+16%+43%Counter-attacks+77%+237%Set pieces−20%+16%Headers+39%+23%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdAberdeen concededLeft side−20%+46%Centre−36%+8%Right side−45%+5%Open play−33%+8%Counter-attacks−23%+24%Set pieces−40%+47%Headers−52%−1%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenDundee United

1.65xG0.91
1.62xG against1.70
51%Possession46%
13.0Shots10.4
14.5Shots against15.7
4.7Shots on target3.8
2.8Big chances0.9
22.9Touches in the opposition box20.0
375Passes366
74%Pass accuracy71%
4.8Corners5.5
42%Field tilt44%
38.2Final-third entries36.6
10.9Box entries9.7
14.7Passes per defensive action16.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level361.411.37
Ahead292.121.31
Behind251.462.32

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level340.711.82
Ahead170.841.17
Behind391.111.83

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.172–2
16–300.220.264–4
31–450.430.306–4
46–600.310.265–5
61–750.300.306–5
76–900.290.335–3

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.273–5
16–300.090.182–1
31–450.160.393–8
46–600.100.332–7
61–750.220.184–1
76–900.150.343–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTRoos 14Richardson 9McCrorie 5Stewart 14Scales 11McCrorie 3Coulson 8Duk 5Scales 1Ramadani 11Richardson 3Barron 2McCrorie 6Clarkson 4Kennedy 1Besuijen 4Barron 3Kennedy 3Besuijen 5Clarkson 3Ramadani 3Hayes 9Clarkson 2MacKenzie 2Miovski 144-2-3-1 in 6 of 14 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 3-1-4-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3), 3-5-2 (2)

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTEriksson 9Birighitti 6Smith 9Middleton 2Cudjoe 2Edwards 15Graham 7McMann 6Mulgrew 4Freeman 8Smith 6Niskanen 1Levitt 12Djoum 3Mulgrew 1Sibbald 6McGrath 3Harkes 3Behich 11McMann 2Middleton 1McGrath 9Harkes 5Sibbald 1Middleton 6Watt 5Fletcher 3Fletcher 6Watt 6McGrath 13-4-2-1 in 3 of 15 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (3), 5-3-2 (3), 4-3-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
8 October 2022Dundee United4–0AberdeenxG 2.25–0.89
26 February 2022Aberdeen1–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.91–0.94
20 November 2021Dundee United1–0AberdeenxG 0.58–0.69
1 August 2021Aberdeen2–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.67–0.43
20 March 2021Dundee United1–0AberdeenxG 0.46–0.47
2 January 2021Aberdeen0–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.85–0.46

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 1, Dundee United won 3, and 3 were drawn. Goals 3–7 and xG 0.81–0.80 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski141,1591000.790.03
Duk6644620.550.04
Besuijen9764300.220.20
Hayes9750130.110.15

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fletcher9747310.420.09
Watt11890310.230.08
Middleton10881110.170.12
McGrath131,087220.100.14

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.