Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Rangers 3–0 Aberdeen

Wednesday 15 January 2025, 20:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 17 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 45,887

Rangers Igamane 13', Balogun 90+3', Dessers 90+7'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersAberdeen
Goals30
xG3.340.29
Expected Points2.890.07

Rangers 95%Draw 4%Aberdeen 1%

Most likely score 3–0, 19%. Final score 3–0, 19%.

Aberdeen goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+1%7%2%5%6%5%10%3%7%2%15%19%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTBajrami on for Danilo, 46'Balogun on for Propper, 76'Tavernier on for Hagi, 79'Dessers on for Igamane, 89'Duk on for Nisbet and Dorrington on for Palaversa, 64'Morris on for Keskinen, 66'Jensen on for McGarry and Polvara on for Okkels, 72'Igamane 13'Balogun 90+3'Dessers 90+7'Rangers 3.34Aberdeen 0.29012340153045607590HTBajrami on for Danilo, 46'Balogun on for Propper, 76'Tavernier on for Hagi, 79'Dessers on for Igamane, 89'Duk on for Nisbet and Dorrington on for Palaversa, 64'Morris on for Keskinen, 66'Jensen on for McGarry and Polvara on for Okkels, 72'Igamane 13'Balogun 90+3'Dessers 90+7'3.340.29RangersAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersAberdeen

3.34 +1.23xG0.29 −0.97
4.05 +2.01xG on target0.12 −1.20
29 +10Shots6 −6
11 +4.6Shots on target2 −1.7
8 +5.0Big chances0 −1.9
42 +10Touches in the opposition box11 −14
58% −7Possession42% −12
540 −21Passes388 −45
86% +2Pass accuracy80% +3
71% −3Field tilt29% −22
62 +2Final-third entries24 −13
25 +8Box entries5 −8
17.3 +7Passes per defensive action30.0 +17
10 +3.2Corners3 −2.4
14 −3Tackles11 −7
7 −1.3Interceptions4 −3.2
10 −11Clearances39 +8
2 +0.5Saves8 +5.4
5 −6Fouls9 −3
1 −0.3Offsides1 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Danilo 31', 0.59 xGIgamane 8', 0.35 xGJefte 90+6', 0.26 xGCerny 73', 0.22 xGRaskin 90', 0.20 xGBalogun 90', 0.17 xGDiomande 13', 0.15 xGBalogun 85', 0.10 xGCerny 88', 0.10 xGIgamane 61', 0.08 xGYilmaz 65', 0.04 xGIgamane 12', 0.03 xGDanilo 27', 0.03 xGIgamane 42', 0.03 xGBajrami 60', 0.03 xGBajrami 60', 0.03 xGHagi 18', 0.02 xGCerny 23', 0.02 xGHagi 31', 0.02 xGDiomande 49', 0.02 xGBajrami 53', 0.02 xGHagi 57', 0.02 xGBajrami 84', 0.02 xGHagi 2', 0.01 xGJefte 43', 0.01 xGPropper 54', 0.01 xGDessers 90+7', 0.28 xG, goalBalogun 90+3', 0.25 xG, goalIgamane 13', 0.21 xG, goal7%0.25 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.25 xG, 1 goal74%2.49 xGCentral box: 12 shots, 2.49 xG, 2 goals10%0.35 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.35 xG, 0 goals7%0.25 xGEdge of the box: 10 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals0%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Duk 77', 0.16 xGMcGarry 68', 0.05 xGTobers 45', 0.03 xGDevlin 12', 0.02 xGDevlin 77', 0.02 xGClarkson 28', 0.01 xG55%0.16 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.16 xG, 0 goals10%0.03 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals24%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals7%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals3%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersAberdeen

2.09 19 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.25 5 shots, 0 goals
0.65 3 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.61 7 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.03 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
13 min (13%) · Rangers 0.76, Aberdeen 0.02 xG
Rangers ahead
85 min (87%) · Rangers 2.58, Aberdeen 0.27 xG

Line-ups

31341922104318993029KellyYilmazPropperNsialaJefteDiomandeRaskinCernyDaniloHagiIgamaneYellow cardGoal76'46'79'89'Rangers 4-2-3-1Philippe Clement312246154188110169DoohanDevlinTobersNilsenMcGarryShinniePalaversaKeskinenClarksonOkkelsNisbetYellow cardYellow cardYellow card72'64'66'72'64'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Jimmy Thelin

Rangers substitutes

  • 46' Bajrami for Danilo
  • 76' Balogun for Propper · goal 90+3', 1 assist
  • 79' Tavernier for Hagi
  • 89' Dessers for Igamane · goal 90+7'

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 64' Dorrington for Palaversa
  • 64' Duk for Nisbet
  • 66' Morris for Keskinen
  • 72' Jensen for McGarry
  • 72' Polvara for Okkels

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0010.0421
YilmazRB900.040.0230.0875
PropperCB760.010.0200.1193
Nsiala CB9010.000.4410.38112
JefteLB900.280.2020.20106
DiomandeDM900.170.0520.0571
RaskinDM900.200.020−0.0757
CernyRW900.340.7160.58121
DaniloAM460.620.0410.0911
HagiLW790.080.5130.1672
IgamaneST8910.700.0800.1400
BajramiFW440.100.1320.0450
BalogunDF14110.520.011−0.0123
TavernierDF110.000.2910.1610
DessersFW110.280.0000.0810

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
DoohanGK900.000.0000.0002
DevlinRB900.040.0210.0639
Tobers CB900.030.0000.09711
Nilsen CB900.000.0200.0317
McGarryLB720.050.0000.0426
ShinnieDM900.000.0210.0333
PalaversaDM640.000.0000.0116
KeskinenRW660.000.0000.0422
Clarkson AM900.010.0610.0233
OkkelsLW720.000.0000.0002
NisbetST640.000.0100.0330
DorringtonDF260.000.0000.0105
DukFW260.160.0000.0210
MorrisFW240.000.0110.0411
JensenDF180.000.0100.0221
PolvaraMF180.000.0000.0101

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Propper and Hagi: 3 passesDiomande and Danilo: 3 passesCerny and Hagi: 3 passesYilmaz and Raskin: 4 passesNsiala and Raskin: 4 passesJefte and Raskin: 4 passesDiomande and Cerny: 4 passesYilmaz and Cerny: 5 passesJefte and Danilo: 5 passesDanilo and Hagi: 5 passesNsiala and Diomande: 6 passesRaskin and Hagi: 6 passesYilmaz and Diomande: 7 passesNsiala and Hagi: 7 passesKelly and Nsiala: 8 passesDanilo and Igamane: 8 passesPropper and Raskin: 10 passesPropper and Cerny: 10 passesPropper and Diomande: 11 passesNsiala and Jefte: 15 passesRaskin and Diomande: 16 passesJefte and Hagi: 17 passesYilmaz and Propper: 19 passesKelly and Propper: 26 passesPropper and Nsiala: 45 passesKelly: 24 completed passesYilmaz: 17 completed passesPropper: 64 completed passesNsiala: 45 completed passesJefte: 26 completed passesRaskin: 27 completed passesDiomande: 25 completed passesCerny: 13 completed passesDanilo: 11 completed passesHagi: 21 completed passesIgamane: 7 completed passes31341922431018993029KellyYilmazPropperNsialaJefteRaskinDiomandeCernyDaniloHagiIgamaneStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Doohan and Nilsen: 4 passesDevlin and Keskinen: 4 passesDevlin and Clarkson: 4 passesNilsen and McGarry: 4 passesMcGarry and Okkels: 4 passesPalaversa and Shinnie: 4 passesKeskinen and Nisbet: 4 passesDevlin and Nisbet: 6 passesTobers and Palaversa: 6 passesMcGarry and Clarkson: 6 passesNilsen and Clarkson: 7 passesPalaversa and Clarkson: 7 passesTobers and Shinnie: 8 passesTobers and Nisbet: 8 passesNilsen and Shinnie: 8 passesDevlin and Shinnie: 10 passesDevlin and Tobers: 11 passesMcGarry and Palaversa: 11 passesNilsen and Palaversa: 15 passesDoohan and Tobers: 16 passesTobers and Nilsen: 17 passesDoohan: 25 completed passesDevlin: 23 completed passesTobers: 36 completed passesNilsen: 32 completed passesMcGarry: 18 completed passesPalaversa: 23 completed passesShinnie: 19 completed passesKeskinen: 7 completed passesClarkson: 17 completed passesOkkels: 6 completed passesNisbet: 11 completed passes312246151848110169DoohanDevlinTobersNilsenMcGarryPalaversaShinnieKeskinenClarksonOkkelsNisbetStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
PropperNsiala33
NsialaPropper30
KellyPropper25
PropperYilmaz18
YilmazPropper16

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
DoohanTobers16
TobersNilsen13
NilsenTobers12
DevlinShinnie11
TobersShinnie9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

3−0.35+0.53−3.78+2.62−3.56+1.16+1.89+2.37−1.04−1.72−2.64+0.94−0.66−0.64−0.85+1.52−0.57+3.91−4.03−0.43+0.920.01−0.91−1.70−1.21+0.40−0.60−0.22+1.22−9.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 22 matches

Aberdeen

50.09+2.920+1.712+3.77+1.32−4.88+2.74−1.115+7.76−1.02−4.04+0.52−1.75−0.84−2.01−3.37+4.33+0.31−2.53−1.41−1.13+1.81−0.40−1.92−1.00−0.60−0.30−0.50−0.50−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 22 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.030.010.060.010.040.010.030.060.020.080.010.080.120.020.060.050.140.180.140.070.170.030.100.130.030.32LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.020.010.030.010.020.030.010.020.010.030.010.030.010.02−0.010.020.010.060.040.04LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackRangers2.01 → 2.05Aberdeen1.19 → 1.15Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.84 → 0.82Aberdeen1.44 → 1.47

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title1%1%0
Aberdeen
Top six92%91%−1
Motherwell
Top six58%59%+1
11th4%4%0

From the forecast before the match (15 January 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersAberdeen
Expected goals2.580.67
Win78%7%
Expected Points2.490.36
Clean sheet51%8%

Rangers 78%Draw 15%Aberdeen 7%

Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 46%.

Aberdeen goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+4%2%7%2%9%3%7%2%7%5%2%4%2%2%2%10%13%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 15 January 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawAberdeen win
Rangers
Title1%1%<1%<1%
Aberdeen
Top six92%91%95%99%
Motherwell
Top six58%59%55%53%
11th4%4%5%5%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. W3–112 JanSt. Johnstone (H)xG 3.03–0.43
  2. D1–19 JanDundee FC (A)xG 0.65–1.02
  3. D3–35 JanHibernian (A)xG 1.83–1.89
  4. W3–02 JanCeltic (H)xG 2.27–0.13
  5. D2–229 DecMotherwell (A)xG 2.23–0.52
  6. L1–226 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.52–1.07

Aberdeen

  1. D0–012 JanHearts (H)xG 1.10–1.54
  2. L0–25 JanMotherwell (A)xG 0.89–1.36
  3. L1–22 JanRoss County (H)xG 1.55–0.80
  4. L0–129 DecDundee United (A)xG 0.91–2.29
  5. L0–426 DecKilmarnock (A)xG 0.50–4.02
  6. L1–321 DecHibernian (H)xG 1.90–1.44

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersAberdeen
Position2nd4th
Played2222
Won, drawn, lost13–⁠5–⁠410–⁠5–⁠7
Points44 (2.00 per game)35 (1.59 per game)
Expected Points per game2.091.16
Goals41–⁠1832–⁠30
xG per game2.11–⁠0.831.26–⁠1.61
Home: points, xG per game2.82, 2.80–⁠0.571.92, 1.49–⁠1.36
Away: points, xG per game1.18, 1.41–⁠1.091.20, 0.98–⁠1.92
ManagerPhilippe Clement (52)Jimmy Thelin (22)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackRangers2.01, 2ndAberdeen1.19, 7thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.84, 2ndAberdeen1.44, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanRangers attack: 2.01Aberdeen attack: 1.192.011.19AberdeenRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanRangers defence: 0.84Aberdeen defence: 1.441.440.84

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+72%−54%+5%+11%
Counter-attacks+176%−53%−18%−61%
Set pieces+8%−30%−24%+42%
Penalties−100%+4%−74%+4%
Headers+10%−37%−5%+23%
Left side+36%−31%+17%+3%
Centre+50%−51%−10%+19%
Right side+110%−56%−15%+12%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdAberdeen concededLeft side+36%+12%Centre+50%+19%Right side+110%+3%Open play+72%+11%Counter-attacks+176%−61%Set pieces+8%+42%Headers+10%+23%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdRangers concededLeft side+17%−56%Centre−10%−51%Right side−15%−31%Open play+5%−54%Counter-attacks−18%−53%Set pieces−24%−30%Headers−5%−37%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersAberdeen

2.11xG1.26
0.83xG against1.61
65%Possession54%
18.6Shots12.1
8.7Shots against13.7
6.4Shots on target3.7
3.0Big chances1.9
32.1Touches in the opposition box25.2
561Passes433
84%Pass accuracy77%
6.8Corners5.4
74%Field tilt51%
59.6Final-third entries36.7
17.3Box entries13.5
10.4Passes per defensive action12.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level382.140.81
Ahead402.160.72
Behind121.851.26

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level511.091.55
Ahead221.271.74
Behind171.741.64

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.390.127–1
16–300.300.116–5
31–450.240.226–5
46–600.400.126–1
61–750.390.1812–3
76–900.380.074–3

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.163–0
16–300.140.223–7
31–450.200.325–7
46–600.250.178–3
61–750.200.305–4
76–900.290.458–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 17Kelly 5Tavernier 16Yilmaz 4Sterling 1Souttar 14Sterling 5Propper 15Balogun 7Nsiala 2Jefte 18Yilmaz 3Kasanwirjo 1Barron 12Hagi 3Sterling 2Raskin 13Diomande 11Dowell 2Cerny 17Cortés 2Lawrence 2Diomande 6Bajrami 6Lawrence 4Hagi 5Bajrami 5Igamane 2Dessers 11Igamane 9Danilo 24-2-3-1 in 18 of 22 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (18), 4-3-3 (3), 4-1-3-2 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 16Doohan 6Devlin 21Milne 1Rubezic 19MacDonald 4Tobers 1Molloy 19Nilsen 1MacKenzie 18McGarry 4Shinnie 18Palaversa 6Keskinen 1Nilsen 18Keskinen 12Morris 5Duk 2Clarkson 10McGrath 4Gueye 4McGrath 13Duk 5Keskinen 4Sokler 11Nisbet 9Ambrose 14-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 October 2024Aberdeen2–1RangersxG 2.78–1.92
6 February 2024Rangers2–1AberdeenxG 2.12–0.53
26 November 2023Aberdeen1–1RangersxG 0.60–2.64
30 September 2023Rangers1–3AberdeenxG 2.55–1.64
7 May 2023Rangers1–0AberdeenxG 2.00–1.30
23 April 2023Aberdeen2–0RangersxG 0.94–1.90

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 9, Aberdeen won 3, and 3 were drawn. Goals 28–16 and xG 2.05–0.98 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Danilo5587531.010.22
Igamane11970810.560.18
Dessers11935620.710.02
Cerny181,481920.350.35

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McGrath191,567460.240.22
Duk8872020.250.21
Morris5691150.140.25
Sokler12895210.310.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.