Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Dundee United 1–3 Aberdeen

Saturday 4 March 2023, 18:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 28 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 11,048

Dundee United McGrath 73' (pen)

Aberdeen Duk 56', McCrorie 80', Watkins 83'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Goals13
xG2.020.78
Non-penalty xG1.230.78
Expected Points2.290.50

Dundee United 69%Draw 21%Aberdeen 10%

Most likely score 2–0, 14%. Final score 1–3, 1%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+3%2%4%5%1%8%8%3%3%3%1%12%13%14%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTAnaku on for Harkes and Djoum on for Sibbald, 70'Hayes on for Duncan and Scales on for Pollock, 68'Watkins on for Miovski, 83'Coulson on for Duk, 90+2'McGrath 73' (pen)Duk 56'McCrorie 80'Watkins 83'Dundee United 2.02Aberdeen 0.7801230153045607590HTAnaku on for Harkes and Djoum on for Sibbald, 70'Hayes on for Duncan and Scales on for Pollock, 68'Watkins on for Miovski, 83'Coulson on for Duk, 90+2'McGrath 73' (pen)Duk 56'McCrorie 80'Watkins 83'2.020.78Dundee UnitedAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedAberdeen

2.02 +1.17xG0.78 −0.52
1.23Non-penalty xG0.78
1.91 +1.07xG on target0.68 −0.71
24 +14Shots9 −3
6 +2.5Shots on target4 +0.1
3 +2.2Big chances2 +0.1
29 +12Touches in the opposition box25 +5
54% +8Possession46% −2
388 +23Passes340 −25
71% +1Pass accuracy68% −3
62% +18Field tilt38% −2
47 +11Final-third entries36 +1
13 +4.0Box entries16 +6.3
14.7 −2Passes per defensive action14.7 −2
10 +5.3Corners5 −0.2
22 +7Tackles16 +3
11 +2.1Interceptions14 +5.3
23 −2Clearances35 +12
1 −2.3Saves5 +2.1
10 +0.2Fouls5 −4.9
1 −0.3Offsides0 −1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Fletcher 6', 0.16 xGFletcher 2', 0.13 xGMcGrath 85', 0.12 xGFletcher 49', 0.08 xGBehich 90+2', 0.08 xGEdwards 90+5', 0.08 xGEdwards 19', 0.06 xGHarkes 20', 0.06 xGFletcher 23', 0.06 xGEdwards 25', 0.06 xGEdwards 3', 0.04 xGHarkes 14', 0.04 xGMcGrath 65', 0.04 xGFletcher 82', 0.04 xGFletcher 19', 0.03 xGFreeman 19', 0.03 xGEdwards 20', 0.03 xGEdwards 3', 0.02 xGFletcher 20', 0.02 xGHarkes 31', 0.02 xGDjoum 85', 0.02 xGFreeman 26', 0.01 xGLevitt 62', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals78%0.96 xGCentral box: 15 shots, 0.96 xG, 0 goals11%0.14 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals10%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Duncan 30', 0.13 xGClarkson 45+2', 0.07 xGRamadani 56', 0.05 xGDuk 10', 0.03 xGMiovski 55', 0.02 xGMcCrorie 34', 0.01 xGDuk 56', 0.21 xG, goalMcCrorie 80', 0.19 xG, goalWatkins 83', 0.06 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals68%0.53 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.53 xG, 2 goals8%0.06 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 1 goal18%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals6%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedAberdeen

0.89 14 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.63 6 shots, 3 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.05 1 shot, 0 goals
0.34 9 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.11 2 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
65 min (67%) · Dundee United 0.84, Aberdeen 0.72 xG
Aberdeen ahead
32 min (33%) · Dundee United 1.18, Aberdeen 0.06 xG

Line-ups

141232214191618239BirighittiMulgrewEdwardsMcMannFreemanSibbaldLevittBehichMcGrathHarkesFletcherYellow cardYellow cardGoal70'70'Dundee United 3-4-2-1Jim Goodwin192271831620623911GorterMcCrorieMacDonaldPollockMacKenzieRamadaniClarksonShinnieDuncanMiovskiDukYellow cardGoalYellow cardGoal68'68'83'90+2'Aberdeen 4-3-3Barry Robson

Dundee United substitutes

  • 70' Djoum for Sibbald
  • 70' Anaku for Harkes

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 68' Hayes for Duncan
  • 68' Scales for Pollock
  • 83' Watkins for Miovski · goal 83', yellow card 84'
  • 90+2' Coulson for Duk

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BirighittiGK900.000.0200.0851
MulgrewCB900.000.0700.1897
EdwardsCB900.300.0300.1087
McMann CB900.000.0100.1099
Freeman RWB900.040.1830.2446
SibbaldCM700.000.0210.0034
LevittCM900.010.0310.0138
BehichLWB900.080.2850.4371
McGrathAM9010.950.2340.0737
HarkesAM700.120.010−0.0203
FletcherST900.510.061−0.0414
DjoumMF200.020.0000.0111
AnakuFW200.000.0000.0300

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Gorter GK900.000.0000.0002
McCrorie RB9010.210.0000.0124
MacDonaldCB900.000.0100.09413
PollockCB680.000.1510.1665
MacKenzieLB900.000.0100.0447
RamadaniCM900.050.0310.0776
ClarksonCM9020.070.3820.4668
ShinnieCM900.000.0100.0619
DuncanRW680.130.012−0.0206
MiovskiST830.020.0300.0322
DukLW9010.240.0100.0322
HayesDF220.000.0100.0312
ScalesDF220.000.0000.0119
Watkins FW710.060.0000.0000
CoulsonDF00.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Edwards and Fletcher: 5 passesMcMann and Sibbald: 5 passesMcMann and Fletcher: 5 passesMulgrew and Sibbald: 5 passesFreeman and Fletcher: 5 passesBehich and Fletcher: 5 passesSibbald and McGrath: 5 passesSibbald and Fletcher: 5 passesBirighitti and Fletcher: 6 passesEdwards and Freeman: 6 passesMcMann and Mulgrew: 6 passesMcMann and Behich: 6 passesLevitt and McGrath: 6 passesLevitt and Fletcher: 6 passesHarkes and Fletcher: 6 passesMcMann and McGrath: 7 passesSibbald and Harkes: 7 passesFreeman and McGrath: 8 passesFreeman and Harkes: 8 passesMcGrath and Fletcher: 8 passesEdwards and Sibbald: 9 passesMcMann and Levitt: 10 passesBehich and Levitt: 12 passesFreeman and Sibbald: 13 passesSibbald and Levitt: 13 passesBehich and McGrath: 15 passesBirighitti: 9 completed passesEdwards: 17 completed passesMcMann: 23 completed passesMulgrew: 15 completed passesFreeman: 23 completed passesBehich: 22 completed passesSibbald: 33 completed passesLevitt: 33 completed passesMcGrath: 27 completed passesHarkes: 15 completed passesFletcher: 21 completed passes112342216141918239BirighittiEdwardsMcMannMulgrewFreemanBehichSibbaldLevittMcGrathHarkesFletcherStarters until 70' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Aberdeen

Pollock and Ramadani: 3 passesMacKenzie and Shinnie: 3 passesMacKenzie and Ramadani: 3 passesRamadani and Duk: 3 passesMcCrorie and Duncan: 4 passesPollock and Duncan: 4 passesMacKenzie and Duk: 4 passesClarkson and Ramadani: 4 passesClarkson and Miovski: 4 passesRamadani and Miovski: 4 passesClarkson and Shinnie: 5 passesMacDonald and Ramadani: 6 passesMacKenzie and Clarkson: 6 passesMcCrorie and Clarkson: 7 passesMacDonald and Clarkson: 7 passesMacDonald and Duncan: 7 passesRamadani and Duncan: 7 passesDuncan and Miovski: 7 passesPollock and Clarkson: 11 passesMcCrorie and Ramadani: 12 passesPollock and MacKenzie: 14 passesMcCrorie and MacDonald: 16 passesPollock and MacDonald: 26 passesGorter: 3 completed passesMcCrorie: 21 completed passesPollock: 31 completed passesMacDonald: 34 completed passesMacKenzie: 21 completed passesClarkson: 23 completed passesShinnie: 8 completed passesRamadani: 24 completed passesDuncan: 12 completed passesMiovski: 9 completed passesDuk: 4 completed passes192182732061623911GorterMcCroriePollockMacDonaldMacKenzieClarksonShinnieRamadaniDuncanMiovskiDukStarters until 68' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
McGrathBehich10
BehichLevitt9
FletcherMcGrath9
LevittSibbald9
BehichMcGrath8

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
MacDonaldPollock14
PollockMacDonald12
McCrorieMacDonald9
MacKenziePollock8
MacDonaldMcCrorie8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

7+2.910+4.111−5.010+3.13−3.011+5.47+1.79+1.811+3.811+4.550.07+2.32−1.813+7.45−1.24−0.72−1.41−1.44+0.71−2.120.03+1.73+2.02+0.22+0.60−0.60−0.10−0.50−0.30−1.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Aberdeen

6+1.39+2.428+10.95−4.08+1.94−2.014+7.68+2.216+9.38+0.69+3.84−0.82−1.43−2.23−3.63−0.55+0.61−1.42−2.02−1.81−0.41−0.30−0.91−0.25+3.02+1.30−0.30−0.52+1.81+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.060.010.010.020.140.040.010.010.010.060.020.020.040.040.030.060.16−0.06−0.020.070.07−0.020.240.18LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.020.010.010.030.050.020.030.030.050.030.090.120.020.06−0.010.01−0.050.060.060.30LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackDundee United0.92 → 0.95Aberdeen1.10 → 1.10Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.51 → 1.49Aberdeen1.35 → 1.37

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
11th28%26%−2
Bottom45%57%+12
Aberdeen
Top six52%70%+18
St. Mirren
Top six68%60%−8
Ross County
11th29%30%+1
Bottom21%15%−6

From the forecast before the match (4 March 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Expected goals1.231.20
Win36%35%
Expected Points1.381.33
Clean sheet30%29%

Dundee United 36%Draw 29%Aberdeen 35%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 50%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+10%6%3%8%3%7%8%5%2%3%3%2%1%10%10%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 4 March 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawAberdeen win
Dundee United
11th28%30%28%26%
Bottom45%31%48%57%
Aberdeen
Top six52%38%49%70%
St. Mirren
Top six68%75%68%60%
Ross County
11th29%28%30%30%
Bottom21%28%20%15%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L0–425 FebRoss County (A)xG 0.60–2.57
  2. L1–218 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.17–0.95
  3. L1–34 FebHearts (A)xG 1.22–1.01
  4. L0–11 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 1.37–2.71
  5. L0–229 JanCeltic (H)xG 0.33–2.91
  6. D2–214 JanHibernian (A)xG 0.87–0.80

Aberdeen

  1. W1–025 FebLivingston (H)xG 1.08–0.43
  2. L0–418 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.27–1.50
  3. W3–14 FebMotherwell (H)xG 1.94–0.85
  4. L1–31 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.94–2.21
  5. L0–628 JanHibernian (A)xG 0.52–2.60
  6. L0–518 JanHearts (A)xG 1.02–3.54

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Position12th6th
Played2627
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠5–⁠1611–⁠2–⁠14
Points20 (0.77 per game)35 (1.30 per game)
Expected Points per game0.931.24
Goals27–⁠4940–⁠51
xG per game0.85–⁠1.641.30–⁠1.64
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 0.87–⁠1.622.00, 1.68–⁠1.16
Away: points, xG per game0.54, 0.83–⁠1.650.54, 0.90–⁠2.15
ManagerJim Goodwin (0)Barry Robson (4)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackDundee United0.92, 12thAberdeen1.10, 5thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.51, 12thAberdeen1.35, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebDundee United attack: 0.92Aberdeen attack: 1.101.100.92AberdeenDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebDundee United defence: 1.51Aberdeen defence: 1.351.511.35

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−35%+33%−11%+10%
Counter-attacks−31%+127%+60%+17%
Set pieces−44%+8%−18%+23%
Penalties−16%−16%+81%+121%
Headers−43%+35%+11%+8%
Left side−22%+57%−18%+25%
Centre−40%+23%−16%+4%
Right side−46%+15%+7%+20%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdAberdeen concededLeft side−22%+20%Centre−40%+4%Right side−46%+25%Open play−35%+10%Counter-attacks−31%+17%Set pieces−44%+23%Headers−43%+8%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee United concededLeft side−18%+15%Centre−16%+23%Right side+7%+57%Open play−11%+33%Counter-attacks+60%+127%Set pieces−18%+8%Headers+11%+35%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedAberdeen

0.85xG1.30
1.64xG against1.64
46%Possession48%
10.1Shots11.7
15.5Shots against14.2
3.5Shots on target3.9
0.8Big chances1.9
17.4Touches in the opposition box19.6
365Passes365
70%Pass accuracy71%
4.7Corners5.2
45%Field tilt39%
35.9Final-third entries35.2
9.0Box entries9.7
16.8Passes per defensive action16.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level330.751.55
Ahead210.821.23
Behind360.971.95

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level391.191.53
Ahead231.651.22
Behind281.172.14

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.216–7
16–300.120.164–2
31–450.160.323–12
46–600.100.373–11
61–750.170.215–4
76–900.140.366–13

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.233–8
16–300.170.204–5
31–450.330.3010–10
46–600.220.256–7
61–750.270.3310–8
76–900.230.337–13

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTBirighitti 16Eriksson 9Newman 1Smith 15McGrath 2Middleton 2Edwards 25Ayina 1McMann 12Graham 10Mulgrew 9Freeman 14Smith 11Niskanen 1Levitt 20Djoum 8Mulgrew 1Sibbald 15McGrath 3Harkes 3Behich 19McMann 4Sibbald 1McGrath 11Harkes 11Levitt 2Middleton 15Watt 5Fletcher 3Fletcher 16Watt 7McGrath 13-4-2-1 in 11 of 26 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (11), 4-3-3 (5), 5-3-2 (4), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTRoos 21Gorter 3Lewis 3McCrorie 15Richardson 9Pollock 2Stewart 21MacDonald 4Scales 20McCrorie 4MacKenzie 3Duk 12Coulson 11Hayes 2Ramadani 24Barron 7Richardson 3Clarkson 7McCrorie 6Shinnie 5Kennedy 13Besuijen 4Barron 3Clarkson 8Coulson 5Besuijen 5Hayes 9Clarkson 6Duk 6Miovski 274-2-3-1 in 11 of 27 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-5-2 (9), 3-1-4-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
12 November 2022Aberdeen1–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.18–0.32
8 October 2022Dundee United4–0AberdeenxG 2.25–0.89
26 February 2022Aberdeen1–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.91–0.94
20 November 2021Dundee United1–0AberdeenxG 0.58–0.69
1 August 2021Aberdeen2–0Dundee UnitedxG 0.67–0.43
20 March 2021Dundee United1–0AberdeenxG 0.46–0.47

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 3, Aberdeen won 2, and 3 were drawn. Goals 7–4 and xG 0.74–0.86 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fletcher191,581520.420.08
Watt121,018410.240.08
Middleton191,645220.120.14
McGrath171,430220.080.15

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski272,1461500.600.02
Besuijen9897310.230.18
Duk191,7071020.290.04
Hayes141,222150.100.20

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.