Matches › 2024/25

St. Mirren 0–0 Hibernian

Sunday 16 February 2025, 14:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 26 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Ross Hardie · Attendance 7,468

Hibernian Manneh sent off 84'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	St. Mirren	Hibernian
Goals	0	0
xG	0.70	0.37
Expected Points	1.58	0.95

St. Mirren 37%Draw 47%Hibernian 16%

Most likely score 0–0, 35%. Final score 0–0, 35%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenHibernian

0.70 −0.46xG0.37 −1.32

0.47 −0.69xG on target0.00 −1.62

14 +3Shots8 −5

6 +2.4Shots on target0 −4.2

1 −0.8Big chances1 −1.5

25 +5Touches in the opposition box10 −13

60% +18Possession40% −7

402 +108Passes266 −78

71% +7Pass accuracy64% −10

76% +34Field tilt24% −27

56 +26Final-third entries18 −18

12 +3.5Box entries4 −5.8

10.2 −5Passes per defensive action15.5 0

4 −0.6Corners3 −2.9

15 −1Tackles14 0

2 −6.4Interceptions7 −0.7

20 −8Clearances63 +32

0 −2.6Saves6 +3.2

14 +1Fouls8 −3

5 +2.9Offsides3 +1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

St. Mirren

Hibernian

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenHibernian

0.65 12 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.16 5 shots, 0 goals

0.05 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.21 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–0

Level: 100 min (100%) · St. Mirren 0.70, Hibernian 0.37 xG

Line-ups

St. Mirren substitutes

46' Bwomono for Alebiosu
73' Kiltie for O'Hara
73' Ayunga for Olusanya · yellow card 82'
83' Smyth for Boyd-Munce
90+2' Oseni for Mandron

Hibernian substitutes

56' Bowie for Gayle
70' Obita for Iredale
71' Manneh for Kwon · yellow card 72', red card 84'
88' Miller for C. Cadden
88' Moriah-Welsh for N. Cadden

Players

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hemming	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	0
Fraser	CB	90	0.00	0.03	0	0.08	8	4
Gogic	CB	90	0.00	0.07	1	0.09	6	11
Taylor	CB	90	0.00	0.06	0	0.24	19	4
Alebiosu	RWB	46	0.00	0.01	0	0.00	2	2
Phillips	CM	90	0.13	0.02	0	−0.06	3	2
Boyd-Munce	CM	83	0.04	0.09	1	0.09	8	6
O'Hara	CM	73	0.16	0.06	0	0.11	4	2
John	LWB	90	0.03	0.06	0	0.04	3	4
Olusanya	ST	73	0.26	0.05	1	−0.07	1	1
Mandron	ST	90	0.09	0.19	5	0.05	5	2
Bwomono	MF	44	0.00	0.05	2	0.07	1	2
Kiltie	FW	17	0.00	0.03	0	0.08	2	1
Ayunga	FW	17	0.00	0.06	1	0.00	1	0
Smyth	MF	7	0.00	0.01	0	0.04	4	0
Oseni	FW	0	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Smith	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
O'Hora	CB	90	0.17	0.00	0	0.01	0	20
Bushiri	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	21
Iredale	CB	70	0.00	0.00	0	−0.07	2	9
C. Cadden	RWB	88	0.00	0.03	2	0.05	3	14
Kwon	CM	71	0.00	0.01	1	0.01	1	2
Triantis	CM	90	0.01	0.01	0	0.01	1	8
N. Cadden	LWB	88	0.06	0.30	2	0.22	6	6
Campbell	AM	90	0.04	0.00	0	0.00	0	6
Boyle	ST	90	0.04	0.02	0	0.08	3	3
Gayle	ST	56	0.05	0.01	0	0.01	1	0
Bowie	FW	34	0.00	0.01	0	0.00	0	1
Obita	DF	20	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	0
Manneh	MF	13	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	0
Miller	DF	2	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Moriah-Welsh	MF	2	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Hibernian

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
Boyd-Munce	O'Hara	12
O'Hara	Taylor	12
Taylor	Mandron	11
John	O'Hara	10
Fraser	Gogic	9

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
N. Cadden	Iredale	10
Bushiri	O'Hora	8
Smith	Iredale	7
O'Hora	Bushiri	7
Iredale	N. Cadden	7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

Against its average of 25 matches

Hibernian

Against its average of 25 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

Hibernian

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
St. Mirren
Top six	19%	15%	−4
11th	11%	11%	0
Bottom	3%	3%	0
Hibernian
Top six	83%	82%	−1
Dundee FC
Top six	2%	2%	0
11th	38%	39%	+1
Bottom	20%	20%	0
Motherwell
Top six	18%	19%	+1
11th	12%	12%	0
Bottom	3%	2%	−1

From the forecast before the match (16 February 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	St. Mirren	Hibernian
Expected goals	1.21	1.41
Win	32%	41%
Expected Points	1.22	1.50
Clean sheet	24%	30%

St. Mirren 32%Draw 27%Hibernian 41%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

From the forecast as it stood on 16 February 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	St. Mirren win	Draw	Hibernian win
St. Mirren
Top six	19%	35%	15%	10%
11th	11%	6%	11%	15%
Bottom	3%	1%	3%	4%
Hibernian
Top six	83%	71%	82%	93%
Dundee FC
Top six	2%	2%	2%	1%
11th	38%	40%	39%	36%
Bottom	20%	21%	20%	20%
Motherwell
Top six	18%	17%	19%	18%
11th	12%	14%	12%	11%
Bottom	3%	3%	2%	3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

Hibernian

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	St. Mirren	Hibernian
Position	9th	5th
Played	25	25
Won, drawn, lost	9–⁠3–⁠13	8–⁠9–⁠8
Points	30 (1.20 per game)	33 (1.32 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.15	1.55
Goals	30–⁠39	37–⁠37
xG per game	1.16–⁠1.56	1.69–⁠1.41
Home: points, xG per game	1.31, 1.10–⁠1.16	1.54, 1.87–⁠1.17
Away: points, xG per game	1.08, 1.22–⁠2.00	1.08, 1.50–⁠1.66
Manager	Stephen Robinson (58)	David Gray (27)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	St. Mirren		Hibernian
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−30%	−11%	+4%	−16%
Counter-attacks	−10%	+15%	−13%	+44%
Set pieces	−20%	+30%	+41%	+6%
Penalties	+40%	+64%	+64%	+17%
Headers	−22%	−5%	+19%	−2%
Left side	−31%	−12%	−5%	−25%
Centre	−26%	+3%	+25%	+8%
Right side	−20%	+23%	+5%	−6%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdHibernian concededLeft side−31%−6%Centre−26%+8%Right side−20%−25%Open play−30%−16%Counter-attacks−10%+44%Set pieces−20%+6%Headers−22%−2%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−5%+23%Centre+25%+3%Right side+5%−12%Open play+4%−11%Counter-attacks−13%+15%Set pieces+41%+30%Headers+19%−5%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenHibernian

1.16xG1.69

1.56xG against1.41

42%Possession47%

11.0Shots12.8

12.3Shots against11.5

3.6Shots on target4.2

1.8Big chances2.5

19.9Touches in the opposition box23.0

294Passes344

64%Pass accuracy73%

4.6Corners5.9

42%Field tilt51%

30.5Final-third entries35.6

8.5Box entries9.8

15.2Passes per defensive action15.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	49	1.18	1.32
Ahead	20	1.07	1.81
Behind	21	1.20	1.89

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	38	1.69	1.37
Ahead	27	1.62	1.22
Behind	25	1.77	1.66

xG by period

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.16	0.25	5–6
16–30	0.16	0.15	7–4
31–45	0.34	0.17	7–5
46–60	0.15	0.20	2–6
61–75	0.11	0.33	0–9
76–90	0.24	0.47	9–9

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.15	0.26	2–6
16–30	0.32	0.25	7–5
31–45	0.29	0.14	9–6
46–60	0.21	0.18	4–4
61–75	0.39	0.17	6–1
76–90	0.34	0.41	9–15

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

Formations: 3-4-3 (9), 3-5-2 (8), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Hibernian

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (10), 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-3-3 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
9 November 2024	Hibernian	1–2	St. Mirren	xG 2.28–2.18
4 August 2024	St. Mirren	3–0	Hibernian	xG 1.20–1.58
3 February 2024	Hibernian	0–3	St. Mirren	xG 0.41–2.40
8 November 2023	St. Mirren	2–2	Hibernian	xG 1.60–0.89
6 August 2023	Hibernian	2–3	St. Mirren	xG 1.41–1.55
6 May 2023	Hibernian	2–1	St. Mirren	xG 1.67–1.61

16 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 6, Hibernian won 7, and 3 were drawn. Goals 20–21 and xG 1.15–1.26 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Olusanya	22	1,643	7	1	0.42	0.03
Smyth	5	528	4	0	0.33	0.11
Ayunga	3	470	1	0	0.26	0.11
Mandron	9	974	3	2	0.21	0.10

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Kukharevych	13	983	3	0	0.57	0.02
N. Cadden	15	1,222	5	3	0.29	0.29
Hoilett	12	986	2	1	0.30	0.27
Boyle	16	1,525	7	3	0.41	0.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.