Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Ross County 1–1 Hibernian

Saturday 25 January 2025, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 24 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 4,003

Ross County Hale 87' (pen)

Hibernian Levitt 42'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyHibernian
Goals11
xG1.780.69
Non-penalty xG0.200.69
Expected Points2.370.42

Ross County 72%Draw 21%Hibernian 7%

Most likely score 2–0, 27%. Final score 1–1, 11%.

Hibernian goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+2%1%13%11%3%7%1%6%4%1%27%21%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTPhillips on for White and MacLeod on for Nisbet, 63'Hale on for Ashworth, 70'Smith on for Brown, 83'Moriah-Welsh on for Levitt and Obita on for C. Cadden, 64'Bowie on for Gayle, 72'Hale 87' (pen)Levitt 42'Ross County 1.78Hibernian 0.6900.511.520153045607590HTPhillips on for White and MacLeod on for Nisbet, 63'Hale on for Ashworth, 70'Smith on for Brown, 83'Moriah-Welsh on for Levitt and Obita on for C. Cadden, 64'Bowie on for Gayle, 72'Hale 87' (pen)Levitt 42'1.780.69Ross CountyHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyHibernian

1.78 +0.79xG0.69 −1.05
0.20Non-penalty xG0.69
1.81 +0.88xG on target2.14 +0.57
5 −6Shots13 0
3 −0.1Shots on target4 −0.2
2 +0.8Big chances1 −1.6
12 −4Touches in the opposition box22 −2
43% +4Possession57% +10
289 −2Passes381 +39
66% +1Pass accuracy69% −4
39% +2Field tilt61% +10
34 +5Final-third entries40 +4
5 −2.4Box entries8 −2.2
19.2 +2Passes per defensive action11.2 −4
2 −2.8Corners8 +2.0
10 −7Tackles10 −4
7 −3.5Interceptions10 +2.5
42 +5Clearances22 −8
3 −0.1Saves2 −0.8
12 +2Fouls8 −3
2 +0.9Offsides4 +2.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Chilvers 22', 0.14 xGChilvers 76', 0.04 xGMacLeod 77', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals70%0.14 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.14 xG, 0 goals20%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals10%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

N. Cadden 45+1', 0.18 xGBowie 90+1', 0.15 xGBoyle 35', 0.08 xGLevitt 19', 0.04 xGBoyle 74', 0.04 xGLevitt 45+2', 0.03 xGC. Cadden 90+5', 0.03 xGGayle 16', 0.02 xGTriantis 39', 0.02 xGCampbell 47', 0.02 xGBoyle 90+5', 0.01 xGIredale 90+6', 0.01 xGLevitt 42', 0.06 xG, goal48%0.33 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.33 xG, 0 goals9%0.06 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 1 goal13%0.09 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals30%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyHibernian

0.20 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.29 5 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.12 2 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.28 6 shots, 1 goal
1.58 2 shots, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
51 min (52%) · Ross County 0.93, Hibernian 0.42 xG
Hibernian ahead
48 min (48%) · Ross County 0.84, Hibernian 0.27 xG

Line-ups

1841912282315102634AmissahWrightCampbellTomkinsonBrownRandallNisbetAshworthChilversWhiteRobestenYellow cardYellow card83'63'70'63'Ross County 3-4-3Don Cowie13533151262619321034SmithO'HoraBushiriIredaleC. CaddenLevittTriantisN. CaddenCampbellBoyleGayleYellow cardGoalYellow card64'64'72'Hibernian 3-4-1-2David Gray

Ross County substitutes

  • 63' MacLeod for Nisbet
  • 63' Phillips for White
  • 70' Hale for Ashworth · goal 87' (pen)
  • 83' Smith for Brown

Hibernian substitutes

  • 64' Obita for C. Cadden
  • 64' Moriah-Welsh for Levitt
  • 72' Bowie for Gayle

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AmissahGK900.000.0000.0001
WrightCB900.000.0100.07109
Campbell CB900.000.0100.04612
TomkinsonCB900.000.0000.05611
BrownRWB830.000.0100.0473
RandallCM900.000.0700.2342
NisbetCM630.000.0100.0023
AshworthLWB700.000.0000.01110
Chilvers RW900.180.0210.0565
WhiteST630.790.0000.0001
RobestenLW900.000.080−0.0842
MacLeodMF270.020.0000.0003
PhillipsFW270.000.0100.1420
HaleFW2010.790.0410.0121
SmithDF70.000.0100.0000

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Smith GK900.000.0000.0110
O'HoraCB900.000.0100.08118
BushiriCB900.000.0110.0954
IredaleCB900.010.0100.06611
C. CaddenRWB640.030.0910.0895
LevittCM6410.130.0600.0922
TriantisCM9010.020.1010.0853
N. CaddenLWB900.180.040−0.0314
Campbell AM900.020.0530.0932
BoyleST900.130.031−0.0360
GayleST720.020.0310.0721
ObitaDF260.000.2010.0110
Moriah-WelshFW260.000.0300.0001
BowieFW180.150.0600.0402

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Amissah and Campbell: 3 passesAmissah and Chilvers: 3 passesAmissah and White: 3 passesTomkinson and Nisbet: 3 passesCampbell and Ashworth: 3 passesWright and Chilvers: 3 passesWright and Robesten: 3 passesWright and White: 3 passesNisbet and Randall: 3 passesCampbell and White: 4 passesWright and Randall: 4 passesRandall and Chilvers: 4 passesBrown and Randall: 5 passesAshworth and Chilvers: 5 passesTomkinson and Campbell: 6 passesWright and Brown: 6 passesCampbell and Chilvers: 7 passesBrown and Chilvers: 7 passesTomkinson and Wright: 8 passesBrown and Robesten: 8 passesNisbet and Chilvers: 9 passesBrown and Nisbet: 10 passesAmissah: 7 completed passesTomkinson: 14 completed passesCampbell: 19 completed passesWright: 17 completed passesBrown: 18 completed passesNisbet: 17 completed passesRandall: 11 completed passesAshworth: 7 completed passesChilvers: 19 completed passesRobesten: 5 completed passesWhite: 8 completed passes1812194223815103426AmissahTomkinsonCampbellWrightBrownNisbetRandallAshworthChilversRobestenWhiteStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

Levitt and N. Cadden: 4 passesLevitt and Boyle: 4 passesBushiri and Triantis: 5 passesO'Hora and Levitt: 5 passesO'Hora and Campbell: 5 passesTriantis and Levitt: 5 passesTriantis and N. Cadden: 5 passesCampbell and Boyle: 5 passesSmith and Iredale: 6 passesTriantis and Boyle: 6 passesIredale and Bushiri: 7 passesTriantis and Campbell: 7 passesN. Cadden and Campbell: 7 passesN. Cadden and Boyle: 7 passesCampbell and Gayle: 7 passesSmith and Bushiri: 8 passesC. Cadden and Boyle: 8 passesO'Hora and C. Cadden: 9 passesC. Cadden and Triantis: 9 passesC. Cadden and Gayle: 12 passesBushiri and O'Hora: 13 passesIredale and N. Cadden: 17 passesC. Cadden and Campbell: 17 passesSmith: 13 completed passesIredale: 24 completed passesBushiri: 21 completed passesO'Hora: 27 completed passesC. Cadden: 34 completed passesTriantis: 25 completed passesLevitt: 17 completed passesN. Cadden: 23 completed passesCampbell: 22 completed passesBoyle: 13 completed passesGayle: 14 completed passes13153351226619321034SmithIredaleBushiriO'HoraC. CaddenTriantisLevittN. CaddenCampbellBoyleGayleStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
CampbellChilvers8
RandallBrown7
BrownRobesten6
BrownNisbet5
NisbetBrown5

Hibernian

FromToPasses
C. CaddenCampbell12
C. CaddenBoyle11
N. CaddenIredale9
C. CaddenGayle8
IredaleN. Cadden8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

6+0.74−3.124+4.67−2.310+3.79+1.310+3.08+1.38+0.316+8.14−1.54−0.42−1.66+1.73−2.63−0.72−0.60−1.93+0.34+0.61−1.71−0.72+0.90−0.81−1.20−0.80−0.21+0.600.00−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

Hibernian

3−1.45−1.410+2.55+0.47+0.310+5.13−2.91−5.58+1.650.07+3.34+0.911+6.24−0.92−1.85+1.50−2.46+2.65+0.71−1.30−1.52+0.80−1.60−2.50−0.70−0.40−0.70−0.50−0.45−11.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.050.030.010.020.030.030.030.010.030.030.010.030.030.01−0.01−0.01−0.030.07−0.180.100.080.18LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.030.030.040.040.060.040.060.010.060.010.070.030.01−0.01−0.010.060.02−0.020.10LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackRoss County1.04 → 1.07Hibernian1.46 → 1.42Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.53 → 1.50Hibernian1.23 → 1.26

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six9%8%−1
11th27%27%0
Bottom5%5%0
Hibernian
Top six78%76%−2
11th1%1%0
Dundee FC
Top six16%17%+1
11th20%21%+1
Bottom3%3%0
Hearts
Top six15%16%+1
11th13%13%0
Bottom2%2%0

From the forecast before the match (25 January 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyHibernian
Expected goals1.151.50
Win29%44%
Expected Points1.131.60
Clean sheet22%32%

Ross County 29%Draw 27%Hibernian 44%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Hibernian goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+8%8%4%1%8%9%5%2%5%7%5%3%1%2%3%2%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 25 January 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawHibernian win
Ross County
Top six9%18%8%4%
11th27%18%27%33%
Bottom5%2%5%6%
Hibernian
Top six78%65%76%88%
11th1%1%1%<1%
Dundee FC
Top six16%17%17%14%
11th20%23%21%18%
Bottom3%4%3%3%
Hearts
Top six15%17%16%14%
11th13%15%13%11%
Bottom2%2%2%2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L1–411 JanCeltic (H)xG 0.97–4.20
  2. W1–05 JanKilmarnock (A)xG 1.15–0.56
  3. W2–12 JanAberdeen (A)xG 0.80–1.55
  4. D2–229 DecHearts (H)xG 1.40–1.06
  5. W3–026 DecDundee FC (A)xG 2.03–0.30
  6. L1–221 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.24–1.10

Hibernian

  1. W3–111 JanMotherwell (H)xG 2.22–0.22
  2. D3–35 JanRangers (H)xG 1.89–1.83
  3. D1–12 JanSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.27–0.96
  4. W1–029 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 2.32–0.25
  5. W2–126 DecHearts (A)xG 1.93–0.70
  6. W3–121 DecAberdeen (A)xG 1.44–1.90

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyHibernian
Position10th6th
Played2323
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠7–⁠107–⁠8–⁠8
Points25 (1.09 per game)29 (1.26 per game)
Expected Points per game1.131.57
Goals23–⁠4234–⁠36
xG per game0.99–⁠1.641.74–⁠1.43
Home: points, xG per game1.08, 1.19–⁠1.191.42, 1.89–⁠1.23
Away: points, xG per game1.09, 0.78–⁠2.141.09, 1.57–⁠1.65
ManagerDon Cowie (38)David Gray (25)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackRoss County1.04, 11thHibernian1.46, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.53, 10thHibernian1.23, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanRoss County attack: 1.04Hibernian attack: 1.461.461.04HibernianRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanRoss County defence: 1.53Hibernian defence: 1.231.531.23

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−53%+36%+5%−11%
Counter-attacks−46%+2%−7%+61%
Set pieces−10%−21%+45%+11%
Penalties+50%average+75%−25%
Headers−39%+9%+15%+2%
Left side−16%average−8%−21%
Centre−46%+21%+32%+14%
Right side−46%+22%+2%average

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdHibernian concededLeft side−16%averageCentre−46%+14%Right side−46%−21%Open play−53%−11%Counter-attacks−46%+61%Set pieces−10%+11%Headers−39%+2%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdRoss County concededLeft side−8%+22%Centre+32%+21%Right side+2%averageOpen play+5%+36%Counter-attacks−7%+2%Set pieces+45%−21%Headers+15%+9%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyHibernian

0.99xG1.74
1.64xG against1.43
39%Possession47%
10.7Shots13.0
14.7Shots against12.0
3.1Shots on target4.2
1.2Big chances2.6
16.0Touches in the opposition box23.5
291Passes342
65%Pass accuracy73%
4.8Corners6.0
36%Field tilt51%
29.0Final-third entries36.0
7.4Box entries10.2
17.4Passes per defensive action15.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.001.41
Ahead180.961.13
Behind261.002.43

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.731.37
Ahead241.711.26
Behind281.771.66

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.192–3
16–300.100.193–4
31–450.230.343–11
46–600.140.265–5
61–750.140.272–4
76–900.260.418–15

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.282–6
16–300.320.236–5
31–450.300.168–6
46–600.220.203–4
61–750.390.186–1
76–900.350.399–14

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLaidlaw 15Amissah 5Hamilton 3Wright 23Grieves 1Denholm 1Lopata 18Allardice 2Leak 14Campbell 6Nightingale 3Brown 14Efete 9Randall 9Chilvers 5Denholm 2Nisbet 11Harmon 9Campbell 3Randall 6Harmon 4Nisbet 3Chilvers 9Randall 4Nisbet 3White 12Brophy 3Chilvers 2Hale 19Randall 2Kenneh 23-4-1-2 in 7 of 23 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-5-2 (6), 3-5-1-1 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTBursik 13Smith 10Bushiri 11Boyle 5Obita 4Ekpiteta 12O'Hora 20Iredale 10Miller 12C. Cadden 11Triantis 16Kwon 4Newell 15Obita 10Levitt 1N. Cadden 9Kwon 7Triantis 3Campbell 8Hoilett 4Boyle 3Kukharevych 12Boyle 6Campbell 1Hoilett 8Youan 7Gayle 43-4-1-2 in 8 of 23 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (8), 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-3-3 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
14 December 2024Hibernian3–1Ross CountyxG 4.80–1.22
30 October 2024Ross County0–0HibernianxG 0.50–0.50
4 May 2024Ross County2–1HibernianxG 1.83–2.55
13 March 2024Ross County2–2HibernianxG 1.14–1.33
2 March 2024Hibernian2–0Ross CountyxG 1.27–0.35
31 October 2023Hibernian2–2Ross CountyxG 0.50–0.52

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 4, Hibernian won 6, and 5 were drawn. Goals 14–20 and xG 0.81–1.65 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Hale191,554500.340.04
White141,442500.310.05
Chilvers171,376240.110.16
Grieves7512020.040.17

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
N. Cadden131,046430.290.32
Kukharevych13983300.570.02
Gayle4505420.430.15
Hoilett12982210.310.27

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.