Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
HibernianDundee United
1.51 +0.37xG0.46 −0.50
0.87 −0.23xG on target0.40 −0.67
21 +10Shots6 −4
4 +0.5Shots on target1 −2.4
3 +1.6Big chances0 −1.2
34 +16Touches in the opposition box16 0
63% +10Possession37% −10
480 +61Passes288 −84
82% +6Pass accuracy63% −5
73% +21Field tilt27% −18
57 +18Final-third entries32 −2
17 +6.2Box entries9 +0.9
12.4 −1Passes per defensive action19.5 +5
7 +1.4Corners4 −0.8
7 −7Tackles11 −4
7 −2.4Interceptions15 +4.7
20 +4Clearances32 +10
0 −2.5Saves3 +0.2
13 +1Fouls10 −2
2 −0.1Offsides1 −0.5
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Hibernian
Dundee United
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
10'45+1'
0–00–11–1
0'HTFT
Level
62 min (63%) · Hibernian 1.35, Dundee United 0.44 xG
Dundee United ahead
36 min (37%) · Hibernian 0.15, Dundee United 0.02 xG
Line-ups
Hibernian substitutes
46'Henderson for Jasper
72'Wright for Bushiri
81'Scott for Newell
Dundee United substitutes
61'Sporle for Clark
79'Cudjoe for McNulty
90+6'MacLeod for Watt
Players
Hibernian
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Dabrowski
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Bushiri
CB
72
0.18
0.02
0
0.08
4
4
Hanlon
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
2
Doig
CB
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.12
10
4
Cadden
RWB
90
1
0.23
0.07
2
0.12
8
4
Doyle-Hayes
CM
90
0.03
0.05
3
0.10
4
8
Newell
CM
81
0.17
0.18
2
0.15
6
2
Clarke
LWB
90
1
0.18
0.07
1
0.12
9
4
Mueller
AM
90
0.28
0.37
2
0.22
6
2
Jasper
AM
46
0.02
0.01
0
0.03
5
0
Melkersen
ST
90
0.34
0.01
0
0.03
2
1
Henderson
MF
44
0.08
0.13
1
0.09
4
1
Wright
MF
18
0.00
0.02
1
0.03
2
2
Scott
FW
9
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
0
Dundee United
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Siegrist
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
5
1
Graham
CB
90
1
0.24
0.00
0
0.04
4
9
Edwards
CB
90
1
0.07
0.01
1
0.04
3
9
Mulgrew
CB
90
0.00
0.10
1
0.03
2
12
Smith
RWB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
1
10
Levitt
CM
90
0.00
0.05
1
0.03
2
5
McDonald
CM
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.01
2
6
Niskanen
LWB
90
0.02
0.00
0
−0.05
1
6
Clark
AM
61
0.00
0.02
0
0.00
0
3
Watt
ST
90
0.00
0.11
1
0.25
9
4
McNulty
ST
79
0.00
0.01
1
0.00
0
1
Sporle
DF
29
0.10
0.01
0
0.04
3
3
Cudjoe
FW
11
0.02
0.01
0
0.05
2
0
MacLeod
MF
0
0.00
0.00
0
–
–
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Hibernian
Dundee United
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Hibernian
From
To
Passes
Hanlon
Doig
16
Doyle-Hayes
Cadden
11
Doig
Hanlon
11
Bushiri
Cadden
10
Cadden
Bushiri
9
Dundee United
From
To
Passes
McDonald
Edwards
8
Edwards
Mulgrew
6
Smith
Levitt
6
Mulgrew
Graham
5
McDonald
Mulgrew
5
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Hibernian
Against its average of 31 matches
Dundee United
Against its average of 31 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Hibernian
Dundee United
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Hibernian
Top six
64%
38%
−26
Dundee United
Top six
85%
96%
+11
Aberdeen
Top six
38%
43%
+5
Livingston
Top six
59%
61%
+2
From the forecast before the match (2 April 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Hibernian
Dundee United
Expected goals
1.39
0.77
Win
51%
20%
Expected Points
1.82
0.89
Clean sheet
46%
25%
Hibernian 51%Draw 29%Dundee United 20%
Most likely score 1–0, 15%. Both sides score 41%.
From the forecast as it stood on 2 April 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Hibernian win
Draw
Dundee United win
Hibernian
Top six
64%
95%
38%
24%
Dundee United
Top six
85%
73%
96%
>99%
Aberdeen
Top six
38%
32%
43%
45%
Livingston
Top six
59%
56%
61%
65%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Hibernian
Dundee United
Position
5th
4th
Played
31
31
Won, drawn, lost
9–10–12
10–9–12
Points
37 (1.19 per game)
39 (1.26 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.42
1.15
Goals
29–33
28–34
xG per game
1.14–1.06
0.96–1.43
Home: points, xG per game
1.44, 1.12–0.96
1.53, 1.04–1.54
Away: points, xG per game
0.93, 1.16–1.16
1.00, 0.89–1.34
Manager
Shaun Maloney (13)
Tam Courts (31)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Hibernian
Dundee United
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−2%
−18%
−19%
+24%
Counter-attacks
+57%
+15%
−7%
−33%
Set pieces
−31%
−10%
−20%
+26%
Penalties
+15%
+15%
−31%
−8%
Headers
−19%
average
−5%
+13%
Left side
+1%
−11%
−18%
+8%
Centre
−14%
−11%
−15%
+38%
Right side
−1%
−26%
−26%
+4%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Hibernian attacking
Hibernian createdDundee United concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+1%+4%Centre−14%+38%Right side−1%+8%Open play−2%+24%Counter-attacks+57%−33%Set pieces−31%+26%Headers−19%+13%
Dundee United attacking
Dundee United createdHibernian concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−18%−26%Centre−15%−11%Right side−26%−11%Open play−19%−18%Counter-attacks−7%+15%Set pieces−20%−10%Headers−5%average
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
HibernianDundee United
1.14xG0.96
1.06xG against1.43
54%Possession47%
11.4Shots10.5
10.6Shots against14.4
3.5Shots on target3.4
1.4Big chances1.2
18.2Touches in the opposition box16.1
419Passes372
76%Pass accuracy68%
5.6Corners4.8
52%Field tilt44%
38.7Final-third entries34.3
10.8Box entries8.1
13.3Passes per defensive action14.7
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Hibernian
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
51
1.11
0.91
Ahead
18
1.06
1.12
Behind
22
1.26
1.36
Dundee United
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
53
0.93
1.34
Ahead
14
0.65
1.71
Behind
23
1.24
1.49
xG by period
Hibernian
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.15
0.14
2–6
16–30
0.12
0.18
4–6
31–45
0.21
0.16
7–4
46–60
0.20
0.20
6–6
61–75
0.22
0.19
4–4
76–90
0.23
0.19
6–7
Dundee United
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.14
0.13
2–4
16–30
0.10
0.15
3–8
31–45
0.17
0.31
5–4
46–60
0.19
0.18
7–4
61–75
0.15
0.36
5–3
76–90
0.21
0.31
6–11
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts