Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
AberdeenCeltic
1.22 −0.12xG2.04 −0.73
1.29 +0.05xG on target0.65 −2.10
7 −5Shots22 +1
3 −0.8Shots on target4 −3.9
1 −0.6Big chances2 −2.1
9 −15Touches in the opposition box42 −4
29% −20Possession71% +1
263 −112Passes628 −37
62% −6Pass accuracy85% −1
19% −28Field tilt81% 0
27 −4Final-third entries69 −8
4 −7Box entries21 −4
28.8 +14Passes per defensive action9.3 −1
1 −3.6Corners12 +1.8
20 +3Tackles20 +4
9 +0.9Interceptions7 +1.9
37 +13Clearances13 −2
3 −0.1Saves2 +0.5
6 −5.0Fouls9 −0.7
4 +2.9Offsides3 +1.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Aberdeen
Celtic
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
50'63'
0–01–01–1
0'HTFT
Level
87 min (87%) · Aberdeen 1.03, Celtic 1.86 xG
Aberdeen ahead
13 min (13%) · Aberdeen 0.19, Celtic 0.18 xG
Line-ups
Aberdeen substitutes
62'Clarkson for Phillips
77'Duk for Polvara
Celtic substitutes
59'Ralston for Bernabei
59'Idah for Bernardo · 1 assist
59'Kühn for Abada · goal 63'
77'Welsh for Nawrocki
87'Vata for Palma
Players
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Roos
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
4
Devlin
RB
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.03
1
5
Gartenmann
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.09
9
12
Jensen
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
12
MacKenzie
LB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
4
13
Barron
DM
90
0.03
0.01
0
0.03
2
6
Shinnie
DM
90
0.76
0.03
0
0.06
4
2
Polvara
RW
77
1
0.00
0.01
1
0.03
4
3
Phillips
AM
62
0.03
0.01
0
0.00
0
2
McGrath
LW
90
0.08
0.01
0
−0.01
1
14
Miovski
ST
90
1
0.32
0.01
0
0.08
2
1
Clarkson
MF
28
0.00
0.12
1
0.07
1
0
Duk
FW
13
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
1
Celtic
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Hart
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
2
0
Johnston
RB
90
0.00
0.24
1
0.34
16
6
Nawrocki
CB
77
0.00
0.02
0
0.13
5
6
Scales
CB
90
0.07
0.04
0
0.20
14
7
Bernabei
LB
59
0.08
0.34
2
0.22
5
3
O'Riley
CM
90
0.36
0.13
1
0.06
7
4
McGregor
CM
90
0.03
0.05
1
0.02
3
2
Bernardo
CM
59
0.26
0.03
1
−0.01
0
2
Abada
RW
59
0.36
0.03
0
−0.07
5
0
Furuhashi
ST
90
0.27
0.02
0
0.12
4
2
Palma
LW
87
0.27
0.18
2
0.19
9
1
Ralston
DF
31
0.00
0.02
0
0.03
4
4
Idah
FW
31
1
0.11
0.22
3
−0.14
0
0
Kühn
FW
31
1
0.18
0.07
1
0.10
3
4
Welsh
DF
13
0.04
0.00
0
0.03
1
1
Vata
FW
3
0.01
0.14
1
0.19
1
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Aberdeen
Celtic
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
Devlin
Gartenmann
6
Gartenmann
Polvara
6
Jensen
Roos
5
Barron
Polvara
5
MacKenzie
McGrath
5
Celtic
From
To
Passes
Nawrocki
Johnston
20
Hart
Nawrocki
17
Johnston
Abada
16
Johnston
Nawrocki
16
Hart
Scales
15
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Aberdeen
Against its average of 21 matches
Celtic
Against its average of 23 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Aberdeen
Celtic
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Aberdeen
Top six
49%
53%
+4
11th
2%
2%
0
Celtic
Title
64%
56%
−8
Rangers
Title
36%
44%
+8
St. Mirren
Top six
52%
53%
+1
From the forecast before the match (3 February 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Aberdeen
Celtic
Expected goals
0.80
2.21
Win
12%
69%
Expected Points
0.55
2.26
Clean sheet
11%
45%
Aberdeen 12%Draw 19%Celtic 69%
Most likely score 0–2, 12%. Both sides score 50%.
From the forecast as it stood on 3 February 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Aberdeen win
Draw
Celtic win
Aberdeen
Top six
49%
69%
53%
44%
11th
2%
1%
2%
3%
Celtic
Title
64%
50%
56%
69%
Rangers
Title
36%
50%
44%
31%
St. Mirren
Top six
52%
46%
53%
53%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Aberdeen
Celtic
Position
8th
1st
Played
21
23
Won, drawn, lost
6–6–9
18–3–2
Points
24 (1.14 per game)
57 (2.48 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.30
2.38
Goals
24–33
54–15
xG per game
1.34–1.56
2.77–0.85
Home: points, xG per game
1.20, 1.41–1.38
2.42, 2.99–0.74
Away: points, xG per game
1.09, 1.29–1.71
2.55, 2.52–0.96
Manager
Craig Samson (0)
Brendan Rodgers (23)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Aberdeen
Celtic
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−11%
+9%
+121%
−24%
Counter-attacks
+58%
−16%
+158%
−59%
Set pieces
+10%
+24%
+43%
−32%
Penalties
−1%
+49%
+127%
−100%
Headers
−3%
+44%
+38%
−20%
Left side
−3%
+9%
+105%
−21%
Centre
+13%
+21%
+90%
−24%
Right side
−22%
−5%
+125%
−48%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
AberdeenCeltic
1.34xG2.77
1.56xG against0.85
49%Possession70%
11.8Shots21.3
12.7Shots against7.4
3.8Shots on target7.9
1.6Big chances4.1
24.1Touches in the opposition box46.5
375Passes665
68%Pass accuracy85%
4.6Corners10.2
46%Field tilt81%
30.7Final-third entries76.8
10.8Box entries24.9
14.3Passes per defensive action10.2
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Aberdeen
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
45
1.06
1.21
Ahead
20
1.82
1.72
Behind
26
1.49
2.04
Celtic
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
39
2.79
0.66
Ahead
46
2.83
1.08
Behind
5
1.94
0.16
xG by period
Aberdeen
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.10
0.20
1–4
16–30
0.18
0.31
5–5
31–45
0.31
0.15
6–1
46–60
0.18
0.25
3–3
61–75
0.24
0.20
5–5
76–90
0.32
0.45
4–15
Celtic
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.38
0.10
8–2
16–30
0.51
0.08
8–2
31–45
0.28
0.20
6–1
46–60
0.52
0.10
10–1
61–75
0.31
0.16
4–4
76–90
0.77
0.21
18–5
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts