Matches › 2023/24

Aberdeen 1–3 Celtic

Sunday 13 August 2023, 12:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 2 · Half-time 1–2 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 18,652

Aberdeen Miovski 25'

Celtic Abada 11', Furuhashi 29', O'Riley 84'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Aberdeen	Celtic
Goals	1	3
xG	1.76	2.94
Expected Points	0.60	2.19

Aberdeen 13%Draw 21%Celtic 66%

Most likely score 1–3, 12%. Final score 1–3, 12%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenCeltic

1.76 +1.06xG2.94 −1.21

0.92 +0.92xG on target3.03 −2.74

11 0Shots16 −2

2 +2.0Shots on target10 −2.0

2 +2.0Big chances6 −1.0

33% −20Possession67% −8

247 −73Passes528 −278

53% −1Pass accuracy76% −15

35% −17Field tilt65% −8

24 −6Final-third entries45 −8

12 +1Box entries14 −3

16.5 +7.0Passes per defensive action8.6 −1.3

9 +2.0Corners9 +5.0

20 +9Tackles10 −5

11 −1Interceptions10 −1

25 −3Clearances30 +12

5 +3.0Saves1 +1.0

12 −1.0Fouls11 +5.0

1 −1.0Offsides1 +1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Aberdeen

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenCeltic

1.14 6 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.47 8 shots, 2 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.07 1 shot, 0 goals

0.61 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces1.40 7 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–11–2

Level: 15 min (17%) · Aberdeen 0.16, Celtic 1.00 xG
Celtic ahead: 75 min (83%) · Aberdeen 1.59, Celtic 1.94 xG

Line-ups

Aberdeen substitutes

78' Sokler for Duk

Celtic substitutes

46' Hatate for Carter-Vickers · off 70'
46' Welsh for Turnbull
70' Yang for Abada · 1 assist
70' Holm for Hatate
86' Forrest for Furuhashi

Players

Aberdeen

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Roos	GK	90			0.00	0.00	1	0.02	2	1
Devlin	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.03	2	8
Rubezic	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.06	4	13
MacKenzie	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	6
Morris	RWB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	5	4
Clarkson	CM	90			0.04	0.09	1	0.04	3	3
Shinnie	CM	90			0.26	0.32	1	0.18	0	5
Duncan	LWB	90			0.13	0.07	1	0.07	3	9
Polvara	AM	90			0.27	0.43	1	0.24	5	7
Miovski	ST	90	1		1.05	0.31	1	−0.11	2	0
Duk	ST	78		1	0.00	0.46	2	0.20	4	3
Sokler	MF	12			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	1	5
Ralston	RB	90			0.00	0.57	1	0.24	13	8
Carter-Vickers	CB	46			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	4	4
Nawrocki	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.08	6	12
Taylor	LB	90			0.00	0.38	1	0.23	10	7
O'Riley	CM	90	1		0.55	0.36	2	0.09	5	4
McGregor	CM	90			0.02	0.05	0	0.08	8	2
Turnbull	CM	46			0.01	0.24	2	0.08	4	0
Abada	RW	70	1		1.04	0.06	0	0.08	3	1
Furuhashi	ST	86	1		0.37	0.02	1	0.03	1	1
Maeda	LW	90		1	0.90	0.02	3	0.09	5	3
Hatate	MF	24			0.00	0.01	0	0.00	2	1
Welsh	DF	44			0.05	0.00	0	0.02	1	3
Yang	FW	20		1	0.00	0.32	2	0.20	1	1
Holm	MF	20			0.00	0.01	0	0.04	4	1
Forrest	FW	4			0.00	0.00	0	−0.02	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

From	To	Passes
MacKenzie	Clarkson	6
Shinnie	Duncan	5
MacKenzie	Roos	4
Clarkson	Polvara	4
Miovski	Polvara	4

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Nawrocki	Taylor	14
McGregor	Nawrocki	11
Carter-Vickers	Ralston	11
Ralston	Welsh	11
McGregor	Taylor	10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

Against its average of 1 match

Celtic

Against its average of 1 match

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Aberdeen
Top six	46%	41%	−5
11th	6%	7%	+1
Bottom	4%	5%	+1
Celtic
Title	65%	68%	+3
Rangers
Title	35%	32%	−3
Motherwell
Top six	49%	50%	+1
11th	6%	6%	0
Bottom	3%	3%	0

From the forecast before the match (13 August 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Aberdeen	Celtic
Expected goals	0.81	2.13
Win	13%	67%
Expected Points	0.58	2.22
Clean sheet	12%	44%

Aberdeen 13%Draw 20%Celtic 67%

Most likely score 0–2, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

From the forecast as it stood on 13 August 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Aberdeen win	Draw	Celtic win
Aberdeen
Top six	46%	62%	49%	41%
11th	6%	4%	5%	7%
Bottom	4%	2%	3%	5%
Celtic
Title	65%	53%	60%	68%
Rangers
Title	35%	46%	40%	32%
Motherwell
Top six	49%	44%	48%	50%
11th	6%	7%	6%	6%
Bottom	3%	3%	4%	3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Aberdeen	Celtic
Position	8th	3rd
Played	1	1
Won, drawn, lost	0–⁠1–⁠0	1–⁠0–⁠0
Points	1 (1.00 per game)	3 (3.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.24	2.83
Goals	0–⁠0	4–⁠2
xG per game	0.70–⁠0.76	4.15–⁠1.13
Home: points, xG per game	–⁠	3.00, 4.15–⁠1.13
Away: points, xG per game	1.00, 0.70–⁠0.76	–⁠
Manager	Barry Robson (16)	Brendan Rodgers (1)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Aberdeen		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−24%	+1%	+117%	−45%
Counter-attacks	+72%	−25%	+154%	−70%
Set pieces	−11%	+26%	+15%	−45%
Penalties	−2%	+41%	+87%	−13%
Headers	+5%	+17%	+30%	−25%
Left side	−13%	+16%	+53%	−39%
Centre	−27%	+1%	+136%	−54%
Right side	−3%	+3%	+69%	−43%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdCeltic concededLeft side−13%−43%Centre−27%−54%Right side−3%−39%Open play−24%−45%Counter-attacks+72%−70%Set pieces−11%−45%Headers+5%−25%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdAberdeen concededLeft side+53%+3%Centre+136%+1%Right side+69%+16%Open play+117%+1%Counter-attacks+154%−25%Set pieces+15%+26%Headers+30%+17%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenCeltic

0.70xG4.15

0.76xG against1.13

53%Possession75%

11.0Shots18.0

12.0Shots against7.0

0.0Shots on target12.0

0.0Big chances7.0

320Passes806

55%Pass accuracy91%

7.0Corners4.0

52%Field tilt74%

30.0Final-third entries53.0

11.0Box entries17.0

9.5Passes per defensive action9.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	90	0.70	0.76
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	0	–	–

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	17	4.39	4.39
Ahead	73	4.11	0.37
Behind	0	–	–

xG by period

Aberdeen

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.14	0.08	0–0
16–30	0.03	0.03	0–0
31–45	0.19	0.01	0–0
46–60	0.19	0.09	0–0
61–75	0.10	0.35	0–0
76–90	0.04	0.20	0–0

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.01	0.83	0–0
16–30	1.33	0.00	2–0
31–45	1.45	0.06	1–0
46–60	0.42	0.19	0–1
61–75	0.43	0.00	1–0
76–90	0.52	0.06	0–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

Celtic

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
27 May 2023	Celtic	5–0	Aberdeen	xG 3.56–0.00
18 February 2023	Celtic	4–0	Aberdeen	xG 1.50–0.27
17 December 2022	Aberdeen	0–1	Celtic	xG 0.06–2.36
31 July 2022	Celtic	2–0	Aberdeen	xG 1.90–0.23
9 February 2022	Aberdeen	2–3	Celtic	xG 0.67–1.12
28 November 2021	Celtic	2–1	Aberdeen	xG 2.31–0.85

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 0, Celtic won 9, and 2 were drawn. Goals 8–25 and xG 0.77–1.97 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Miovski	38	2,980	16	2	0.48	0.04
Duk	30	2,606	16	2	0.31	0.04
Clarkson	33	2,740	5	8	0.07	0.16
Hayes	25	2,141	1	5	0.06	0.16

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Furuhashi	32	2,405	28	3	0.78	0.07
Forrest	5	560	4	2	0.58	0.27
Abada	14	1,537	10	6	0.47	0.37
Turnbull	7	940	6	6	0.42	0.28

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.