Most likely score 6+–0, 23%. Final score 6–0, 23%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
CelticAberdeen
4.67 +1.91xG0.18 −1.16
3.88Non-penalty xG0.18
5.22 +2.27xG on target0.03 −1.26
21 0Shots3 −7
10 +1.8Shots on target1 −2.4
7 +2.8Big chances0 −2.0
65 +23Touches in the opposition box6 −15
78% +9Possession22% −26
793 +121Passes228 −127
90% +5Pass accuracy62% −3
93% +17Field tilt7% −36
100 +30Final-third entries9 −21
33 +11.1Box entries5 −4.6
16.9 +6Passes per defensive action37.5 +22
11 +2.7Corners0 −5.4
6 −10Tackles14 −3
1 −4.8Interceptions7 −0.7
5 −11Clearances48 +22
1 −0.8Saves4 +1.0
5 −4.7Fouls8 −3.0
2 +0.8Offsides0 −0.9
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Celtic
Aberdeen
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
9'16'77'90+2'90+6'90+9'
0–01–02–03–0
0'HTFT
Level
9 min (9%) · Celtic 0.89, Aberdeen 0.00 xG
Celtic ahead
91 min (91%) · Celtic 3.78, Aberdeen 0.18 xG
Line-ups
Celtic substitutes
52'Oh for Furuhashi · goal 90+6', goal 90+9'
53'Turnbull for Holm · goal 90+2'
78'Bernabei for Taylor
78'Forrest for Yang
81'Iwata for McGregor
Aberdeen substitutes
78'Duncan for Polvara
81'Barron for Shinnie
81'Duk for Hayes
Players
Celtic
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Hart
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
0
Johnston
RB
90
0.09
0.15
0
0.24
10
1
Carter-Vickers
CB
90
0.00
0.05
0
0.21
13
1
Scales
CB
90
0.00
0.06
0
0.13
4
4
Taylor
LB
78
0.00
0.08
1
0.10
10
0
O'Riley
CM
90
2
0.34
1.60
5
0.66
15
1
McGregor
CM
81
0.00
0.08
0
0.00
2
0
Holm
CM
53
0.16
0.01
0
0.00
0
0
Yang
RW
78
1
0.21
0.18
0
0.06
4
1
Furuhashi
ST
52
1
1.58
0.02
0
0.01
1
1
Palma
LW
90
1
3
0.86
0.62
7
0.47
11
1
Oh
FW
38
2
1.11
0.03
0
−0.02
3
1
Turnbull
MF
37
1
0.13
0.04
0
0.00
1
0
Bernabei
DF
12
0.00
0.03
0
0.05
2
1
Forrest
FW
12
0.20
0.06
0
−0.06
0
0
Iwata
MF
9
0.00
0.03
1
0.08
2
0
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Roos
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
3
2
Devlin
RWB
90
0.00
0.07
1
0.19
2
12
Gartenmann
CB
90
0.06
0.00
0
0.03
3
12
Rubezic
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
15
Jensen
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
4
MacKenzie
LWB
90
0.00
0.04
0
0.07
1
11
Polvara
RM
78
0.00
0.01
1
−0.01
1
3
Clarkson
CM
90
0.00
0.16
1
0.05
5
4
Shinnie
CM
81
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
2
Hayes
LM
81
0.08
0.00
0
0.01
1
4
Miovski
ST
90
0.04
0.00
0
−0.16
0
1
Duncan
FW
12
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
3
Barron
MF
9
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
0
Duk
FW
9
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Celtic
Aberdeen
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Celtic
From
To
Passes
Carter-Vickers
Scales
40
Scales
Carter-Vickers
37
Carter-Vickers
Johnston
26
Scales
Taylor
25
Johnston
Yang
23
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
Jensen
Roos
7
MacKenzie
Jensen
6
Devlin
Clarkson
5
Roos
Gartenmann
5
Rubezic
Jensen
5
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Celtic
Against its average of 12 matches
Aberdeen
Against its average of 10 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Celtic
Aberdeen
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Celtic
Title
77%
79%
+2
Aberdeen
Top six
60%
58%
−2
11th
3%
3%
0
Bottom
2%
2%
0
Rangers
Title
23%
21%
−2
From the forecast before the match (12 November 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Celtic
Aberdeen
Expected goals
2.92
0.60
Win
84%
5%
Expected Points
2.63
0.26
Clean sheet
55%
5%
Celtic 84%Draw 11%Aberdeen 5%
Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 43%.
From the forecast as it stood on 12 November 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Celtic win
Draw
Aberdeen win
Celtic
Title
77%
79%
72%
63%
Aberdeen
Top six
60%
58%
67%
76%
11th
3%
3%
2%
2%
Bottom
2%
2%
1%
1%
Rangers
Title
23%
21%
28%
37%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Celtic
Aberdeen
Position
1st
8th
Played
12
10
Won, drawn, lost
10–2–0
3–3–4
Points
32 (2.67 per game)
12 (1.20 per game)
Expected Points per game
2.38
1.19
Goals
28–7
14–14
xG per game
2.76–0.94
1.34–1.51
Home: points, xG per game
2.60, 3.20–0.88
1.00, 1.77–1.34
Away: points, xG per game
2.71, 2.44–0.98
1.33, 1.04–1.62
Manager
Brendan Rodgers (12)
Barry Robson (25)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Celtic
Aberdeen
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+119%
−5%
−19%
+13%
Counter-attacks
+180%
−85%
+63%
−31%
Set pieces
+24%
−51%
+38%
+41%
Penalties
+134%
−100%
−44%
−44%
Headers
+8%
−31%
+11%
+53%
Left side
+99%
−5%
−42%
+7%
Centre
+101%
−28%
+29%
+42%
Right side
+92%
−35%
−10%
−29%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
CelticAberdeen
2.76xG1.34
0.94xG against1.51
69%Possession48%
20.6Shots10.4
8.6Shots against13.5
8.2Shots on target3.4
4.2Big chances2.0
42.0Touches in the opposition box21.3
672Passes355
84%Pass accuracy65%
8.3Corners5.4
76%Field tilt44%
70.0Final-third entries29.7
21.9Box entries9.6
10.7Passes per defensive action15.2
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Celtic
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
46
2.52
0.65
Ahead
43
3.05
1.26
Behind
1
0.90
0.00
Aberdeen
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
47
0.80
1.15
Ahead
20
2.65
2.08
Behind
22
1.28
1.76
xG by period
Celtic
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.27
0.16
3–1
16–30
0.59
0.11
6–1
31–45
0.29
0.12
4–0
46–60
0.59
0.10
3–1
61–75
0.32
0.21
3–2
76–90
0.70
0.24
9–2
Aberdeen
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.10
0.22
0–2
16–30
0.22
0.14
3–1
31–45
0.34
0.22
4–1
46–60
0.22
0.26
2–1
61–75
0.20
0.29
3–4
76–90
0.26
0.39
2–5
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
Most used players by position
Celtic
Aberdeen
Formations: 3-4-1-2 (7), 5-4-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1)
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.