Matches › 2022/23

Hibernian 4–2 Celtic

Wednesday 24 May 2023, 19:45 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 37 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 18,171

Hibernian Youan 52', 80', Nisbet 75' (pen), Bernabei 86' (og)

Celtic Hatate 41' (pen), Oh 58' · Maeda sent off 67'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	Celtic
Goals	4	2
xG	2.04	2.37
Non-penalty xG	1.26	1.58
Expected Points	1.15	1.59

Hibernian 30%Draw 26%Celtic 44%

Most likely score 2–2, 12%. Final score 4–2, 2%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianCeltic

2.04 +0.77xG2.37 +0.03

1.26Non-penalty xG1.58

2.32 +1.14xG on target1.84 −0.49

15 +1Shots18 0

8 +3.4Shots on target4 −2.9

4 +2.4Big chances4 +0.7

31% −22Possession69% −3

253 −141Passes583 −85

69% −5Pass accuracy88% +2

20% −34Field tilt80% −1

25 −18Final-third entries66 −17

6 −6Box entries27 +2

14.6 +3.0Passes per defensive action8.7 −0.6

8 +2.6Corners10 +2.3

20 +5Tackles9 −4

13 +4.2Interceptions5 −2.9

25 +4Clearances21 +7

2 −0.3Saves5 +3.5

10 −3Fouls7 −3

4 +2.4Offsides0 −2.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianCeltic

0.89 10 shots, 2 goalsOpen play1.52 16 shots, 1 goal

0.13 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.23 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.07 1 shot, 0 goals

0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–11–24–2

Level: 52 min (53%) · Hibernian 0.79, Celtic 2.32 xG
Hibernian ahead: 15 min (15%) · Hibernian 0.06, Celtic 0.05 xG
Celtic ahead: 31 min (32%) · Hibernian 1.19, Celtic 0.00 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

46' Campbell for Jeggo
65' Henderson for Egan-Riley
73' McKirdy for Newell
87' Bushiri for Doyle-Hayes
88' Cadden for Miller

Celtic substitutes

22' Maeda for Haksabanovic · yellow card 44', second yellow 67'
65' Turnbull for Hatate
65' Forrest for Abada
65' O'Riley for Iwata
81' Furuhashi for Oh

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marshall	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	3	1
Miller	RWB	88			0.00	0.27	2	0.39	8	7
Fish	CB	90			0.08	0.00	0	0.01	1	10
Hanlon	CB	90		1	0.00	0.00	1	−0.14	1	8
Egan-Riley	CB	65			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	5
Stevenson	LWB	90			0.00	0.16	3	0.14	2	5
Doyle-Hayes	CM	87			0.00	0.28	3	0.05	5	8
Jeggo	CM	46			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	8
Newell	CM	73			0.00	0.04	1	0.01	2	2
Youan	ST	90	2		0.71	0.06	1	0.06	3	0
Nisbet	ST	90	1		1.17	0.03	1	0.02	3	2
Campbell	MF	44			0.00	0.01	0	−0.03	1	2
Henderson	FW	25			0.06	0.04	0	0.04	2	4
McKirdy	FW	17			0.02	0.01	0	0.02	0	3
Bushiri	DF	3			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Cadden	DF	2			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	3	1

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Bain	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	1
Ralston	RB	90		0.16	0.27	4	0.35	12	5
Starfelt	CB	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.04	3	12
Kobayashi	CB	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.10	3	3
Bernabei	LB	90		0.03	1.03	4	0.53	12	4
Hatate	CM	65	1	0.86	0.07	0	0.11	2	1
Iwata	CM	65		0.00	0.05	1	0.01	1	3
McGregor	CM	90		0.10	0.09	0	−0.14	4	1
Abada	RW	65		0.16	0.22	2	0.27	4	1
Oh	ST	81	1	1.00	0.21	1	0.22	0	1
Haksabanovic	LW	22		0.00	0.10	1	0.09	6	0
Maeda	FW	45		0.00	0.21	0	0.08	3	0
Turnbull	MF	25		0.03	0.02	1	0.02	1	2
Forrest	FW	25		0.03	0.01	0	0.05	2	0
O'Riley	MF	25		0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	3
Furuhashi	FW	9		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Marshall	Miller	7
Miller	Doyle-Hayes	7
Youan	Nisbet	5
Miller	Youan	5
Doyle-Hayes	Miller	5

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Kobayashi	Bernabei	25
Starfelt	Ralston	20
McGregor	Bernabei	20
Bernabei	McGregor	16
Bernabei	Haksabanovic	14

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 36 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 36 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	Celtic
Expected goals	0.80	1.92
Win	14%	63%
Expected Points	0.65	2.12
Clean sheet	15%	45%

Hibernian 14%Draw 22%Celtic 63%

Most likely score 0–2, 12%. Both sides score 48%.

From the forecast as it stood on 24 May 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hibernian

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	Celtic
Position	5th	1st
Played	36	36
Won, drawn, lost	14–⁠6–⁠16	31–⁠3–⁠2
Points	48 (1.33 per game)	96 (2.67 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.41	2.36
Goals	52–⁠56	107–⁠30
xG per game	1.27–⁠1.30	2.34–⁠0.69
Home: points, xG per game	1.67, 1.40–⁠1.30	2.78, 2.33–⁠0.60
Away: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.14–⁠1.30	2.56, 2.35–⁠0.78
Manager	Lee Johnson (36)	Ange Postecoglou (74)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−5%	−13%	+107%	−55%
Counter-attacks	+45%	+10%	+69%	−69%
Set pieces	+1%	−4%	+30%	−49%
Penalties	−29%	+57%	average	average
Headers	−4%	−23%	+57%	−27%
Left side	+1%	−21%	+67%	−46%
Centre	−16%	−10%	+114%	−57%
Right side	+21%	+1%	+60%	−58%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdCeltic concededLeft side+1%−58%Centre−16%−57%Right side+21%−46%Open play−5%−55%Counter-attacks+45%−69%Set pieces+1%−49%Headers−4%−27%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdHibernian concededLeft side+67%+1%Centre+114%−10%Right side+60%−21%Open play+107%−13%Counter-attacks+69%+10%Set pieces+30%−4%Headers+57%−23%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianCeltic

1.27xG2.34

1.30xG against0.69

54%Possession72%

14.3Shots18.4

12.2Shots against6.9

4.6Shots on target6.9

1.6Big chances3.3

21.8Touches in the opposition box42.0

394Passes668

74%Pass accuracy87%

5.4Corners7.7

54%Field tilt80%

42.9Final-third entries83.2

12.1Box entries24.8

11.6Passes per defensive action9.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	36	1.14	1.29
Ahead	23	1.50	1.30
Behind	31	1.25	1.30

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	31	2.20	0.67
Ahead	50	2.45	0.69
Behind	9	2.22	0.77

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.17	0.16	6–12
16–30	0.13	0.17	6–6
31–45	0.26	0.21	11–7
46–60	0.25	0.27	7–12
61–75	0.20	0.18	12–7
76–90	0.25	0.31	10–12

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.33	0.11	20–5
16–30	0.31	0.06	12–1
31–45	0.41	0.16	18–9
46–60	0.37	0.17	17–8
61–75	0.29	0.11	12–3
76–90	0.64	0.09	28–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (14), 4-1-4-1 (11), 3-5-2 (4), 4-4-2 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (32), 4-2-3-1 (4)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
18 March 2023	Celtic	3–1	Hibernian	xG 3.96–0.90
28 December 2022	Hibernian	0–4	Celtic	xG 0.55–2.61
15 October 2022	Celtic	6–1	Hibernian	xG 2.74–0.44
27 February 2022	Hibernian	0–0	Celtic	xG 0.13–0.94
17 January 2022	Celtic	2–0	Hibernian	xG 2.94–0.57
27 October 2021	Hibernian	1–3	Celtic	xG 1.50–2.86

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 0, Celtic won 6, and 4 were drawn. Goals 6–24 and xG 0.84–2.30 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Nisbet	14	1,196	10	1	0.56	0.08
Kukharevych	10	871	5	1	0.42	0.12
Boyle	10	936	5	1	0.33	0.13
Youan	29	2,450	7	7	0.24	0.17

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Giakoumakis	4	685	6	1	0.87	0.09
Abada	11	1,347	10	5	0.51	0.40
Forrest	5	480	4	2	0.57	0.27
Jota	25	2,103	11	10	0.43	0.40

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.