Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Hibernian 2–1 St. Mirren

Saturday 6 May 2023, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 34 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 16,334

Hibernian Youan 4', Fish 23'

St. Mirren Greive 64'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianSt. Mirren
Goals21
xG1.671.61
Expected Points1.381.33

Hibernian 36%Draw 29%St. Mirren 34%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Final score 2–1, 12%.

St. Mirren goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+2%5%5%2%3%4%3%4%2%6%5%2%2%2%14%11%12%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTCampbell on for Doyle-Hayes, 30'Miller on for Cadden, 90+1'Hoppe on for Youan, 90+2'Baccus on for Gallagher, 46'Jamieson on for Greive, 81'Youan 4'Fish 23'Greive 64'Hibernian 1.67St. Mirren 1.6100.511.520153045607590HTCampbell on for Doyle-Hayes, 30'Miller on for Cadden, 90+1'Hoppe on for Youan, 90+2'Baccus on for Gallagher, 46'Jamieson on for Greive, 81'Youan 4'Fish 23'Greive 64'1.671.61HibernianSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianSt. Mirren

1.67 +0.43xG1.61 +0.47
1.91 +0.77xG on target1.53 +0.51
13 −1Shots13 +1
6 +1.3Shots on target4 +0.7
5 +3.5Big chances2 +0.5
51% −3Possession49% +10
398 −2Passes368 +90
66% −9Pass accuracy66% +4
54% −1Field tilt46% +6
40 −3Final-third entries40 +8
9 −3.2Box entries11 +1.8
10.5 −1Passes per defensive action10.5 −6
3 −2.4Corners5 −0.4
15 0Tackles15 0
8 −0.8Interceptions13 +4.3
34 +13Clearances22 −1
3 +0.8Saves4 +1.6
11 −2Fouls11 −2
1 −0.7Offsides0 −1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Cadden 36', 0.27 xGNisbet 56', 0.27 xGNisbet 30', 0.12 xGYouan 36', 0.12 xGCampbell 39', 0.10 xGNisbet 17', 0.09 xGCadden 69', 0.09 xGCampbell 33', 0.02 xGYouan 63', 0.02 xGYouan 68', 0.02 xGCampbell 80', 0.01 xGYouan 4', 0.45 xG, goalFish 23', 0.08 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals77%1.28 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.28 xG, 2 goals8%0.14 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals14%0.23 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Main 61', 0.73 xGDunne 86', 0.11 xGMain 45', 0.10 xGStrain 78', 0.09 xGO'Hara 12', 0.04 xGStrain 35', 0.03 xGKiltie 36', 0.03 xGTanser 88', 0.03 xGKiltie 46', 0.02 xGBaccus 83', 0.02 xGJamieson 89', 0.02 xGJamieson 90+3', 0.02 xGGreive 64', 0.37 xG, goal58%0.94 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.94 xG, 0 goals33%0.53 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.53 xG, 1 goal2%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals6%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianSt. Mirren

1.27 8 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.38 10 shots, 1 goal
0.21 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.20 3 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.23 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
4 min (4%) · Hibernian 0.45, St. Mirren 0.00 xG
Hibernian ahead
89 min (96%) · Hibernian 1.22, St. Mirren 1.61 xG

Line-ups

1262541614128112315MarshallEgan-RileyFishHanlonStevensonJeggoCaddenDoyle-HayesNewellYouanNisbetGoalYellow cardYellow cardGoal90+1'30'90+2'Hibernian 4-1-4-1Lee Johnson1232231183111362110CarsonStrainFraserGallagherDunneTanserKiltieGogicO'HaraGreiveMainGoal46'81'St. Mirren 5-3-2Steve Robinson

Hibernian substitutes

  • 30' Campbell for Doyle-Hayes
  • 90+1' Miller for Cadden
  • 90+2' Hoppe for Youan

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 46' Baccus for Gallagher · yellow card 57'
  • 81' Jamieson for Greive

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MarshallGK900.000.0000.0000
Egan-RileyRB900.000.0910.1495
FishCB9010.080.0100.0339
HanlonCB900.000.0000.01010
Stevenson LB900.000.0220.1076
JeggoDM900.000.0000.01011
CaddenRM900.360.1720.1181
Doyle-HayesCM300.000.0100.0121
Newell CM9010.000.0520.0239
YouanLM9010.620.0200.0554
NisbetST900.480.1820.2424
CampbellMF600.130.0310.0922
MillerDF00.000.0000.0000
HoppeFW00.000.000––0

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0100.08110
StrainRWB900.120.2210.0855
FraserCB900.000.0110.0666
GallagherCB460.000.0000.0222
DunneCB900.110.0200.0566
TanserLWB900.030.3220.44148
KiltieCM900.050.413−0.0213
GogicCM900.000.0000.0447
O'HaraCM900.040.0100.0113
GreiveST8110.370.031−0.0322
MainST9010.830.1630.0724
Baccus MF440.020.0200.0446
JamiesonFW90.050.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Egan-Riley and Hanlon: 3 passesEgan-Riley and Stevenson: 3 passesEgan-Riley and Nisbet: 3 passesFish and Cadden: 3 passesCadden and Newell: 3 passesCadden and Nisbet: 3 passesDoyle-Hayes and Youan: 3 passesEgan-Riley and Jeggo: 4 passesHanlon and Jeggo: 4 passesFish and Hanlon: 5 passesNewell and Youan: 5 passesEgan-Riley and Fish: 6 passesHanlon and Stevenson: 7 passesStevenson and Youan: 7 passesCadden and Doyle-Hayes: 7 passesEgan-Riley and Cadden: 9 passesEgan-Riley and Doyle-Hayes: 12 passesMarshall: 3 completed passesEgan-Riley: 22 completed passesFish: 10 completed passesHanlon: 12 completed passesStevenson: 16 completed passesJeggo: 10 completed passesCadden: 14 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 18 completed passesNewell: 7 completed passesYouan: 10 completed passesNisbet: 2 completed passes1262541614128112315MarshallEgan-RileyFishHanlonStevensonJeggoCaddenDoyle-HayesNewellYouanNisbetStarters until 30' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Mirren

Gallagher and Gogic: 3 passesGallagher and O'Hara: 3 passesGogic and O'Hara: 3 passesStrain and Gogic: 4 passesDunne and Gallagher: 4 passesTanser and O'Hara: 4 passesO'Hara and Greive: 4 passesGallagher and Fraser: 5 passesStrain and Kiltie: 7 passesTanser and Greive: 7 passesCarson: 6 completed passesStrain: 13 completed passesDunne: 8 completed passesGallagher: 13 completed passesFraser: 10 completed passesTanser: 8 completed passesGogic: 11 completed passesO'Hara: 9 completed passesKiltie: 7 completed passesGreive: 7 completed passesMain: 4 completed passes1231831223136112110CarsonStrainDunneGallagherFraserTanserGogicO'HaraKiltieGreiveMainStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
Egan-RileyCadden15
StevensonYouan12
YouanNewell11
CaddenEgan-Riley10
FishEgan-Riley9

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
O'HaraTanser9
BaccusTanser9
TanserDunne7
KiltieStrain7
TanserO'Hara7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

6+1.216+9.111−2.19+1.35−0.911+5.26−0.313+8.210+3.511+2.64−1.53−2.05+1.87+0.88+0.96+2.08+3.54+1.55+0.52−2.83+0.80−1.70−0.73+1.12−0.70−0.80−0.71+0.30−0.60−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

St. Mirren

3−1.85−2.317+3.54−0.37−2.28+0.87+2.29+2.37+0.18+1.46+1.06+2.82−2.36−0.59+4.58+4.23+0.64+0.67+3.13+0.32+0.310.00−1.83+0.90−1.01+0.40−0.80−0.50−0.82−5.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.010.040.030.060.020.010.030.030.040.030.060.110.050.01−0.010.010.050.20LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.060.010.030.010.010.040.030.020.03−0.010.040.040.010.020.030.020.05−0.020.020.120.020.06−0.210.050.33LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackHibernian1.17 → 1.18St. Mirren1.05 → 1.05Defence (lower is better)Hibernian1.25 → 1.24St. Mirren1.32 → 1.32

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.480.94
Win49%23%
Expected Points1.750.97
Clean sheet39%23%

Hibernian 49%Draw 27%St. Mirren 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 48%.

St. Mirren goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+8%4%1%6%2%9%4%1%5%5%2%2%2%9%13%13%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 May 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hibernian

  1. D1–122 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.45–0.84
  2. W1–015 AprHearts (H)xG 0.99–0.89
  3. L1–29 AprDundee United (A)xG 1.47–1.44
  4. L1–31 AprMotherwell (H)xG 0.90–1.79
  5. L1–318 MarCeltic (A)xG 0.90–3.96
  6. L1–48 MarRangers (H)xG 0.48–4.02

St. Mirren

  1. L0–222 AprKilmarnock (H)xG 0.51–2.32
  2. L2–515 AprRangers (A)xG 0.30–3.67
  3. W2–08 AprHearts (A)xG 1.25–0.94
  4. W3–01 AprLivingston (H)xG 3.07–1.20
  5. D1–118 MarDundee United (A)xG 1.75–1.12
  6. L1–55 MarCeltic (H)xG 0.79–2.48

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianSt. Mirren
Position5th6th
Played3333
Won, drawn, lost13–⁠5–⁠1512–⁠8–⁠13
Points44 (1.33 per game)44 (1.33 per game)
Expected Points per game1.391.21
Goals49–⁠5238–⁠49
xG per game1.24–⁠1.301.14–⁠1.39
Home: points, xG per game1.69, 1.40–⁠1.241.82, 1.24–⁠1.14
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.09–⁠1.350.81, 1.04–⁠1.65
ManagerLee Johnson (33)Steve Robinson (0)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.26AttackHibernian1.17, 4thSt. Mirren1.05, 8thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.25, 3rdSt. Mirren1.32, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprHibernian attack: 1.17St. Mirren attack: 1.051.171.05St. MirrenHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprHibernian defence: 1.25St. Mirren defence: 1.321.321.25

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−7%−15%−25%+1%
Counter-attacks+52%+27%−27%−14%
Set pieces+4%−9%+2%−15%
Penalties−38%+69%+23%+69%
Headers−6%−20%+11%−4%
Left side−2%−26%−17%−1%
Centre−13%−10%−18%average
Right side+17%+1%−20%−13%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−2%−13%Centre−13%averageRight side+17%−1%Open play−7%+1%Counter-attacks+52%−14%Set pieces+4%−15%Headers−6%−4%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdHibernian concededLeft side−17%+1%Centre−18%−10%Right side−20%−26%Open play−25%−15%Counter-attacks−27%+27%Set pieces+2%−9%Headers+11%−20%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianSt. Mirren

1.24xG1.14
1.30xG against1.39
54%Possession39%
14.3Shots11.8
12.0Shots against12.3
4.7Shots on target3.3
1.5Big chances1.5
21.8Touches in the opposition box19.9
400Passes278
74%Pass accuracy62%
5.4Corners5.4
56%Field tilt40%
43.3Final-third entries31.6
12.2Box entries9.2
11.5Passes per defensive action16.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level361.061.33
Ahead221.531.26
Behind321.241.29

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.101.34
Ahead231.421.21
Behind260.961.63

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.155–12
16–300.120.185–6
31–450.260.2111–6
46–600.250.287–11
61–750.210.1612–6
76–900.240.319–11

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.176–6
16–300.150.183–7
31–450.220.258–7
46–600.200.229–8
61–750.180.204–9
76–900.250.378–12

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMarshall 33Cadden 23Porteous 4Egan-Riley 3Bushiri 13Fish 12Porteous 12Hanlon 27Egan-Riley 1Cabraja 1Cabraja 14Stevenson 13Kukharevych 3Kenneh 13Jeggo 10Egan-Riley 4Newell 18Campbell 8Cadden 7Boyle 6McKirdy 3Campbell 13Newell 6Cabraja 3Youan 18McGeady 4Newell 3Nisbet 9Youan 7Kukharevych 64-2-3-1 in 14 of 33 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (14), 4-1-4-1 (8), 3-5-2 (4), 4-4-2 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTCarson 33Strain 30Fraser 2Flynn 1Fraser 26Gallagher 19Gogic 11Shaughn… 10ShaughnessyDunne 30R. Taylor 3Tanser 17Tait 7O'Hara 5Baccus 27Kiltie 13Tanser 3Erhahon 20Gogic 8O'Hara 24Flynn 2Ayunga 16Greive 10Watt 7Main 31Brophy 15-3-2 in 26 of 33 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (26), 3-5-2 (7)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
4 February 2023St. Mirren0–1HibernianxG 0.36–0.64
29 October 2022Hibernian3–0St. MirrenxG 1.87–0.82
27 August 2022St. Mirren1–0HibernianxG 1.37–0.80
23 April 2022St. Mirren0–1HibernianxG 0.69–0.72
5 February 2022Hibernian0–1St. MirrenxG 1.22–0.38
11 December 2021St. Mirren1–1HibernianxG 0.60–1.06

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 6, St. Mirren won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 14–6 and xG 1.20–0.78 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet119261010.520.03
Kukharevych10871510.420.12
Boyle10936510.330.13
Youan262,189670.230.16

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ayunga161,288320.420.04
O'Hara292,4511010.280.07
Greive10964300.320.02
Main312,640710.210.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.