Matches › 2023/24

Hibernian 0–3 St. Mirren

Saturday 3 February 2024, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 24 · Half-time 0–3 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 16,689

St. Mirren Gogic 8', Kiltie 34' (pen), Mandron 44'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	St. Mirren
Goals	0	3
xG	0.41	2.40
Non-penalty xG	0.41	1.61
Expected Points	0.15	2.76

Hibernian 2%Draw 9%St. Mirren 89%

Most likely score 0–2, 24%. Final score 0–3, 19%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianSt. Mirren

0.41 −0.69xG2.40 +1.42

0.41Non-penalty xG1.61

0.11 −1.00xG on target2.93 +1.84

6 −4.7Shots13 +3.4

1 −2.5Shots on target5 +1.8

1 −0.7Big chances4 +2.3

19 −3Touches in the opposition box28 +11

61% +8Possession39% −5

496 +73Passes314 −14

77% −1Pass accuracy66% +1

63% +17Field tilt37% −4

54 +18Final-third entries40 +8

11 0.0Box entries13 +4.4

13.2 −2Passes per defensive action10.9 −6

6 +1.5Corners7 +2.5

19 +5Tackles19 +4

7 −0.7Interceptions15 +6.9

23 0Clearances24 0

3 0.0Saves1 −2.1

11 +1.4Fouls17 +6.3

0 −1.6Offsides1 −0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

St. Mirren

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianSt. Mirren

0.41 6 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.60 8 shots, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces1.01 4 shots, 2 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–10–20–3

Level: 8 min (8%) · Hibernian 0.00, St. Mirren 0.21 xG
St. Mirren ahead: 88 min (92%) · Hibernian 0.41, St. Mirren 2.19 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

46' Moriah-Welsh for Levitt
46' Vente for Youan
46' Mayenda for Tavares
65' Megwa for Whittaker
69' Le Fondre for Maolida

St. Mirren substitutes

57' Jamieson for Scott
62' Dunne for Bolton
81' Flynn for Kwon
81' Olusanya for Mandron · yellow card 90+1'
82' Brown for Bwomono

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marshall	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	4	0
Whittaker	RB	65	0.00	0.04	0	0.05	6	3
Fish	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.06	3	9
Triantis	CB	90	0.03	0.02	0	0.13	5	15
Obita	LB	90	0.00	0.04	1	0.10	11	6
Newell	DM	90	0.00	0.08	3	0.13	4	6
Levitt	DM	46	0.00	0.01	0	0.00	2	0
Tavares	RW	46	0.00	0.01	0	0.00	0	2
Marcondes	AM	90	0.07	0.21	0	0.09	3	3
Maolida	LW	69	0.04	0.05	0	0.00	3	3
Youan	ST	46	0.00	0.01	0	0.01	0	0
Moriah-Welsh	MF	44	0.00	0.02	0	0.04	3	2
Vente	FW	44	0.00	0.01	0	0.01	0	1
Mayenda	FW	44	0.27	0.01	0	0.18	3	1
Megwa	DF	25	0.00	0.06	0	0.13	9	2
Le Fondre	FW	21	0.00	0.19	1	0.00	2	0

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hemming	GK	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.06	5	0
Bolton	CB	62			0.00	0.07	1	0.06	2	7
Gogic	CB	90	1		0.21	0.00	0	0.03	3	9
Fraser	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	7
Bwomono	RWB	82			0.27	0.06	0	0.11	3	7
Kwon	CM	81			0.05	0.03	0	0.03	1	5
Boyd-Munce	CM	90		2	0.02	0.76	4	0.27	8	6
Tanser	LWB	90			0.00	0.22	1	0.39	11	6
Scott	RW	57			0.09	0.02	2	0.00	0	2
Mandron	ST	81	1		0.84	0.01	0	−0.07	4	1
Kiltie	LW	90	1		0.88	0.07	1	0.06	6	3
Jamieson	FW	33			0.03	0.00	1	0.00	0	2
Dunne	DF	28			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	5
Flynn	MF	9			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Olusanya	FW	9			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	0
Brown	DF	8			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

St. Mirren

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Triantis	Obita	11
Obita	Triantis	11
Obita	Maolida	11
Newell	Triantis	11
Triantis	Fish	11

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
Kwon	Bwomono	8
Fraser	Tanser	8
Kiltie	Tanser	8
Boyd-Munce	Mandron	7
Kwon	Boyd-Munce	7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 22 matches

St. Mirren

Against its average of 23 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

St. Mirren

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	47%	27%	−20
11th	3%	5%	+2
Bottom	1%	1%	0
St. Mirren
Top six	52%	74%	+22
11th	2%	<1%	−2

From the forecast before the match (3 February 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	St. Mirren
Expected goals	1.46	1.01
Win	47%	25%
Expected Points	1.68	1.04
Clean sheet	37%	23%

Hibernian 47%Draw 28%St. Mirren 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 49%.

From the forecast as it stood on 3 February 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	St. Mirren win
Hibernian
Top six	47%	61%	41%	27%
11th	3%	1%	3%	5%
Bottom	1%	<1%	1%	1%
St. Mirren
Top six	52%	39%	55%	74%
11th	2%	3%	1%	<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

St. Mirren

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	St. Mirren
Position	7th	5th
Played	22	23
Won, drawn, lost	6–⁠8–⁠8	8–⁠5–⁠10
Points	26 (1.18 per game)	29 (1.26 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.08	1.09
Goals	28–⁠34	24–⁠29
xG per game	1.10–⁠1.51	0.98–⁠1.48
Home: points, xG per game	1.18, 1.30–⁠1.42	1.50, 1.02–⁠1.34
Away: points, xG per game	1.18, 0.90–⁠1.59	1.00, 0.94–⁠1.63
Manager	Nick Montgomery (18)	Stephen Robinson (18)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		St. Mirren
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−12%	+17%	−33%	+9%
Counter-attacks	−57%	−27%	−16%	+11%
Set pieces	−7%	+5%	−46%	−2%
Penalties	−52%	+19%	+37%	+37%
Headers	−15%	−15%	−17%	−4%
Left side	−12%	average	−43%	+12%
Centre	−16%	+4%	−40%	+14%
Right side	−12%	+37%	−18%	−17%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−12%−17%Centre−16%+14%Right side−12%+12%Open play−12%+9%Counter-attacks−57%+11%Set pieces−7%−2%Headers−15%−4%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdHibernian concededLeft side−43%+37%Centre−40%+4%Right side−18%averageOpen play−33%+17%Counter-attacks−16%−27%Set pieces−46%+5%Headers−17%−15%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianSt. Mirren

1.10xG0.98

1.51xG against1.48

52%Possession44%

10.7Shots9.6

14.7Shots against12.7

3.5Shots on target3.2

1.7Big chances1.7

21.6Touches in the opposition box17.2

423Passes328

77%Pass accuracy65%

4.5Corners4.5

46%Field tilt41%

35.8Final-third entries31.8

11.0Box entries8.6

15.3Passes per defensive action17.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	42	1.06	1.29
Ahead	23	0.98	1.63
Behind	25	1.28	1.75

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	43	0.87	1.43
Ahead	22	1.33	1.50
Behind	25	0.86	1.53

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.14	0.22	2–3
16–30	0.19	0.16	4–5
31–45	0.16	0.23	3–4
46–60	0.17	0.24	3–6
61–75	0.18	0.31	10–8
76–90	0.26	0.35	6–8

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.16	0.15	5–4
16–30	0.14	0.22	1–5
31–45	0.11	0.23	4–4
46–60	0.23	0.22	6–3
61–75	0.15	0.23	1–5
76–90	0.21	0.42	7–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 4-4-2 (15), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

St. Mirren

Formations: 3-4-3 (9), 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-5-2 (6), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
8 November 2023	St. Mirren	2–2	Hibernian	xG 1.60–0.89
6 August 2023	Hibernian	2–3	St. Mirren	xG 1.41–1.55
6 May 2023	Hibernian	2–1	St. Mirren	xG 1.67–1.61
4 February 2023	St. Mirren	0–1	Hibernian	xG 0.36–0.64
29 October 2022	Hibernian	3–0	St. Mirren	xG 1.87–0.82
27 August 2022	St. Mirren	1–0	Hibernian	xG 1.37–0.80

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 7, St. Mirren won 3, and 3 were drawn. Goals 20–12 and xG 1.23–0.96 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Doidge	6	643	3	2	0.49	0.05
Le Fondre	4	506	3	1	0.41	0.02
Youan	16	1,561	4	3	0.20	0.14
Boyle	16	1,437	2	3	0.16	0.15

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Mandron	10	921	3	1	0.25	0.07
Olusanya	8	801	1	1	0.25	0.05
Kiltie	23	1,851	3	3	0.19	0.11
O'Hara	18	1,563	3	1	0.22	0.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.