Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

St. Johnstone 1–3 Dundee FC

Sunday 5 January 2025, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 22 · Half-time 0–3 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 5,246

St. Johnstone McPake 67'

Dundee FC Murray 3', Houlden 10', Cameron 22'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneDundee FC
Goals13
xG2.001.49
Expected Points1.701.05

St. Johnstone 48%Draw 25%Dundee FC 27%

Most likely score 1–1, 11%. Final score 1–3, 3%.

Dundee FC goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+2%4%3%1%4%3%5%4%3%7%6%3%1%3%3%1%1%11%8%11%10%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTKucheriavyi on for Smith and Essel on for Raymond, 28'McPake on for Kimpioka, 58'Ingram on for Murray, 68'Garza on for Adewumi, 76'Main on for Houlden, 84'McPake 67'Murray 3'Houlden 10'Cameron 22'St. Johnstone 2.00Dundee FC 1.4901230153045607590HTKucheriavyi on for Smith and Essel on for Raymond, 28'McPake on for Kimpioka, 58'Ingram on for Murray, 68'Garza on for Adewumi, 76'Main on for Houlden, 84'McPake 67'Murray 3'Houlden 10'Cameron 22'2.001.49St. JohnstoneDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneDundee FC

2.00 +0.99xG1.49 +0.36
1.03 +0.06xG on target2.46 +1.07
26 +16.7Shots11 +0.3
5 +2.0Shots on target5 +1.1
2 +0.8Big chances1 −0.6
32 +16Touches in the opposition box12 −10
77% +26Possession23% −25
597 +172Passes178 −168
86% +10Pass accuracy45% −25
82% +39Field tilt18% −30
76 +40Final-third entries18 −17
22 +13.9Box entries4 −7.1
10.3 −5Passes per defensive action14.3 +1
3 −0.8Corners5 0.0
13 −2Tackles20 +3
6 −2.0Interceptions7 −0.8
21 −12Clearances40 +8
2 −1.0Saves4 +1.0
9 −2.0Fouls14 +4.2
2 +0.7Offsides0 −1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Clark 14', 0.32 xGKimpioka 40', 0.20 xGClark 33', 0.19 xGSidibeh 32', 0.14 xGSanders 79', 0.13 xGClark 17', 0.12 xGClark 46', 0.12 xGSidibeh 85', 0.09 xGMikulic 2', 0.07 xGClark 36', 0.06 xGSidibeh 48', 0.06 xGSidibeh 60', 0.06 xGSidibeh 61', 0.06 xGSidibeh 53', 0.05 xGCarey 6', 0.04 xGSidibeh 51', 0.04 xGSanders 2', 0.03 xGCarey 56', 0.03 xGCarey 62', 0.03 xGSidibeh 90', 0.03 xGCarey 64', 0.02 xGMikulic 71', 0.02 xGClark 79', 0.02 xGMcPake 63', 0.01 xGSprangler 87', 0.01 xGMcPake 67', 0.03 xG, goal40%0.80 xGSix-yard box: 5 shots, 0.80 xG, 0 goals36%0.72 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.72 xG, 0 goals8%0.17 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals12%0.25 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.25 xG, 1 goal3%0.06 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Graham 45+5', 0.15 xGAdewumi 49', 0.10 xGAstley 3', 0.08 xGRobertson 10', 0.07 xGCameron 20', 0.03 xGSylla 45+1', 0.03 xGHoulden 43', 0.02 xGCameron 47', 0.02 xGHoulden 10', 0.53 xG, goalCameron 22', 0.24 xG, goalMurray 3', 0.20 xG, goal46%0.68 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.68 xG, 1 goal47%0.70 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.70 xG, 2 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals7%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneDundee FC

1.21 17 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.11 4 shots, 0 goals
0.39 3 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.34 2 shots, 1 goal
0.40 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces1.04 5 shots, 2 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
3 min (3%) · St. Johnstone 0.09, Dundee FC 0.28 xG
Dundee FC ahead
92 min (97%) · St. Johnstone 1.91, Dundee FC 1.20 xG

Line-ups

1214523232211102916RaeWrightSandersMikulicRaymondSpranglerSmithCareyClarkKimpiokaSidibehYellow card28'28'58'St. Johnstone 4-2-3-1Simo Valakari314325810287112315CarsonAstleyRobertsonGrahamMulliganCameronSyllaTiffoneyAdewumiHouldenMurrayYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow cardGoalGoalYellow card76'84'68'Dundee FC 3-4-1-2Tony Docherty

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 28' Essel for Raymond
  • 28' Kucheriavyi for Smith
  • 58' McPake for Kimpioka · goal 67'

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 68' Ingram for Murray
  • 76' Garza for Adewumi · yellow card 80'
  • 84' Main for Houlden

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RaeGK900.000.0000.0110
WrightRB900.000.0700.17139
SandersCB900.160.0200.1259
MikulicCB900.090.0610.41217
RaymondLB280.000.1810.1720
SpranglerDM900.010.0320.0645
SmithDM280.000.0000.0000
Carey RW900.120.3240.38165
ClarkAM900.840.4030.1521
KimpiokaLW580.200.2020.0111
SidibehST900.540.2410.0451
EsselMF620.000.3430.35151
KucheriavyiMF620.000.0410.0953
McPakeFW3210.040.1030.1151

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0220
AstleyCB9010.080.0320.0208
Robertson CB900.070.0000.0119
GrahamCB900.150.0000.01219
Mulligan RWB9010.000.1010.1047
CameronCM9010.290.2210.0225
Sylla CM900.030.0000.00110
TiffoneyLWB900.000.0000.0325
AdewumiAM760.100.0100.1652
HouldenST8410.550.000−0.0104
Murray ST6810.200.0000.0001
IngramDF220.000.0000.0003
Garza MF140.000.0000.0000
MainFW60.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Wright and Mikulic: 3 passesSanders and Sprangler: 3 passesSprangler and Clark: 3 passesCarey and Sidibeh: 3 passesWright and Kimpioka: 4 passesSanders and Carey: 4 passesSprangler and Sidibeh: 4 passesSanders and Clark: 5 passesCarey and Clark: 6 passesWright and Sprangler: 7 passesWright and Carey: 10 passesMikulic and Raymond: 11 passesWright and Sanders: 13 passesWright and Clark: 14 passesMikulic and Sanders: 19 passesRae: 3 completed passesWright: 29 completed passesMikulic: 20 completed passesSanders: 25 completed passesRaymond: 8 completed passesSprangler: 12 completed passesSmith: 3 completed passesCarey: 13 completed passesClark: 15 completed passesKimpioka: 5 completed passesSidibeh: 5 completed passes1214253232211102916RaeWrightMikulicSandersRaymondSpranglerSmithCareyClarkKimpiokaSidibehStarters until 28' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Dundee FC

Graham and Adewumi: 3 passesMulligan and Cameron: 3 passesCameron and Adewumi: 3 passesAdewumi and Murray: 3 passesAstley and Cameron: 4 passesMulligan and Sylla: 4 passesMulligan and Houlden: 4 passesGraham and Sylla: 5 passesTiffoney and Cameron: 5 passesGraham and Tiffoney: 10 passesCarson: 5 completed passesRobertson: 4 completed passesGraham: 10 completed passesAstley: 7 completed passesMulligan: 10 completed passesTiffoney: 8 completed passesSylla: 11 completed passesCameron: 11 completed passesAdewumi: 5 completed passesHoulden: 4 completed passesMurray: 4 completed passes313254872810112315CarsonRobertsonGrahamAstleyMulliganTiffoneySyllaCameronAdewumiHouldenMurrayStarters until 68' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
SandersEssel29
SandersMikulic26
MikulicSanders23
EsselCarey18
CareySanders13

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
GrahamTiffoney5
TiffoneyGraham5
SyllaGraham4
SyllaMulligan4
CameronTiffoney4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

10+4.46−1.47+0.54−2.17−0.26−1.05−1.08+1.66−1.950.02−2.230.02−2.46+0.32−0.92−0.60−1.70−2.31−2.73+0.31−0.71+0.10−1.21−0.72+1.30−0.41+0.60−0.20−0.810−9.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Dundee FC

1−4.022+3.411+3.27+3.04−2.38+0.58+1.63−4.514+6.05−1.05+0.82−1.43−1.89+4.47+2.94+0.52−0.11−1.04−0.24+1.53+1.62+1.42+0.54+1.91−0.10−0.40−0.71+0.81+0.51−5.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.030.040.020.070.020.110.060.020.100.110.090.010.040.040.140.070.030.040.070.120.110.010.240.43LessMore

Dundee FC

0.010.020.020.050.010.01−0.010.010.030.010.020.020.080.08LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Johnstone0.98 → 1.00Dundee FC1.07 → 1.09Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.58 → 1.58Dundee FC1.63 → 1.62

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
11th19%14%−5
Bottom66%79%+13
Dundee FC
Top six5%11%+6
11th27%21%−6
Bottom14%5%−9
Ross County
11th24%29%+5
Bottom11%9%−2
Hearts
Top six8%8%0
11th16%19%+3
Bottom5%4%−1

From the forecast before the match (5 January 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneDundee FC
Expected goals1.431.13
Win43%29%
Expected Points1.571.15
Clean sheet32%24%

St. Johnstone 43%Draw 28%Dundee FC 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Dundee FC goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%2%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 5 January 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawDundee FC win
St. Johnstone
11th19%24%18%14%
Bottom66%55%70%79%
Dundee FC
Top six5%2%4%11%
11th27%28%29%21%
Bottom14%22%12%5%
Ross County
11th24%21%24%29%
Bottom11%13%10%9%
Hearts
Top six8%8%9%8%
11th16%14%16%19%
Bottom5%7%5%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–12 JanHibernian (H)xG 0.96–2.27
  2. L0–429 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.06–4.68
  3. L1–226 DecDundee United (H)xG 0.58–1.27
  4. L1–222 DecHearts (A)xG 1.28–0.75
  5. L2–314 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.79–2.08
  6. D1–17 DecAberdeen (A)xG 1.35–0.70

Dundee FC

  1. L1–22 JanDundee United (H)xG 1.90–2.48
  2. W2–129 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.00–1.02
  3. L0–326 DecRoss County (H)xG 0.30–2.03
  4. L0–121 DecRangers (A)xG 0.11–3.47
  5. L0–27 DecHearts (A)xG 0.54–1.75
  6. W4–14 DecMotherwell (H)xG 0.60–1.97

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneDundee FC
Position12th9th
Played2120
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠3–⁠146–⁠4–⁠10
Points15 (0.71 per game)22 (1.10 per game)
Expected Points per game1.101.06
Goals23–⁠4130–⁠36
xG per game1.01–⁠1.531.13–⁠1.78
Home: points, xG per game0.70, 0.99–⁠1.561.30, 1.34–⁠1.66
Away: points, xG per game0.73, 1.03–⁠1.500.90, 0.92–⁠1.90
ManagerSimo Valakari (14)Tony Docherty (58)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Johnstone0.98, 12thDundee FC1.07, 10thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.58, 11thDundee FC1.63, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanSt. Johnstone attack: 0.98Dundee FC attack: 1.071.070.98Dundee FCSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanSt. Johnstone defence: 1.58Dundee FC defence: 1.631.631.58

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−36%+30%−21%+25%
Counter-attacks−71%−20%−5%+88%
Set pieces−29%−8%−50%+17%
Penalties+41%−72%+48%−11%
Headers−44%+23%−11%+18%
Left side−32%+26%−14%+13%
Centre−42%+17%−34%+25%
Right side−29%−5%−27%+51%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdDundee FC concededLeft side−32%+51%Centre−42%+25%Right side−29%+13%Open play−36%+25%Counter-attacks−71%+88%Set pieces−29%+17%Headers−44%+18%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−14%−5%Centre−34%+17%Right side−27%+26%Open play−21%+30%Counter-attacks−5%−20%Set pieces−50%−8%Headers−11%+23%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneDundee FC

1.01xG1.13
1.53xG against1.78
51%Possession48%
9.3Shots10.7
14.2Shots against16.6
3.0Shots on target3.9
1.2Big chances1.6
15.5Touches in the opposition box21.9
425Passes346
77%Pass accuracy70%
3.8Corners5.0
44%Field tilt47%
35.5Final-third entries35.2
8.1Box entries11.1
15.6Passes per defensive action13.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.161.75
Ahead161.251.40
Behind370.761.37

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.191.92
Ahead210.911.57
Behind281.211.74

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.162–3
16–300.120.252–7
31–450.210.205–6
46–600.170.255–9
61–750.120.223–6
76–900.280.446–10

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.233–4
16–300.190.236–6
31–450.270.257–7
46–600.120.283–4
61–750.180.296–7
76–900.220.515–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTRae 12Sinclair 9Neilson 10Wright 9Essel 3Sanders 19McClelland 1Cameron 12Mikulic 7Wright 8Clark 7Neilson 2Holt 12Carey 6MacPhers… 3MacPhersonSprangler 16Raymond 2Sidibeh 2Smith 13Essel 4Raymond 13Wright 2Douglas 2Sidibeh 9Clark 8Kirk 8Kimpioka 173-5-2 in 7 of 21 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (7), 4-3-1-2 (7), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-2-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTMcCracken 13Carson 7Astley 12Houlden 4Portales 15C. Robertson 9Koumetio 14McGhee 4Graham 2Ingram 9Mulligan 7McGhee 3Cameron 19McGhee 4Tiffoney 3Sylla 18Adewumi 3Mulligan 4F. Robert… 3F. RobertsonMcCowan 3Larkeche 12F. Robert… 5F. RobertsonAdewumi 1Murray 18Main 4Sylla 1Houlden 8Tiffoney 5Adewumi 33-5-2 in 7 of 20 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (7), 4-3-3 (4), 5-3-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-4-1-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 October 2024Dundee FC1–2St. JohnstonexG 1.43–2.17
30 March 2024St. Johnstone1–2Dundee FCxG 1.28–1.03
11 February 2024Dundee FC2–1St. JohnstonexG 3.19–1.37
2 September 2023St. Johnstone2–2Dundee FCxG 1.75–1.44
23 April 2022Dundee FC1–1St. JohnstonexG 0.37–1.12
26 January 2022St. Johnstone0–0Dundee FCxG 0.67–0.22

8 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 2, Dundee FC won 3, and 3 were drawn. Goals 10–10 and xG 1.32–1.14 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Carey7779210.160.21
Kirk10911510.310.04
Clark161,289610.330.02
Kimpioka171,533620.290.03

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murray181,579720.330.09
Houlden121,070310.320.04
Adewumi7635210.210.08
Cameron201,708440.090.17

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.