Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

St. Johnstone 2–3 St. Mirren

Saturday 14 December 2024, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 17 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Euan Anderson · Attendance 4,001

St. Johnstone Kirk 52', Kimpioka 81'

St. Mirren Phillips 10', Mooney 88', Idowu 90+9' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Goals23
xG0.792.08
Non-penalty xG0.791.29
Expected Points0.392.42

St. Johnstone 7%Draw 19%St. Mirren 74%

Most likely score 1–2, 19%. Final score 2–3, 4%.

St. Mirren goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+1%9%10%2%1%10%11%2%3%7%4%1%17%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTKeltjens on for Neilson, 46'John on for Tanser and Kenny on for Taylor, 64'Idowu on for McMenamin and Olusanya on for Mandron, 69'Mooney on for Kiltie, 80'Kirk 52'Kimpioka 81'Phillips 10'Mooney 88'Idowu 90+9' (pen)St. Mirren 2.08St. Johnstone 0.7901230153045607590HTKeltjens on for Neilson, 46'John on for Tanser and Kenny on for Taylor, 64'Idowu on for McMenamin and Olusanya on for Mandron, 69'Mooney on for Kiltie, 80'Kirk 52'Kimpioka 81'Phillips 10'Mooney 88'Idowu 90+9' (pen)2.080.79St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

0.79 −0.31xG2.08 +0.97
0.79Non-penalty xG1.29
1.41 +0.44xG on target2.21 +1.06
9 −1Shots8 −4
3 −0.2Shots on target4 +0.2
2 +0.6Big chances3 +1.0
9 −7Touches in the opposition box14 −6
65% +13Possession35% −8
542 +113Passes280 −26
79% +3Pass accuracy66% 0
60% +14Field tilt40% −1
53 +16Final-third entries36 +5
7 −1.6Box entries6 −3.5
9.6 −5Passes per defensive action14.1 −2
1 −3.3Corners2 −2.8
17 +2Tackles16 0
4 −3.9Interceptions19 +10.7
24 −6Clearances24 −3
1 −1.8Saves1 −1.4
11 −1Fouls14 +1
1 −0.3Offsides4 +2.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Clark 90+2', 0.13 xGSidibeh 4', 0.06 xGSidibeh 40', 0.05 xGSidibeh 25', 0.04 xGSidibeh 56', 0.03 xGSidibeh 59', 0.02 xGSanders 69', 0.02 xGKimpioka 81', 0.39 xG, goalKirk 52', 0.05 xG, goal56%0.44 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.44 xG, 1 goal19%0.15 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals21%0.16 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.16 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Phillips 71', 0.08 xGIdowu 90+3', 0.07 xGMcMenamin 41', 0.05 xGMandron 43', 0.02 xGO'Hara 44', 0.02 xGPhillips 10', 0.70 xG, goalMooney 88', 0.35 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals85%1.10 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 1.10 xG, 2 goals6%0.08 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals9%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

0.55 5 shots, 2 goalsOpen play1.29 7 shots, 2 goals
0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.21 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
50 min (50%) · St. Johnstone 0.65, St. Mirren 1.64 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
7 min (7%) · St. Johnstone 0.00, St. Mirren 0.35 xG
St. Mirren ahead
43 min (43%) · St. Johnstone 0.14, St. Mirren 0.09 xG

Line-ups

126521422167271029RaeNeilsonSandersMikulicWrightSmithSidibehHoltKirkClarkKimpiokaYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal46'St. Johnstone 4-3-3Simo Valakari1224542886310911BalcombeFraserIacovittiTaylorBwomonoPhillipsO'HaraTanserMcMenaminMandronKiltieGoalYellow card64'64'69'69'80'St. Mirren 3-4-3Stephen Robinson

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 46' Keltjens for Neilson

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 64' Kenny for Taylor
  • 64' John for Tanser
  • 69' Idowu for McMenamin · goal 90+9' (pen)
  • 69' Olusanya for Mandron · yellow card 90+4'
  • 80' Mooney for Kiltie · goal 88'

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RaeGK900.000.0000.0231
NeilsonRB460.000.0710.1081
Sanders CB900.020.0100.09310
MikulicCB900.000.0000.05410
WrightLB900.000.0110.10136
SmithCM900.000.0940.2481
SidibehCM900.200.0100.1411
Holt CM900.000.0410.0144
KirkRW9010.050.0000.0016
ClarkST9010.130.0710.0641
KimpiokaLW9010.390.0100.0852
KeltjensMF440.000.0100.0332

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BalcombeGK900.000.0100.0560
FraserCB900.000.0200.08716
IacovittiCB900.000.0100.0319
TaylorCB640.000.0000.0465
BwomonoRWB900.000.0100.0146
PhillipsCM9010.780.0200.0443
O'HaraCM900.020.0700.0553
TanserLWB640.000.0610.0834
McMenaminRW690.050.001−0.1612
MandronST6910.020.4710.2222
Kiltie LW800.000.0300.0560
KennyDF260.000.0400.0135
JohnMF260.000.0310.0033
IdowuMF2110.860.0200.0222
Olusanya FW210.000.0010.0110
MooneyMF1010.350.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Rae and Neilson: 4 passesNeilson and Smith: 4 passesSanders and Clark: 4 passesSmith and Sidibeh: 4 passesHolt and Kimpioka: 5 passesSmith and Clark: 5 passesSmith and Kimpioka: 5 passesRae and Wright: 6 passesNeilson and Kirk: 6 passesNeilson and Holt: 7 passesWright and Smith: 7 passesMikulic and Holt: 9 passesSanders and Smith: 9 passesHolt and Smith: 9 passesWright and Kimpioka: 10 passesRae and Sanders: 12 passesNeilson and Clark: 12 passesMikulic and Wright: 17 passesSanders and Holt: 18 passesWright and Holt: 23 passesMikulic and Sanders: 25 passesNeilson and Sanders: 28 passesRae: 18 completed passesNeilson: 35 completed passesMikulic: 29 completed passesSanders: 50 completed passesWright: 38 completed passesHolt: 42 completed passesSmith: 21 completed passesKirk: 5 completed passesClark: 20 completed passesKimpioka: 10 completed passesSidibeh: 4 completed passes126251472227102916RaeNeilsonMikulicSandersWrightHoltSmithKirkClarkKimpiokaSidibehStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Mirren

Taylor and Bwomono: 3 passesTaylor and Mandron: 3 passesFraser and Mandron: 3 passesBwomono and Phillips: 3 passesPhillips and McMenamin: 3 passesO'Hara and McMenamin: 3 passesTaylor and Iacovitti: 4 passesTanser and O'Hara: 4 passesTanser and Mandron: 4 passesPhillips and Kiltie: 4 passesO'Hara and Kiltie: 4 passesO'Hara and Mandron: 4 passesTaylor and O'Hara: 5 passesPhillips and Mandron: 5 passesIacovitti and Fraser: 6 passesFraser and Bwomono: 6 passesFraser and McMenamin: 6 passesBalcombe and Mandron: 7 passesTanser and Kiltie: 7 passesTaylor and Tanser: 9 passesKiltie and Mandron: 12 passesBalcombe: 13 completed passesTaylor: 19 completed passesIacovitti: 8 completed passesFraser: 18 completed passesBwomono: 7 completed passesTanser: 10 completed passesPhillips: 12 completed passesO'Hara: 13 completed passesKiltie: 15 completed passesMcMenamin: 9 completed passesMandron: 15 completed passes1542242388611109BalcombeTaylorIacovittiFraserBwomonoTanserPhillipsO'HaraKiltieMcMenaminMandronStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
HoltSanders21
WrightHolt18
SandersMikulic17
NeilsonSanders15
HoltWright14

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
BalcombeMandron7
KiltieMandron6
MandronKiltie6
FraserJohn6
TaylorTanser5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

7+2.14−2.23−3.12−4.414+7.64−2.97+0.41−5.47−1.29+3.99+4.97+4.17+2.52−4.44+1.31−1.70−1.95+2.70−3.92−0.92+0.20−1.00−1.23+1.41+0.40−0.30−0.40−0.30−1.011−7.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

St. Mirren

6+1.49+2.28+0.56+0.66−1.44−2.16+1.66+0.110+1.14−2.16+2.03−1.15+0.88+1.62−1.95+1.48+5.27+4.59+4.82−0.41−0.62+1.15+4.26+4.10−0.40−0.40−1.10−0.43+2.43−11.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.020.030.010.010.050.020.010.120.050.060.010.030.050.030.010.02−0.02−0.020.190.15LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.020.010.020.010.030.010.010.020.010.030.030.010.030.010.040.020.010.030.04−0.010.060.07LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Johnstone1.04 → 1.02St. Mirren1.08 → 1.12Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.48 → 1.53St. Mirren1.48 → 1.45

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six9%4%−5
11th20%22%+2
Bottom23%32%+9
St. Mirren
Top six25%37%+12
11th13%9%−4
Bottom11%5%−6
Ross County
Top six9%7%−2
11th20%22%+2
Bottom30%29%−1

From the forecast before the match (14 December 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.361.07
Win43%29%
Expected Points1.571.15
Clean sheet34%26%

St. Johnstone 43%Draw 28%St. Mirren 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 49%.

St. Mirren goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%9%5%2%7%2%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%1%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 14 December 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawSt. Mirren win
St. Johnstone
Top six9%14%8%4%
11th20%17%22%22%
Bottom23%16%24%32%
St. Mirren
Top six25%18%23%37%
11th13%15%12%9%
Bottom11%14%11%5%
Ross County
Top six9%9%9%7%
11th20%19%19%22%
Bottom30%31%29%29%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. D1–17 DecAberdeen (A)xG 1.35–0.70
  2. L0–11 DecRangers (H)xG 0.15–1.73
  3. W1–023 NovKilmarnock (H)xG 1.02–0.45
  4. L1–29 NovMotherwell (A)xG 1.18–1.44
  5. L1–22 NovHearts (H)xG 1.39–1.44
  6. L1–330 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.73–0.93

St. Mirren

  1. L0–17 DecMotherwell (H)xG 0.55–1.74
  2. L0–230 NovDundee United (A)xG 0.35–3.22
  3. W2–123 NovAberdeen (H)xG 1.56–1.38
  4. W2–19 NovHibernian (A)xG 2.18–2.28
  5. D0–02 NovRoss County (H)xG 1.25–0.71
  6. W3–130 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.93–0.73

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Position9th7th
Played1616
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠2–⁠105–⁠3–⁠8
Points14 (0.88 per game)18 (1.12 per game)
Expected Points per game1.231.10
Goals18–⁠2919–⁠26
xG per game1.10–⁠1.321.11–⁠1.59
Home: points, xG per game0.86, 1.08–⁠1.421.56, 1.05–⁠1.17
Away: points, xG per game0.89, 1.11–⁠1.230.57, 1.20–⁠2.14
ManagerSimo Valakari (9)Stephen Robinson (49)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Johnstone1.04, 11thSt. Mirren1.08, 10thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.48, 10thSt. Mirren1.48, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecSt. Johnstone attack: 1.04St. Mirren attack: 1.081.081.04St. MirrenSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecSt. Johnstone defence: 1.48St. Mirren defence: 1.481.481.48

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−28%+10%−36%−7%
Counter-attacks−72%+17%−10%+21%
Set pieces−14%−22%−7%+22%
Penalties+26%−100%+26%+110%
Headers−37%+11%−12%average
Left side−31%+17%−26%−13%
Centre−27%−1%−34%+1%
Right side−23%−12%−10%+32%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−31%+32%Centre−27%+1%Right side−23%−13%Open play−28%−7%Counter-attacks−72%+21%Set pieces−14%+22%Headers−37%average

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−26%−12%Centre−34%−1%Right side−10%+17%Open play−36%+10%Counter-attacks−10%+17%Set pieces−7%−22%Headers−12%+11%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

1.10xG1.11
1.32xG against1.59
52%Possession43%
10.1Shots11.6
13.6Shots against12.1
3.2Shots on target3.8
1.4Big chances2.0
16.4Touches in the opposition box20.5
429Passes306
76%Pass accuracy66%
4.3Corners4.8
46%Field tilt41%
36.9Final-third entries30.6
8.6Box entries9.5
14.9Passes per defensive action15.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level361.231.56
Ahead181.441.09
Behind360.801.18

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level491.051.33
Ahead201.301.85
Behind211.071.99

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.142–2
16–300.130.252–5
31–450.210.213–6
46–600.150.173–5
61–750.140.183–4
76–900.330.365–7

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.243–5
16–300.150.185–3
31–450.400.185–3
46–600.220.152–4
61–750.110.280–4
76–900.140.564–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMAMSTSTSinclair 9Rae 7Wright 8Neilson 6Essel 2Sanders 14Neilson 5McClelland 1Cameron 10Mikulic 2Raymond 12Douglas 2Cameron 1Holt 9Carey 5Wright 2Sprangler 12MacPherson 3Neilson 1Smith 12Essel 4Clark 7Wright 5Smith 1Sidibeh 8Clark 6Kirk 5Kimpioka 134-3-1-2 in 7 of 16 starts

Formations: 4-3-1-2 (7), 3-5-2 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWBalcombe 16Fraser 14Phillips 2Gogic 15Iacovitti 2Taylor 11Dunne 4Bwomono 8Rooney 6Fraser 2Phillips 11Boyd-Munce 2Adeniran 2O'Hara 12Idowu 3Gogic 1Tanser 12Brown 3Taylor 1Boyd-Munce 5McMenamin 4Scott 3Olusanya 12van Veen 2Scott 1Kiltie 7Olusanya 4Mandron 33-4-3 in 7 of 16 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (7), 3-5-2 (6), 4-3-3 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 October 2024St. Mirren3–1St. JohnstonexG 0.93–0.73
24 February 2024St. Mirren2–0St. JohnstonexG 0.94–0.70
6 December 2023St. Johnstone1–0St. MirrenxG 1.98–1.93
28 October 2023St. Mirren4–0St. JohnstonexG 1.52–0.74
25 February 2023St. Johnstone1–1St. MirrenxG 0.39–1.59
9 November 2022St. Mirren2–2St. JohnstonexG 0.87–1.19

14 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 4, St. Mirren won 6, and 4 were drawn. Goals 13–18 and xG 1.08–1.13 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kirk6595310.420.06
Kimpioka131,157510.340.04
Sidibeh8783210.240.10
Clark131,035500.320.02

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Olusanya161,150500.360.01
O'Hara141,234220.140.14
Kiltie8607000.170.08
Phillips131,047110.140.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.