Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

St. Johnstone 1–1 St. Mirren

Saturday 25 February 2023, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 27 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Craig Napier · Attendance 3,828

St. Johnstone Rudden 75' · Phillips sent off 45'

St. Mirren Gogic 86'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Goals11
xG0.391.59
Expected Points0.472.29

St. Johnstone 8%Draw 24%St. Mirren 68%

Most likely score 0–1, 22%. Final score 1–1, 10%.

St. Mirren goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+12%9%3%5%10%8%4%1%2%2%22%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTPhillips (St. Johnstone), red card 45'Bair on for Clark and Rudden on for May, 72'Jamieson on for Watt, Offord on for Flynn, and Shaughnessy on for Fraser, 80'Rudden 75'Gogic 86'St. Mirren 1.59St. Johnstone 0.3900.511.520153045607590HTPhillips (St. Johnstone), red card 45'Bair on for Clark and Rudden on for May, 72'Jamieson on for Watt, Offord on for Flynn, and Shaughnessy on for Fraser, 80'Rudden 75'Gogic 86'1.590.39St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

0.39 −0.53xG1.59 +0.50
0.77 −0.15xG on target1.24 +0.27
7 −2.8Shots21 +9.1
2 −1.0Shots on target5 +1.8
1 −0.4Big chances2 +0.4
15 0Touches in the opposition box27 +7
48% +7Possession52% +14
344 +20Passes363 +86
65% −2Pass accuracy67% +5
34% −3Field tilt66% +26
23 −5Final-third entries43 +11
8 +0.5Box entries16 +6.5
22.8 +4Passes per defensive action11.4 −5
5 +1.7Corners2 −3.8
10 −7Tackles13 −2
15 +3.6Interceptions7 −2.3
37 +12Clearances19 −3
4 +1.3Saves1 −1.3
8 −3Fouls8 −6
1 −0.5Offsides3 +1.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Wright 55', 0.10 xGMay 37', 0.05 xGClark 1', 0.04 xGMacPherson 88', 0.04 xGConsidine 21', 0.03 xGGordon 41', 0.02 xGRudden 75', 0.11 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals79%0.31 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.31 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals21%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Main 62', 0.20 xGJamieson 90+4', 0.16 xGO'Hara 47', 0.08 xGMain 60', 0.08 xGSmall 60', 0.07 xGGogic 90+3', 0.07 xGSmall 89', 0.06 xGStrain 56', 0.05 xGWatt 65', 0.05 xGWatt 68', 0.05 xGO'Hara 12', 0.04 xGWatt 39', 0.04 xGFlynn 62', 0.04 xGWatt 63', 0.04 xGStrain 45+2', 0.03 xGKiltie 60', 0.03 xGSmall 6', 0.02 xGFlynn 70', 0.02 xGMain 82', 0.02 xGKiltie 26', 0.01 xGGogic 86', 0.42 xG, goal42%0.66 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.66 xG, 1 goal31%0.49 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.49 xG, 0 goals8%0.12 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals18%0.28 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

0.23 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.30 14 shots, 1 goal
0.16 3 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.28 7 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
85 min (89%) · St. Johnstone 0.39, St. Mirren 1.14 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
11 min (11%) · St. Johnstone 0.00, St. Mirren 0.45 xG

Line-ups

11456419183422737MatthewsWrightMitchellGordonConsidineMontgomeryMacPhersonPhillipsHallbergMayClarkSent offYellow card72'72'St. Johnstone 5-3-2Callum Davidson122131823118616910CarsonFraserGogicDunneStrainKiltieFlynnO'HaraSmallWattMainGoal80'80'80'St. Mirren 3-5-2Stephen Robinson

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 72' Bair for Clark
  • 72' Rudden for May · goal 75'

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 80' Shaughnessy for Fraser · 1 assist
  • 80' Offord for Flynn
  • 80' Jamieson for Watt

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MatthewsGK900.000.0000.0222
WrightRWB900.100.0500.1288
MitchellCB900.000.0000.0338
GordonCB900.020.0000.03413
ConsidineCB900.030.0700.14310
MontgomeryLWB900.000.0910.1688
MacPhersonCM9010.040.1330.0335
Phillips CM450.000.000−0.0123
HallbergCM900.000.0710.0315
MayST720.050.010−0.0300
Clark ST720.040.0000.0002
BairFW180.000.021−0.0512
RuddenFW1810.110.0000.0011

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0220
FraserCB800.000.0300.0326
GogicCB9010.490.0810.1456
DunneCB900.000.0100.1165
StrainRWB900.080.1200.13115
KiltieCM900.040.0620.0053
FlynnCM800.060.0510.0833
O'HaraCM900.130.1620.1231
SmallLWB900.140.0510.17105
WattST800.190.1440.1743
MainST900.300.1210.0841
ShaughnessyDF1010.000.1810.2022
OffordFW100.000.0210.0210
JamiesonFW100.160.0100.0311

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Considine and May: 3 passesHallberg and MacPherson: 3 passesHallberg and Clark: 3 passesPhillips and MacPherson: 3 passesMatthews and Mitchell: 4 passesMatthews and Considine: 4 passesWright and Phillips: 4 passesGordon and Phillips: 4 passesMontgomery and MacPherson: 4 passesWright and MacPherson: 5 passesMatthews and Gordon: 6 passesMatthews and Montgomery: 6 passesMitchell and Gordon: 6 passesWright and Hallberg: 7 passesConsidine and Phillips: 7 passesConsidine and MacPherson: 7 passesMontgomery and Hallberg: 7 passesPhillips and May: 7 passesMontgomery and Phillips: 8 passesConsidine and Montgomery: 9 passesMontgomery and May: 10 passesWright and Mitchell: 12 passesGordon and Considine: 12 passesMatthews: 13 completed passesWright: 14 completed passesMitchell: 15 completed passesGordon: 19 completed passesConsidine: 22 completed passesMontgomery: 26 completed passesHallberg: 12 completed passesPhillips: 19 completed passesMacPherson: 17 completed passesClark: 5 completed passesMay: 12 completed passes11456419223418377MatthewsWrightMitchellGordonConsidineMontgomeryHallbergPhillipsMacPhersonClarkMayStarters until 45' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Mirren

Carson and Strain: 4 passesSmall and Main: 4 passesMain and Watt: 4 passesGogic and Strain: 5 passesFraser and Watt: 5 passesStrain and Flynn: 5 passesStrain and Main: 5 passesStrain and Watt: 5 passesSmall and Watt: 5 passesKiltie and Watt: 5 passesDunne and Flynn: 6 passesKiltie and Main: 6 passesGogic and Flynn: 8 passesDunne and Small: 10 passesFraser and Flynn: 10 passesSmall and O'Hara: 10 passesGogic and Fraser: 13 passesGogic and Dunne: 14 passesFraser and Strain: 18 passesStrain and Kiltie: 22 passesCarson: 10 completed passesGogic: 29 completed passesDunne: 24 completed passesFraser: 35 completed passesStrain: 32 completed passesSmall: 14 completed passesO'Hara: 13 completed passesFlynn: 23 completed passesKiltie: 20 completed passesMain: 8 completed passesWatt: 12 completed passes113182223166811109CarsonGogicDunneFraserStrainSmallO'HaraFlynnKiltieMainWattStarters until 80' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
MitchellWright10
MontgomeryConsidine9
MontgomeryMay8
MontgomeryHallberg8
MacPhersonWright7

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FraserStrain13
StrainKiltie12
KiltieStrain11
DunneSmall11
GogicDunne9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

5−1.78−0.720+5.314+5.87+1.55−3.89+1.23−3.215+5.911+2.81−3.82−1.23−2.210+3.73−0.70−3.81−1.41−1.84+0.10−2.61−0.61+0.50−1.14+1.80−0.70−0.20−0.31+0.71+0.51−5.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

St. Mirren

6+1.311+3.78−5.13−5.06+2.010+0.77+0.31−3.71−5.85−2.07+0.56+1.03−0.22−2.58+1.414+10.17+3.22−0.42−1.45+1.43+0.13+1.31+0.10−2.01−1.31−0.20−0.70−0.82+1.50−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.020.010.010.010.010.050.020.020.01−0.010.040.040.01−0.010.010.040.07−0.06−0.020.100.08LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.010.010.020.020.070.040.030.050.010.100.070.02−0.010.050.140.03−0.02−0.010.100.120.050.030.010.37LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackSt. Johnstone0.97 → 0.94St. Mirren1.02 → 1.04Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.33 → 1.36St. Mirren1.27 → 1.25

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six21%16%−5
11th1%2%+1
St. Mirren
Top six67%68%+1
Aberdeen
Top six36%38%+2

From the forecast before the match (25 February 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.210.98
Win40%29%
Expected Points1.521.18
Clean sheet37%30%

St. Johnstone 40%Draw 30%St. Mirren 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 44%.

St. Mirren goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+5%2%7%2%8%8%4%1%3%3%2%1%1%12%10%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 25 February 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawSt. Mirren win
St. Johnstone
Top six21%35%16%7%
11th1%1%2%3%
St. Mirren
Top six67%51%68%87%
Aberdeen
Top six36%37%38%31%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. W2–118 FebDundee United (A)xG 0.95–1.17
  2. L1–45 FebCeltic (H)xG 0.26–2.02
  3. W2–01 FebMotherwell (A)xG 1.00–0.31
  4. L0–228 JanRangers (A)xG 0.23–3.29
  5. L2–414 JanLivingston (H)xG 1.86–1.46
  6. L0–27 JanAberdeen (A)xG 0.51–1.10

St. Mirren

  1. W1–018 FebRoss County (H)xG 2.34–0.63
  2. L1–215 FebMotherwell (A)xG 0.46–0.48
  3. L0–14 FebHibernian (H)xG 0.36–0.64
  4. W3–11 FebAberdeen (A)xG 2.21–0.94
  5. W1–028 JanMotherwell (H)xG 0.60–0.40
  6. L0–418 JanCeltic (A)xG 0.53–2.25

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
Position8th5th
Played2626
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠3–⁠1410–⁠6–⁠10
Points30 (1.15 per game)36 (1.38 per game)
Expected Points per game1.121.19
Goals31–⁠4328–⁠35
xG per game0.92–⁠1.311.09–⁠1.30
Home: points, xG per game0.92, 0.98–⁠1.142.00, 1.20–⁠0.96
Away: points, xG per game1.36, 0.86–⁠1.450.67, 0.97–⁠1.69
ManagerCallum Davidson (102)Stephen Robinson (19)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackSt. Johnstone0.97, 10thSt. Mirren1.02, 7thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.33, 6thSt. Mirren1.27, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Johnstone attack: 0.97St. Mirren attack: 1.021.020.97St. MirrenSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Johnstone defence: 1.33St. Mirren defence: 1.271.331.27

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−23%+15%−23%−12%
Counter-attacks−75%−74%−11%−13%
Set pieces−46%−8%+6%−8%
Penalties−19%−39%−19%+82%
Headers−51%−3%+12%−4%
Left side−38%+12%−11%+1%
Centre−26%−4%−18%−15%
Right side−31%+15%−15%−19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−38%−19%Centre−26%−15%Right side−31%+1%Open play−23%−12%Counter-attacks−75%−13%Set pieces−46%−8%Headers−51%−4%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−11%+15%Centre−18%−4%Right side−15%+12%Open play−23%+15%Counter-attacks−11%−74%Set pieces+6%−8%Headers+12%−3%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneSt. Mirren

0.92xG1.09
1.31xG against1.30
41%Possession38%
9.8Shots11.9
14.3Shots against11.7
3.0Shots on target3.2
1.4Big chances1.6
14.9Touches in the opposition box20.4
324Passes277
66%Pass accuracy62%
3.3Corners5.8
37%Field tilt40%
27.8Final-third entries31.6
7.5Box entries9.5
18.5Passes per defensive action16.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level380.851.24
Ahead210.710.86
Behind321.141.68

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.031.22
Ahead221.391.23
Behind240.941.50

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.274–7
16–300.140.154–4
31–450.150.274–11
46–600.160.173–4
61–750.170.206–4
76–900.230.2510–13

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.174–5
16–300.130.182–5
31–450.230.266–6
46–600.190.217–6
61–750.180.192–5
76–900.270.297–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMatthews 24Parish 2Wright 21Brown 3Carey 2Mitchell 21McGowan 12Brown 3Gordon 17Wright 1Considine 24Montgom… 11MontgomeryBrown 5Carey 3Carey 12Brown 4Montgomery 4Hallberg 20McGowan 9Phillips 9MacPherson 7Murphy 3May 18Bair 5Clark 17Murphy 8McLennan 45-3-2 in 7 of 26 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (7), 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-4-2-1 (6), 5-4-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTCarson 26Strain 23Fraser 2Flynn 1Fraser 19Gallagher 19Gogic 8Shaughne… 6ShaughnessyDunne 24R. Taylor 2Tanser 14Tait 7O'Hara 3Baccus 22Kiltie 9Tanser 3Erhahon 20Flynn 1O'Hara 19Gogic 4Ayunga 16Greive 8Kiltie 1Main 24Watt 2Brophy 15-3-2 in 23 of 26 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (23), 3-5-2 (3)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
9 November 2022St. Mirren2–2St. JohnstonexG 0.87–1.19
3 September 2022St. Johnstone3–0St. MirrenxG 2.25–0.81
30 April 2022St. Johnstone0–1St. MirrenxG 0.25–0.87
9 February 2022St. Mirren2–1St. JohnstonexG 2.22–1.02
6 November 2021St. Johnstone0–0St. MirrenxG 0.18–0.76
29 August 2021St. Mirren0–0St. JohnstonexG 1.72–0.81

9 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 3, St. Mirren won 3, and 3 were drawn. Goals 10–8 and xG 1.18–0.99 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May181,634650.240.10
Clark181,414420.260.05
Carey171,403310.230.06
McLennan4637110.160.05

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ayunga161,288320.420.04
Greive8738300.400.02
Main242,028600.240.08
Strain231,910350.080.18

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.