Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

St. Mirren 2–0 St. Johnstone

Saturday 24 February 2024, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 27 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 5,991

St. Mirren Mitov 36' (og), Mandron 64'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
Goals20
xG0.940.70
Expected Points1.471.14

St. Mirren 36%Draw 39%St. Johnstone 25%

Most likely score 1–1, 21%. Final score 2–0, 7%.

St. Johnstone goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+3%15%3%7%9%2%2%2%16%18%21%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTOlusanya on for Jamieson and Baccus on for Kwon, 75'Ayunga on for Mandron, 83'Jaiyesimi on for Carey, 63'Kucheriavyi on for K. Smith, 75'Mitov 36' (og)Mandron 64'St. Mirren 0.94St. Johnstone 0.7000.250.50.7510153045607590HTOlusanya on for Jamieson and Baccus on for Kwon, 75'Ayunga on for Mandron, 83'Jaiyesimi on for Carey, 63'Kucheriavyi on for K. Smith, 75'Mitov 36' (og)Mandron 64'0.940.70St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

0.94 −0.16xG0.70 −0.15
1.43 +0.24xG on target1.08 +0.32
15 +4.5Shots5 −4.4
5 +1.6Shots on target2 −0.7
1 −0.8Big chances1 −0.2
18 −1Touches in the opposition box9 −7
44% −1Possession56% +13
354 +20Passes445 +114
66% 0Pass accuracy70% +5
53% +10Field tilt47% +10
36 +3Final-third entries33 +7
9 −0.3Box entries1 −6.0
17.9 +1Passes per defensive action28.3 +12
5 +0.2Corners6 +2.5
12 −2Tackles13 −5
6 −2.1Interceptions4 −5.3
21 −3Clearances21 −5
2 −0.8Saves4 +0.5
10 −1Fouls12 0
1 −0.5Offsides0 −1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Fraser 50', 0.22 xGBoyd-Munce 5', 0.10 xGBoyd-Munce 7', 0.10 xGMandron 50', 0.10 xGBwomono 41', 0.09 xGKiltie 58', 0.07 xGJamieson 57', 0.05 xGBoyd-Munce 27', 0.03 xGKwon 32', 0.03 xGJamieson 59', 0.03 xGKwon 57', 0.02 xGMandron 36', 0.01 xGTanser 64', 0.01 xGBaccus 88', 0.01 xGMandron 64', 0.07 xG, goal33%0.31 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.31 xG, 0 goals23%0.21 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.21 xG, 1 goal10%0.09 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals33%0.31 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.31 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Sidibeh 90+7', 0.51 xGM. Smith 87', 0.10 xGConsidine 90+7', 0.06 xGSidibeh 87', 0.03 xGGallacher 47', 0.01 xG72%0.51 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.51 xG, 0 goals8%0.06 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals14%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.10 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

0.52 10 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.14 3 shots, 0 goals
0.43 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.57 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
36 min (37%) · St. Mirren 0.28, St. Johnstone 0.00 xG
St. Mirren ahead
61 min (63%) · St. Mirren 0.66, St. Johnstone 0.70 xG

Line-ups

121322421615324911HemmingBoltonGogicFraserBwomonoKwonBoyd-MunceTanserJamiesonMandronKiltieGoal75'75'83'St. Mirren 3-4-3Stephen Robinson135643223411191016MitovK. SmithGordonConsidineGallacherM. SmithPhillipsCareyRobinsonClarkSidibehOwn goalYellow cardYellow card75'63'St. Johnstone 3-5-2Craig Levein

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 75' Baccus for Kwon · yellow card 89'
  • 75' Olusanya for Jamieson
  • 83' Ayunga for Mandron

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 63' Jaiyesimi for Carey
  • 75' Kucheriavyi for K. Smith

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HemmingGK900.000.0000.0431
BoltonCB900.000.0000.0225
GogicCB900.000.0100.0556
FraserCB900.220.0000.0317
BwomonoRWB900.090.0100.1675
KwonCM750.050.0210.0464
Boyd-MunceCM900.240.0710.0531
TanserLWB900.010.0310.0783
JamiesonRW750.080.0400.0681
MandronST8310.180.0830.1423
KiltieLW900.070.2010.1641
Baccus MF150.010.0000.0121
OlusanyaFW150.000.0000.0010
AyungaFW70.000.0000.0111

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0460
K. SmithCB750.000.0100.0588
GordonCB900.000.0000.0109
ConsidineCB900.060.0210.1086
GallacherRWB900.010.0100.0442
M. SmithCM900.100.031−0.0142
Phillips CM900.000.0200.0114
CareyCM630.000.0000.0015
RobinsonLWB900.000.0210.09104
ClarkST900.000.000−0.0402
Sidibeh ST900.540.0100.0110
JaiyesimiFW270.000.0100.0310
KucheriavyiMF150.000.081−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Gogic and Bwomono: 4 passesBwomono and Kwon: 4 passesTanser and Kwon: 4 passesBoyd-Munce and Mandron: 4 passesHemming and Bolton: 5 passesHemming and Fraser: 5 passesBolton and Fraser: 5 passesFraser and Mandron: 5 passesFraser and Kiltie: 5 passesTanser and Mandron: 5 passesBoyd-Munce and Kiltie: 5 passesJamieson and Kiltie: 5 passesBwomono and Jamieson: 6 passesTanser and Kiltie: 6 passesKwon and Mandron: 7 passesHemming and Gogic: 8 passesBolton and Bwomono: 8 passesBolton and Kwon: 8 passesJamieson and Mandron: 8 passesFraser and Boyd-Munce: 9 passesKwon and Jamieson: 9 passesGogic and Bolton: 13 passesTanser and Boyd-Munce: 14 passesGogic and Fraser: 17 passesFraser and Tanser: 17 passesHemming: 12 completed passesGogic: 30 completed passesBolton: 31 completed passesFraser: 32 completed passesBwomono: 14 completed passesTanser: 29 completed passesBoyd-Munce: 23 completed passesKwon: 19 completed passesJamieson: 12 completed passesMandron: 15 completed passesKiltie: 15 completed passes113222423151624911HemmingGogicBoltonFraserBwomonoTanserBoyd-MunceKwonJamiesonMandronKiltieStarters until 75' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Johnstone

Considine and Carey: 4 passesGordon and Carey: 4 passesGallacher and Phillips: 4 passesGallacher and Sidibeh: 4 passesCarey and Phillips: 4 passesM. Smith and Clark: 5 passesM. Smith and Sidibeh: 5 passesCarey and Sidibeh: 6 passesPhillips and Clark: 6 passesConsidine and Clark: 7 passesGordon and Phillips: 7 passesMitov and Gordon: 8 passesK. Smith and Gallacher: 8 passesGallacher and M. Smith: 8 passesPhillips and M. Smith: 8 passesConsidine and Phillips: 9 passesConsidine and Gordon: 11 passesGordon and K. Smith: 11 passesK. Smith and Phillips: 11 passesK. Smith and M. Smith: 11 passesMitov and Considine: 12 passesRobinson and Carey: 14 passesConsidine and Robinson: 16 passesMitov: 16 completed passesConsidine: 37 completed passesGordon: 24 completed passesK. Smith: 29 completed passesGallacher: 13 completed passesRobinson: 22 completed passesCarey: 17 completed passesPhillips: 30 completed passesM. Smith: 21 completed passesClark: 13 completed passesSidibeh: 8 completed passes146353191134221016MitovConsidineGordonK. SmithGallacherRobinsonCareyPhillipsM. SmithClarkSidibehStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FraserTanser10
GogicFraser9
TanserBoyd-Munce9
FraserGogic8
TanserFraser7

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
ConsidineRobinson15
RobinsonConsidine13
GordonMitov10
K. SmithM. Smith10
PhillipsConsidine9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

6+0.64−2.85−3.03−2.25−2.84−3.75+0.34−3.95−1.16+1.14+1.15−1.36−0.44−0.27+4.04+1.67+3.99+5.54+1.43+1.04+3.32+0.62−0.30−1.00−0.30−0.90−0.310.08−6.61−6.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

St. Johnstone

8+1.85−3.014−0.85−2.18+1.28+0.38+2.012+4.210+1.25−1.34−0.70−3.64−1.49+2.43−1.53−0.10−1.93+0.23−1.40−2.02+0.61−0.32+0.71−1.20−0.60−0.10−0.21+0.80−0.75−4.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.010.030.040.070.030.020.040.040.030.010.010.020.030.060.010.060.020.050.110.15LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.030.010.020.030.010.010.020.010.020.010.010.02−0.010.020.01−0.03−0.030.020.02−0.01−0.010.050.030.04LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackSt. Mirren1.12 → 1.13St. Johnstone0.92 → 0.92Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.28 → 1.27St. Johnstone1.49 → 1.49

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six89%95%+6
St. Johnstone
Top six<1%<1%0
11th22%25%+3
Bottom7%9%+2
Ross County
11th41%39%−2
Bottom33%32%−1
Aberdeen
Top six35%34%−1

From the forecast before the match (24 February 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.540.84
Win53%20%
Expected Points1.870.86
Clean sheet43%21%

St. Mirren 53%Draw 27%St. Johnstone 20%

Most likely score 1–0, 14%. Both sides score 45%.

St. Johnstone goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+7%3%5%1%9%4%1%6%5%2%2%2%10%14%13%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 24 February 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawSt. Johnstone win
St. Mirren
Top six89%95%85%78%
St. Johnstone
Top six<1%<1%<1%1%
11th22%25%22%14%
Bottom7%9%6%3%
Ross County
11th41%39%41%46%
Bottom33%32%34%35%
Aberdeen
Top six35%34%35%40%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. L0–117 FebLivingston (A)xG 2.07–0.97
  2. W2–07 FebDundee FC (H)xG 1.63–0.26
  3. W3–03 FebHibernian (A)xG 2.40–0.41
  4. L0–127 JanRangers (H)xG 0.61–1.34
  5. L0–32 JanCeltic (H)xG 0.18–3.62
  6. W3–030 DecAberdeen (A)xG 2.73–1.03

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–318 FebRangers (H)xG 0.21–2.96
  2. L1–211 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.37–3.19
  3. L0–17 FebHearts (H)xG 0.45–0.70
  4. W1–03 FebRoss County (A)xG 0.54–0.58
  5. D1–127 JanMotherwell (H)xG 0.82–0.87
  6. D1–124 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.99–1.21

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
Position5th10th
Played2626
Won, drawn, lost10–⁠5–⁠115–⁠9–⁠12
Points35 (1.35 per game)24 (0.92 per game)
Expected Points per game1.250.88
Goals29–⁠3017–⁠35
xG per game1.10–⁠1.370.85–⁠1.63
Home: points, xG per game1.62, 1.07–⁠1.251.21, 0.98–⁠1.47
Away: points, xG per game1.08, 1.14–⁠1.480.58, 0.69–⁠1.82
ManagerStephen Robinson (21)Craig Levein (16)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.28AttackSt. Mirren1.12, 8thSt. Johnstone0.92, 11thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.28, 5thSt. Johnstone1.49, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Mirren attack: 1.12St. Johnstone attack: 0.921.120.92St. JohnstoneSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Mirren defence: 1.28St. Johnstone defence: 1.491.491.28

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−29%average−36%+18%
Counter-attacks−13%average−75%+46%
Set pieces−31%−5%−9%+20%
Penalties+55%+17%−81%+17%
Headers−12%−13%−3%+36%
Left side−30%+2%−37%+7%
Centre−34%+8%−21%+19%
Right side−14%−24%−49%+40%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−30%+40%Centre−34%+19%Right side−14%+7%Open play−29%+18%Counter-attacks−13%+46%Set pieces−31%+20%Headers−12%+36%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−37%−24%Centre−21%+8%Right side−49%+2%Open play−36%averageCounter-attacks−75%averageSet pieces−9%−5%Headers−3%−13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

1.10xG0.85
1.37xG against1.63
45%Possession43%
10.5Shots9.4
11.9Shots against14.8
3.4Shots on target2.7
1.8Big chances1.2
18.9Touches in the opposition box15.6
334Passes332
65%Pass accuracy65%
4.8Corners3.5
43%Field tilt38%
33.1Final-third entries25.6
9.3Box entries7.0
16.7Passes per defensive action16.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level430.891.36
Ahead241.531.33
Behind241.071.43

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.831.15
Ahead170.851.86
Behind230.882.52

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.146–4
16–300.140.201–5
31–450.180.236–5
46–600.230.206–3
61–750.150.212–5
76–900.260.398–8

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.134–1
16–300.130.202–4
31–450.130.163–5
46–600.130.292–6
61–750.120.382–9
76–900.230.474–10

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWHemming 26Fraser 23Bolton 6Gogic 26Taylor 19Dunne 4Strain 11Bwomono 4Fraser 3Baccus 12Kwon 4Jamieson 3Boyd-Munce 13O'Hara 11Kiltie 6Tanser 21O'Hara 4Boyd-Munce 1McMenamin 12Tanser 5Scott 3Mandron 11Olusanya 8Ayunga 5Kiltie 20Ayunga 3Mandron 23-4-3 in 12 of 26 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (12), 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-5-2 (6), 5-4-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMitov 26McGowan 12Costelloe 4Olufunwa 2Gordon 21McClelland 5Considine 18Robinson 7Brown 8Olufunwa 6Keltjens 4Phillips 12Kucheriavyi 5Sprangler 4M. Smith 10Robinson 9Carey 5Phillips 5Robinson 5Gallacher 4M. Smith 7Carey 6Kucheriavyi 5Kane 7Jaiyesimi 6May 6Carey 8Clark 5Robinson 33-4-1-2 in 7 of 26 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (7), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 4-5-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 December 2023St. Johnstone1–0St. MirrenxG 1.98–1.93
28 October 2023St. Mirren4–0St. JohnstonexG 1.52–0.74
25 February 2023St. Johnstone1–1St. MirrenxG 0.39–1.59
9 November 2022St. Mirren2–2St. JohnstonexG 0.87–1.19
3 September 2022St. Johnstone3–0St. MirrenxG 2.25–0.81
30 April 2022St. Johnstone0–1St. MirrenxG 0.25–0.87

12 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 4, St. Johnstone won 4, and 4 were drawn. Goals 13–12 and xG 1.16–1.15 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Mandron131,179510.360.08
Kiltie262,100430.230.12
Olusanya8834210.290.05
O'Hara181,563310.220.06

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kane7788100.390.03
Jaiyesimi7550100.340.06
Clark5469400.350.02
Kucheriavyi141,192200.150.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.