Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

St. Mirren 3–1 St. Johnstone

Wednesday 30 October 2024, 19:45 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 10 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 6,042

St. Mirren Tanser 30', O'Hara 57', Ayunga 90+3'

St. Johnstone Kimpioka 8'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
Goals31
xG0.930.73
Expected Points1.461.16

St. Mirren 36%Draw 39%St. Johnstone 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 20%. Final score 3–1, 2%.

St. Johnstone goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+4%4%7%8%2%2%2%16%17%16%20%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTTaylor on for Dunne, 45+7'McMenamin on for Scott and Mandron on for Olusanya, 67'Ayunga on for Kiltie, 85'Carey on for Smith, Douglas on for Cameron, and Kirk on for Kimpioka, 68'Tanser 30'O'Hara 57'Ayunga 90+3'Kimpioka 8'St. Mirren 0.93St. Johnstone 0.7300.250.50.7510153045607590HTTaylor on for Dunne, 45+7'McMenamin on for Scott and Mandron on for Olusanya, 67'Ayunga on for Kiltie, 85'Carey on for Smith, Douglas on for Cameron, and Kirk on for Kimpioka, 68'Tanser 30'O'Hara 57'Ayunga 90+3'Kimpioka 8'0.930.73St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

0.93 −0.17xG0.73 −0.44
2.69 +1.67xG on target1.03 +0.15
17 +6Shots5 −6
5 +1.6Shots on target2 −1.3
4 +2.0Big chances1 −0.5
31 +12Touches in the opposition box10 −7
31% −13Possession69% +18
236 −81Passes570 +175
61% −8Pass accuracy83% +9
43% +6Field tilt57% +10
32 +2Final-third entries40 +3
12 +3.0Box entries6 −3.1
16.9 0Passes per defensive action15.9 +2
9 +5.5Corners2 −3.0
23 +8Tackles19 +5
6 −2.1Interceptions3 −6.4
18 −11Clearances34 +7
1 −1.3Saves2 −0.8
14 +2Fouls9 −3
0 −2.2Offsides1 −0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Fraser 34', 0.08 xGOlusanya 50', 0.07 xGBwomono 4', 0.06 xGOlusanya 6', 0.06 xGOlusanya 39', 0.05 xGO'Hara 48', 0.05 xGOlusanya 45+8', 0.04 xGKiltie 35', 0.03 xGKiltie 55', 0.03 xGTanser 6', 0.02 xGPhillips 26', 0.02 xGGogic 48', 0.02 xGO'Hara 55', 0.02 xGTanser 52', 0.01 xGAyunga 90+3', 0.30 xG, goalO'Hara 57', 0.04 xG, goalTanser 30', 0.02 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals75%0.70 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.70 xG, 2 goals10%0.09 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals13%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.12 xG, 1 goal2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Holt 79', 0.11 xGDouglas 84', 0.10 xGSanders 8', 0.05 xGSidibeh 45+5', 0.01 xGKimpioka 8', 0.46 xG, goal64%0.47 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.47 xG, 1 goal36%0.26 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

0.66 9 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.21 2 shots, 0 goals
0.27 8 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.52 3 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
43 min (42%) · St. Mirren 0.59, St. Johnstone 0.52 xG
St. Mirren ahead
37 min (36%) · St. Mirren 0.30, St. Johnstone 0.21 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
22 min (22%) · St. Mirren 0.04, St. Johnstone 0.00 xG

Line-ups

1221318428863142011BalcombeFraserGogicDunneBwomonoPhillipsO'HaraTanserScottOlusanyaKiltieYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal45+7'67'67'85'St. Mirren 3-4-3Stephen Robinson201456422237101629SinclairWrightSandersNeilsonCameronSmithSpranglerHoltClarkSidibehKimpiokaYellow cardGoal68'68'68'St. Johnstone 4-3-1-2Simo Valakari

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 45+7' Taylor for Dunne
  • 67' McMenamin for Scott
  • 67' Mandron for Olusanya · 1 assist
  • 85' Ayunga for Kiltie · goal 90+3'

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 68' Douglas for Cameron
  • 68' Carey for Smith
  • 68' Kirk for Kimpioka

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Balcombe GK900.000.0000.0442
FraserCB9020.080.1930.1349
GogicCB900.020.0110.0787
DunneCB450.000.0000.0005
Bwomono RWB900.060.0220.1036
PhillipsCM900.020.0300.0546
O'HaraCM9010.110.1010.0851
TanserLWB9010.050.3030.2852
ScottRW670.000.0600.0421
OlusanyaST670.220.022−0.1010
KiltieLW850.060.0700.0962
TaylorDF450.000.0000.0003
McMenaminFW230.000.0000.0002
MandronFW2310.000.0110.0310
AyungaFW510.300.0100.0611

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SinclairGK900.000.0000.0214
WrightRB900.000.0310.1074
SandersCB9010.050.0010.03115
NeilsonCB900.000.0000.07410
CameronLB680.000.0100.0756
SmithCM680.000.0620.0463
SpranglerCM900.000.0200.0449
HoltCM900.110.0200.0644
ClarkAM900.000.010−0.0422
Sidibeh ST900.010.0000.0032
KimpiokaST6810.460.010−0.0104
DouglasDF220.100.0100.0530
CareyMF220.000.0500.0960
KirkFW220.000.1210.1810

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Gogic and Dunne: 3 passesBwomono and Scott: 3 passesTanser and O'Hara: 3 passesTanser and Scott: 3 passesGogic and Fraser: 4 passesGogic and Tanser: 4 passesFraser and Tanser: 4 passesTanser and Kiltie: 4 passesDunne and Tanser: 6 passesFraser and Scott: 6 passesO'Hara and Scott: 6 passesBalcombe: 6 completed passesGogic: 10 completed passesDunne: 9 completed passesFraser: 15 completed passesBwomono: 7 completed passesTanser: 12 completed passesPhillips: 9 completed passesO'Hara: 12 completed passesScott: 10 completed passesOlusanya: 0 completed passesKiltie: 5 completed passes1131822423886142011BalcombeGogicDunneFraserBwomonoTanserPhillipsO'HaraScottOlusanyaKiltieStarters until 45+7' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Johnstone

Smith and Clark: 5 passesClark and Kimpioka: 5 passesSanders and Holt: 6 passesCameron and Clark: 6 passesSprangler and Smith: 6 passesWright and Holt: 7 passesSinclair and Neilson: 8 passesWright and Neilson: 8 passesNeilson and Sprangler: 8 passesNeilson and Holt: 8 passesCameron and Kimpioka: 8 passesSinclair and Sanders: 9 passesWright and Clark: 9 passesCameron and Sprangler: 9 passesSprangler and Kimpioka: 9 passesSanders and Sprangler: 10 passesHolt and Kimpioka: 10 passesSanders and Neilson: 12 passesSmith and Sidibeh: 12 passesWright and Sprangler: 13 passesSprangler and Holt: 13 passesSprangler and Clark: 13 passesNeilson and Cameron: 16 passesCameron and Holt: 17 passesWright and Sanders: 18 passesWright and Smith: 21 passesSinclair: 15 completed passesWright: 43 completed passesSanders: 35 completed passesNeilson: 38 completed passesCameron: 34 completed passesSprangler: 45 completed passesHolt: 33 completed passesSmith: 26 completed passesClark: 24 completed passesKimpioka: 15 completed passesSidibeh: 6 completed passes201456423722102916SinclairWrightSandersNeilsonCameronSpranglerHoltSmithClarkKimpiokaSidibehStarters until 68' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FraserScott6
GogicTanser6
TanserKiltie4
KiltieTanser4
TaylorTanser4

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
SandersWright17
WrightSanders16
WrightSprangler14
DouglasHolt13
WrightClark12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

6+1.65−3.25−0.83−4.87+1.73−1.34−2.511+1.85−2.46+2.55+1.43−1.49+3.37+3.38+5.47+4.62−0.45+0.94+2.21−1.12+1.31+0.51−0.61+0.71+0.60−1.20−0.41+0.60−7.97−7.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

St. Johnstone

3−1.811+5.719+2.29+3.36−0.34−2.810+3.99+2.83−3.09+1.04−2.04−0.23+0.23−1.19+2.51−2.10−2.81−1.11−1.01−2.93+0.12+0.20−1.01−0.33+1.50−0.40−0.30−0.50−0.50−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.030.030.040.040.020.010.020.060.05−0.010.090.090.110.070.01−0.100.060.060.18LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.010.040.020.010.020.030.050.040.020.040.040.060.02−0.010.040.030.010.04−0.010.06−0.03−0.02−0.010.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Mirren1.10 → 1.11St. Johnstone1.04 → 1.04Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.47 → 1.45St. Johnstone1.54 → 1.53

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six19%25%+6
11th16%13%−3
Bottom16%11%−5
St. Johnstone
Top six16%11%−5
11th18%20%+2
Bottom18%23%+5

From the forecast before the match (30 October 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.481.03
Win47%26%
Expected Points1.681.05
Clean sheet36%23%

St. Mirren 47%Draw 27%St. Johnstone 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 50%.

St. Johnstone goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+9%8%4%1%6%2%9%9%5%2%4%5%2%2%2%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 October 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawSt. Johnstone win
St. Mirren
Top six19%25%17%12%
11th16%13%17%21%
Bottom16%11%18%22%
St. Johnstone
Top six16%11%15%25%
11th18%20%18%13%
Bottom18%23%16%10%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. L1–227 OctRangers (A)xG 0.63–2.29
  2. L0–419 OctHearts (A)xG 0.24–1.73
  3. L0–15 OctDundee United (H)xG 1.07–0.97
  4. L1–228 SepMotherwell (A)xG 2.33–2.07
  5. W2–121 SepHearts (H)xG 1.17–0.39
  6. D2–214 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.53–0.59

St. Johnstone

  1. W2–126 OctDundee FC (A)xG 2.17–1.43
  2. W3–019 OctRoss County (H)xG 3.16–0.26
  3. L0–26 OctRangers (A)xG 0.36–1.57
  4. L0–628 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.32–3.38
  5. D3–321 SepRoss County (A)xG 0.55–1.28
  6. L0–214 SepHibernian (A)xG 0.25–1.61

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
Position10th6th
Played1010
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠2–⁠63–⁠1–⁠6
Points8 (0.80 per game)10 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.101.21
Goals12–⁠2013–⁠20
xG per game1.10–⁠1.541.17–⁠1.44
Home: points, xG per game1.40, 1.02–⁠1.200.75, 1.26–⁠1.58
Away: points, xG per game0.20, 1.17–⁠1.891.17, 1.12–⁠1.34
ManagerStephen Robinson (43)Simo Valakari (3)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Mirren1.10, 10thSt. Johnstone1.04, 11thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.47, 8thSt. Johnstone1.54, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctSt. Mirren attack: 1.10St. Johnstone attack: 1.041.101.04St. JohnstoneSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctSt. Mirren defence: 1.47St. Johnstone defence: 1.541.541.47

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−38%+24%−7%+22%
Counter-attacks+3%+32%−61%+9%
Set pieces−3%average−8%+2%
Penalties+49%−25%−25%−100%
Headers−27%−2%−27%+34%
Left side−31%+12%−9%+43%
Centre−35%+4%−7%+11%
Right side+3%+57%−27%−4%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−31%−4%Centre−35%+11%Right side+3%+43%Open play−38%+22%Counter-attacks+3%+9%Set pieces−3%+2%Headers−27%+34%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−9%+57%Centre−7%+4%Right side−27%+12%Open play−7%+24%Counter-attacks−61%+32%Set pieces−8%averageHeaders−27%−2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenSt. Johnstone

1.10xG1.17
1.54xG against1.44
44%Possession51%
10.5Shots11.3
13.0Shots against13.7
3.4Shots on target3.3
2.0Big chances1.5
18.7Touches in the opposition box17.3
317Passes395
70%Pass accuracy74%
3.5Corners5.0
37%Field tilt47%
29.7Final-third entries36.7
9.0Box entries9.1
17.0Passes per defensive action14.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level430.961.42
Ahead171.291.56
Behind301.181.71

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level321.461.89
Ahead191.791.27
Behind390.641.15

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.303–4
16–300.130.232–3
31–450.460.234–3
46–600.200.151–3
61–750.100.280–4
76–900.120.342–3

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.191–2
16–300.120.271–2
31–450.300.293–5
46–600.140.151–3
61–750.090.202–3
76–900.430.345–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTBalcombe 10Fraser 8Kiltie 1Idowu 1Gogic 9Iacovitti 2Taylor 6Dunne 3Rooney 6Bwomono 2Fraser 2Phillips 7Adeniran 2Boyd-Mun… 7Boyd-MunceScott 1Smyth 1O'Hara 8Idowu 3Gogic 1Tanser 6Brown 3Taylor 1Olusanya 10van Veen 2Scott 1Mandron 4Ayunga 2Kiltie 13-5-2 in 6 of 10 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (6), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTSinclair 7Rae 3Neilson 9Wright 3Essel 2Sanders 8McClelland 1Cameron 7Wright 7Clark 2Smith 1Holt 4MacPhers… 3MacPhersonNeilson 1Sprangler 6Raymond 2Clark 1Smith 8Essel 4Raymond 8Smith 1Carey 1Sidibeh 5Clark 4Kirk 3Kimpioka 83-5-2 in 5 of 10 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (5), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
24 February 2024St. Mirren2–0St. JohnstonexG 0.94–0.70
6 December 2023St. Johnstone1–0St. MirrenxG 1.98–1.93
28 October 2023St. Mirren4–0St. JohnstonexG 1.52–0.74
25 February 2023St. Johnstone1–1St. MirrenxG 0.39–1.59
9 November 2022St. Mirren2–2St. JohnstonexG 0.87–1.19
3 September 2022St. Johnstone3–0St. MirrenxG 2.25–0.81

13 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 5, St. Johnstone won 4, and 4 were drawn. Goals 15–12 and xG 1.15–1.11 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Olusanya10736400.430.01
O'Hara8694110.230.11
Phillips7520110.210.10
Fraser10900010.040.11

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kimpioka8715410.480.05
Sidibeh5467210.230.14
Clark7581300.300.02
Smith10838010.040.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.