Matches › 2024/25

St. Johnstone 1–2 Dundee United

Thursday 26 December 2024, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 19 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 7,306

St. Johnstone Kirk 44'

Dundee United Middleton 51', Dalby 60' · Gallagher sent off 87'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	St. Johnstone	Dundee United
Goals	1	2
xG	0.58	1.27
Expected Points	0.77	1.91

St. Johnstone 15%Draw 31%Dundee United 53%

Most likely score 0–1, 20%. Final score 1–2, 8%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneDundee United

0.58 −0.51xG1.27 −0.18

1.54 +0.53xG on target1.02 −0.48

11 +1.1Shots13 +1.7

4 +0.9Shots on target4 0.0

0 −1.4Big chances1 −1.2

16 0Touches in the opposition box32 +9

51% −2Possession49% +5

446 +10Passes414 +91

81% +5Pass accuracy78% +10

40% −7Field tilt60% +19

38 +1Final-third entries41 +11

9 +0.6Box entries14 +4.1

25.2 +11Passes per defensive action13.0 −2

4 +0.1Corners10 +5.8

5 −10Tackles13 −6

6 −1.9Interceptions13 +4.9

36 +6Clearances22 −13

2 −0.8Saves3 +0.2

7 −5Fouls14 +2

0 −1.3Offsides0 −0.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

St. Johnstone

Dundee United

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneDundee United

0.40 7 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.10 9 shots, 2 goals

0.18 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.17 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–01–11–2

Level: 53 min (55%) · St. Johnstone 0.38, Dundee United 0.79 xG
St. Johnstone ahead: 9 min (9%) · St. Johnstone 0.04, Dundee United 0.30 xG
Dundee United ahead: 34 min (35%) · St. Johnstone 0.16, Dundee United 0.17 xG

Line-ups

St. Johnstone substitutes

62' Clark for Kimpioka
62' Sidibeh for Keltjens · yellow card 85'
73' Smith for Holt
86' Essel for Sprangler

Dundee United substitutes

71' Trapanovski for Fotheringham
71' Docherty for Odada · yellow card 81'
82' Stephenson for Sevelj
82' van der Sande for Dalby
90+4' Graham for Middleton

Players

St. Johnstone

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Rae	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	0
Sanders	CB	90			0.02	0.27	1	0.20	7	11
Mikulic	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.09	9	11
Cameron	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.05	5	3
Keltjens	RWB	62			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	5
Wright	CM	90			0.11	0.07	1	0.19	11	4
Sprangler	CM	86			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	8
Carey	CM	90			0.03	0.28	1	0.17	7	3
Holt	LWB	73			0.00	0.01	0	−0.01	1	3
Kirk	ST	90	1		0.22	0.02	0	0.05	1	2
Kimpioka	ST	62		1	0.08	0.04	2	0.04	2	1
Clark	MF	28			0.04	0.00	0	−0.02	0	0
Sidibeh	FW	28			0.07	0.00	0	−0.02	0	0
Smith	MF	17			0.00	0.04	1	0.07	1	0
Essel	MF	4			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Dundee United

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Walton	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	2
Adegboyega	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.07	7	6
Gallagher	CB	87		1	0.00	0.02	2	0.13	12	7
Holt	CB	90			0.00	0.11	1	0.26	7	10
Strain	RWB	90			0.31	0.04	0	0.03	6	1
Odada	CM	71			0.10	0.01	0	−0.01	1	2
Sevelj	CM	82		1	0.01	0.39	2	0.17	5	5
Ferry	LWB	90			0.08	0.31	3	0.09	8	5
Fotheringham	RW	71			0.02	0.02	0	0.02	3	4
Dalby	ST	82	1		0.70	0.02	0	0.01	0	2
Middleton	LW	90	1		0.02	0.10	1	0.12	3	1
Trapanovski	MF	19			0.01	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Docherty	MF	19			0.00	0.04	1	0.01	2	3
Stephenson	MF	8			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
van der Sande	FW	8			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Graham	DF	0			0.00	0.00	0	–	–	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Dundee United

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

From	To	Passes
Mikulic	Sanders	23
Sanders	Mikulic	21
Sanders	Wright	15
Cameron	Mikulic	13
Sanders	Rae	11

Dundee United

From	To	Passes
Holt	Ferry	14
Gallagher	Ferry	13
Ferry	Holt	13
Strain	Fotheringham	11
Ferry	Middleton	10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

Against its average of 18 matches

Dundee United

Against its average of 17 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

Dundee United

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
St. Johnstone
Top six	2%	1%	−1
11th	29%	29%	0
Bottom	32%	40%	+8
Dundee United
Top six	79%	87%	+8
11th	1%	<1%	−1
Bottom	<1%	<1%	0
Ross County
11th	25%	29%	+4
Bottom	44%	39%	−5
St. Mirren
Top six	49%	46%	−3
11th	4%	4%	0
Bottom	2%	1%	−1

From the forecast before the match (26 December 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	St. Johnstone	Dundee United
Expected goals	1.27	1.22
Win	37%	35%
Expected Points	1.40	1.32
Clean sheet	30%	28%

St. Johnstone 37%Draw 28%Dundee United 35%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 51%.

From the forecast as it stood on 26 December 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	St. Johnstone win	Draw	Dundee United win
St. Johnstone
Top six	2%	4%	2%	1%
11th	29%	28%	30%	29%
Bottom	32%	23%	33%	40%
Dundee United
Top six	79%	71%	78%	87%
11th	1%	2%	1%	<1%
Bottom	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%
Ross County
11th	25%	22%	26%	29%
Bottom	44%	49%	44%	39%
St. Mirren
Top six	49%	49%	51%	46%
11th	4%	5%	5%	4%
Bottom	2%	2%	1%	1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

Dundee United

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	St. Johnstone	Dundee United
Position	12th	5th
Played	18	17
Won, drawn, lost	4–⁠2–⁠12	6–⁠7–⁠4
Points	14 (0.78 per game)	25 (1.47 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.22	1.35
Goals	21–⁠34	25–⁠19
xG per game	1.09–⁠1.33	1.45–⁠1.41
Home: points, xG per game	0.75, 1.05–⁠1.50	1.67, 1.53–⁠1.18
Away: points, xG per game	0.80, 1.12–⁠1.19	1.25, 1.35–⁠1.68
Manager	Simo Valakari (11)	Jim Goodwin (29)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	St. Johnstone		Dundee United
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−31%	+12%	−9%	+7%
Counter-attacks	−65%	−7%	+35%	−41%
Set pieces	−17%	−27%	−12%	−8%
Penalties	+37%	−66%	+82%	+9%
Headers	−36%	+6%	+30%	+3%
Left side	−26%	+10%	−19%	+3%
Centre	−32%	+2%	+11%	−1%
Right side	−27%	−20%	−30%	−7%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdDundee United concededLeft side−26%−7%Centre−32%−1%Right side−27%+3%Open play−31%+7%Counter-attacks−65%−41%Set pieces−17%−8%Headers−36%+3%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−19%−20%Centre+11%+2%Right side−30%+10%Open play−9%+12%Counter-attacks+35%−7%Set pieces−12%−27%Headers+30%+6%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneDundee United

1.09xG1.45

1.33xG against1.41

53%Possession44%

9.9Shots11.3

13.2Shots against13.9

3.1Shots on target4.0

1.4Big chances2.2

16.1Touches in the opposition box23.2

436Passes323

76%Pass accuracy68%

3.9Corners4.2

47%Field tilt41%

37.3Final-third entries30.2

8.4Box entries9.9

14.6Passes per defensive action15.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	36	1.22	1.68
Ahead	16	1.41	1.17
Behind	38	0.83	1.06

Dundee United

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	55	1.27	1.34
Ahead	18	1.65	1.93
Behind	17	1.78	1.11

xG by period

St. Johnstone

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.11	0.16	2–3
16–30	0.12	0.24	2–6
31–45	0.20	0.20	3–6
46–60	0.19	0.15	5–6
61–75	0.14	0.17	3–4
76–90	0.33	0.40	6–9

Dundee United

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.22	0.15	2–2
16–30	0.23	0.20	3–3
31–45	0.16	0.27	2–3
46–60	0.21	0.18	4–2
61–75	0.17	0.28	2–5
76–90	0.46	0.32	12–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

Formations: 4-3-1-2 (7), 3-5-2 (5), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-1-3-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Dundee United

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-4-3 (5), 3-5-2 (3), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
24 August 2024	Dundee United	2–0	St. Johnstone	xG 0.41–1.58
6 May 2023	St. Johnstone	1–0	Dundee United	xG 1.12–1.26
18 February 2023	Dundee United	1–2	St. Johnstone	xG 1.17–0.95
2 January 2023	St. Johnstone	0–1	Dundee United	xG 0.63–0.54
1 October 2022	Dundee United	1–2	St. Johnstone	xG 1.30–0.72
5 February 2022	St. Johnstone	0–0	Dundee United	xG 0.39–1.13

11 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 4, Dundee United won 3, and 4 were drawn. Goals 9–9 and xG 0.92–1.07 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Carey	6	668	2	1	0.18	0.21
Kirk	8	775	4	1	0.34	0.05
Kimpioka	15	1,337	6	1	0.33	0.04
Clark	14	1,125	5	1	0.31	0.02

Dundee United

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Dalby	12	1,057	8	0	0.51	0.05
Trapanovski	7	556	1	1	0.35	0.19
Babunski	15	1,157	1	1	0.15	0.15
Graham	6	507	2	0	0.22	0.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.