Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
AberdeenHibernian
2.93 +1.62xG1.46 +0.39
3.16 +1.90xG on target1.86 +0.82
22 +10Shots7 −4
12 +8.1Shots on target6 +2.5
4 +2.4Big chances2 +0.3
36 +13Touches in the opposition box23 +1
44% −4Possession56% +4
322 −46Passes414 −7
67% 0Pass accuracy74% −2
45% +1Field tilt55% +9
32 +1Final-third entries43 +7
16 +6Box entries11 0
11.0 −4Passes per defensive action10.3 −5
4 −0.5Corners2 −2.6
24 +7Tackles17 +3
5 −3.2Interceptions7 −0.8
20 −5Clearances34 +10
4 +0.8Saves10 +7.0
13 +2.4Fouls14 +4.2
1 −0.2Offsides1 −0.5
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
12'15'51'67'
0–01–12–12–2
0'HTFT
Level
81 min (81%) · Aberdeen 1.84, Hibernian 1.20 xG
Aberdeen ahead
16 min (16%) · Aberdeen 0.16, Hibernian 0.26 xG
Hibernian ahead
3 min (3%) · Aberdeen 0.93, Hibernian 0.00 xG
Line-ups
Aberdeen substitutes
79'Hoilett for Duk
79'Phillips for Clarkson
Hibernian substitutes
57'Marcondes for Moriah-Welsh · goal 67', yellow card 72'
57'Tavares for Youan
75'Amos for Levitt
82'Wollacott for Marshall
83'Le Fondre for Boyle
Players
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Roos
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
2
2
Devlin
RB
90
1
0.91
0.00
0
0.02
0
5
Gartenmann
CB
90
0.17
0.03
1
0.11
11
10
Jensen
CB
90
0.04
0.06
1
0.09
3
10
MacKenzie
LB
90
0.15
0.24
2
0.39
11
4
Barron
CM
90
0.00
0.06
3
0.02
4
5
Clarkson
CM
79
0.32
0.09
1
0.09
3
5
Shinnie
CM
90
0.02
0.07
3
0.02
3
3
McGrath
RW
90
1
0.35
0.06
0
0.15
5
3
Miovski
ST
90
0.91
0.33
1
0.33
1
0
Duk
LW
79
0.02
0.28
1
0.09
6
1
Hoilett
MF
11
0.05
0.00
0
0.04
1
0
Phillips
MF
11
0.00
0.02
1
−0.05
0
2
Hibernian
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Marshall
GK
82
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
3
2
Miller
RB
90
0.01
0.05
0
0.14
7
7
Fish
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
10
Triantis
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.06
4
12
Obita
LB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
7
5
Newell
DM
90
1
0.00
0.25
2
0.20
6
1
Boyle
RM
83
1
0.79
0.04
0
0.17
4
1
Moriah-Welsh
CM
57
0.00
0.01
1
−0.01
2
4
Levitt
CM
75
0.00
0.04
0
0.10
6
6
Youan
LM
57
0.08
0.09
0
0.11
4
0
Maolida
ST
90
1
0.25
0.09
1
0.11
4
3
Marcondes
MF
33
1
0.32
0.02
0
0.02
2
3
Tavares
MF
33
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
2
Amos
MF
15
0.00
0.01
1
0.03
3
3
Wollacott
GK
8
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Le Fondre
FW
7
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
Shinnie
MacKenzie
10
Jensen
Gartenmann
8
MacKenzie
Duk
8
Barron
Shinnie
7
Barron
Gartenmann
7
Hibernian
From
To
Passes
Fish
Marshall
12
Miller
Fish
10
Fish
Triantis
8
Levitt
Newell
7
Newell
Marcondes
7
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Aberdeen
Against its average of 24 matches
Hibernian
Against its average of 24 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Aberdeen
Top six
39%
33%
−6
11th
2%
2%
0
Hibernian
Top six
20%
19%
−1
11th
5%
5%
0
Bottom
1%
<1%
−1
Dundee FC
Top six
39%
43%
+4
From the forecast before the match (17 February 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Expected goals
1.56
1.06
Win
48%
25%
Expected Points
1.71
1.02
Clean sheet
35%
21%
Aberdeen 48%Draw 27%Hibernian 25%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.
From the forecast as it stood on 17 February 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Aberdeen win
Draw
Hibernian win
Aberdeen
Top six
39%
52%
33%
22%
11th
2%
1%
2%
3%
Hibernian
Top six
20%
10%
19%
40%
11th
5%
7%
5%
2%
Bottom
1%
1%
<1%
<1%
Dundee FC
Top six
39%
37%
43%
38%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Position
8th
9th
Played
24
24
Won, drawn, lost
6–8–10
6–8–10
Points
26 (1.08 per game)
26 (1.08 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.21
1.02
Goals
29–39
29–39
xG per game
1.31–1.64
1.07–1.57
Home: points, xG per game
1.17, 1.39–1.53
1.00, 1.21–1.55
Away: points, xG per game
1.00, 1.22–1.75
1.18, 0.90–1.59
Manager
Neil Warnock (2)
Nick Montgomery (20)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−17%
+20%
−13%
+13%
Counter-attacks
+76%
−13%
−62%
−36%
Set pieces
+11%
+21%
−10%
+12%
Penalties
−15%
+49%
−57%
+70%
Headers
−10%
+35%
−20%
−13%
Left side
−7%
+14%
−12%
−3%
Centre
+9%
+24%
−22%
+5%
Right side
−18%
+8%
−11%
+30%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
AberdeenHibernian
1.31xG1.07
1.64xG against1.57
48%Possession52%
11.5Shots10.5
13.5Shots against14.4
3.9Shots on target3.5
1.6Big chances1.7
22.9Touches in the opposition box21.6
368Passes421
68%Pass accuracy77%
4.5Corners4.6
45%Field tilt46%
31.0Final-third entries35.9
10.3Box entries11.0
15.0Passes per defensive action15.4
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Aberdeen
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
46
1.01
1.34
Ahead
18
1.80
1.71
Behind
26
1.50
2.12
Hibernian
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
40
1.08
1.41
Ahead
21
0.98
1.63
Behind
28
1.11
1.74
xG by period
Aberdeen
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.10
0.24
1–6
16–30
0.17
0.36
5–7
31–45
0.31
0.17
9–1
46–60
0.19
0.23
5–3
61–75
0.25
0.23
5–7
76–90
0.29
0.42
4–15
Hibernian
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.12
0.25
2–5
16–30
0.18
0.15
4–5
31–45
0.15
0.29
3–6
46–60
0.16
0.24
4–6
61–75
0.18
0.28
10–8
76–90
0.27
0.36
6–9
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts