Matches › 2023/24

Hibernian 2–0 Aberdeen

Sunday 3 December 2023, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 15 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 16,592

Hibernian Vente 18', Fish 70'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	Aberdeen
Goals	2	0
xG	1.73	3.86
Non-penalty xG	1.73	3.07
Expected Points	0.32	2.55

Hibernian 7%Draw 13%Aberdeen 81%

Most likely score 1–4, 10%. Final score 2–0, <1%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianAberdeen

1.73 +0.62xG3.86 +2.68

1.73Non-penalty xG3.07

1.82 +0.61xG on target1.87 +0.72

11 −0.4Shots23 +13.7

3 −1.0Shots on target6 +2.8

2 0.0Big chances4 +2.2

23 −1Touches in the opposition box47 +29

47% −5Possession53% +9

393 −26Passes427 +90

72% −4Pass accuracy78% +14

40% −8Field tilt60% +21

23 −14Final-third entries45 +18

9 −2.9Box entries20 +11.4

14.3 −1Passes per defensive action13.0 −3

6 +1.4Corners6 +1.5

11 −4Tackles14 −3

3 −4.9Interceptions8 −0.1

40 +18Clearances14 −15

6 +3.5Saves1 −2.7

13 +3.6Fouls13 +1.8

4 +2.6Offsides0 −0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

Aberdeen

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianAberdeen

1.14 5 shots, 1 goalOpen play2.74 19 shots, 0 goals

0.60 6 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.33 3 shots, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–0

Level: 18 min (18%) · Hibernian 1.03, Aberdeen 0.11 xG
Hibernian ahead: 82 min (82%) · Hibernian 0.71, Aberdeen 3.75 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

72' Youan for Vente
79' Jeggo for Levitt
79' Doidge for Campbell
83' Molotnikov for Tavares

Aberdeen substitutes

67' Duk for Sokler
72' Milne for Devlin
72' Hayes for McGarry
79' Barron for Shinnie

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marshall	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.06	8	2
Whittaker	RB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	1	6
Fish	CB	90	1		0.30	0.01	1	0.06	3	16
Bushiri	CB	90			0.21	0.00	0	0.00	2	9
Stevenson	LB	90			0.02	0.03	0	0.04	2	4
Campbell	RM	79			0.00	0.24	0	0.09	4	7
Levitt	CM	79			0.01	0.02	0	0.05	3	2
Newell	CM	90			0.00	0.39	3	0.03	2	5
Tavares	LM	83			0.09	0.05	1	−0.01	1	0
Boyle	ST	90		2	0.09	0.42	2	0.11	2	3
Vente	ST	72	1		1.02	0.03	1	0.15	3	3
Youan	FW	18			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	0
Jeggo	MF	11			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Doidge	FW	11			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Molotnikov	FW	7			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Aberdeen

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Roos	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.05	7	1
Devlin	RWB	72	0.00	0.36	2	0.28	5	1
Gartenmann	CB	90	0.00	0.14	1	0.28	11	12
Rubezic	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	6
Jensen	CB	90	0.00	0.03	0	0.08	5	7
McGarry	LWB	72	0.36	0.04	0	0.12	9	2
McGrath	CM	90	0.64	0.14	1	0.03	2	2
Clarkson	CM	90	0.06	0.68	2	0.55	10	3
Shinnie	CM	79	0.02	0.56	4	0.18	3	2
Sokler	ST	67	0.68	0.13	2	−0.08	1	2
Miovski	ST	90	1.81	0.43	3	−0.01	0	1
Duk	FW	23	0.00	0.04	0	0.12	6	1
Milne	DF	18	0.08	0.01	1	0.01	1	0
Hayes	DF	18	0.07	0.02	1	0.21	4	2
Barron	MF	11	0.15	0.01	0	0.02	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Aberdeen

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Fish	Marshall	15
Bushiri	Marshall	12
Levitt	Fish	9
Whittaker	Fish	8
Newell	Levitt	8

Aberdeen

From	To	Passes
McGarry	Shinnie	10
Shinnie	McGarry	10
Jensen	Roos	10
Jensen	Clarkson	10
Devlin	Gartenmann	10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 14 matches

Aberdeen

Against its average of 12 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

Aberdeen

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	72%	80%	+8
11th	1%	1%	0
Bottom	1%	<1%	−1
Aberdeen
Top six	51%	44%	−7
11th	5%	6%	+1
Bottom	3%	4%	+1

From the forecast before the match (3 December 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	Aberdeen
Expected goals	1.60	1.00
Win	51%	23%
Expected Points	1.78	0.96
Clean sheet	37%	20%

Hibernian 51%Draw 26%Aberdeen 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 51%.

From the forecast as it stood on 3 December 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	Aberdeen win
Hibernian
Top six	72%	80%	68%	57%
11th	1%	1%	2%	3%
Bottom	1%	<1%	1%	1%
Aberdeen
Top six	51%	44%	51%	67%
11th	5%	6%	6%	3%
Bottom	3%	4%	2%	1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

Aberdeen

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	Aberdeen
Position	5th	10th
Played	14	12
Won, drawn, lost	4–⁠6–⁠4	3–⁠4–⁠5
Points	18 (1.29 per game)	13 (1.08 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.29	1.01
Goals	20–⁠21	15–⁠21
xG per game	1.11–⁠1.16	1.18–⁠1.87
Home: points, xG per game	1.29, 1.30–⁠0.98	1.00, 1.54–⁠1.60
Away: points, xG per game	1.29, 0.93–⁠1.34	1.14, 0.92–⁠2.06
Manager	Nick Montgomery (10)	Barry Robson (27)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		Aberdeen
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−13%	−12%	−29%	+37%
Counter-attacks	−54%	−14%	+73%	+10%
Set pieces	−1%	−18%	+19%	+48%
Penalties	−60%	−20%	−53%	+40%
Headers	−13%	−18%	−7%	+76%
Left side	+1%	−7%	−45%	+34%
Centre	−25%	−28%	+17%	+58%
Right side	−1%	+10%	−25%	−3%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdAberdeen concededLeft side+1%−3%Centre−25%+58%Right side−1%+34%Open play−13%+37%Counter-attacks−54%+10%Set pieces−1%+48%Headers−13%+76%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdHibernian concededLeft side−45%+10%Centre+17%−28%Right side−25%−7%Open play−29%−12%Counter-attacks+73%−14%Set pieces+19%−18%Headers−7%−18%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianAberdeen

1.11xG1.18

1.16xG against1.87

52%Possession44%

11.4Shots9.3

13.9Shots against14.9

4.0Shots on target3.2

2.0Big chances1.8

23.9Touches in the opposition box18.0

419Passes337

77%Pass accuracy64%

4.6Corners4.5

48%Field tilt39%

36.5Final-third entries27.2

11.9Box entries8.6

15.6Passes per defensive action15.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	43	1.01	1.21
Ahead	26	1.13	1.08
Behind	20	1.30	1.16

Aberdeen

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	41	0.87	1.32
Ahead	23	1.92	2.25
Behind	26	0.99	2.41

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.10	0.16	2–2
16–30	0.19	0.13	1–3
31–45	0.15	0.12	3–1
46–60	0.22	0.20	3–2
61–75	0.15	0.28	7–6
76–90	0.31	0.27	4–7

Aberdeen

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.13	0.29	1–3
16–30	0.19	0.27	3–2
31–45	0.28	0.20	4–1
46–60	0.19	0.25	2–1
61–75	0.17	0.27	3–4
76–90	0.22	0.58	2–10

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 4-4-2 (9), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Aberdeen

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (7), 5-4-1 (3), 5-3-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
3 September 2023	Aberdeen	0–2	Hibernian	xG 0.98–1.23
13 May 2023	Aberdeen	0–0	Hibernian	xG 0.30–1.95
28 January 2023	Hibernian	6–0	Aberdeen	xG 2.60–0.52
4 November 2022	Aberdeen	4–1	Hibernian	xG 1.69–1.50
17 September 2022	Hibernian	3–1	Aberdeen	xG 2.80–0.66
7 May 2022	Hibernian	1–1	Aberdeen	xG 2.02–0.63

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 6, Aberdeen won 5, and 2 were drawn. Goals 18–13 and xG 1.32–0.95 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Le Fondre	4	506	3	1	0.41	0.02
Youan	10	999	2	2	0.24	0.13
Boyle	11	1,019	1	1	0.13	0.17
Hanlon	5	501	0	1	0.19	0.05

Aberdeen

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Miovski	12	1,001	5	1	0.39	0.12
McGrath	8	621	4	0	0.33	0.15
Duk	8	716	2	2	0.25	0.12
Clarkson	8	824	0	1	0.02	0.25

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.